Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2014
Gale Warning 127, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Feb 3, 2014, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 60 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 3, 2014, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 5, 2014, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 60 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
943 FZAK62 PAFC 031219 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 AM AKST MON FEB 3 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-040300- 400 AM AKST MON FEB 3 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL DISSIPATE TODAY. A 983 MB LOW AT 44N 162W WILL DRIFT TO 48N 165W BY TUE MORNING AT 991 MB THEN WEAKEN TO 999 MB AT 47N 169W WED MORNING. THIS LOW WILL PUSH SEVERAL WEAK FRONTS FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC INTO BRISTOL BAY THROUGH WED. $$ PKZ411-040300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 AM AKST MON FEB 3 2014 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ412-040300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 AM AKST MON FEB 3 2014 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED AND THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ413-040300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 AM AKST MON FEB 3 2014 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ414-040300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 AM AKST MON FEB 3 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$
5 follow-up statements
023 FZAK62 PAFC 040007 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 PM AKST MON FEB 3 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-041500- 400 PM AKST MON FEB 3 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 995 MB LOW AT 47N 166W WILL MOVE TO 47N 175W BY WED AFTERNOON AT 1001 MB. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN BERING SEA BY TUE AFTERNOON THEN STRENGTHEN THROUGH WED AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-041500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 PM AKST MON FEB 3 2014 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT EXCEPT N 15 KT E OF 178E. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT E OF 176E. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI AND SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ412-041500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 PM AKST MON FEB 3 2014 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N. .TUE...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ413-041500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 PM AKST MON FEB 3 2014 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ414-041500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 PM AKST MON FEB 3 2014 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...N TO E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...N TO E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$
225 FZAK62 PAFC 041229 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 AM AKST TUE FEB 4 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-050300- 400 AM AKST TUE FEB 4 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 992 MB LOW AT 48N 165W WILL MOVE TO 47N 178E BY THU MORNING AT 1008 MB. A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES FROM BRISTOL BAY TO THE CENTRAL BERING BY WED MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN BERING SEA BY WED MORNING THEN STRENGTHEN THROUGH THU MORNING. $$ PKZ411-050300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 AM AKST TUE FEB 4 2014 .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ412-050300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 AM AKST TUE FEB 4 2014 .TODAY...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ413-050300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 AM AKST TUE FEB 4 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. $$ PKZ414-050300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 AM AKST TUE FEB 4 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. $$
900 FZAK62 PAFC 050000 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 4 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-051500- 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 4 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH THU AFTERNOON. A 994 MB LOW NEAR 45N 167W WILL WEAKEN TO 1004 MB NEAR 43N 178W WED EVENING AND DISSIPATE WED NIGHT. $$ PKZ411-051500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 4 2014 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ412-051500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 4 2014 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ413-051500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 4 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ414-051500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 4 2014 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$
095 FZAK62 PAFC 051201 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 AM AKST WED FEB 5 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-060300- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 5 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH EARLY FRI MORNING. A 999 MB LOW NEAR 45N 170W WILL WEAKEN TO 1008 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 45N 178W EARLY THU MORNING AND THEN DISSIPATE THU AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-060300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 AM AKST WED FEB 5 2014 .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TONIGHT AND THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU NIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ412-060300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 AM AKST WED FEB 5 2014 .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ413-060300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 AM AKST WED FEB 5 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT AND THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ414-060300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 AM AKST WED FEB 5 2014 .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$
557 FZAK62 PAFC 052357 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 PM AKST WED FEB 5 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-061500- 400 PM AKST WED FEB 5 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON. A STRONG GULF LOW WILL MOVE TO 58N 153W AT 988 MB FRI AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-061500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 PM AKST WED FEB 5 2014 .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ412-061500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 PM AKST WED FEB 5 2014 .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ413-061500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 PM AKST WED FEB 5 2014 .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ414-061500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 PM AKST WED FEB 5 2014 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 56N. .FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 3, 3:50 AM AKST, 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 3, 3:50 AM AKST, 10 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
350 AM AKST MON FEB 3 2014
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC PATTERN FEATURES A REX BLOCK CONFIGURATION
OVER THE REGION WITH WITH A CLOSED HIGH OVER NORTHERN ALASKA AND A
BROAD TROUGH OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. A DEEP AND STRONG TROUGH EXISTS
OVER EASTERN RUSSIA...WITH STRONG DISTURBANCES WRAPPING AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF THIS FEATURE. HIGHLY AMPLIFIED SOUTHERLY FLOW EXISTS
OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA...WITH THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF STRONG
RIDGE RIDING WAVES CURRENTLY TRACKING NORTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND AND
EASTERN SIBERIA. UPPER AIR FLOW OVER THE BERING SEA AND ALASKA
REMAINS RELATIVELY WEAK AS THE PERSISTENT BACKGROUND HIGH PRESSURE
FIELD ALOFT REMAINS DOMINANT. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A
WEAK COUPLET OF UPPER LEVEL ANOMALIES OVER CENTRAL ALASKA...AND
ANOTHER CURRENTLY TRACKING INTO THE BERING SEA OVER NUNIVAK ISLAND.
ANOTHER SHEARED UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA IS
LIFTING NORTH INTO BRISTOL BAY...WITH A LOW LEVEL WARM FRONT
FOLLOWING ON ITS HEELS. WITH BROAD LOW PRESSURE SLOWLY TRACKING NORTH
INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING ASSOCIATED WITH THE NPAC TROUGH...AND A
STOUT 1045 HIGH OVER THE YUKON AND NORTHERN ALASKA...A GENERAL
NORTHERLY OFFSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. THE
GENERAL WEAK FLOW PATTERN OVER ALASKA WILL PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF
THE WEEK BEFORE A LARGE SHIFT IN THE PATTERN OVER ALASKA OCCURS LATE
IN THE WEEK (SEE EXTENDED DISCUSSION).
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE SUITE OF NUMERICAL GUIDANCE IS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEK. EVEN WITH THE SMALLER SCALE
SHORTWAVE FEATURES THEY LARGELY REMAIN IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT INTO
THE WEEKEND. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...
LARGELY QUIESCENT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE AS WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE REGION. DRY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL LARGELY
KEEP FOG AND LOW CLOUDS AT BAY TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE OVER THE COPPER BASIN AND PORTIONS OF PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND...WITH GENERALLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ELSEWHERE. WINDS
WILL REMAIN BREEZY FROM THE SOUTHEAST ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM AND ALONG
THE ANCHORAGE HILLSIDE...AS WELL AS NORTH INTO THE MATANUSKA
VALLEY...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TUESDAY NIGHT. KODIAK ISLAND
WILL SEE PERIODS OF RAIN AND MIXED SNOW THROUGH MIDWEEK AS THE FRONT
STALLS OVER THE AREA. OTHERWISE...DRY CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE
SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH THURSDAY.
SOUTHWEST...
A WEAK WARM FRONT WILL PUSH INTO SOUTHWEST TODAY...WITH RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS LARGELY IMPACTING COASTAL LOCATIONS AND THE SOUTHERN ALASKA
PENINSULA. OTHERWISE...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL KEEP MOST
INTERIOR LOCATIONS LARGELY DRY AND FOG FREE. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS THE FRONT TRACKS NORTHEAST...ESPECIALLY
NEAR THE ALASKA/ALEUTIAN RANGES AND ALONG THE COAST. SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY COAST INTO WEDNESDAY
BEFORE THE REGION DRIES OUT.
BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS/WESTERN ALASKA PENINSULA...
A LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL SLOWLY TRACK NORTH TODAY...WITH AN
ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT TRACKING OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA. RAIN AND
RAIN SHOWERS WILL IMPACT THE PENINSULA...WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
OVER DUTCH HARBOR...TRANSITIONING TO ALL RAIN SHOWERS ON TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN WEDNESDAY...WITH RATHER
QUIESCENT WEATHER LASTING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...
A DRAMATIC PATTERN SHIFT WILL COMMENCE LATE WEEK AS A LARGE BLOCKING
HIGH RETROGRADES WEST OVER THE BERING SEA...AND A POWERFUL NORTHERLY
JET MAX TRACKS FROM THE ARCTIC CIRCLE INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE
EXPECTED TRACK OF THIS STRONG DISTURBANCE WILL LIKELY MEAN MOST OF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA REMAINS COMPLETELY DRY FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SNOW ACROSS LOCATIONS EAST OF THE
ALASKA/ALEUTIAN RANGES. RIGHT NOW ANY SNOW THREATS WOULD LIKELY BE
QUICK HITTING AND ON THE LIGHTER SIDE...ALTHOUGH THE DETAILS STILL
REMAIN SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN. THE MUCH BIGGER SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACTS
WILL BE SUBSTANTIALLY WINDIER CONDITIONS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS A
1050 MB HIGH FORMS OVER THE NORTH SLOPE...AND A 990-995 MB LOW FORMS
IN THE GULF. CHANNELED GAP WINDS WILL RAMP UP ACROSS ALL FAVORED
MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY THE MATANUSKA VALLEY WHERE WINDS MAY
BECOME QUITE STRONG....AND FOR A RATHER PROLONGED PERIOD OF TIME.
MARGINALLY STRONG GAP WINDS WILL FORM ACROSS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AS
WELL...WITH STRONG NORTHEAST OUTFLOW WINDS DEVELOPING FROM COOK INLET
WESTWARD. THEREAFTER...THERE IS A STRONG SIGNAL ACROSS THE VARIOUS
GLOBAL MODELING ENSEMBLES AND DETERMINISTIC MODELS THAT A DEEP TROUGH
FORMS AND PERSISTS OVER ALASKA...WITH A RETROGRADING AND WEAKENING
BERING HIGH. SHOULD THIS PATTERN UNFOLD...SOUTHERN ALASKA WILL REMAIN
ON THE COLD AND LARGELY DRY SIDE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...WITH THE
GREATEST PRECIPITATION THREATS RELEGATED TO KODIAK ISLAND AND THE
NORTH GULF COAST. BLOWING DUST/SILT ORIGINATING FROM THE MATANUSKA
VALLEY MAY BECOME A PROBLEM ACROSS PARTS OF COOK INLET AND THE VALLEY
GIVEN THE MEAGRE SNOW PACK.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 132 150 155 160 165 170 172-176 180.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 181 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
AHSENMACHER FEB 14The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Feb 2, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 3 days | |
| Feb 2, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Feb 2, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Feb 2, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Feb 2, 4:00 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Feb 2, 6:52 PM AKST | Dense Fog Advisory | AFC | 10 hr | |
| Feb 3, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Feb 3, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.