Alert archive / Kansas / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 35, NWS Springfield, MO

May 30, 2013Bourbon County, Kansas

NWS Springfield, MO issued this river flood warning at May 30, 2013, 9:15 AM CDT for Bourbon County, Kansas. It took effect at May 31, 2013, 12:19 AM CDT. It was in force for 39 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 30, 2013, 9:15 AM CDT (14:15 UTC)
In effect from
May 31, 2013, 12:19 AM CDT
Expired
Jun 1, 2013, 3:05 PM CDT
In force
39 hr
Issued by
NWS Springfield, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Bourbon County, KS

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Little Osage River at Fulton (FTNK1). The gauge peaked at 19.22 ft at Jun 1, 2013, 6:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate102005/3005/3106/0106/02
Action stage
20 ft
Minor stage
22 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06917000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

337 
WGUS43 KSGF 301415
FLWSGF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
915 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED  A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI...

  LITTLE OSAGE RIVER AT FULTON AFFECTING BOURBON COUNTY
  LITTLE OSAGE NEAR HORTON AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY
.HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI BORDER WILL CAUSE
RIVER LEVELS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THOSE WITH PROPERTY AND LIVESTOCK ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD CONTINUE TO 
MONITOR RIVER CONDITIONS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/ 
INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

&&

KSC011-310215-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0035.130531T0651Z-130601T2005Z/
/FTNK1.1.ER.130531T0651Z.130531T1200Z.130531T2005Z.NO/
915 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR THE LITTLE OSAGE RIVER AT FULTON.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 23.2 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
  FLOOD WATERS MAINLY AFFECT FARMLAND ALONG THE LITTLE OSAGE RIVER 
  BASIN BETWEEN THE GAGE SITE AND HIGHWAY 31 WEST OF FULTON.  
&& 
LAT...LON 3802 9462 3789 9462 3800 9476 3804 9477

$$

MOC217-310215-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0036.130531T0900Z-130604T0712Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.130531T0900Z.130602T1200Z.130603T0712Z.NO/
915 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR THE LITTLE OSAGE NEAR HORTON.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 43.9 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 45.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG
  THE RIVER NEAR THE GAGE SITE. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

$$

MOC217-310215-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0037.130601T1500Z-130603T2100Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.130601T1500Z.130602T0600Z.130602T2100Z.NO/
915 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR THE MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA.
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.3 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS IMPACT THE COUNTY ROAD WEST OF 
  NEVADA AT THE GAGE SITE. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3785 9454 3784 9441 3791 9435 3793 9438

$$

TERRY
4 follow-up statements
083 
WGUS43 KSGF 302018
FLWSGF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
318 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED  A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS...MISSOURI...

  MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT AFFECTING BOURBON COUNTY
  OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY AFFECTING BATES AND VERNON COUNTIES
  
...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS...MISSOURI...

  LITTLE OSAGE RIVER AT FULTON AFFECTING BOURBON COUNTY
  LITTLE OSAGE NEAR HORTON AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY

.HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND RAINFALL THAT IS EXPECTED TO FALL THIS EVENING
WILL CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THOSE WITH PROPERTY AND LIVESTOCK ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD CONTINUE TO 
MONITOR RIVER CONDITIONS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/ 
INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

&&

KSC011-310818-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0035.130531T0204Z-130602T0800Z/
/FTNK1.2.ER.130531T0204Z.130531T1200Z.130601T0800Z.NO/
318 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A 
...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
 
* FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  2:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 26.9 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
&& 
LAT...LON 3802 9462 3789 9462 3800 9476 3804 9477

$$

MOC217-310818-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0036.130530T2300Z-130604T2031Z/
/HTNM7.2.ER.130530T2300Z.130602T1800Z.130603T2031Z.NO/
318 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A 
...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
 
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 39.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 45.6 FEET BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 45.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

$$

MOC217-310818-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0037.130531T0022Z-130604T2344Z/
/NVDM7.2.ER.130531T0022Z.130602T0600Z.130603T2344Z.NO/
318 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A 
...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
 
* FROM THIS EVENING TO TUESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  2:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 26.2 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
  FLOOD WATERS AFFECT THE OLD U.S. HIGHWAY 71 BRIDGE NORTH OF NEVADA 
  AND THE SOUTH BOUND LANE OF HIGHWAY 71 NEAR THE JUNCTION OF DOUGLAS
  BRANCH AND THE MARMATON RIVER.  BASEMENT FLOODING OCCURS AT 
  RESIDENCES NEAR THE GAGE SITE.
&& 
LAT...LON 3785 9454 3784 9441 3791 9435 3793 9438

$$

KSC011-310818-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0038.130531T0452Z-130602T0018Z/
/FSKK1.1.ER.130531T0452Z.130531T1200Z.130601T0018Z.NO/
318 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR THE MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT.
  
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.

* FROM THIS EVENING TO SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  2:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 38.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 40.7 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 40.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO IMPACT LOW AREAS ON 
  HAPPY HOLLOW ROAD, MAPLE ROAD AND 2ND STREET NORTH AND WEST OF 
  DOWNTOWN FORT SCOTT. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3788 9462 3782 9462 3778 9480 3787 9481

$$

MOC013-217-310818-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0039.130601T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.130601T0300Z.130604T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
318 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY.
  
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  2:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 32.4 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL 
  RISE ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. 
* IMPACT...AT 32.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS IMPACT ALL OF THE LOW LYING 
  AREAS IN THE SCHELL OSAGE CONSERVATION AREA AS WELL AS SEVERAL 
  COUNTY ROADS WEST OF SCHELL CITY.
&& 
LAT...LON 3803 9416 3799 9406 3806 9406 3807 9415

$$
998 
WGUS83 KSGF 310131
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
831 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS...
MISSOURI...
 
  LITTLE OSAGE RIVER AT FULTON AFFECTING BOURBON COUNTY 
  LITTLE OSAGE NEAR HORTON AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT AFFECTING BOURBON COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY AFFECTING BATES AND VERNON COUNTIES 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/ 
INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

&&

MOC013-217-311631-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0039.130531T1845Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.130531T1845Z.130601T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
831 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY.
* AT  7:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 31.0 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 32.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS IMPACT ALL OF THE LOW LYING 
  AREAS IN THE SCHELL OSAGE CONSERVATION AREA AS WELL AS SEVERAL 
  COUNTY ROADS WEST OF SCHELL CITY.
&& 
LAT...LON 3803 9416 3799 9406 3806 9406 3807 9415

$$

MOC217-311630-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-130604T1857Z/
/NVDM7.2.ER.130530T2305Z.130601T1800Z.130603T1857Z.NO/
831 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA.
* AT  7:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.2 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
  FLOOD WATERS AFFECT THE OLD U.S. HIGHWAY 71 BRIDGE NORTH OF NEVADA 
  AND THE SOUTH BOUND LANE OF HIGHWAY 71 NEAR THE JUNCTION OF DOUGLAS
  BRANCH AND THE MARMATON RIVER.  BASEMENT FLOODING OCCURS AT 
  RESIDENCES NEAR THE GAGE SITE.
&& 
LAT...LON 3785 9454 3784 9441 3791 9435 3793 9438

$$

KSC011-311630-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0038.130531T0525Z-130601T2107Z/
/FSKK1.1.ER.130531T0525Z.130531T1200Z.130531T2107Z.NO/
831 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT.
* AT  7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 38.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 40.1 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 40.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO IMPACT LOW AREAS ON 
  HAPPY HOLLOW ROAD, MAPLE ROAD AND 2ND STREET NORTH AND WEST OF 
  DOWNTOWN FORT SCOTT. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3788 9462 3782 9462 3778 9480 3787 9481

$$

KSC011-311630-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0035.130531T0519Z-130601T2200Z/
/FTNK1.1.ER.130531T0519Z.130531T1200Z.130531T2200Z.NO/
831 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE LITTLE OSAGE RIVER AT FULTON.
* AT  8:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 24.6 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE.  
  FARMLAND AT THE GAGE SITE BECOMES COVERED BY FLOOD WATERS, AND 
  HIGHWAY 31, EAST OF TOWN BECOMES FLOODED. HIGHWAY 31, FOUR MILES 
  WEST OF FULTON HAS FLOOD WATERS REACH FOUR TO SIX FEET IN DEPTH. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3802 9462 3789 9462 3800 9476 3804 9477

$$

MOC217-311630-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-130604T2007Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.130530T2150Z.130602T1800Z.130603T2007Z.NO/
831 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE LITTLE OSAGE NEAR HORTON.
* AT  7:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 42.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 43.7 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 45.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

$$
443 
WGUS83 KSGF 311313
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
813 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
SOUTHEAST KANSAS...
 
  SPRING RIVER ABOVE BAXTER SPRINGS AFFECTING CHEROKEE COUNTY
  
...FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS 
AND WESTERN MISSOURI...
 
  LITTLE OSAGE RIVER AT FULTON AFFECTING BOURBON COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT AFFECTING BOURBON COUNTY 
  OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY AFFECTING BATES AND VERNON COUNTIES 
  SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE AFFECTING JASPER COUNTY 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...

  LITTLE OSAGE NEAR HORTON AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
.HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH OCCURRED ON THURSDAY HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO 
 RISE. ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND
 MAY CAUSE RIVERS TO CREST AT LEVELS HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY EXPECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/ 
INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

&&

MOC217-010413-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-130604T1857Z/
/NVDM7.2.ER.130530T2305Z.130601T1800Z.130603T1857Z.NO/
813 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA.
* AT  7:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.2 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS IMPACT HIGHWAY 54, ALONG ROUTE 
  H AND ROUTE T WEST AND NORTH OF DEERFIELD, OR WEST OF NEVADA.  
&& 
LAT...LON 3785 9454 3784 9441 3791 9435 3793 9438

$$

KSC011-010413-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-130601T2148Z/
/FSKK1.1.ER.130531T1615Z.130531T1800Z.130531T2148Z.NO/
813 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT.
* AT  7:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 36.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 38.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 38.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS ALONG 
  MILL CREEK NORTH OF TOWN DUE TO BACKWATER EFFECTS OF THE MARMATON 
  RIVER. FLOOD WATERS ALSO BEGIN TO SPILL ACROSS THE FIELD BY THE 
  OLD RED BARN RESTAURANT...ON THE NORTH SIDE OF TOWN...AT THE NEW 
  HIGHWAY 69 BRIDGE. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3788 9462 3782 9462 3778 9480 3787 9481

$$

KSC011-010413-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-130602T1453Z/
/FTNK1.1.ER.130601T0415Z.130601T1200Z.130601T1453Z.NO/
813 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE LITTLE OSAGE RIVER AT FULTON.
* AT  7:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 22.2 FEET THIS
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
  FLOOD WATERS MAINLY AFFECT FARMLAND ALONG THE LITTLE OSAGE RIVER 
  BASIN BETWEEN THE GAGE SITE AND HIGHWAY 31 WEST OF FULTON.  
&& 
LAT...LON 3802 9462 3789 9462 3800 9476 3804 9477

$$

MOC217-010413-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-130604T2007Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.130530T2150Z.130602T1800Z.130603T2007Z.NO/
813 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE LITTLE OSAGE NEAR HORTON.
* AT  7:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 42.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 43.7 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 43.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS AND FARMLAND NEAR THE RIVER
  FLOOD.
&&   
LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

$$

MOC013-217-010413-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0039.130601T0800Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.130601T0800Z.130601T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
813 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY.
* AT  7:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 31.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 31.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS IMPACT LOW LYING AREAS WEST OF 
  SCHELL CITY.  COUNTY ROADS WEST AND NORTH OF ROUTE M BECOME 
  FLOODED. THE FOUR RIVER CONSERVATION AREA 10 MILES WEST OF SCHELL 
  CITY FLOODS.
&& 
LAT...LON 3803 9416 3799 9406 3806 9406 3807 9415

$$

MOC097-010413-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0042.130531T1625Z-130602T2043Z/
/CHTM7.1.ER.130531T1625Z.130601T0600Z.130601T2043Z.NO/
813 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE.
* AT  7:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 11.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT.THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OCCURS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
  FLOOD WATERS IMPACT STATE HIGHWAY 37 EAST OF CARTHAGE BETWEEN 
  AVILLA AND REEDS.
&& 
LAT...LON 3720 9436 3720 9406 3714 9406 3714 9437

$$

KSC021-311343-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-130602T0730Z/
/BXTK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
813 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR 
  THE SPRING RIVER ABOVE BAXTER SPRINGS.
* AT  7:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12.6 FEET. THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RISES
  MAY BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY IF HEAVY RAIN OCCURS TODAY.
&& 
LAT...LON 3715 9462 3699 9461 3700 9475 3714 9471

$$

TERRY
809 
WGUS83 KSGF 311501
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1001 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
SOUTHEAST KANSAS...
 
  LITTLE OSAGE RIVER AT FULTON AFFECTING BOURBON COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS...
MISSOURI...
 
  MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT AFFECTING BOURBON COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY AFFECTING BATES AND VERNON COUNTIES 
  SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE AFFECTING JASPER COUNTY 
  BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD AFFECTING PULASKI COUNTY 
  GASCONADE RIVER AT JEROME AFFECTING PHELPS COUNTY 

.HEAVY RAINFALL FROM YESTERDAY AND EXPECTED ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL
TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/ 
INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

&&

MOC169-010601-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0043.130601T0537Z-130604T1630Z/
/TBNM7.2.ER.130601T0537Z.130602T0000Z.130603T1630Z.UU/
1001 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD.
* AT  7:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 17.6 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING.THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...THE HIGHER TA 250 TRAINING AREA FLOODS.
&& 
LAT...LON 3784 9218 3787 9206 3763 9203 3764 9211

$$

KSC011-311531-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-130602T1453Z/
/FTNK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1001 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR 
  THE LITTLE OSAGE RIVER AT FULTON.
* AT  9:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 21.5 FEET 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.

&& 
LAT...LON 3802 9462 3789 9462 3800 9476 3804 9477

$$

MOC217-010601-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-130606T0739Z/
/NVDM7.2.ER.130530T2305Z.130602T0000Z.130605T0739Z.NO/
1001 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA.
* AT  9:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.0 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS IMPACT HIGHWAY 54, ALONG ROUTE 
  H AND ROUTE T WEST AND NORTH OF DEERFIELD, OR WEST OF NEVADA.  
&& 
LAT...LON 3785 9454 3784 9441 3791 9435 3793 9438

$$

KSC011-010601-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-130603T0824Z/
/FSKK1.1.ER.130602T0200Z.130602T0600Z.130602T0824Z.NO/
1001 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT.
* AT  9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 36.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 38.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 38.4 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 38.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS ALONG 
  MILL CREEK NORTH OF TOWN DUE TO BACKWATER EFFECTS OF THE MARMATON 
  RIVER. FLOOD WATERS ALSO BEGIN TO SPILL ACROSS THE FIELD BY THE RED
  BARN RESTAURANT, ON THE NORTH SIDE OF TOWN, AT THE NEW HIGHWAY 69 
  BRIDGE. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3788 9462 3782 9462 3778 9480 3787 9481

$$

MOC161-010601-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0044.130601T2136Z-130605T0840Z/
/JRMM7.1.ER.130601T2136Z.130602T1800Z.130604T0840Z.NO/
1001 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE GASCONADE RIVER AT JEROME.
* AT  9:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.8 FEET BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT SOME RESIDENTIAL WOOD 
  DECKS ON THE LEFT BANK.
&& 
LAT...LON 3800 9199 3800 9195 3790 9196 3792 9202

$$

MOC013-217-010601-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0039.130601T1520Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.130601T1520Z.130603T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1001 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY.
* AT  9:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 32.0 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL 
  RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 32.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS IMPACT ALL OF THE LOW LYING 
  AREAS IN THE SCHELL OSAGE CONSERVATION AREA AS WELL AS SEVERAL 
  COUNTY ROADS WEST OF SCHELL CITY.
&& 
LAT...LON 3803 9416 3799 9406 3806 9406 3807 9415

$$

MOC097-010601-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0042.130531T1630Z-130602T2043Z/
/CHTM7.1.ER.130531T1630Z.130601T0600Z.130601T2043Z.NO/
1001 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE.
* AT  8:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 11.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT.THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OCCURS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
  FLOOD WATERS IMPACT STATE HIGHWAY 37 EAST OF CARTHAGE BETWEEN 
  AVILLA AND REEDS.
&& 
LAT...LON 3720 9436 3720 9406 3714 9406 3714 9437

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 30, 6:09 AM CDT, 3 hours 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 6:09 AM CDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
609 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 347 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

ACTIVE PERIOD OF WEATHER FROM TODAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY WITH
MULTIPLE RISKS EXPECTED. A SEASONABLY DEEP TROUGH WILL SEND
SEVERAL SHORTWAVES OUR WAY. THIS MORNING WE ARE STARTING OFF WITH
A VARIABLE MESS OF CONVECTION. MULTIPLE CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS KS/OK OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS COURTESY
OF THE FIRST OF MANY SHORTWAVES. LIFT HAS BEEN AIDED BY THE LEFT
EXIT REGION OF AN UPPER LEVEL JET...A JET THAT IS QUITE A BIT
STRONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST WITH A CORE OF 130KT...AND YET
ANOTHER STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET.

CONFIDENCE IN THE PARTICULARS OF THE FORECAST FOR TODAY AND
TONIGHT REMAIN QUITE MUDDLE...ESPECIALLY CONCERNING THE RISK FOR
SEVERE STORMS. MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION
AND WITH THE UPPER LEVEL JET CONTINUING TO SPREAD TOWARD THE
REGION TODAY...LARGE SCALE LIFT WILL SUPPORT PERIODS OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS. THIS WILL LIMIT DAYTIME HEATING...WITH HIGHS GENERALLY
GETTING INTO THE MIDDLE 70S. COULD SEE A FEW POCKETS OF WARMER
TEMPS HERE AND THERE IF ANY PARTIAL CLEARING IS OBSERVED. THERE
WILL LIKELY BE A SMALL BREAK IN THE ACTION AT SOME POINT TODAY...
HOWEVER THIS WILL LIKELY BE SHORT LIVED AS ANOTHER ROUND OF
VIGOROUS CONVECTION FIRES ALONG THE DRY LINE FROM THE CENTRAL INTO
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SET ITS SIGHTS ON THE
REGION HEADING INTO TONIGHT.

AT THIS POINT...THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
AND TONIGHT IS CONDITIONAL ON HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE CAN
RECHARGE. THIS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY...BUT AT THIS
TIME THE BEST ESTIMATE IS THAT INSTABILITY SHOULD BE ABLE TO
RECHARGE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO FAR WESTERN MISSOURI WITH
MLCAPE APPROACHING 2000 J/KG AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF
40 KT OR SO. IF ANY DISCRETE CELLS ARE ABLE TO MOVE INTO EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI BEFORE CONGEALING
INTO A LINE...ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE (LARGE
HAIL...A FEW TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS). ONCE STORMS CONGEAL
INTO A LINE...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME THE PRIMARY RISK. THE
TORNADO RISK WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH ANY EAST/NORTHEAST BOWING
LINE SEGMENTS. THE HAIL RISK WILL BECOME MARGINAL.

THE OVERALL MORAL OF THE FORECAST STORY IS THAT THE SEVERE WEATHER
RISKS FOR TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE CONDITIONAL AND
SUBJECT TO WHAT COULD BE RAPIDLY CHANGING MESOSCALE CONDITIONS.
AT THIS JUNCTURE...IT APPEARS THAT OUR BEST CHANCES FOR
WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS MAY BE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY
EVENING AS THE MODELS ALLOW THE ATMOSPHERE TO RECHARGE AHEAD OF A
SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT. DEEP LAYER SHEAR INCREASES TO AROUND 50KT
AND MLCAPE ONCE AGAIN INCREASES TO 2000 J/KG (AND POSSIBLY
HIGHER). A MIXED STORM MODE IS EXPECTED WITH BOTH SUPERCELLS AND
LINE SEGMENTS POSSIBLE. AGAIN...THIS IS CONTINGENT UPON THE
ATMOSPHERE RECHARGING AS THE MODELS SUGGEST.

WITH SEVERAL ROUNDS OF RAINFALL EXPECTED...WILL GO AHEAD AND HOIST
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE AREA FROM TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. THE FLASH FLOOD RISK WILL BE LOCALIZED TODAY INTO FRIDAY...
HOWEVER ALL AVAILABLE OUTPUT CONTINUES TO STRONGLY POINT TO A
PERIOD OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EVENT FRIDAY NIGHT AS STRONG...
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION SLOWLY SAGS SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION. STORM
TOTAL RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS AVERAGES BETWEEN TWO AND
FOUR INCHES...HOWEVER THERE IS A RISK OF SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS THE
REGION RECEIVING AS MUCH AS SIX INCHES OF RAINFALL. ALL INTERESTS
ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI OZARKS SHOULD
HAVE A HEIGHTENED AWARENESS FOR FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FRIDAY
NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 304 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

00Z SUITE OF MODEL OUTPUT IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. CLEARING WILL OCCUR FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST SATURDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
INTO THE REGION FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD OVER THE REGION WITH BELOW AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OF THE AREA
BEGINNING TUESDAY AND RETURN FLOW WILL BRING A GRADUAL WARMING AND
MOISTENING TREND TO THE REGION. ANOTHER DECENT SHORTWAVE IS
PROGGED TO DIG INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND UPPER MIDWEST DURING
THE MIDWEEK TIME FRAME. THIS WILL BRING OUR NEXT CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND STORMS. HAVE INCLUDED CHANCE POPS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK TO NEAR AVERAGE FOR
EARLY JUNE.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 602 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

A COMPLEX FORECAST FOR TAFS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO
ONGOING CONVECTION IN THE AREA THIS MORNING AND THE REDEVELOPMENT
FOR CONVECTION LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION AT AREA TERMINALS
BUT UNDER CONVECTION AND SHOWERS WILL SEE CEILINGS AND VIS DROPPING TO
MVFR. HAVE TEMPO GROUPS THIS MORNING FOR JLN AND SGF TO COVER THIS
AND PROB30 MENTIONED FOR ALL TERMINALS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THE EVENING HOURS.. SOUTHERLY WINDS AGAIN WILL BE GUSTY LATE THIS
MORNING AND AFTERNOON UP TO 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE FOR JLN AND SGF.
HAVE MENTIONED NON CONVECTIVE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR TO STRONG LOW
LEVEL JET FROM 06Z TILL 12Z TONIGHT. SOME SEVERE CONVECTION WILL
BE POSSIBLE FOR JLN AND SGF LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR MOZ055>058-
     066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...GAGAN
LONG TERM...GAGAN
AVIATION...GRIFFIN
Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 5:32 AM CDT, 3 hours 43 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
532 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-311045-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
532 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EXTREME
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS ALONG
  AND WEST OF A LINE FROM THE LAKE OF THE OZARKS TO SPRINGFIELD TO
  CASSVILLE THIS MORNING. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. CLOUD TO
  GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

  SOUTH WINDS WILL BE BREEZY AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 30
  MPH POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND PORTIONS OF
  SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.

  THERE IS A CONDITIONAL RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT FOR AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE
  HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR. SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN
  DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND APPROACH EXTREME
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF MISSOURI THIS
  EVENING. IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION BY
  THIS EVENING...THERE WILL BE A RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...
  LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS A FEW TORNADOES.

  THERE REMAINS UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST FOR LATER THIS
  AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND ALL AREA INTERESTS ARE URGED TO
  CLOSELY MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES TODAY AS THE RISK FOR SEVERE
  WEATHER WILL BE REFINED WITH TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT ALONG AND AHEAD OF A SLOW
  MOVING COLD FRONT. ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE
  ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. IN ADDITION...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL
  IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA FRIDAY NIGHT.

  STORM TOTAL RAINFALL FROM TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WILL
  AVERAGE BETWEEN TWO AND FOUR INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS AROUND SIX INCHES POSSIBLE. AS A RESULT...A FLASH FLOOD
  WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 AM SATURDAY MORNING.

  SOUTH WINDS WILL GUST TO 30 MPH AT TIMES FRIDAY ACROSS EXTREME
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
  TONIGHT FOR AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GAGAN

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 30, 7:44 AM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
744 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0742 AM     FLOOD            COLUMBUS                37.17N 94.84W
05/30/2013                   CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS LOW WATER CROSSINGS THROUGHOUT CHEROKEE COUNTY
            ARE REPORTED FLOODED WITH UP TO ONE FOOT OF WATER.

&&

JCOLUCCI

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 9:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford46 min
May 29, 10:08 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford37 min
May 30, 2:23 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySGFBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford6 hr
May 30, 4:03 AM CDTFlash Flood WatchSGFBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford51 hr
May 30, 7:50 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford6 hr
May 30, 1:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford6 hr
May 30, 1:43 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFCrawford47 min
May 30, 2:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee, Crawford41 min
May 30, 2:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee43 min
May 30, 3:18 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFBourbon52 hr
May 30, 4:38 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFCherokee58 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.