Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2013

Mesoscale Discussion 15

January 12, 201332 counties in Arkansas; Dunklin County, Pemiscot County, Missouri; 4 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jan 12, 2013, 1:25 PM CST for 32 counties in Arkansas; Dunklin County, Pemiscot County, Missouri; 4 counties in Texas. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 12, 2013, 1:25 PM CST (19:25 UTC)
Expired
Jan 12, 2013, 4:00 PM CST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 38 counties

Clark County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Little River County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Sevier County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Bowie County, TX, Cass County, TX, Morris County, TX, Titus County, TX

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 219 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2013-01-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1176 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2013-01-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 201 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1176 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
463 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
205 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.4
Supercell composite
7.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 12, 5:20 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Clay, Cleburne and 47 more7 hr
Jan 12, 3:45 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone, Callaway and 37 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2013Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2013Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2013Every mesoscale discussion in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.