Alert archive / Missouri / Special Weather Statements in 2013
Special Weather Statement, NWS Springfield, MO
NWS Springfield, MO issued this special weather statement at Mar 30, 2013, 7:14 PM CDT for Stone County, Missouri. It was in force for 31 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 30, 2013, 7:14 PM CDT (00:14 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 30, 2013, 7:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 31 min
- Issued by
- NWS Springfield, MO
County Stone County, MO
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Mar 30, 6:40 PM CDT, 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 30, 6:40 PM CDT, 34 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 640 PM CDT SAT MAR 30 2013 ...UPDATE TO AVIATION... ...MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION... THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO REMAIN ANCHORED ALONG A SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM BBG-JLN-CNU. STRONGEST ACTIVITY IS NORTHEAST OF JOPLIN AT THIS TIME. MLCAPES ALONG THIS BOUNDARY ARE ROUGHLY IN THE 500-750 J/KG RANGE WITH 0-6KM SHEAR VALUES OF AROUND 40 KTS. THE STORMS ARE MOVING INTO AN AREA THAT HAS HAD TIME TO RECOVER FROM CONVECTION EARLIER TODAY. WHILE CONDITIONS FOR SUPERCELLS ARE MARGINAL...THOSE THAT CAN ATTAIN SUPERCELL STATUS WILL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND WILL MOVE IN A MORE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. GAEDE .DISCUSSION... THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IN THE IMMEDIATE SHORT TERM IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE CONVECTION. PORTIONS OF THE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION ISSUED EARLIER WERE INCLUDED BELOW AS IT IS STILL VALID. WE WILL ALSO HAVE TO WATCH FOR SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT ONCE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT. ONCE WE GET BEYOND THE TONIGHT PERIOD...THE MAIN FORECAST DILEMMA IS A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA FROM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY. MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION (LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING)... INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE AS DIABATIC HEATING CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...WITH SHORT TERM GUIDANCE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT IN PRODUCING 1000-1500 J/KG OF MLCAPE ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH THE 00Z TIME FRAME. AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH THIS AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON...CONVECTIVE INITIATION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS...WITH CONVECTION PUSHING EAST-SOUTHEAST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. GIVEN 0-6 KM SHEAR IN THE 30-40 KT RANGE...AND RELATIVELY WEAK FORCING (AT LEAST INITIALLY)...SUPERCELLS MAY VERY WELL BE THE INITIAL CONVECTIVE MODE...THOUGH SOME LESS ORGANIZED MULTI-CELL CLUSTERS ARE ALSO NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. AS COLD POOL CONGLOMERATION TAKES PLACE AND LINEAR FORCING INCREASES...AN EVENTUAL MERGER OF CONVECTION INTO AN MCS SEEMS PROBABLE. THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO SEE CONVECTION WILL BE SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AS WELL AS FAR WESTERN/SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI...ROUGHLY ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM NEVADA/FT SCOTT SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD BRANSON AND CASSVILLE. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATE AND SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS STRONGLY SUGGESTS THAT LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. WHILE DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR SUPERCELLS...WEAK LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL SIGNIFICANTLY LIMIT THE TORNADO THREAT. MARGINAL LOW LEVEL THETA-E DIFFERENTIALS WILL HAVE A SIMILAR LIMITING AFFECT ON DOWNBURST WIND POTENTIAL. BOXELL/SCHAUMANN LATER TONIGHT... FOG MAY THEN DEVELOP ACROSS AT LEAST PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS. AT THIS TIME...THE SREF...RAW MODEL OUTPUT...AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE PAINTING THE GREATEST PROBABILITY OF FOG ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. RECENT SHORT TERM GUIDANCE HAS ALSO INCREASED THE PROBABILITIES UP TOWARDS THE ROLLA AREA. WE GENERALLY WENT WITH A MODEL CONSENSUS FOR LOWS TONIGHT. EASTER... DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES TO OUR WEST. MILD CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR WITH ALL AREAS WARMING INTO THE 60S. WE KNOCKED DOWN EXPECTED HIGH TEMPERATURES A DEGREE OR TWO AS MODEL CROSS SECTIONS INDICATE SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS POTENTIAL NORTH OF THE OZARK PLATEAU. NEVERTHELESS...MOST LOCATIONS WILL STILL WARM INTO THE MIDDLE OR UPPER 60S. SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... MODELS HAVE THROWN A CURVE BALL REGARDING THE OVERALL IMPACTS OF THE EXPECTED COLD FRONT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. FIRST OFF...THEY HAVE REALLY BACKED OFF ON QPF WITH THE INITIAL FRONTAL PASSAGE. WITH A LACK OF MID/UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT...THIS IS SOMEWHAT BELIEVABLE FOR THE SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY MORNING TIME PERIOD. MODELS ARE PINGING MORE ON A FRONTOGENETIC LAYER IN THE 800 TO 700 MB LAYER ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI FROM LATER MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE THEREFORE LOWERED POPS ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI AND GONE WITH CHANCE POPS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI. THE OTHER BIG CHANGE IS MODELS COMING IN MUCH WARMER FOR TEMPERATURES MONDAY. NEARLY EVERY MODEL DEPICTS MUCH WARMER 850 MB TEMPERATURES VERSUS PREVIOUS RUNS. WHILE WE WERE NOT QUITE READY TO BUY INTO SUCH A DRASTIC CHANGE...WE DID BUMP UP TEMPERATURES A CATEGORY OR TWO. WITH THAT BEING SAID...WE HAVE ALSO BACKED OFF ON ANY SNOW POTENTIAL AND MAINLY CONFINED IT TO CENTRAL MISSOURI. EVEN UP IN THAT REGION...SNOW POTENTIAL HAS DIMINISHED FOR LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. ANY SNOW THAT DOES FALL WILL NOT ACCUMULATE. TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... GLOBAL MODELS HOLD ONTO THIS FRONTOGENETIC ZONE IN CLOSE ENOUGH PROXIMITY TO SOUTHERN MISSOURI TO MAINTAIN LOW POPS. IF PRECIPITATION DOES HANG ON ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI...WE WOULD HAVE TO WATCH FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SNOWFLAKES TUESDAY NIGHT. NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. TEMPERATURES ARE A TOUGH CALL AS WE WILL BE ON THE EDGE OF A SYNOPTIC NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. CLOUDS WILL ALSO LIKELY COME INTO PLAY. FOR NOW...WE HAVE GONE WITH A MODEL CONSENSUS APPROACH WITH TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL. WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... GLOBAL MODELS BRING UPPER LEVEL ENERGY EAST THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. AT THIS TIME...WE FEEL THAT THIS TRACK WILL KEEP THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI...OR EVEN MORE LIKELY ACROSS ARKANSAS. WE HAVE THEREFORE KEPT POPS IN THE 20 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE FOR THE MOST PART. WE ALSO FEEL THAT ANY PRECIPITATION WOULD BE LIQUID IN NATURE. LATE NEXT WEEK... GLOBAL MODELS BRING UPPER LEVEL RIDGING INTO THE AREA. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A WARMING TREND AND DRY CONDITIONS. SCHAUMANN && .AVIATION... FOR THE 00Z TAFS FOR KSGF/KJLN/KBBG...CONVECTION ONGOING AT THIS TIME ALONG A SURFACE BOUNDARY SITUATED ROUGHLY ALONG A BBG-JLN-CNU LINE. EXPECT CONVECTION TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST TRACK ALONG THIS BOUNDARY. THIS SAID...HAVE HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN TSRA AT JLN AND THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE TAFS. WITH THE LIGHT WINDS AND MOIST LOW LEVEL AIRMASS...COULD SEE SOME MVFR CIGS/VSBYS AT KSGF AND PERHAPS IFR CONDITIONS AT KBBG IN THE 09-14Z TIME FRAME. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE AFTER SUNRISE WITH VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD. GAEDE && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 30, 3:08 PM CDT, 4 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 308 PM CDT SAT MAR 30 2013 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-312015- BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- 308 PM CDT SAT MAR 30 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED... ELEVATED HAIL RISK. LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK. LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK. LIMITED FOG RISK. DISCUSSION... THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS...SPREADING EAST INTO FAR WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI THROUGH THE MID EVENING HOURS. ENOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR STRONG STORMS ACROSS THE I-49 CORRIDOR. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONGER STORMS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL END LATER THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. BEHIND THIS FRONT...FOG IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. VISIBILITIES DOWN TO A MILE OR LESS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT THREE HOURS ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND FAR WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY THEN BE NEEDED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF WESTERN MISSOURI EARLY THIS EVENING. && THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE) BOXELL/SCHAUMANN
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 30, 6:41 PM CDT, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
641 PM CDT SAT MAR 30 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0639 PM HAIL 3 E CHEROKEE 37.35N 94.75W
03/30/2013 U1.00 INCH CRAWFORD KS TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
KARDELLLocal storm report, Mar 30, 6:46 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
646 PM CDT SAT MAR 30 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0618 PM HAIL CARYTOWN 37.27N 94.31W
03/30/2013 E1.00 INCH JASPER MO AMATEUR RADIO
MIX OF PEA AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING ROADWAY. THREE
SLIDE OFFS REPORTED. TIME OF EVENT ESTIMATED.
&&
KARDELLSpecial weather statement, Mar 30, 6:53 PM CDT, 21 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
653 PM CDT SAT MAR 30 2013
MOZ094-102-310030-
BARRY MO-LAWRENCE MO-
653 PM CDT SAT MAR 30 2013
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BARRY AND
SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...
AT 651 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR VERONA...OR 4 MILES WEST OF AURORA...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
LAT...LON 3671 9359 3692 9394 3702 9377 3700 9361
3682 9361 3682 9360
TIME...MOT...LOC 2353Z 302DEG 22KT 3695 9377
DSALocal storm report, Mar 30, 7:05 PM CDT, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
705 PM CDT SAT MAR 30 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0704 PM HAIL 3 N CRESTLINE 37.22N 94.71W
03/30/2013 U1.00 INCH CHEROKEE KS TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
KARDELLLocal storm report, Mar 30, 7:11 PM CDT, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
711 PM CDT SAT MAR 30 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0703 PM HAIL LA RUSSELL 37.14N 94.06W
03/30/2013 U1.00 INCH JASPER MO AMATEUR RADIO
&&
KARDELLSpecial weather statement, Mar 30, 7:14 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
714 PM CDT SAT MAR 30 2013
MOZ103-310045-
STONE MO-
714 PM CDT SAT MAR 30 2013
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STONE COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM CDT...
AT 709 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CRANE...OR 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AURORA...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BRANSON WEST...CAPE FAIR...CRANE...
ELSEY...GALENA...HURLEY...INDIAN POINT...KIMBERLING CITY...PONCE DE
LEON...REEDS SPRING AND SILVER DOLLAR CITY.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY INCLUDE TABLE
ROCK LAKE.
IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
LAT...LON 3673 9358 3682 9357 3682 9359 3700 9360
3700 9351 3698 9334 3682 9334 3682 9333
3658 9333
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 305DEG 16KT 3687 9357
DSAThe office that day
Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 7:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, Lawrence | 53 min |
| Mar 30, 7:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Jasper, Newton | 42 min |
| Mar 30, 7:52 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SGF | Stone | 23 min |
| Mar 30, 7:55 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | SGF | Barton | 16 hr |
| Mar 30, 8:01 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SGF | Newton | 44 min |
| Mar 30, 8:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Newton | 49 min |
| Mar 30, 8:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | McDonald | 38 min |
| Mar 30, 8:40 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | SGF | Vernon | 4 days |
| Mar 30, 8:57 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SGF | Barry | 33 min |
| Mar 31, 4:38 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SGF | Dallas | 37 min |
| Mar 31, 5:07 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SGF | Dallas | 23 min |
| Mar 31, 5:27 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SGF | Webster | 48 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Missouri, 2013Every special weather statement in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.