Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2013

Tornado Watch 183

May 19, 201356 counties in Iowa

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 19, 2013, 2:59 PM CDT for 56 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 19, 2013, 2:59 PM CDT (19:59 UTC)
Expired
May 19, 2013, 10:40 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 56 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Benton County, IA, Boone County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Greene County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Scott County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 28 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

42 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 3:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills31 min
May 19, 3:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills, Pottawattamie44 min
May 19, 3:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCrawford33 min
May 19, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNLee51 min
May 19, 4:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Monona, Pottawattamie, Shelby28 min
May 19, 4:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page50 min
May 19, 4:34 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXCrawford6 hr
May 19, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDes Moines47 min
May 19, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Adams, Cass46 min
May 19, 5:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNLee59 min
May 19, 5:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Montgomery, Page48 min
May 19, 5:16 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNLee29 min
May 19, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNMuscatine, Scott48 min
May 19, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Adams, Cass, Guthrie47 min
May 19, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDes Moines, Lee60 min
May 19, 6:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNClinton, Scott51 min
May 19, 6:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXAdair, Adams, Cass6 hr
May 19, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Dallas, Greene, Guthrie, Madison46 min
May 19, 6:27 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXDallas, Guthrie, Madison33 min
May 19, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNClinton, Scott42 min
May 19, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Madison, Warren40 min
May 19, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDallas, Polk, Story48 min
May 19, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNClinton, Jackson29 min
May 19, 6:49 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDMXPolk, Story26 min
May 19, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBoone, Dallas, Story52 min
May 19, 7:14 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDMXJasper, Marshall, Polk, Story46 min
May 19, 7:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Polk, Warren29 min
May 19, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Marshall, Story52 min
May 19, 7:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Marion, Polk, Warren35 min
May 19, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry, Jefferson, Van Buren, Washington38 min
May 19, 8:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Bremer, Butler, Grundy, Tama40 min
May 19, 8:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Tama44 min
May 19, 8:37 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXAppanoose, Wayne23 min
May 19, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry, Jefferson, Johnson, Washington38 min
May 19, 9:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Monona30 min
May 19, 9:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNIowa, Johnson, Washington50 min
May 19, 9:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Tama49 min
May 19, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDavis33 min
May 19, 9:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska, Poweshiek, Wapello51 min
May 19, 9:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNIowa, Jefferson, Keokuk, Van Buren, Washington45 min
May 19, 10:01 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXJasper, Poweshiek6 hr
May 19, 10:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton, Iowa, Johnson, Keokuk, Linn, Washington48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 207 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2013-05-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2013-05-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 18 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1125 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
18 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
80 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

924 
WWUS20 KWNS 192003
SEL3  
SPC WW 192003
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-200300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 183
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
300 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHERN IOWA
  NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS
  NORTHEAST MISSOURI

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 300 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
SHENANDOAH IOWA TO 40 MILES NORTH OF BURLINGTON IOWA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 179...WW 180...WW
181...WW 182...

DISCUSSION...STORM DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE
MISSOURI BORDER...ALONG A WIND SHIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
CONVECTIVELY GENERATED CYCLONIC VORTICITY CENTER MIGRATING NORTHWARD
THROUGH THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  ADDITIONAL STORMS CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY...WHILE SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSOURI VALLEY...IN THE EXIT REGION OF THE NEXT MID-LEVEL
JET STRONG NOSING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS.  STRONGEST STORMS MAY
INCLUDE A FEW SUPERCELLS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA INTO EARLY
EVENING...WITH A RISK FOR LARGE HAIL...LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...KERR

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 8:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Cass, Cherokee, Crawford, Fremont, Harrison and 13 more117 min
May 18, 9:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFremont, Harrison, Lyon, Mills, Monona, Montgomery and 6 more5 hr
May 19, 1:48 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Buena Vista, Carroll, Cass and 17 more87 min
May 19, 11:30 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Benton, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buchanan and 52 more90 min
May 19, 1:10 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buchanan and 34 more8 hr
May 19, 1:47 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCFremont, Page10 hr
May 19, 5:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Buena Vista, Butler and 28 more56 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.