Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 402

July 8, 201321 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 8, 2013, 5:22 PM MDT for 21 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 8, 2013, 5:22 PM MDT (23:22 UTC)
Expired
Jul 8, 2013, 11:46 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 21 counties

Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burke County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Renville County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Ward County, ND, Williams County, ND

The radar

The Minot AFB radar (KMBX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 5:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Golden Valley, McKenzie60 min
Jul 8, 6:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Golden Valley63 min
Jul 8, 6:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Dunn, Golden Valley, McKenzie62 min
Jul 8, 7:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Bowman, Golden Valley, Slope, Stark53 min
Jul 8, 7:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Dunn, McLean66 min
Jul 8, 7:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcLean, Mercer54 min
Jul 8, 7:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Hettinger, Slope, Stark63 min
Jul 8, 8:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, Mercer, Oliver52 min
Jul 8, 8:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Bowman, Golden Valley, Slope60 min
Jul 8, 8:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant, Hettinger, Mercer, Morton, Stark58 min
Jul 8, 8:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, McLean, Mercer, Mountrail, Oliver, Stark and 1 more57 min
Jul 8, 9:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Emmons, Grant, McLean, Morton, Oliver and 2 more57 min
Jul 8, 9:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcHenry, McLean, Sheridan, Ward59 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 294 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2013-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 467 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2013-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -26 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
467 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-141 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1005 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-26 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
30 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-1.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 4:58 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Billings, Bottineau, Bowman, Burke, Divide and 17 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2013Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.