Alert archive / North Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2013

Tornado Watch 546

October 11, 201316 counties in Minnesota; 17 counties in North Dakota; 15 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 11, 2013, 12:16 PM CDT for 16 counties in Minnesota; 17 counties in North Dakota; 15 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 11, 2013, 12:16 PM CDT (17:16 UTC)
Expired
Oct 11, 2013, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 48 counties

Becker County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Clay County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Grant County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pope County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Cass County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Steele County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Traill County, ND, Brown County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Hand County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Spink County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 11, 5:02 PM CDTTornado WarningABRTraverse13 min
Oct 11, 5:33 PM CDTTornado WarningABRTraverse27 min
Oct 11, 5:35 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFGriggs, Nelson, Steele25 min
Oct 11, 6:04 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFClay, Norman, Polk41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2013-10-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 106 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2013-10-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 95 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
106 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-372 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1205 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 11, 2:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Clay, Grant, Norman, Polk, Traverse and 1 more86 min
Oct 11, 5:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChippewa, Clay, Douglas, Grant, Norman, Otter Tail and 4 more87 min
Oct 11, 11:24 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDickey, Emmons, Kidder, LaMoure, Logan, McIntosh and 3 more96 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2013Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2013Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.