Gale Warning 371, NWS Anchorage, AK

144 
FZAK51 PAFC 081743 AAC
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

UPDATED ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA
COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-090400-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 988 MB LOW 20 NM NORTHWEST OF CAPE HINCHINBROOK WILL MOVE 
TO 60 NM SOUTH OF CAPE HINCHINBROOK AT 996 MB WED MORNING BEFORE
WEAKENING INTO A TROUGH IN THE NORTHERN GULF BY THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-090400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.    
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.    
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.    
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.    
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.    
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.    
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-090400-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.    
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.    
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.    
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.    
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.    
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.    
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-090400-
RESURRECTION BAY-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
.WED...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.    
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.    
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-090400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. SNOW.  
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.    
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-090400-
PORT VALDEZ-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.    
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.    
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.    
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-090400-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.    
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.    
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-090400-
VALDEZ ARM-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.  
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.    
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.    
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-090400-
PASSAGE CANAL-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW.    
.TONIGHT AND WED...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER.
SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.    
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.    
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.    
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-090400-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.    
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.    
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ131-090400-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.   
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.    
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.    
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-090400-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.    
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT N 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
6 FT.    
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
7 FT.    
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.    
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.    
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.    
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ136-090400-
CHINIAK BAY-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.    
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.    
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.   
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-090400-
MARMOT BAY-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.    
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.    
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.   
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.    
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.    
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-090400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.  
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES 
IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.    
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-090400-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.    
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.    
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.  
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.    
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-090400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.    
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.    
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.    
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.    
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.    
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.    
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-090400-
KACHEMAK BAY-
943 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.    
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.   
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.    
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

670 
FZAK51 PAFC 082352
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-091300-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 988 MB LOW 50 NM NORTHWEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF TUE NIGHT AND WED. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
BUILD IN ON THU.

$$

PKZ119-091300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-091300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-091300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-091300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-091300-
PORT VALDEZ-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-091300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-091300-
VALDEZ ARM-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-091300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE
EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-091300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-091300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-091300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N
OF DANGEROUS CAPE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-091300-
CHINIAK BAY-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-091300-
MARMOT BAY-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-091300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-091300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-091300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-091300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
352 PM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
521 AM AKDT TUE APR 8 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AREA HAS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DROPPING
DOWN THROUGH THE ALASKA RANGE EXTENDING INTO KODIAK ISLAND REGION.
THE COLD AIR ADVECTION IS STARTING TO FILTER INTO THE SUSITNA
VALLEY EXTENDING SOUTH ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE COOK INLET WITH
SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE TEENS AND WINDS OUT OF THE WEST/NORTHWEST
DIRECTION. THE PRECIPITATION IS PREDOMINATELY ALL SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE SUSITNA/MATANUSKA VALLEY AND THE WESTERN KENAI AREA. THERE IS
AN MERIDIONAL 110 KNOT NORTHWEST JET STREAK OVER THE KUSKOKWIM
BAY EXTENDING JUST SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND. AN AMPLIFIED UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS NORTHWARD JUST
WEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND. THE COMBINATION OF THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH AND AMPLIFIED RIDGE IS STRENGTHENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
AND PRODUCING GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE ALASKA
PENINSULA NORTHWARD ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE. THE SATELLITE IMAGERY
HAS CLEAR SKIES FOR THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE EASTERN BERING
SEA. THE CENTRAL/WESTERN BERING SEA HAS A LARGE SWATH OF MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW PRESSURE OVER PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND THIS MORNING. THIS LOW PRESSURE WILL GET PUSHED OUT
OF THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PUSHING
DOWN INTO THE REGION. THE LOW PRESSURE WILL DISSIPATE BY WEDNESDAY
WITH A TROUGH IN THE NORTHERN GULF REPLACING THE LOW PRESSURE. THE
MODELS HANDLED WELL THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHING THROUGH THE
BERING SEA AND CENTRAL/EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THE LOW PRESSURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WARM FRONT THE ECMWF/GFS/NAM MODELS HANDLED
THE TRACKING AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW PRETTY WELL. IT TRACKS
ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTAINS NEAR ADAK BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE
ECMWF WAS THE PREFERRED MODEL OF CHOICE DUE TO ITS CONSISTENCY
OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS. THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
THE FIRST DYNAMIC FEATURE EFFECTING THE AREA IS AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DROP DOWN IN THE SOUTHCENTRAL AREA THIS
MORNING. THIS WILL BRING SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE
SUSITNA/MATANUSKA VALLEY EXTENDING SOUTHWARD INTO THE ANCHORAGE
BOWL THIS MORNING CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING. LOOK FOR SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH HEAVIEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE SECOND FEATURE IS THE WEAK SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING THROUGH THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. THIS LOW
WILL WEAKEN INTO A TROUGH IN THE NORTHERN GULF BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING SNOW SHOWERS TO THE EASTERN
KENAI PENINSULA FROM MOOSE PASS EXTENDING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
WRANGELL MOUNTAINS WITH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 1 TO 2
INCHES FOR TODAY GOING INTO THE EVENING. THE WINDS AT WHITTIER
WILL BE GUSTY THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF THE
TROUGH APPROACHING AND THE SURFACE LOW TRACKING INTO THE AREA.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHCENTRAL
TODAY IS WORKING WITH THE SHARP RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN BERING TO
HELP TO KEEP THE GRADIENT PINCHED OVER THE SOUTHWEST. THIS HAS
KEPT MODERATE WINDS AT MANY SITES DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE
RIDGE WILL SLIDE VERY SLOWLY EAST TOWARDS THE COAST TODAY. THIS
WILL SERVE TO RELAX THE GRADIENT SLIGHTLY AND REINFORCE THE DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AND KEEP ANY FRONTS OVER
THE BERING FROM BEING ABLE TO AFFECT THE MAINLAND. NOT UNTIL THIS
FEATURE BREAKS DOWN CLOSER TO THE WEEKEND WILL WE INTRODUCE ANY
CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
A BROAD FRONT IS BEING STRETCHED OUT ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING
THIS MORNING. AHEAD OF IT ARE LOW-END SOUTHEASTERLY GALES WHILE ON
THE BACKSIDE ARE SOME SMALL-CRAFT SOUTHWEST WINDS. PRECIPITATION
IS FALLING AS A MIX ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS WITH SHEMYA HANGING IN
THE MID 30'S WHILE COLD BAY REMAINS IN THE MID 20'S. THIS FRONT
WILL MAKE LITTLE EASTWARD PROGRESS AS THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
SHORTWAVE RIDGE STARTS TO ASSERT ITS INFLUENCE. IN FACT...THE
PRIBILOFS WILL REMAIN RIGHT ON THE EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION
SHIELD AND WILL LIKELY ONLY SEE SOME OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS. THE
PARENT UPPER LEVEL LOW WELL SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL CONTROL THE
WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEK. AS TODAY'S FRONT WEAKENS AND FALLS
APART, IT PUSHES SEVERAL MORE VERY SIMILAR FRONTS ACROSS MANY OF
THE SAME AREAS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. HOWEVER, IT WON'T BE UNTIL
EARLY FRIDAY WHEN A TRIPLE POINT LOW TRIES TO FORM NEAR COLD BAY
THAT THE RIDGE WILL FINALLY GIVE WAY AND ALLOW PRECIPITATION
CHANCES TO SPREAD TOWARDS THE MAINLAND.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
MODELS AGREE THAT THE WEEKEND WILL START WITH RIDGING HOLDING
STRONG BASICALLY FROM THE ALEUTIAN RANGE EASTWARD. A
BROAD...NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH OVER THE BERING WILL FEATURE AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR DUTCH HARBOR. THIS WILL KEEP
PRECIPITATION CHANCES FAIRLY HIGH FOR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
BRISTOL BAY AREAS...WITH DRY AND RELATIVELY WARM CONDITIONS FOR
MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL. INTO SUNDAY...SOME MORE SIGNIFICANT
DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO DEVELOP IN THE MODELS. THEY ALL PUSH A FRONT
INTO THE SOUTHWEST COAST...BUT THE GFS SHIFTS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
MUCH FURTHER INLAND EFFECTIVELY DISPLACING THE RIDGE TOWARDS THE
CANADIAN BORDER. THE EC BRINGS THE FRONT AS WELL...BUT HOLDS THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW AND THUS THE BROAD TROUGH OVER THE BERING. THIS
WOULD RESULT IN THE MORE ACTIVE PORTION OF THE STORM TRACK
REMAINING OVER THE BERING AND THEN HEADING SOUTH THROUGH THE GULF
TOWARDS THE PANHANDLE. THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WAS HEDGED TOWARDS
THE DRIER EC SOLUTION AS MODELS HAVE BEEN TOO FAST IN BREAKING
DOWN THESE RIDGES THE PAST FEW WEEKS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...130 179 411 412 413 414
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...160 180 185 412 414
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

MSO/PLD APR 14