Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2013

Mesoscale Discussion 643

May 15, 201312 counties in Oklahoma; 46 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 15, 2013, 2:59 PM CDT for 12 counties in Oklahoma; 46 counties in Texas. It was in force for 91 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 15, 2013, 2:59 PM CDT (19:59 UTC)
Expired
May 15, 2013, 4:30 PM CDT
In force
91 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 58 counties

Carter County, OK, Coal County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Murray County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Clay County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Foard County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Jones County, TX, Knox County, TX, Mills County, TX, Montague County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2013-05-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 109 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2013-05-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 149 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
109 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-169 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
827 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
149 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
139 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 3:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Coal, Cotton, Garvin, Jefferson, Johnston and 6 more86 min
May 15, 3:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Cotton, Garvin and 8 more9 hr
May 15, 5:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLove65 min
May 15, 6:01 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBryan, Carter, Jefferson, Johnston, Love, Marshall and 1 more8 hr
May 14, 7:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Dimmit, Edwards, Frio, Kerr, Kimble and 10 more2 hr
May 15, 5:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Blanco, Edwards, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr and 9 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2013Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2013Every mesoscale discussion in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.