Severe Thunderstorm Warning 55, NWS Tucson, AZ

358 
WWUS55 KTWC 262118
SVSTWC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
218 PM MST FRI JUL 26 2013

AZC019-262145-
/O.CON.KTWC.SV.W.0055.000000T0000Z-130726T2145Z/
PIMA AZ-
218 PM MST FRI JUL 26 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM MST
FOR NORTHEASTERN PIMA COUNTY...

AT 212 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ORO VALLEY...MOVING
SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER INDOORS. EXPECT DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...
LARGE HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN WITH THIS STORM.

&&

LAT...LON 3251 11106 3251 11090 3238 11093 3231 11111
      3246 11118
TIME...MOT...LOC 2118Z 041DEG 9KT 3242 11105

$$

GL

952 
WWUS55 KTWC 262141
SVSTWC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
241 PM MST FRI JUL 26 2013

AZC019-262151-
/O.EXP.KTWC.SV.W.0055.000000T0000Z-130726T2145Z/
PIMA AZ-
241 PM MST FRI JUL 26 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN PIMA COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 245 PM MST...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR DOVE MOUNTAINS HAS WEAKENED BELOW 
SEVERE THRESHOLDS...THUS WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. 

LAT...LON 3251 11106 3251 11090 3238 11093 3231 11111
      3246 11118
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 041DEG 9KT 3238 11109

$$

GL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
131 PM MST FRI JUL 26 2013

.SYNOPSIS...AMPLE MOISTURE WILL MAINTAIN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. A DISTINCT DOWNWARD TREND IN THE
MONSOON WILL COMMENCE STARTING SATURDAY WITH FEWER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. BY SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...MOST OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA WILL BE DRY EXCEPT FOR EASTERN AREAS WHERE A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE. INCREASED MOISTURE IS
EXPECTED BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK BRINGING THE CHANCE OF STORMS
BACK TO MOST OF THE AREA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE STARTING TO FILL INTO THE VALLEY AREAS NICELY
AFTER BEING PRIMARILY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE LATE
MORNING HOURS. THE PRIMARY CONCERN WILL CONTINUE TO BE HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING AS THESE STORMS ARE VERY SLOW MOVERS
GIVEN LACK OF STEERING. CAN'T RULE OUT A WET MICROBURST OR TWO AS
WELL WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. BELIEVE THAT THE BEST THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS THEN DIMINISH OVER THE COURSE OF THE EVENING.

TODAY LOOKS TO BE THE LAST REAL ACTIVE DAY FOR AWHILE AS HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT RECENTERS ITSELF ACROSS SONORA ALLOWING FOR DRIER AIR
TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST. SATURDAY WILL STILL BE A TRANSITIONAL DAY
AS MOISTURE WILL REMAIN PRIMARILY ACROSS GRAHAM/GREENLEE/COCHISE
COUNTIES WHERE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCES WESTWARD INTO TUCSON. BY
SUNDAY...MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN LIMITED SUCH THAT ONLY
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM
TUCSON EASTWARD. IT NOW LOOKS LIKE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WILL BE THE
PEAK OF THE DOWNTREND OF THE MONSOON BEFORE MOISTURE STARTS TO
PICKUP FROM THE SOUTH AND EAST AS THE FLOW CHANGES BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK TO ALLOW MORE MOISTURE IN FROM THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST.
MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL VALUES
THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...ANOTHER ACTIVE THUNDERSTORM DAY WITH ABUNDANT CB IN THE
VICINITY THROUGH 26/04Z. FAVORED TIME FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO IMPACT
TERMINALS IS THROUGH 25/24Z...WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWER ACTIVITY AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE 26/04Z. CIGS IN THE MVFR
RANGE EXPECTED WITH THUNDERSTORMS...BUT SHOULD OTHERWISE REMAIN VFR.
WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 KTS OUTSIDE OF
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH STRONG A ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...AN ACTIVE THUNDERSTORM DAY IS ON TAP THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH MOISTURE VALUES WILL KEEP FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS VERY LOW...BUT MAY LEAD TO HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING.
TYPICAL LIGHT WINDS FOLLOWING NORMAL DIURNAL TRENDS ARE
EXPECTED...WITH STRONG AND ERRATIC WINDS AROUND THUNDERSTORMS. MOIST
AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY BUT A WARM AND DRYING
TREND SHOULD BEGIN BY SUNDAY ALONG WITH BREEZIER WEST WINDS.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

GL

VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
952 AM MST FRI JUL 26 2013

AZZ509-510-261730-
UPPER GILA RIVER AND ARAVAIPA VALLEYS INCLUDING CLIFTON/SAFFORD
AZ-WHITE MOUNTAINS OF GRAHAM AND GREENLEE COUNTIES INCLUDING HANNAGAN
MEADOW AZ-
952 AM MST FRI JUL 26 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN GRAHAM COUNTY UNTIL 1030
AM MST...

AT 944 AM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 18 MILES SOUTH OF FORT APACHE...MOVING NORTHWEST
AT 5 MPH. A SECOND STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ARSENIC TUBS
IN EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL GRAHAM COUNTY. THIS STORM WAS ALSO MOVING
NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

IN ADDITION TO THE HAIL AND WINDS...BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
WITH THESE STORMS.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EXTREME
NORTHERN GRAHAM COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3357 10994 3358 10990 3355 10985 3349 10980
      3348 10977 3333 10966 3320 10993 3347 11015
      3347 11001 3358 11001 3359 10999
TIME...MOT...LOC 1651Z 136DEG 4KT 3354 10997

JJB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
108 PM MST FRI JUL 26 2013

AZZ503-504-262100-
TUCSON METRO AREA INCLUDING TUCSON/GREEN VALLEY/MARANA/VAIL AZ-UPPER
SANTA CRUZ RIVER AND ALTAR VALLEYS INCLUDING NOGALES AZ-
108 PM MST FRI JUL 26 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN PIMA COUNTY UNTIL 200 PM
MST...

AT 102 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR GREEN VALLEY.  THIS STORM WAS NEARLY
STATIONARY.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...SAHUARITA...SAN XAVIER MISSION
AND TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.

LAT...LON 3212 11083 3178 11094 3179 11119 3219 11106
TIME...MOT...LOC 2008Z 252DEG 1KT 3190 11102

GL