River Flood Warning 2, NWS Topeka, KS

413 
WGUS83 KTOP 290919
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
418 AM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC117-291718-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130531T1245Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.130528T1556Z.130529T1800Z.130531T0045Z.NO/
418 AM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.4 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EVENING.

$$

KSC117-291718-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130531T0816Z/
/FKFK1.1.ER.130529T0851Z.130530T0000Z.130530T2016Z.NO/
418 AM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT.
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT  3:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.9 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

385 
WGUS83 KTOP 291536
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1036 AM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC117-292336-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130602T0000Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.130528T1556Z.130529T1800Z.130601T1200Z.NO/
1036 AM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.5 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

KSC117-292335-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130531T1920Z/
/FKFK1.1.ER.130529T0838Z.130529T1800Z.130531T0720Z.NO/
1036 AM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.3 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY FRIDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...THE WEST BANK OF THE RIVER FLOODS.

$$

919 
WGUS83 KTOP 291852
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
152 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS..
  BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC117-300252-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130602T0000Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.130528T1556Z.130531T0000Z.130601T1200Z.NO/
152 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.5 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  MORNING.

$$

KSC117-300252-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130601T0457Z/
/FKFK1.1.ER.130529T0838Z.130530T0000Z.130531T1657Z.NO/
152 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.4 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 27.5 FEET...AREA IN THE VICINITY OF 19TH TERRACE AND 
  VISTA ROADS FLOODS.

$$

710 
WGUS83 KTOP 300046
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
746 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC117-300846-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130601T0600Z/
/FKFK1.1.ER.130529T0838Z.130529T1945Z.130531T1800Z.NO/
746 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 27.5 FEET...AREA IN THE VICINITY OF 19TH TERRACE AND 
  VISTA ROADS FLOODS.

$$

863 
WGUS83 KTOP 301222
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
722 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS..
  BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC117-302022-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130603T0100Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.130528T1556Z.130531T1200Z.130602T1300Z.NO/
722 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  6:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 33.6 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  MORNING.

$$

KSC117-302022-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130601T0600Z/
/FKFK1.1.ER.130529T0838Z.130529T1945Z.130531T1800Z.NO/
722 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.1 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...THE WEST BANK OF THE RIVER FLOODS.

$$

821 
WGUS83 KTOP 301437
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
937 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC117-302237-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130603T0240Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.130528T1556Z.130531T1200Z.130602T1440Z.NO/
937 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.9 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS FROM MARYSVILLE TO TUTTLE     CREEK LAKE. 

$$

KSC117-302237-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130601T1200Z/
/FKFK1.1.ER.130529T0838Z.130529T1945Z.130601T0000Z.NO/
937 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:31 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.7 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE RIVER FROM          VERMILLION TO THE MOUTH OF THE BLACK VERMILLION RIVER. 

$$

593 
WGUS83 KTOP 301901
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
201 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAM IN KANSAS..
  BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC117-310301-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130601T1200Z/
/FKFK1.1.ER.130529T0838Z.130531T0000Z.130601T0000Z.NO/
201 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  1:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.9 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...THE WEST BANK OF THE RIVER FLOODS.

$$

011 
WGUS83 KTOP 310115
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
815 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC117-310915-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130602T1800Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.130528T1556Z.130531T0600Z.130602T0600Z.NO/
815 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS.
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.3 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

KSC117-310915-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130601T0332Z/
/FKFK1.1.ER.130529T0838Z.130530T2245Z.130531T1532Z.NO/
815 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:46 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...THE WEST BANK OF THE RIVER FLOODS.

$$

384 
WGUS83 KTOP 311415
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
915 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN 
KANSAS...
 
  BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC117-312215-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130602T1715Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.130528T1556Z.130531T1300Z.130602T0515Z.NO/
915 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS.
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...THE RIVER REACHES THE TOP OF THE LEVEE EAST OF BLUE
RAPIDS. 

$$

KSC117-311445-
/O.CAN.KTOP.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130601T0332Z/
/FKFK1.1.ER.130529T0838Z.130530T2245Z.130531T1127Z.NO/
915 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT.
* AT 8:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6:27 AM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 10.1 FEET BY SATURDAY
  MORNING.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
344 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 338 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

SHORT TERM FORECAST (REST OF TUESDAY THROUGH TONIGHT)...

ISOLATED CONVECTION WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS NORTHEAST KANSAS LATER
TODAY AS A STALLED OUT BOUNDARY RESIDES ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN PART
OF THE STATE. FURTHER WEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL
CIRCULATION IS OFF TO THE WEST...AND WILL MOVE EASTWARD WITH TIME
THROUGH NORTHERN KANSAS AND WILL AID IN THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.
EXPECT THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TO BE THE
AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY...HOWEVER A FEW CELLS MAY BE ABLE TO GO UP
SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY. THE BEST LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL BE
EXPERIENCED ALONG THE BOUNDARY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70
WHERE SURFACE WINDS ARE BACKED TO THE ESE. FURTHER SOUTH THE WINDS
ARE STILL OUT OF THE SOUTH...BUT STILL BACKED ENOUGH TO BE SOMEWHAT
PROBLEMATIC FOR ENLARGED HODOGRAPHS. EXPECT THE LOW LEVEL JET TO
BECOME BACKED TO AROUND 170-190 DEGREES AND PICK UP IN INTENSITY TO
AROUND 50 KTS AROUND SUNSET...WHICH WILL FURTHER ENLARGE THE
HODOGRAPHS. GIVEN THAT ML CAPE IS CURRENTLY IN THE 3500 TO 4500 J/KG
RANGE AND EFFECTIVE DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE APPROACHING 40 TO 50
KTS EXPECT CELLS THAT DEVELOP TO QUICKLY ORGANIZE AND POTENTIALLY
BECOME SUPERCELLULAR...WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS AS THE
PRIMARY THREAT. WITH 0-1 SRH VALUES APPROACHING 150 J/KG THIS
EVENING...INCREASING TO 200-300 J/KG AFTER SUNSET THERE WILL BE A
THREAT FOR TORNADOES TO OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST...MOST ORGANIZED
CELLS. GIVEN THAT THE PREVIOUS DAYS HAVE BROUGHT PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAIN TO THE AREA...THE THREAT FOR MORE HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THOSE
SOAKED AREAS WILL BRING A FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING THREAT. WITH
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE GENERALLY IN THE 1-2 INCH RANGE FOR 1 HR AND 3
HR TIME FRAMES ITS PLAUSIBLE THAT TRAINING STORMS COULD BRING THOSE
RAIN RATES...HENCE THE FLASH FLOODING THREAT. EXPECT STORMS TO BE
ONGOING THROUGH MOST OF THE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...BEFORE GRADUALLY DISSIPATING BEFORE WEDNESDAY MORNING.

JL

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 338 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...COMPLEX PATTERN WITH MESSY
CONVECTION MAKES DETAILS AND TIMING OF WEATHER CHALLENGING.  FOR
TUESDAY MORNING...THERE IS GENERAL MODEL AGREEMENT THAT THE REMNANTS
OF OVERNIGHT MCS SHOULD AFFECT AREAS MAINLY NORTH OF I70.  AFTERNOON
CONVECTION IS RATHER A CHALLENGE.  DRYLINE REMAINS WELL WEST OF
FORECAST AREA WHILE EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT WILL HAVE MOVED NORTH.
THUS...LOW-LEVEL FORCING FOR CONVECTION WOULD BE TIED TO OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES FROM PRIOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...ADDED TO ANY MID-LEVEL
IMPULSE THAT MAY MOVE THROUGH.  SHEAR FIELDS RATHER INTERESTING ON
WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING IN THAT NAM HAS STRONG LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR BUT RELATIVELY WEAK DEEPER LAYER SHEAR...WHICH WOULD LEAD TO
CLUSTERS OF STORMS...AN MCS OR MESSY HP SUPERCELLS.  THE GFS ON THE
OTHER HAND HAS SOMEWHAT BETTER DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND THUS WOULD LEAD
TO BETTER SUPERCELL ORGANIZATION AND PERSISTENCE...AND THUS LIKELY
BETTER TORNADO THREAT. HOWEVER...EVEN THE GFS HAS FAR FROM CLASSIC
HODOGRAPHS WITH S SHAPED VEER/BACK/VEER WIND PROFILES AND SOME
WEAKER STORM-RELATIVE WINDS AT VARIOUS LEVELS.  IT WILL BE
INTERESTING TO SEE WHAT EVOLVES FROM THESE NON-CLASSIC SHEAR
PROFILES.

TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL KS...HAS LED TO
THE ISSUANCE OF A WIND ADVISORY FROM LATE TUESDAY MORNING INTO EARLY
EVENING FOR THAT AREA.  ANOTHER THREAT OF FLOODING IS EXPECTED FOR
AREAS MAINLY NORTH OF I70 FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AS WELL AND A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN.

AS A SHORTWAVE LIFTS INTO NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY THE CHANCES FOR
STORMS LINGERS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. WITH THE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DURING THE MORNING AM UNCERTAIN WHERE AND IF
THERE WILL BE STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ACROSS OUR AREA LATER IN THE
DAY. THERE COULD BE AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THE PREVIOUS NIGHT AS
WELL AS A FRONT/TROUGH OVER CENTRAL KANSAS THAT MAY BE THE FOCUS
FOR CONVECTION IN THE AFTERNOON. THE INSTABILITY APPEARS TO LINGER
ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS WHERE THE DEEP LAYER SHEAR MAY
COINCIDE TO SUPPORT STRONG TO SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE DETAILS WILL BE MORE APPARENT IN THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. THE CHANCES FOR STORMS CONTINUES OVERNIGHT THURSDAY
AS THE MODELS HAVE BEEN HINTING AT ANOTHER WAY MOVING ALONG THE
FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS. FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT THE MAIN
UPPER LOW PROGRESSES EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE
SURFACE FRONT WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA
DEVELOPING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE SEVERE
POTENTIAL IS A BIT UNCERTAIN AT THIS POINT GIVEN THE FRONT WILL BE
PROGRESSIVE FRONT. SATURDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD LOOK TO
BE MOSTLY DRY AND TEMPERATURES COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 129 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE LATER TODAY AS A BOUNDARY BECOMES
STATIONARY OVER THE FORECAST AREA. EXPECT T-STORM DEVELOPMENT TO
OCCUR MAINLY NORTH OF I-70 TOWARD THE NEBRASKA/KANSAS BORDER...BUT
STORMS COULD SLUMP SOUTH A BIT...AFFECTING KMHK AND PERHAPS TO A
LESSER EXTENT THE TOPEKA TERMINALS. EXPECT CONVECTION TO BE
ONGOING THROUGH MOST OF THE NIGHT BEFORE GRADUALLY WINDING DOWN BY
MORNING.

JL

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR KSZ010>012-023-
024.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR KSZ008-020-
021-034-035.

&&

SHORT TERM...LEIGHTON
LONG TERM...PHILLIPS/SANDERS
AVIATION...LEIGHTON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
508 AM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-291015-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
508 AM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...ALONG AN
OLD BOUNDARY LEFT BEHIND BY YESTERDAYS CONVECTION. WHILE THE EXACT
LOCATION OF THIS BOUNDARY MAY CHANGE...AT THIS TIME THE I70
CORRIDOR INTO NE KANSAS SEEMS TO BE THE MORE LIKELY LOCATION FOR
STORMS TO INITIATE. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THE STRONGER STORMS...WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE BOUNDARY. AFTER LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
YESTERDAY...LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY WOULD LIKELY IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS DURING THE EVENING HOURS...AND SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF EASTERN KANSAS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE
WITH ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE.

THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA MAY SEE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS
FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY...WITH SEVERE
WEATHER AS WELL AS LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
PERIOD. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
817 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HAIL             6 NNE CORNING           39.74N 95.99W
05/28/2013  E4.00 INCH       NEMAHA             KS   PUBLIC

            TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR

&&

KSANDERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
823 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0822 PM     HEAVY RAIN       BAILEYVILLE             39.84N 96.18W
05/28/2013  E3.10 INCH       NEMAHA             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAINFALL AS OF 815 PM THAT FELL TODAY...1.5 INCHES
            MEASURED YESTERDAY.

&&

KSANDERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
830 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0738 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST CONCORDIA AIRPORT       39.55N 97.65W
05/28/2013  M58 MPH          CLOUD              KS   ASOS

&&

KSANDERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
835 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     HAIL             4 WSW WOODLAWN          39.77N 95.94W
05/28/2013  E0.88 INCH       NEMAHA             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KSANDERS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
839 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

KSZ011-023-290215-
NEMAHA-POTTAWATOMIE-
839 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN POTTAWATOMIE AND
SOUTHWESTERN NEMAHA COUNTIES...

THROUGH 915 PM CDT...A THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE EAST AT 20 MPH ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN POTTAWATOMIE AND SOUTHWESTERN NEMAHA
COUNTIES. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THIS STORM
IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS OF 40 TO 50
MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE HAVENSVILLE AND
CENTRALIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3958 9605 3942 9608 3949 9637 3957 9631
      3957 9624 3965 9624 3985 9607
TIME...MOT...LOC 0138Z 254DEG 19KT 3952 9620

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
845 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

KSZ010-290215-
MARSHALL-
845 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN MARSHALL COUNTY...

THROUGH 915 PM CDT...A THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN MARSHALL COUNTY. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL
SIZE HAIL. SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE BEATTIE AND
VERMILLION.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT.

&&

LAT...LON 3993 9634 3972 9624 3971 9624 3959 9651
      3977 9665
TIME...MOT...LOC 0145Z 238DEG 24KT 3974 9649

$$ GARGAN