Blizzard Watch 6, NWS Anchorage, AK

150 
WWAK42 PAFC 130058
WSWALU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
358 PM AKST WED FEB 12 2014

...ARCTIC AIR RETURNING TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA...

.VERY COLD AIR ACCOMPANIED BY BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS WILL MAKE FOR
DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA STARTING
TONIGHT...AND CONTINUING UNTIL FRIDAY. WIND CHILL VALUES THURSDAY
MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE SOME OF THE COLDEST OF THE
ENTIRE WINTER THUS FAR. AS COLD AIR SURGES SOUTHWARD WINDS WILL
STRENGTHEN ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS...POSSIBLY LEADING TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

AKZ152-131430-
/X.CON.PAFC.WC.Y.0001.140213T0600Z-140214T2100Z/
LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANIAK...SLEETMUTE
358 PM AKST WED FEB 12 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON AKST FRIDAY...

* WIND...NORTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...25 BELOW TO 40 BELOW ZERO.

* TIMING...THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS WILL BE DURING
  THE LATE EVENING TO EARLY MORNING HOURS BOTH THURSDAY AND
  FRIDAY. 

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN RISKS FROSTBITE WITHIN MINUTES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROSTBITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

AKZ155-131430-
/X.CON.PAFC.WC.Y.0001.140213T0600Z-140214T2100Z/
KUSKOKWIM DELTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BETHEL...HOOPER BAY...NUNIVAK ISLAND
358 PM AKST WED FEB 12 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON AKST FRIDAY...

* WIND...NORTHWEST WIND 20 TO 35 MPH. 

* WIND CHILL VALUES...35 BELOW TO 50 BELOW ZERO.

* TIMING...THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS WILL BE DURING
  THE LATE EVENING TO EARLY MORNING HOURS BOTH THURSDAY AND
  FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN RISKS FROSTBITE WITHIN MINUTES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROSTBITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

AKZ161-131430-
/X.CON.PAFC.WC.Y.0001.140213T0600Z-140214T2100Z/
BRISTOL BAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KING SALMON...DILLINGHAM...NAKNEK...
PILOT POINT
358 PM AKST WED FEB 12 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON AKST FRIDAY...

* WIND...NORTHWEST 10 TO 25 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...25 BELOW TO 45 BELOW ZERO.

* TIMING...THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS WILL BE DURING
  THE LATE EVENING TO EARLY MORNING HOURS BOTH THURSDAY AND
  FRIDAY. AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF KING SALMON INCLUDING
  DILLINGHAM WILL OBSERVE THE LOWEST VALUES.

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN RISKS FROSTBITE WITHIN MINUTES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROSTBITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

AKZ181-131430-
/X.CON.PAFC.BZ.A.0006.140213T2100Z-140214T1400Z/
ALASKA PENINSULA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLD BAY...SAND POINT
358 PM AKST WED FEB 12 2014

...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

* SNOW...1 TO 3 INCHES ACCUMULATION.

* VISIBILITY...POSSIBLY REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT
  TIMES.

* WIND...NORTH 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...STEADY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE 
  THURSDAY MORNING...WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY EARLY 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW 
  MAY PRODUCE WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. DRIVING MAY BECOME 
  VERY DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DIFFICULT.

&&

$$

AKZ185-131430-
/X.CON.PAFC.BZ.A.0006.140213T2100Z-140214T1400Z/
EASTERN ALEUTIANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...UNALASKA...NIKOLSKI
358 PM AKST WED FEB 12 2014

...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

* SNOW...1 TO 2 INCHES ACCUMULATION.

* VISIBILITY...POSSIBLY REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT
  TIMES.

* WIND...NORTH 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...STEADY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE 
  THURSDAY MORNING...WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY EARLY 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW 
  MAY PRODUCE WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. DRIVING MAY BECOME 
  VERY DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DIFFICULT.

&&

$$

855 
WWAK42 PAFC 131400
WSWALU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...ARCTIC AIR RETURNING TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA...

.VERY COLD AIR ACCOMPANIED BY BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS WILL MAKE FOR
DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA THROUGH FRIDAY. 
THESE WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE SOME OF THE COLDEST OF THE ENTIRE
WINTER THUS FAR. STRENGTHENING WINDS WILL SURGE SOUTHWARD ALONG
THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS. ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL
ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS AND LEAD TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

AKZ181-140300-
/X.UPG.PAFC.BZ.A.0006.140213T2100Z-140214T1400Z/
/X.NEW.PAFC.BZ.W.0007.140213T2100Z-140214T2100Z/
ALASKA PENINSULA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLD BAY...SAND POINT
500 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON AKST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON AKST FRIDAY.
THE BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* SNOW...STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 4 TO 7 INCHES...EXCEPT 1 TO
  3 INCHES PACIFIC SIDE.

* VISIBILITY...POSSIBLY REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT 
  TIMES. 

* WIND...NORTH 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. LOCAL GUSTS TO
  70 MPH NEAR KING COVE.

* TIMING...STEADY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE BLIZZARD
  CONDITIONS BEGINNING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WILL THEN
  BEGIN TO IMPROVE LATE FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW
  MAY PRODUCE WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. TRAVEL THROUGHOUT THE
  AREA WILL BECOME VERY DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITE-OUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL VERY DIFFICULT. ALL TRAVEL AND OUTDOOR
ACTIVITY IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

&&

$$

AKZ185-140300-
/X.UPG.PAFC.BZ.A.0006.140213T2100Z-140214T1400Z/
/X.NEW.PAFC.WW.Y.0009.140213T2300Z-140214T1800Z/
EASTERN ALEUTIANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...UNALASKA...NIKOLSKI
500 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM
THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM AKST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM AKST FRIDAY. THE BLIZZARD WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* SNOW...STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 3 TO 8 INCHES.

* VISIBILITY...POSSIBLY REDUCED TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT
  TIMES...MAINLY ALONG HIGHER ELEVATION.

* WIND...NORTH 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...STEADY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS
  MORNING...WITH PRODUCING NEAR WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS STARTING
  EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW
  WILL PRODUCE NEAR WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. TRAVEL
  THROUGHOUT THE AREA WILL BECOME VERY DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
  ALONG HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES
WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO STRONG WINDS BLOWING SNOW AROUND. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

&&

$$

AKZ152-140300-
/X.CON.PAFC.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140214T2100Z/
LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANIAK...SLEETMUTE
500 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST FRIDAY...

* WIND...NORTH WIND TO 15 MPH.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...30 BELOW TO 45 BELOW ZERO.

* TIMING...THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS WILL BE DURING
  THE LATE EVENING TO EARLY MORNING HOURS TODAY AND FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN RISKS FROSTBITE WITHIN MINUTES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROSTBITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

AKZ155-140300-
/X.CON.PAFC.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140214T2100Z/
KUSKOKWIM DELTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BETHEL...HOOPER BAY...NUNIVAK ISLAND
500 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST FRIDAY...

* WIND...NORTHWEST WIND 15 TO 30 MPH. GUSTS TO 40 MPH ALONG THE COAST.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...35 BELOW TO 50 BELOW ZERO.

* TIMING...THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS WILL BE DURING
  THE LATE EVENING TO EARLY MORNING HOURS TODAY AND FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN RISKS FROSTBITE WITHIN MINUTES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROSTBITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

AKZ161-140300-
/X.CON.PAFC.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140214T2100Z/
BRISTOL BAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KING SALMON...DILLINGHAM...NAKNEK...
PILOT POINT
500 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST FRIDAY...

* WIND...NORTHWEST 10 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS TO 40 MPH ALONG THE WESTERN
  CAPES AND ALASKA PENINSULA.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...30 BELOW TO 45 BELOW ZERO.

* TIMING...THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS WILL OCCUR DURING
  THE LATE EVENING TO EARLY MORNING HOURS TODAY AND FRIDAY. AREAS
  NORTH AND WEST OF KING SALMON INCLUDING DILLINGHAM WILL OBSERVE
  THE LOWEST VALUES.

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED SKIN RISKS FROSTBITE WITHIN MINUTES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROSTBITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

KOCHEVAR

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
506 AM AKST WED FEB 12 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING RADAR IMAGERY CLEARLY SHOWS TWO NEARLY
IDENTICAL SURFACE LOWS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF...ONE ABOUT 50 NM
EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...AND THE SECOND 50 NM TO THE WEST OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND. THESE TWIN FEATURES ARE STRENGTHENING AND BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED AS A DECENTLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS
DIVING TOWARD THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST...CURRENTLY OVER THE COOK
INLET REGION. THIS FEATURE WILL BECOME ABSORBED...HOWEVER...INTO THE
MUCH STRONGER AND DEEPER CUT-OFF LOW THAT IS ENTERING THE STATE ABOVE
BARROW CURRENTLY AND WILL DIVE SOUTH INTO THE NORTHWESTERN GULF BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

OUT WEST...PERSISTENT RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN BERING WILL SLOWLY
GIVE WAY...FIRST TO THE SOUTH AS AN EAST-WEST ORIENTED COLD FRONT
ALONG 60N LATITUDE DROPS SOUTH ACROSS THE BERING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY...AND THEN SHUNTED COMPLETELY OUT OF THE AREA TO THE SOUTH
AND EAST AS A STRONG WESTERLY JET STREAK PUSHES ANOTHER SURFACE FRONT
FROM THE NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN BERING AND
WESTERN ALEUTIANS THURSDAY NIGHT.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN RATHER ROBUST AGREEMENT...ESPECIALLY SYNOPTICALLY...FOR
THE NEXT WEEK. AS IS TYPICAL...ONCE THE ANCHOR LOW BECOMES
ESTABLISHED IN THE GULF BY THURSDAY INDIVIDUAL DISTURBANCES ROTATING
SHARPLY AROUND THE LOW ARE HANDLED SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT FROM MODEL TO
MODEL AND FROM RUN TO RUN. IN ADDITION...MODELS ARE STRUGGLING WITH
THE STRENGTH OF DISTURBANCES PIVOTING TOWARD THE ANCHOR LOW FROM THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC...WHICH WILL IMPACT THE INTENSITY AND AMOUNTS OF
PRECIPITATION AND WINDS IMPACTING PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND POINTS
SOUTH AND EAST INTO THE GULF THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE PATTERN.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL...

THE TWIN SURFACE LOWS WILL CONSOLIDATE BY THIS EVENING AND APPROACH
THE HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE AREA AS UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FROM THE ARCTIC
UPPER LEVEL LOW BEGINS TO PROVIDE STRONGER DYNAMIC LIFT TO THE AREA.
DRY SNOW WILL ENVELOP THE SOUND BY THIS AFTERNOON...BEGINNING NEAR
CORDOVA AROUND MIDDAY...THEN MOVE QUICKLY NORTH AND WEST. DESPITE LOW
LEVEL WEAK NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS...PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY SPILL
OVER INTO THE ANCHORAGE AREA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT GIVEN A
FAVORABLE SURFACE LOW SETUP IN THE SOUND...BUT THE COLDNESS OF THE
AIR MASS ALOFT WILL MAKE IT HARD TO ACCUMULATE MUCH AS THE FLAKES
WILL FALL AS NEEDLES OR PLATELETS (I.E., NOT FLUFFY DENDRITES)...SO
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH WE WILL SEE AN INCH OR LESS FOR ANCHORAGE AND
OTHER AREAS ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE CHUGACH/KENAI RANGE
ANYTIME FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THE MORNING ON THURSDAY.

THERE IS ALSO A CONCERN FOR BLOWING SNOW THROUGH THE THOMPSON PASS
AREA WITH ONSET OF SNOW THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY SINCE THE SNOW
WILL BE EASILY TRANSPORTABLE WITH SUCH DRY CHARACTER. WILL BE ISSUING
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW WITH THE MORNING PACKAGE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS INCREASING LIKELIHOOD. WIND CHILLS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TO REMAIN DANGEROUS THROUGH THOMPSON PASS THROUGH
MIDDAY...WITH SOME MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES IN THE AFTERNOON
ANTICIPATED WITH INCREASED CLOUDS AND ONSET OF PRECIPITATION.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT CONTINUED GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM INLAND AREAS
THROUGH TERRAIN GAPS INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS AND CONTINUED PERIODS OF SNOW ESPECIALLY FOR EASTERN PARTS OF
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND OCCASIONALLY EXTENDING NORTH AND WEST TO THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN AND WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...

THE MAIN STORY FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL BE THE VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH AN ARCTIC AIR MASS MOVING INTO THE
REGION AS THE STRONG UPPER LOW MOVES OVERHEAD LATE TONIGHT AND INTO
THE FAR WESTERN GULF ON THURSDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AS PERSISTENT NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH THE VERY COLD AIR IN PLACE TO PRODUCE
DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES DROPPING TO OR BELOW 40 DEGREES BELOW
ZERO. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO REBOUND SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE
WEEK...ALTHOUGH COLD AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
DOMINATE THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND INTO THE EXTENDED TERM AS OFFSHORE
FLOW REMAINS IN PLACE.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...

VERY COLD AIR MOVING OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL KEEP STRONG
NORTHERLY WINDS AND CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS OVER MUCH OF THE REGION
FROM THE PRIBILOFS TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND AKPEN THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK. FURTHER WEST...THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE
CHAIN WILL SEE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS
AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY WEAKENS AND A FRONT PUSHES INTO THE
WESTERN BERING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...

NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THINKING FOR THE EXTENDED TERM AS FORECAST
CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGHER THAN NORMAL WITH THE DEEP UPPER LOW
DROPPING SOUTHWARD FROM THE ARCTIC AND REMAINING ENTRENCHED OVER THE
WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
GENERALLY CONTINUE TO YIELD COLD TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS
FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE MAINLAND...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION REMAINING ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. PRECIPITATION
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL AK
DEPENDING ON THE EXACT POSITION OF THE LOW AND THE VARIOUS WAVES
ROTATING AROUND IT. MEANWHILE...A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN WILL BE IN
STORE FOR THE BERING AS THE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN BERING BREAKS DOWN
AND SEVERAL SYSTEMS MOVE THROUGH...PROVIDING OCCASIONAL CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...WIND CHILL ADVISORY...131 152 155 161
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...131
MARINE...GALES...121 127 130 131 150 155 170 172 174-177 179 180
         HVY FRZG SPRY...121 126-130 132 136-141 150 155 160 165 179
                         180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

CC/CB FEB 14