Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2013

Tornado Watch 541

October 4, 201335 counties in Iowa

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 4, 2013, 6:42 PM CDT for 35 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 4, 2013, 6:42 PM CDT (23:42 UTC)
Expired
Oct 5, 2013, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 35 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Boone County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Greene County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Madison County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Polk County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Story County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Warren County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 4, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXButler, Cerro Gordo, Franklin48 min
Oct 4, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCass59 min
Oct 4, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAudubon, Carroll38 min
Oct 4, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXEmmet, Palo Alto, Pocahontas62 min
Oct 4, 8:52 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXEmmet, Palo Alto38 min
Oct 4, 9:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXEmmet, Kossuth, Palo Alto41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2013-10-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 97 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2013-10-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 76 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
97 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-211 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
898 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
76 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
128 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

112 
WWUS20 KWNS 042345
SEL1  
SPC WW 042345
IAZ000-050500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 541
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
645 PM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  WESTERN AND CENTRAL IOWA

* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT FROM 645 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
DES MOINES IOWA TO 40 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF MASON CITY IOWA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 539...WW 540...

DISCUSSION...DISCRETE SUPERCELLS OVER FAR SWRN AND NWRN PARTS OF IA
ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NEWD THIS EVENING...WITH POTENTIAL FOR NEW
STORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG/AHEAD OF AN EWD ADVANCING COLD FRONT
APPROACHING THE MO RIVER.  FAVORABLE INSTABILITY WITH CAPE RANGING
FROM 2500 J/KG IN SRN IA TO NEAR 1000 J/KG IN NRN IA COUPLED WITH
WINDS THAT VEER STRONGLY WITH HEIGHT /REF DMX VAD WIND PROFILE/ WILL
PROMOTE CONTINUATION OF A SUPERCELL/TORNADO THREAT SPREADING TOWARD
CENTRAL IA TONIGHT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.


...WEISS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 3, 7:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Cass, Clarke, Dallas and 23 more2 hr
Oct 3, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Benton, Black Hawk and 49 more9 hr
Oct 3, 9:13 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page, Pottawattamie5 hr
Oct 3, 11:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Benton, Boone and 41 more93 min
Oct 4, 2:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Benton, Black Hawk and 70 more84 min
Oct 4, 4:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Cedar, Clinton, Jackson, Jones, Linn85 min
Oct 4, 9:03 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Cedar, Clinton, Davis, Decatur, Des Moines and 15 more87 min
Oct 4, 1:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Calhoun and 36 more2 hr
Oct 4, 2:38 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Fremont, Harrison and 12 more7 hr
Oct 4, 5:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Buena Vista, Carroll, Cass and 20 more85 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.