Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2013
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 521
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 11, 2013, 2:33 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 11, 2013, 2:33 PM EDT (18:33 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 12, 2013, 12:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 56 counties
Androscoggin County, ME, Aroostook County, ME, Cumberland County, ME, Franklin County, ME, Kennebec County, ME, Knox County, ME, Lincoln County, ME, Oxford County, ME, Penobscot County, ME, Piscataquis County, ME, Sagadahoc County, ME, Somerset County, ME, Waldo County, ME, York County, ME, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Cheshire County, NH, Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Rockingham County, NH, Strafford County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Albany County, NY, Clinton County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Addison County, VT, Bennington County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windham County, VT, Windsor County, VT
The radar
The Burlington radar (KCXX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
53 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook, Piscataquis, Somerset | 41 min |
| Sep 11, 3:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook, Penobscot, Piscataquis, Somerset | 50 min |
| Sep 11, 3:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Essex | 54 min |
| Sep 11, 4:04 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CAR | Aroostook, Penobscot, Piscataquis | 26 min |
| Sep 11, 4:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook, Penobscot, Piscataquis | 48 min |
| Sep 11, 4:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Franklin, Somerset | 45 min |
| Sep 11, 4:27 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CAR | Aroostook | 33 min |
| Sep 11, 4:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Oxford | 34 min |
| Sep 11, 4:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Franklin, St. Lawrence | 61 min |
| Sep 11, 4:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook, Penobscot | 52 min |
| Sep 11, 5:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Addison, Orange, Rutland, Washington, Windsor | 54 min |
| Sep 11, 5:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Oxford | 50 min |
| Sep 11, 5:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Clinton | 65 min |
| Sep 11, 5:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Montgomery, Schenectady, Schoharie | 31 min |
| Sep 11, 5:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Coos, Grafton | 66 min |
| Sep 11, 5:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Oxford | 58 min |
| Sep 11, 5:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook | 23 min |
| Sep 11, 5:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Fulton, Hamilton, Montgomery, Saratoga | 66 min |
| Sep 11, 6:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Orange | 29 min |
| Sep 11, 6:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Grafton | 55 min |
| Sep 11, 6:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Belknap, Grafton | 63 min |
| Sep 11, 6:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Rensselaer, Saratoga, Washington | 57 min |
| Sep 11, 6:44 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BTV | Orange, Washington | 4 hr |
| Sep 11, 6:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Penobscot, Washington | 57 min |
| Sep 11, 6:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Caledonia, Essex, Orleans | 57 min |
| Sep 11, 6:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Oxford | 41 min |
| Sep 11, 6:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Saratoga, Warren, Washington | 56 min |
| Sep 11, 6:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Greene, Ulster | 65 min |
| Sep 11, 7:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Franklin, Oxford | 57 min |
| Sep 11, 7:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Grafton | 57 min |
| Sep 11, 7:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Addison, Rutland, Windsor | 57 min |
| Sep 11, 7:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Androscoggin, Cumberland, Kennebec, Oxford | 48 min |
| Sep 11, 7:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Washington | 47 min |
| Sep 11, 7:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Rutland, Windsor | 58 min |
| Sep 11, 7:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Franklin, Somerset | 56 min |
| Sep 11, 7:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Franklin, St. Lawrence | 54 min |
| Sep 11, 7:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Penobscot, Washington | 63 min |
| Sep 11, 7:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Cheshire | 66 min |
| Sep 11, 7:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Carroll, Coos, Grafton | 64 min |
| Sep 11, 7:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Franklin, St. Lawrence | 48 min |
| Sep 11, 8:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Carroll, Grafton, Sullivan | 67 min |
| Sep 11, 8:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Androscoggin, Kennebec, Lincoln, Sagadahoc | 47 min |
| Sep 11, 8:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Addison, Orange, Rutland, Washington, Windsor | 46 min |
| Sep 11, 8:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Kennebec, Knox, Lincoln, Waldo | 54 min |
| Sep 11, 8:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | St. Lawrence | 54 min |
| Sep 11, 8:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Cumberland | 48 min |
| Sep 11, 9:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Belknap, Carroll, Coos, Grafton, Merrimack | 57 min |
| Sep 11, 9:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Cumberland, Oxford, York | 37 min |
| Sep 11, 9:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Belknap, Carroll, Merrimack, Rockingham, Strafford | 53 min |
| Sep 11, 9:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Androscoggin, Cumberland, Oxford, York | 45 min |
| Sep 11, 9:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Androscoggin, Cumberland, Lincoln, Sagadahoc | 57 min |
| Sep 11, 10:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Androscoggin, Cumberland, Kennebec, Oxford, Sagadahoc, York | 56 min |
| Sep 11, 10:51 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BTV | St. Lawrence | 4 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Gray, ME (KGYX), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1310 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -231 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 970 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 49 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 139 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
525 WWUS20 KWNS 111833 SEL1 SPC WW 111833 MAZ000-MEZ000-NHZ000-NYZ000-VTZ000-120200- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 521 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 235 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MAINE NEW HAMPSHIRE EASTERN NEW YORK VERMONT * EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL 1000 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF ALBANY NEW YORK TO 5 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HOULTON MAINE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 520... DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. WHILE A BRIEF TORNADO IS POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN OR CENTRAL MAINE...DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS. AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030. ...MEAD
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 1:30 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Androscoggin, Cumberland, Franklin, Kennebec, Oxford, Penobscot and 3 more | 60 min |
| Sep 11, 6:54 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Androscoggin, Aroostook, Franklin, Kennebec, Oxford, Penobscot and 3 more | 96 min |
| Sep 11, 11:42 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Chemung and 20 more | 63 min |
| Sep 11, 12:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Chemung and 22 more | 8 hr |
| Sep 11, 2:47 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Chemung and 16 more | 58 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2013Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maine, 2013Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Vermont, 2013Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.