Alert archive / Colorado / Tornado Watches in 2013

Tornado Watch 464

August 3, 201317 counties in Colorado

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 3, 2013, 2:35 PM MDT for 17 counties in Colorado. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 3, 2013, 2:35 PM MDT (20:35 UTC)
Expired
Aug 3, 2013, 8:43 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt

Counties Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Boulder County, CO, Broomfield County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Denver County, CO, Douglas County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Jefferson County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Larimer County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO

The radar

The Denver radar (KFTG), 39 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 3, 2:41 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUMorgan34 min
Aug 3, 3:12 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUWashington33 min
Aug 3, 3:13 PM MDTTornado WarningBOULarimer, Weld47 min
Aug 3, 3:16 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUMorgan29 min
Aug 3, 3:45 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUWeld45 min
Aug 3, 3:45 PM MDTTornado WarningBOULincoln, Washington30 min
Aug 3, 3:51 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBOUWashington3 hr
Aug 3, 3:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULarimer, Weld63 min
Aug 3, 4:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUArapahoe, Elbert46 min
Aug 3, 4:16 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedBOULincoln29 min
Aug 3, 4:27 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert33 min
Aug 3, 4:31 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedBOUWeld44 min
Aug 3, 4:44 PM MDTTornado WarningBOULincoln31 min
Aug 3, 4:45 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBOUWeld2 hr
Aug 3, 4:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUBoulder41 min
Aug 3, 4:54 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert36 min
Aug 3, 4:55 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUWeld50 min
Aug 3, 5:13 PM MDTTornado WarningBOULincoln32 min
Aug 3, 5:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Boulder, Broomfield, Weld41 min
Aug 3, 5:39 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert, Lincoln51 min
Aug 3, 5:45 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUMorgan, Weld45 min
Aug 3, 6:03 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBOUElbert, Lincoln3 hr
Aug 3, 6:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Denver36 min
Aug 3, 6:35 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert25 min
Aug 3, 6:59 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert31 min
Aug 3, 7:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUElbert46 min
Aug 3, 7:54 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBOUAdams, Arapahoe3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2013-08-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 46 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2013-08-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 32 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
46 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-295 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2189 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

676 
WWUS20 KWNS 032036
SEL4  
SPC WW 032036
COZ000-WYZ000-040400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 464
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
235 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  THE NORTHEAST QUARTER OF COLORADO
  PARTS OF SOUTHEAST WYOMING

* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM MDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
FORT COLLINS COLORADO TO 35 MILES SOUTH OF LIMON COLORADO.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 463...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTHEAST
COLORADO AND INTO ADJACENT SOUTHEAST WYOMING THIS AFTERNOON...WITHIN
A MOIST LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS WHICH IS SUPPORTING MODERATE INSTABILITY. 
STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON --
LIKELY EVENTUALLY GROWING UPSCALE INTO AN MCS WITH TIME.  UNTIL
THEN...MORE ISOLATED MULTICELL/SUPERCELL STORMS WILL PERSIST...WITH
THREATS FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS PREVAILING.  AN ISOLATED
TORNADO THREAT ALSO EXISTS -- PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE
MORGAN/WASHINGTON COUNTY VICINITY OF NORTHEAST COLORADO NEAR THE
WELL-DEFINED SURFACE BOUNDARY CURRENTLY LYING ACROSS THIS AREA.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27015.


...GOSS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 3, 1:06 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Crowley, Huerfano, Kiowa, Las Animas and 3 more84 min
Aug 3, 1:50 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Broomfield, Denver, Douglas, Elbert and 8 more85 min
Aug 3, 2:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaca, Bent, Crowley, El Paso, Kiowa, Las Animas and 4 more7 hr
Aug 3, 5:21 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Broomfield, Denver, Elbert, Lincoln and 3 more54 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.