Gale Warning 365, NWS Anchorage, AK

422 
FZAK52 PAFC 062316
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-071245-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL STALL THIS EVENING
AND DISSIPATE BY MON MORNING. ANOTHER WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS MON AFTERNOON AND MOVE TO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS BY TUE AFTERNOON. A 995 MB LOW WILL FORM 100 NM EAST OF
DUTCH HARBOR TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-071245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-071245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-071245-
BRISTOL BAY-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-071245-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-071245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-071245-
UNALASKA BAY-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-071245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-071245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-071245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-071245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-071245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ177-071245-
ADAK TO KISKA-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ178-071245-
KISKA TO ATTU-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-071245-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-071245-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY
FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-071245-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ185-071245-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
316 PM AKDT SUN APR 6 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 20 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 25 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... E 30 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT.

$$

477 
FZAK52 PAFC 071130
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-080000-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL DISSIPATE LATE
THIS MORNING. ANOTHER WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL MOVE TO AND STALL OVER THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY TUE AFTERNOON. A 993 MB LOW WILL FORM 50 NM
SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR LATE TUE MORNING AND MOVE TO 130 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT LATE TUE AT 994 MB.

$$

PKZ150-080000-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 30 KT
OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ155-080000-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN
THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E... SE WIND 15 KT
BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-080000-
BRISTOL BAY-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-080000-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING
TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-080000-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. W OF DUTCH HARBOR...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING W
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-080000-
UNALASKA BAY-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-080000-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ173-080000-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-080000-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-080000-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ176-080000-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ177-080000-
ADAK TO KISKA-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ178-080000-
KISKA TO ATTU-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-080000-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-080000-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-080000-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ185-080000-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
330 AM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 25 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT.

$$

499 
FZAK52 PAFC 072332
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-081245-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE EAST TO THE
ALASKA PENINSULA BY TUE AFTERNOON AND THEN WEAKEN IN PLACE. A 971
MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 360 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA TUE AFTERNOON AND
WEAKEN TO 980 MB 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-081245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-081245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN
THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND 15 KT
BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-081245-
BRISTOL BAY-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-081245-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING
TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-081245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-081245-
UNALASKA BAY-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-081245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-081245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-081245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ175-081245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-081245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ177-081245-
ADAK TO KISKA-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ178-081245-
KISKA TO ATTU-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-081245-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-081245-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-081245-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ185-081245-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
332 PM AKDT MON APR 7 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 30 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 30 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT.
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 20 KT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
112 PM AKDT SAT APR 5 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS A DEEP UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN BERING AND FAR
WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA THAT STRETCHES ALL THE WAY DOWN TO 30N. AN
UPPER LOW WITHIN THIS TROUGH IS CURRENTLY SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK
ISLAND AND IS DRIFTING EASTWARD. AT THE SURFACE...THERE ARE
MULTIPLE WEAK SURFACE LOWS SCATTERED AROUND THE GULF...WITH THE
MOST DISCERNIBLE CENTERS NORTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AND ALONG THE
COAST EAST OF CORDOVA. A WEAK FRONT OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST IS
FALLING APART AS IT TRIES TO PUSH INLAND. OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA... LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WITH NUMEROUS RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS ARE CONTINUING...WHILE A WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH IS
BRINGING MORE STEADY/STRATIFORM SNOW TO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA.
FURTHER WEST...NORTHERLY FLOW AND COLD ADVECTION SNOW SHOWERS ARE
PREVAILING ACROSS MUCH OF THE BERING WITH SOME LOCALIZED GUSTY
WINDS BLOWING OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA.
ANOTHER WEATHER FRONT IS KNOCKING ON THE DOOR OF THE FAR WESTERN
ALEUTIANS...BUT IS WEAKENING AS IT MAKES SLOW PROGRESS EASTWARD.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT...BUT HAVE ALL
SLOWED DOWN THE PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER TROUGH THAT WILL
EVENTUALLY BRING WIDESPREAD SNOW TO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA FOR THE
START OF THE WEEK. HOWEVER...THE ECMWF AND GEMGLB ARE EVEN SLOWER
THAN THE AMERICAN MODELS (GFS/NAM). GIVEN THE SIGNIFICANT
MOVEMENT TOWARD A SLOWER SOLUTION...THE THINKING IS THAT TIMING
MAY CONTINUE TO SLIP BACKWARDS...THUS THE ECMWF/GEM ARE THE
FAVORED MODELS IN THE PREPARATION OF THE AFTERNOON FORECAST. THE
GFS ALSO HAS A DIFFERENT HANDLING OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING NORTHWARD
THROUGH THE GULF MONDAY MORNING...MOVING AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW
INTO THE COAST WEST OF YAKUTAT...WHEREAS THE OTHER MODELS CARRY
THIS FEATURE INTO THE PANHANDLE. GIVEN A STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY
JET...THE CONSENSUS SOLUTION FURTHER TO THE EAST MAKES MORE SENSE
AND IS PREFERRED TODAY. OVERALL...THE ECMWF IS THE MODEL OF
CHOICE IN THE OVERALL MODELING OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FEATURES
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
THE FRONT PUSHING ONSHORE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS THE WHOLE
REGION COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW WITH WEAK
PRESSURE GRADIENTS CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW
SHOWERS TO HAVE INCREASING SUCCESS MAKING IT OVER THE COASTAL
MOUNTAINS INTO AREAS LIKE ANCHORAGE AND THE WESTERN KENAI THROUGH
THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT EVENT IS
STILL EXPECTED FOR THE START OF THE WORKWEEK...THOUGH (AS
MENTIONED ABOVE) THE EXPECTED ONSET OF STEADY PRECIPITATION FROM
KENAI UP TO ANCHORAGE AND THE MAT-SU CONTINUES TO BE PUSHED BACK.
IT NOW LOOKS LIKE MID TO LATE MONDAY MORNING WILL BE WHEN THE
UPPER TROUGH GETS CLOSE ENOUGH TO PROVIDE SOME MORE WIDESPREAD
ASCENT. MEANWHILE THE COLD AIR ADVECTION PROCESS NOW LOOKS LIKE IT
WILL NOT GET GOING UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION TYPE AT
ONSET WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON TIME OF DAY (DIURNAL
HEATING)...BUT WILL DEFINITELY TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW MONDAY NIGHT
WHICH IS WHEN SOME ACCUMULATION OF SNOW REMAINS LIKELY. WHILE
THERE ARE STILL SOME KEY DETAILS UP IN THE AIR...THE BOTTOM LINE
REMAINS THAT ALL THE KEY INGREDIENTS FOR ANCHORAGE TO SEE SNOWFALL
(MID- LEVEL TROUGH...COLD AIR ADVECTION...AND NO DOWNSLOPING) ARE
PRESENT...SO THE CHALLENGE GOING FORWARD WILL FOCUS ON TIMING AND
SEVERITY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
A WEAK UPPER TROUGH IS TRYING TO PUSH THROUGH THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA...BUT WILL HAVE A HARD TIME MAKING MUCH PROGRESS AS
SOUTHEAST FLOW FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA CONTINUES TO OPPOSE
FORWARD MOVEMENT. STEADY (ALBEIT LIGHT) SNOW WITH THIS TROUGH HAS
PUSHED EAST OF THE BETHEL AREA...BUT THE REST OF THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND WILL REMAIN VULNERABLE TO LIGHT RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH
THE REST OF THE WEEKEND. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE AMPLIFYING
UPPER TROUGH WILL REINFORCE COLD AIR CURRENTLY HANGING OVER THE
NORTHERN BERING AND HELP THIS AIRMASS MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA.
THIS WILL DRY THINGS OUT AND BREAK UP THE CLOUDS IN A SIGNIFICANT
WAY FOR THE START OF THE WEEK.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
THE EASTERN BERING WILL GENERALLY STAY IN A SHOWERY NORTHWEST FLOW
REGIME AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
BERING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEKEND BEFORE TAPERING OFF SIGNIFICANTLY ON MONDAY
AS PRESSURE GRADIENTS RELAX. MEANWHILE...THE WESTERN BERING WILL
SEE A SERIES OF WEATHER FRONTS TRY TO PUSH EASTWARD WITH LITTLE
SUCCESS...INSTEAD STALLING AND WEAKENING OVER THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS. THESE FRONTS WILL BRING ALTERNATING PERIODS OF GALE
FORCE WINDS/RAIN WITH MORE BENIGN (BUT STILL CLOUDY) CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE START OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS MOST OF THE MAINLAND BY MIDWEEK...WITH
A RETURN TO MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS AND SEASONABLY WARM
TEMPERATURES. EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THIS HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DRIFT EASTWARD THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND...ALLOWING CLOUDS AND CHANCES FOR PRECIP TO RETURN TO MOST
AREAS BY LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING 179 180.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

AMD APR 14