Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2013
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 421
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 18, 2013, 7:46 PM EDT for 9 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 3 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 18, 2013, 7:46 PM EDT (23:46 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 18, 2013, 11:02 PM EDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Charlevoix County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Chippewa County, MI, Delta County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Luce County, MI, Mackinac County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Schoolcraft County, MI
The radar
The Marquette radar (KMQT), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 8:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Chippewa, Mackinac | 60 min |
| Jul 18, 8:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MQT | Alger, Luce, Schoolcraft | 51 min |
| Jul 18, 9:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Chippewa | 35 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 250 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 802 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -52 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1214 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 33 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 71 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 76 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 0.4
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 1:04 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Bay, Benzie and 28 more | 56 min |
| Jul 18, 3:16 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alger, Baraga, Delta, Dickinson, Gogebic, Houghton and 5 more | 89 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2013Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.