Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2013

Tornado Watch 174

May 18, 201313 counties in Kansas; 35 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 18, 2013, 7:29 PM CDT for 13 counties in Kansas; 35 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 18, 2013, 7:29 PM CDT (00:29 UTC)
Expired
May 19, 2013, 12:29 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 48 counties

Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Morris County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Adams County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boone County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Brown County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Butler County, NE, Clay County, NE, Custer County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Gage County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Holt County, NE, Howard County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Loup County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Rock County, NE, Saline County, NE, Seward County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Valley County, NE, Webster County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Franklin, Kearney, Webster30 min
May 18, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Clay, Nuckolls, Webster31 min
May 18, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBlaine, Brown, Cherry, Thomas51 min
May 18, 8:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Clay, Hall, Hamilton, Nuckolls26 min
May 18, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPOttawa30 min
May 18, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud, Ottawa35 min
May 18, 10:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Cloud, Dickinson48 min
May 18, 10:25 PM CDTTornado WarningTOPClay, Cloud, Republic, Washington20 min
May 18, 10:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPGeary, Marshall, Pottawatomie, Riley, Washington42 min
May 18, 10:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Republic, Washington39 min
May 18, 10:42 PM CDTTornado WarningTOPWashington33 min
May 18, 10:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPGeary, Marshall, Morris, Nemaha, Pottawatomie, Riley and 2 more48 min
May 18, 10:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDThayer32 min
May 18, 11:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXGage, Jefferson42 min
May 18, 11:26 PM CDTTornado WarningTOPJackson, Pottawatomie19 min
May 18, 11:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPBrown, Jackson, Jefferson, Nemaha, Pottawatomie, Shawnee and 1 more47 min
May 18, 11:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXGage, Jefferson, Lancaster, Saline52 min
May 18, 11:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXGage, Johnson, Nemaha, Pawnee, Richardson25 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 164 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2013-05-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2765 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2013-05-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 9 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2765 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1159 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
101 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
3.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

460 
WWUS20 KWNS 190035
SEL4  
SPC WW 190035
KSZ000-NEZ000-190800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 174
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
730 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS
  CENTRAL THROUGH SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 730 PM
  UNTIL 300 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  NUMEROUS DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LIKELY WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
    TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
AINSWORTH NEBRASKA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MANHATTAN
KANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 170...WW 171...WW
172...WW 173...

DISCUSSION...ARC OF STRONG/SVR TSTMS NOW IN S CNTRL NEB THROUGH
CNTRL KS EXPECTED TO MOVE/DEVELOP BOTH NNE THROUGH CNTRL NEB...AND
ENE ACROSS N CNTRL/NE KS THROUGH LATE EVE. AREA VWP AND SFC DATA
TRENDS SUGGEST THAT SOME DEGREE OF UPSCALE DEVELOPMENT INTO BROKEN
LINE SEGMENTS MAY OCCUR...WITH EMBEDDED BOWS/SUPERCELLS/LEWPS POSING
A THREAT FOR DMGG WIND...SVR HAIL...AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES. THE
LATTER POTENTIAL WILL BE FOSTERED BY CONTINUED INFLUX OF RICH
LOW-LVL MOISTURE AS SELY SFC WINDS PERSIST BENEATH A
NOCTURNALLY-STRENGTHENED SSWLY LLJ.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 7:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Comanche, Dickinson, Edwards, Ellsworth and 15 more65 min
May 18, 10:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Atchison, Brown, Coffey, Doniphan, Douglas and 14 more30 min
May 18, 10:39 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Atchison, Brown, Coffey, Doniphan, Douglas and 11 more3 hr
May 18, 11:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Geary, Marshall, Morris, Pottawatomie, Riley and 1 more35 min
May 19, 5:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Labette, Montgomery and 2 more2 hr
May 19, 12:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Brown, Butler, Chase and 41 more114 min
May 19, 1:47 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Barber, Brown, Butler and 53 more10 hr
May 19, 4:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 22 more63 min
May 19, 5:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Crawford66 min
May 19, 6:25 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford9 hr
May 19, 6:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChautauqua, Cowley, Elk63 min
May 18, 8:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurt, Cass, Cedar, Colfax, Cuming, Dakota and 13 more117 min
May 18, 9:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAntelope, Burt, Cass, Cedar, Colfax, Cuming and 19 more5 hr
May 19, 4:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Boone, Buffalo, Clay, Franklin, Garfield and 14 more56 min
May 19, 4:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Antelope, Boone, Boyd, Buffalo, Burt and 33 more5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2013Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.