Alert archive / Virginia / Wind Advisories in 2013
Wind Advisory 18, NWS Blacksburg, VA
NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this wind advisory at Nov 26, 2013, 4:28 AM EST for 20 counties in Virginia; Surry County, Wilkes County, North Carolina. It took effect at Nov 27, 2013, 6:00 AM EST. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 26, 2013, 4:28 AM EST (09:28 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 27, 2013, 6:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Nov 27, 2013, 10:40 PM EST
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Blacksburg, VA
All 22 counties
Surry County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Alleghany County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Carroll County, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Craig County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA
The radar
The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 25 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 00:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 55 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2919 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 85 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 102 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
611 WWUS71 KRNK 260928 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 428 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WEDNESDAY... .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TO NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL BRING STRONG WINDS TO COUNTIES BORDERING THE BLUE RIDGE. MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE HIGHER RIDGES ABOVE 2500 FEET. NCZ003-019-VAZ013-014-016>019-022>024-032-033-261730- /O.NEW.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.131127T1100Z-131127T2300Z/ SURRY-WILKES-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA- ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...RADFORD... PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...GALAX...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE... CLIFTON FORGE...COVINGTON...ROANOKE...SALEM...FINCASTLE... LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...STUART...ROCKY MOUNT 428 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. * LOCATIONS...COUNTIES ALONG THE SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA BLUE RIDGE...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA FOOTHILLS AND THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH AND ROANOKE VALLEYS. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE DAY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE LARGE TREES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS. && $$ RCS
9 follow-up statements
590 WWUS71 KRNK 261622 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1122 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING...THEN AGAIN WEDNESDAY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS. .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TO NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY. AHEAD OF THIS LOW...A VERY STRONG WIND MAXIMUM AT RIDGE TOP LEVEL WILL SPREAD UP THE BLUE RIDGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND STRONG WINDS COULD KNOCK DOWN TREES AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING. THEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL BRING MORE WIDESPREAD STRONG WINDS TO COUNTIES BORDERING THE BLUE RIDGE. MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE HIGHER RIDGES ABOVE 2500 FEET. VAZ016-017-022>024-032-033-270030- /O.NEW.KRNK.HW.W.0007.131126T2100Z-131127T0500Z/ /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.131127T1100Z-131127T2300Z/ CARROLL-FLOYD-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALAX...FLOYD...ROANOKE...SALEM... FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...STUART...ROCKY MOUNT 1122 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE PARKWAY... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. * LOCATIONS...COUNTIES ALONG THE SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA BLUE RIDGE FOR THE HIGH WIND WARNING...AND ALSO THE SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA FOOTHILLS AND THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH AND ROANOKE VALLEYS FOR THE ADVISORY ON WEDNESDAY. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WITH SOME TREES DOWN ABOVE 3000 FEET THIS EVENING. THEN GUSTY WINDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY WEDNESDAY AT ALL ELEVATIONS. * WINDS...SOUTH AT 25 TO 40 MPH GUSTING TO 60 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THEN NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ON WEDNESDAY. * TIMING...THIS EVENING...AND THEN AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE LARGE TREES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS. && $$ NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-034-035-270030- /O.NEW.KRNK.HW.W.0007.131126T2100Z-131127T0500Z/ ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-BEDFORD-AMHERST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE... INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...BEDFORD...AMHERST 1122 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. * LOCATIONS...ELEVATIONS MAINLY ABOVE 3000 FEET NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE PARKWAY. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS. * WINDS...SOUTH WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. * TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. * IMPACTS...TREES MAY BE UPROOTED...POSSIBLY FALLING ON POWERLINES AND CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING WILL BE HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS. && $$ NCZ003-019-VAZ013-014-018-019-270030- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.131127T1100Z-131127T2300Z/ SURRY-WILKES-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...RADFORD... PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...COVINGTON 1122 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...COUNTIES ALONG THE SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA BLUE RIDGE... NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA FOOTHILLS AND THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH AND ROANOKE VALLEYS. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE DAY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE LARGE TREES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS. && $$
833 WWUS71 KRNK 262010 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 310 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING...THEN AGAIN WEDNESDAY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS. .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TO NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY. AHEAD OF THIS LOW...A VERY STRONG WIND MAXIMUM AT RIDGE TOP LEVEL WILL SPREAD UP THE BLUE RIDGE LATE THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND STRONG WINDS COULD KNOCK DOWN TREES AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. THEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL BRING MORE WIDESPREAD STRONG WINDS TO COUNTIES BORDERING THE BLUE RIDGE. MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE HIGHER RIDGES ABOVE 2500 FEET. VAZ016-017-022>024-270415- /O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.131127T1100Z-131127T2300Z/ /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0007.131126T2100Z-131127T0500Z/ CARROLL-FLOYD-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALAX...FLOYD...ROANOKE...SALEM... FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA 310 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. * LOCATIONS...COUNTIES ALONG THE SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA BLUE RIDGE. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WITH SOME TREES DOWN ABOVE 3000 FEET THIS EVENING. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. * TIMING...THIS EVENING...AND THEN AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE LARGE TREES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS. && $$ VAZ013-014-018-019-262115- /O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.131127T1100Z-131127T2300Z/ PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RADFORD...PULASKI...BLACKSBURG... NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...COVINGTON 310 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE DECREASED IN SPEED...AND STRONG GUSTS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. $$ VAZ032-033-270415- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0007.131126T2100Z-131127T0500Z/ /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.131127T1100Z-131127T2300Z/ PATRICK-FRANKLIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STUART...ROCKY MOUNT 310 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...PATRICK AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES IN VIRGINIA. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WITH SOME TREES DOWN ABOVE 3000 FEET THIS EVENING. THEN GUSTY WINDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY WEDNESDAY AT ALL ELEVATIONS. * WINDS...THIS EVENING...SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTS TO 60 MPH...LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE LARGE TREES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS. && $$ VAZ034-035-270415- /O.EXA.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.131127T1100Z-131127T2300Z/ /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0007.131126T2100Z-131127T0500Z/ BEDFORD-AMHERST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEDFORD...AMHERST 310 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. * LOCATIONS...BEDFORD AND AMHERST COUNTIES IN VIRGINIA. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WITH SOME TREES DOWN ABOVE 3000 FEET THIS EVENING. THEN GUSTY WINDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY WEDNESDAY AT ALL ELEVATIONS. * WINDS...THIS EVENING...SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTS TO 60 MPH...LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THIS EVENING...AND THEN AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE LARGE TREES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS. && $$ NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-270415- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0007.131126T2100Z-131127T0500Z/ ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE... INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY 310 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * LOCATIONS...ELEVATIONS MAINLY ABOVE 3000 FEET NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE PARKWAY IN NORTH CAROLINA AND ADJOINING GRAYSON COUNTY VIRGINIA. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS. * WINDS...THIS EVENING...SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. * TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. * IMPACTS...TREES MAY BE UPROOTED...POSSIBLY FALLING ON POWERLINES AND CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING WILL BE HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS. && $$ NCZ003-019-270415- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.131127T1100Z-131127T2300Z/ SURRY-WILKES- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO 310 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...SURRY AND WILKES COUNTY IN NORTH CAROLINA. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE DAY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE LARGE TREES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS. && $$
768 WWUS71 KRNK 262159 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 459 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING...THEN AGAIN WEDNESDAY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS. .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TO NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY. AHEAD OF THIS LOW...A VERY STRONG WIND MAXIMUM AT RIDGE TOP LEVEL WILL SPREAD UP THE BLUE RIDGE LATE THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND STRONG WINDS COULD KNOCK DOWN TREES AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. THEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL BRING MORE WIDESPREAD STRONG WINDS TO COUNTIES BORDERING THE BLUE RIDGE. MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS... ESPECIALLY ALONG THE HIGHER RIDGES ABOVE 2500 FEET. VAZ032>035-270600- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-131127T0500Z/ /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.131127T1100Z-131127T2300Z/ PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STUART...ROCKY MOUNT...BEDFORD... AMHERST 459 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE IN VIRGINIA. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WITH SOME TREES DOWN ABOVE 3000 FEET THIS EVENING. THEN GUSTY WINDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY WEDNESDAY AT ALL ELEVATIONS. * WINDS...THIS EVENING...SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTS TO 60 MPH...LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE LARGE TREES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS. && $$ NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015>017-022>024-270500- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-131127T0500Z/ ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT- ROCKBRIDGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE... INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...GALAX...FLOYD... ROANOKE...SALEM...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA 459 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * LOCATIONS...ELEVATIONS MAINLY ABOVE 3000 FEET NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE PARKWAY. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS. * WINDS...THIS EVENING...SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. * TIMING...EARLY THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...TREES MAY BE UPROOTED...POSSIBLY FALLING ON POWERLINES AND CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING WILL BE HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS. && $$ NCZ003-019-270600- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.131127T1100Z-131127T2300Z/ SURRY-WILKES- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO 459 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...SURRY AND WILKES COUNTY IN NORTH CAROLINA. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE DAY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE LARGE TREES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS. && $$
220 WWUS71 KRNK 270056 AAA NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 756 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WEDNESDAY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS... .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TO NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY. VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS SYSTEM AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST INCREASES ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON. VAZ032>035-270900- /O.CAN.KRNK.HW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-131127T0500Z/ /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.131127T1100Z-131127T2300Z/ PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STUART...ROCKY MOUNT...BEDFORD... AMHERST 756 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING. * LOCATIONS...ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE IN VIRGINIA. * HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE LARGE TREES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS. && $$ NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015>017-022>024-270200- /O.CAN.KRNK.HW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-131127T0500Z/ ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT- ROCKBRIDGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE... INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...GALAX...FLOYD... ROANOKE...SALEM...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA 756 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THIS EVENING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT THIS EVENING. HOWEVER VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EARLY WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY WITH GUSTS TO 50 OR 60 MPH POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. $$ NCZ003-019-270900- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.131127T1100Z-131127T2300Z/ SURRY-WILKES- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO 756 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...SURRY AND WILKES COUNTY IN NORTH CAROLINA. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE DAY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE LARGE TREES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS. && $$
636 WWUS71 KRNK 270253 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 953 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WEDNESDAY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS... .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TO NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY. VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS SYSTEM AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST INCREASES ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON. NCZ003-019-VAZ032>035-271100- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.131127T1100Z-131127T2300Z/ SURRY-WILKES-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...STUART... ROCKY MOUNT...BEDFORD...AMHERST 953 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...ACROSS PARTS OF THE BLUE RIDGE INCLUDING THE FOOTHILLS. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE LARGE TREES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS. && $$
110 WWUS71 KRNK 270948 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 448 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013 ...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WEDNESDAY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS... .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA THIS MORNING TO NEW ENGLAND BY TONIGHT AND INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT DOES SO. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING THROUGH THE DAY. THESE WINDS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. VAZ035-271100- /O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.131127T1100Z-131127T2300Z/ AMHERST- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...AMHERST 448 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WHICH INCLUDES THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. $$ NCZ003-019-VAZ032>034-272100- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.131127T1100Z-131127T2300Z/ SURRY-WILKES-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...STUART... ROCKY MOUNT...BEDFORD 448 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...ACROSS PARTS OF THE BLUE RIDGE INCLUDING THE FOOTHILLS. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TIMING...FROM MID-MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING. * IMPACTS...SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE LARGE TREES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS. && $$ RAB
739 WWUS71 KRNK 271558 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1058 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013 ...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON IN THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS... .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA TO NEW ENGLAND AND INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT DOES SO. THIS WILL RESULT IN STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH A SATURATED GROUND MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. NCZ003-019-VAZ032>034-272300- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-131127T2300Z/ SURRY-WILKES-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...STUART... ROCKY MOUNT...BEDFORD 1058 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...ACROSS PARTS OF THE BLUE RIDGE INCLUDING THE FOOTHILLS. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY EVENING. * IMPACTS...SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE LARGE TREES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. A WIND ADVISORY CAN ALSO BE ISSUED WHEN WINDS ARE STRONG ENOUGH TO CAUSE DAMAGE. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS. && $$
155 WWUS71 KRNK 272209 AAA NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 509 PM EST WED NOV 27 2013 ...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING... .A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE OVER COASTAL NEW ENGLAND AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. THIS ALONG WITH COLDER AIR ALOFT MOVING INTO THE AREA WILL RESULT IN STRONGER NORTHWEST WINDS THIS EVENING BEFORE THE GRADIENT WEAKENS AFTER MIDNIGHT. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH A SATURATED GROUND MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. VAZ022>024-035-280500- /O.EXB.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-131128T0500Z/ ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-AMHERST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROANOKE...SALEM...FINCASTLE... LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...AMHERST 509 PM EST WED NOV 27 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. * LOCATIONS...ACROSS PARTS OF THE BLUE RIDGE INCLUDING THE FOOTHILLS. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE LARGE TREES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. A WIND ADVISORY CAN ALSO BE ISSUED WHEN WINDS ARE STRONG ENOUGH TO CAUSE DAMAGE. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS. && $$ NCZ003-019-VAZ032>034-280500- /O.EXT.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-131128T0500Z/ SURRY-WILKES-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...STUART... ROCKY MOUNT...BEDFORD 509 PM EST WED NOV 27 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * LOCATIONS...ACROSS PARTS OF THE BLUE RIDGE INCLUDING THE FOOTHILLS. * HAZARDS...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE LARGE TREES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. A WIND ADVISORY CAN ALSO BE ISSUED WHEN WINDS ARE STRONG ENOUGH TO CAUSE DAMAGE. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED INDOORS. && $$
539 WWUS71 KRNK 280340 AAA NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1040 PM EST WED NOV 27 2013 ...NORTHWEST WINDS TO SLOWLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT... NCZ003-019-VAZ022>024-032>035-280445- /O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-131128T0500Z/ SURRY-WILKES-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN- BEDFORD-AMHERST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...ROANOKE...SALEM... FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...STUART...ROCKY MOUNT... BEDFORD...AMHERST 1040 PM EST WED NOV 27 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. WIND GUSTS HAVE DROPPED BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS THIS EVENING AND THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST TO AROUND 35 OR 40 MPH DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE DIMINISHING WELL BEFORE SUNRISE ON THURSDAY. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 25, 11:35 PM EST, 4 hours 53 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 25, 11:35 PM EST, 4 hours 53 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1135 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE GULF COAST TONIGHT INTO EASTERN
NC/VA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND FINALLY NORTH INTO QUEBEC BY WED
NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A POTPOURRI OF WEATHER THROUGH WED
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE ENTERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST BY THURSDAY...AND
STICKS AROUND INTO SATURDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 1045 PM EST MONDAY...
QUICK UPDATE TO START THE ADVISORY RIGHT NOW OVER THE WEST SINCE
GETTING REPORTS OF SNOW ACCUMULATING ON ROADS ACROSS THE FAR SW.
LEAVING THE REMAINDER FROM ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE EAST STARTING AT 2
AM.
AS OF 825 PM EST MONDAY...
MID/LOW LEVEL DRY AIR PER EVENING SOUNDINGS AND LATEST OBS HAS
CONTINUED TO KEEP PRECIP FARTHER TO THE WEST THIS EVENING WITH
MOST PRECIP ON RADAR ALOFT AND JUST GOING TO SLOWLY MOISTEN THE
COLUMN ATTM. IN ADDITION THE LOW LEVEL FLOW REMAINS RATHER WEAK
AND SW JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE MAKING FOR LIMITED ISENTROPIC LIFT
AS THE BEST JET SUPPORT INCLUDING AXIS OF HIGHER DEWPOINTS LINGERS
ACROSS THE TN VALLEY. BOTH THE LATEST RAP AND HRRR HAVE DELAYED
THE ONSET OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIP UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR THE MOST
PART WEST AND UNTIL THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OUT EAST. SINCE THIS
LOOKS IN LINE WITH THE LATEST TRENDS...HAVE DELAYED ONSET OF POPS
ACROSS THE REGION FOR COUPLE HOURS BEFORE THINGS REALLY MOISTEN
AND PRECIP QUICKLY INCREASES ESPCLY BLUE RIDGE AND ACROSS THE
SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. EVENING RAOBS AND SURFACE OBS INDICATE STILL
LOTS OF ROOM FOR WET BULB COOLING ALTHOUGH TREND OUT WEST HAS BEEN
FOR DEWPOINTS TO RISE WITHOUT MUCH COOLING AS PRECIP EVAPORATES
BEFORE REACHING THE SURFACE. THIS SUPPORTS KEEPING A MIXED BAG BUT
A LITTLE MORE SNOW WEST AT THE ONSET WITH SOME CHANCE OF
SNOW/SLEET EAST THEN MOSTLY FZRA/SLEET. ADJUSTED TEMPS DOWN SOME
FOR CURRENT READINGS WITH MOST LIKELY NOT DROPPING TOO MUCH MORE
UNTIL HEAVIER PRECIP ARRIVES.
MAIN ADJUST TO HEADLINES WAS TO EXTEND THE GOING ADVISORY LONGER
INTO THE AFTERNOON ON TUESDAY FOR AMHERST/BOTETOURT COUNTIES
GIVEN FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWING TEMPS UNABLE TO GET MUCH ABOVE
FREEZING UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY. THIS MAY ALSO BE THE CASE ON THE
NORTH SIDE OF HIGHWAY 460 IN ROANOKE AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES BUT
HELD THOSE AREAS AT A NOON EXPIRATION FOR NOW GIVEN POTENTIAL FOR
THAT AREA TO SEE WARMING FROM HEAVIER RAINFALL THROUGH THE WARM
LAYER SOONER.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION AS OF 250 PM EST MONDAY...
DURING THIS TIME PERIOD WILL BE DEALING WITH NUISANCE WINTER WX
WHERE PRECIP ARRIVES INTO THE NC MTNS/FAR SW VA BEFORE MIDNIGHT
OVERSPREADING THE REGION BY DAWN. SUNSHINE CAME OUT TODAY OVER MOST
OF THE AREA ALLOWING TEMPS TO CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING AND AROUND 40 IN
SOUTHSIDE VA/FAR SW VA. DEWPOINTS HOWEVER ARE TANKED IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS. HENCE LIES THE PROBLEM TONIGHT. UPSTREAM CLOUDS ALREADY
POURING BACK IN AND THIS MAY HELP IN TERMS OF NOT ALLOWING TEMPS TO
DROP TOO FAR AFTER SUNSET AS CLOUDS ACT AS A BLANKET. THEN...AS THE
PRECIP ARRIVES...GIVEN THE DRY AIR IT MAY TAKE AN HOUR OR TWO TO
SATURATE THE LOW LVLS BUT ONCE IT DOES...THE TEMP/DEWPOINT PROFILE
WILL HEAD TOWARD CRITICAL LEVELS FOR WINTER PRECIP. AT THE ONSET THE
TEMPS SHOULD BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SLEET OR SNOW THEN CHANGE QUICKLY TO
FREEZING RAIN AS STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW BRINGS A WARM NOSE
INTO THE MTNS AFTER MIDNIGHT AND REACHING OUR NRN CWA BY MID
MORNING. WITH INSITU WEDGE AND SFC WET BULBING TO AT OR BELOW ZERO
WITH WARM NOSE...FREEZING RAIN WILL BECOME AN ISSUE. GROUND HAS
TURNED COLDER AS EVIDENCE BY SOIL TEMPS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
THERE WILL BE A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SLEET OR SNOW AT THE
ONSET...LESS THAN AN INCH...THEN QUICKLY CHANGING TO FZRA WITH
GLAZING EXPECTED ALONG TREE/POWERLINES AND METAL OBJECTS FIRST THEN
BRIDGES/OVERPASSES. BASED ON RAINFALL RATE AND WARM AIR ALOFT THE
ACCRETION OF ICE WILL BE IN A 2-4 HOUR WINDOW AS THE BETTER LIFT
TAKES PLACE AFTER 12Z...ALLOWING THE RATES TO INCREASE AND DRAG DOWN
WARMER AIR. MODERATE TO HEAVIER RAINFALL USUALLY DOES NOT STICK TO
ROADS VERY WELL WHEN SFC TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR FREEZING.
NEED MORE LIKE MID TO UPPER 20S OR LOWER.
STILL THERE SEEMS TO BE ENOUGH EVIDENCE THAT MOST OF OUR CWA WILL
GET AT LEAST A TRACE OF ICE WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE
FROM BOONE/BLOWING ROCK NORTH TO BUENA VISTA/AMHERST. ALSO THE
ALLEGHANY HIGHLAND SHOULD SEE UP TO 2/10S. IT ONLY TAKES A TRACE OF
ICE TO CAUSE TRAVEL PROBLEMS. BASED ON THIS AND COLLABORATION WITH
SURROUNDING NWS OFFICES...WE HAVE A WINTER WX ADVISORY OUT FOR THE
ENTIRE CWA FOR TONIGHT-MIDDAY/AFTERNOON TUESDAY...ENDING EARLIER
IN THE SOUTH.
TEMPS THIS EVENING WILL START FALLING SLOWLY THEN DROP A LITTLE MORE
ONCE PRECIP ARRIVES ALOFT LEADING TO EVAP COOLING. LOOKING AT LOWS
FROM THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30...THEN WARMING GRADUALLY TO ABOVE
FREEZING DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...FIRST IN THE FAR SW VA/SRN WV AREA
OUTSIDE THE WEDGE AND INTO WRN NC MTNS ALONG THE TN BORDER...THEN
SOUTHSIDE VA/NW NC PIEDMONT EXPANDING NORTHWARD BY AFTERNOON TO THE
NRN BLUE RIDGE. COULD BE A DEAL WHERE SOME VALLEYS ACROSS
BATH/ROCKBRIDGE/AMHERST TAKE INTO TUE EVENING...BUT THINK THE WARMER
RAIN AND HIGHER RATES TO BRING IT UP. FOR MOST OF US...THE ICE WILL
BE MELTED AND GONE BY MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS EXPECTED TO
BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S SOUTH...TO LOWER 30S NORTH. BUT WILL BE
DEALING WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES COLD NOVEMBER RAINS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 340 PM EST MONDAY...
GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN
BEGINNING TO PHASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND BECOME ONE SYSTEM WEDNESDAY.
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TRACKING ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL OPEN OVER THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND MERGE WITH THE NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH ENTERING
THE OHIO VALLEY BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER
GEORGIA ON TUESDAY EVENING WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE LEE SIDE
OF THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THE
NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH BECOMES DOMINATE...A SECONDARY SURFACE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE VIRGINIA PIEDMONT TUESDAY NIGHT...THEN
LIFT TO NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY. BY WEDNESDAY EVENING...THE SFC LOW
WILL BE LOCATED OVER MAINE WITH TRAILING COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING ACROSS OUR REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
THE RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. JET DYNAMICS AND LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH PASSING SURFACE AND
SHORTWAVES WILL BRING HIGH RAINFALL RATES TO THE AREA. COLDER AIR
WILL PUSH INTO OUR REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. RAIN
WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW STARTING ALONG THE HIGHER ELEVATION THEN
ACROSS THE REST ON WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE WILL PULL OUT OF MOST OF THE
AREA WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. NORTHWEST UPSLOPE SNOW
SHOWERS AND SNOW FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. POTENTIAL STORM TOTAL SNOW FOR THE MOUNTAINS WILL LIKELY
RANGE FROM 1-4 INCHES TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH UPWARDS OF
4 TO 6 INCHES ON WESTERN SLOPES TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
LIGHTER AMOUNTS OF SNOW EXPECTED GENERALLY LESS THAN INCH IN THE
EAST. INCREASING WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS.
STRONG PRESSURE RISES AND COLD AIR ADVECTION ALONG WITH A 45-55KT
CROSS BARRIER JET WILL BRING SUSTAIN WINDS OF 20-30 MPH GUSTING TO
AROUND 50 MPH FOR COUNTIES ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE...PARTICULARLY THE
NORTH CAROLINA HIGH COUNTY AND GRAYSON HIGHLANDS. WIND SPEED WILL BE
CLOSE TO ADVISORY LEVELS. WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING HEADLINES FOR
SNOW AND WINDS FOR NOW TO AVOID CONFUSION WITH ONGOING EVENT. ONE
SET OF HEADLINES WILL BE REPLACED BY ANOTHER SET EVERY 6-12 HOURS.
PLAN TO HIGHLIGHT THE POTENTIAL IN HWO. AS THIS SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND
MATURES OVER THE REGION...EVERYONE SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR RAPIDLY
CHANGING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU ARE TRAVELING ALONG THE EAST
COAST THIS WEEK.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 1245 PM EDT MONDAY...
LARGE SCALE PATTERN TRANSITIONS TO ZONAL FLOW WITH SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS RESULTS IN SLOWLY
MODERATING TEMPERATURES...YET SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEASONABLE
AVERAGES EVEN BY SUNDAY. ALSO THINKING HIGHER CLOUDS WILL BECOME
MORE PREVALENT BY SUNDAY WHICH WOULD KEEP HIGHS DOWN SOMEWHAT. LONG
TERM MODELS GENERALLY IN AGREEMENT THAT NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL
MATERIALIZE IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE SUNDAY AND THEN QUICKLY
APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY.
RIGHT NOW THE 00Z ECWMF IS A LITTLE FASTER THAN THE 12Z GFS AND
GIVEN THE GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW PATTERN THIS FASTER IDEA IS
FAVORED...ESPECIALLY AS A STRONGER SYSTEM DIGS INTO THE WESTERN U.S.
AND EJECTS THIS WAVE OUT ACROSS THE PLAINS AND TOWARDS THE
APPALACHIANS. THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE WEAKENING AND RETREATING AS
THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES BY EARLY MONDAY BUT AIRMASS APPEARS THAT IT
WILL MODERATE ENOUGH SO THAT PRECIP TYPE REMAINS JUST RAIN. HOWEVER
IT WILL BE WORTH KEEPING AN EYE ON THE TIMING OF PRECIP ARRIVAL AND
STRENGTH OF LINGERING HIGH...AS WELL AS HOW LOW INITIAL WET BULB
TEMPERATURES ARE WHEN PRECIP ARRIVES. CANT RULE OUT SOME POCKETS OF
FREEZING RAIN IF THIS COMES IN OVERNIGHT...BUT AT THIS POINT STILL A
LONG WAY OFF.
&&
.AVIATION /04Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 1130 PM EST MONDAY...
BAND OF MIXED SNOW AND SLEET CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST TOWARD THE
BLUE RIDGE AND SHOULD BRING SOME -SN TO KBCB/ROA OVER THE NEXT HOUR
OR TWO BEFORE COVERAGE BRIEFLY FADES. THIS WILL RESULT IN LOWERING
CIGS TO MVFR OVER THE WEST BEFORE MORE SIGNIFICANT MIXED PRECIP
ARRIVES WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT. THUS LOOKING AT DETERIORATING FLYING
WEATHER AS THE NIGHT WEARS ON WITH WIDESPREAD LOW CIGS AND AT
LEAST MVFR VSBYS OVER THE WEST BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY WHEN PRECIP
SHOULD TAKE THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN. FARTHER EAST EXPECTING LYH
TO START AS FZRA WITH PERHAPS A BIT OF SN/PL WITH THE INITIAL
BATCH. DAN WILL BE BORDERLINE ON FZRA BUT TEMPS SHOULD BE HUGGING
32-33F AT THE SFC SO INCLUDED A HOUR OR TWO OF -FZRA THERE EARLY
TUESDAY. WARM NOSE ALOFT TO CHANGE FZRA TO RAIN AT ALL SITES
AROUND MIDDAY TUESDAY ALTHOUGH SPOTS LIKE KLWB/KLYH MAY KEEP -FZRA
INTO MID OR LATE AFTERNOON. RAIN BECOMES HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY
AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY AT BCB/ROA/LYH/DAN. WILL EXPECT TO SEE
FLUCTUATIONS IN CIGS/VSBYS BASED ON RAINFALL RATES BUT OVERALL
SHOULD BE IFR TO LIFR WITH MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS LIKELY. WITH THE
STRONG SE FLOW ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL ALSO BE SEEING LLWS
POTENTIAL AT ALL LOCATIONS THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY AS LATEST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE 35-45 KTS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE ESPCLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. THEREFORE INCLUDED LLWS AT MOST SPOTS FOR STRONG SOUTH
TO SE FLOW DEVELOPING RIGHT AFTER SUNRISE ON TUESDAY.
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TUESDAY NIGHT WITH LOCATIONS
ACROSS SE WVA TRANSITIONING BACK TO SNOW BY EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS
WILL KEEP LOW IFR/LIFR CIGS AND MVFR TO IFR VSBYS GOING TUESDAY
NIGHT AS THE CORE OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE
AREA.
RAIN CHANGES TO A SIGNIFICANT UPSLOPE EVENT BY WED WITH PERHAPS A
TRAILING DEFORMATION BAND OF SNOW WORKING EAST TOWARD THE BLUE
RIDGE WED MORNING. THIS MAY RESULT IN A FEW INCHES OF SNOW
ACCUMULATION AROUND KBLF/KLWB AND POSSIBLY A LIGHT AMOUNT EAST TO
KBCB. WIND WILL ALSO BECOME AN ISSUE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS WITH NW
WIND GUSTS TO 45 KTS OR MORE WED WITH A SIGNIFICANT COASTAL LOW
MOVING ACROSS COASTAL NEW ENGLAND.
RAPID IMPROVEMENT WILL OCCUR ON THURSDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM
PULLS AWAY AND DRIER AIR WORKS IN...RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD VFR
CONDITIONS. VFR THEN CONTINUES UNDER HIGH PRESSURE FOR FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
AS OF NOON EST MONDAY...
MODEL CONSENSUS AND HPC GUIDANCE GENERALLY IN THE 2 TO 3 INCH RANGE
OF LIQUID QPF FOR THE IMPENDING STORM EVENT ALTHOUGH SOME SREF
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS SHOWING OVER 4 INCHES BY ABOUT 12Z WEDNESDAY THE
27TH. QUESTION IS WHAT IMPACT THE RUNOFF FROM THIS WILL HAVE ON AREA
STREAMS AND RIVERS. POINT ONE IS THAT RIVERS ARE STARTING OFF AT
VERY LOW LEVELS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE LOWER PORTIONS OF OUR RIVER
BASINS...ACROSS THE PIEDMONT. USGS DAILY STREAMFLOW PERCENTILES AS
OF THIS MORNING ARE SHOWING NEARLY ALL PIEDMONT RIVER AND STREAM
LOCATIONS RUNNING AT FLOWS BELOW THE 25TH PERCENTILE FOR THE DATE
AND SOME BELOW THE 10TH PERCENTILE. THIS ALSO HOLDS TRUE FOR MUCH OF
THE UPPER JAMES RIVER BASIN. 60-DAY RAINFALL DEFICITS HAVE BECOME
QUITE SIGNIFICANT...REACHING 4 TO 6 INCHES IN MANY OF THESE BASINS
OR AROUND 25 PERCENT OF NORMAL. DETERMINISTIC RIVER FORECASTS ISSUED
THIS MORNING BY THE FOUR RFCS SERVING THE BLACKSBURG HYDRO SERVICE
AREA INCLUDE 48 HOURS OF QPF THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY OF GENERALLY 2 TO
2.5 INCHES. AT OF THIS PACKAGE NO RIVERS ARE FORECAST TO REACH FLOOD
STAGE OR EVEN ACTION STAGE (GENERALLY A FEW FEET BELOW FLOOD STAGE)
ALTHOUGH SEVERAL COME CLOSE...INCLUDING THE NORTH FORK HOLSTON RIVER
AT SALTVILLE AND GREENBRIER RIVER AT ALDERSON. THAT SAID HYDROLOGIC
MODELS TEND TO HAVE SOME DIFFICULTY AFTER EXTENDED DRY PERIODS IN
HANDLING RUNOFF WHICH IS GENERALLY MUCH MORE EFFICIENT IN THE COOL
SEASON. HENCE...THE RESPONSE ON RIVERS REMAINS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN
BUT NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH. NOT EXPECTING MUCH
IF ANY CONVECTION WITH THIS STORM SO RAINFALL RATES SHOULD REMAIN
MODEST..IN THE 0.10 TO 0.25 INCH PER HOUR RANGE. BUT HIGHER RAINFALL
RATES IN ANY ELEVATED STORMS THAT ARE ABLE TO DEVELOP COULD LEAD TO
LOCALIZED RUNOFF PROBLEMS. THESE COULD BE HANDLED WITH SHORT-FUSE
HYDROLOGIC PRODUCTS..FLOOD ADVISORIES OR EVEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS
BUT THE LIKELIHOOD AT THIS POINT IS QUITE LOW FOR THIS TO OCCUR.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY FOR VAZ018>020-
023-024-035.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY FOR VAZ007-
009>017.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY FOR VAZ022-
032>034-043>047-058-059.
NC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY FOR NCZ001-002-
018.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY FOR NCZ003>006-
019-020.
WV...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY FOR WVZ045.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY FOR WVZ042>044.
&&
SYNOPSIS...RAB/WP
NEAR TERM...JH/WP
SHORT TERM...KK
LONG TERM...SK
AVIATION...JH/RAB/WP
HYDROLOGY...PCHazardous weather outlook, Nov 25, 10:50 PM EST, 5 hours 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1050 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013 VAZ007-009>014-WVZ042>044-270400- TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-MERCER-SUMMERS- MONROE- 1050 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN BY EARLY AFTERNOON TUESDAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY...WITH RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME FRAME. BY WEDNESDAY...PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW...WITH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 4 INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE MOUNTAIN EMPIRE INTO WEST VIRGINIA. IN ADDITION...WINDS GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ003-019-VAZ022-032>034-270400- SURRY-WILKES-ROANOKE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD- 1050 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO NOON EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY...WITH RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME FRAME. WINDS GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE BEHIND A COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. VAZ023-270400- BOTETOURT- 1050 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY...WITH RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME FRAME. WINDS GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE BEHIND A COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. VAZ018>020-024-WVZ045-270400- CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROCKBRIDGE-GREENBRIER- 1050 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY...WITH RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME FRAME. BY WEDNESDAY...PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW...WITH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 4 INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE ALLEGHANYS. IN ADDITION...WINDS GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ004>006-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-270400- STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-YADKIN-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL- APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE- 1050 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO NOON EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. FREEZING RAIN CHANGES TO ALL RAIN BY MIDDAY TUESDAY. HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. VAZ035-270400- AMHERST- 1050 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY...WITH RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME FRAME. WINDS GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE BEHIND A COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015>017-270400- ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD- 1050 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN BY EARLY AFTERNOON TUESDAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY...WITH RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES LATE DURING THIS TIME FRAME. BY WEDNESDAY...PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW...WITH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 4 INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE ALLEGHANYS. IN ADDITION...WINDS GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Nov 26, 1:08 AM EST, 3 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
108 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1245 AM SNOW SIMMONSVILLE 37.38N 80.37W
11/26/2013 M0.1 INCH CRAIG VA TRAINED SPOTTER
OBSERVER REPORTED THAT SNOW HAD CHANGED TO FREEZING
RAIN WITH TEMPERATURES OF 25.6F.
&&
EVENT NUMBER RNK1301456
RABLocal storm report, Nov 26, 1:10 AM EST, 3 hours 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
110 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 AM SNOW BLACKSBURG 37.23N 80.42W
11/26/2013 M0.1 INCH MONTGOMERY VA NWS OFFICE
SNOW HAD CHANGED TO LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET.
&&
EVENT NUMBER RNK1301457
RABLocal storm report, Nov 26, 1:31 AM EST, 2 hours 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
131 AM EST TUE NOV 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0130 AM SNOW MARION 36.83N 81.50W
11/26/2013 M0.5 INCH SMYTH VA TRAINED SPOTTER
SNOW HAD CHANGED TO FREEZING RAIN.
&&
EVENT NUMBER RNK1301458
RABThe office that day
Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 5:43 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | RNK | Bath, Bland, Giles, Grayson, Smyth, Tazewell and 1 more | 9 hr |
| Nov 26, 11:05 AM EST | Flood Watch | RNK | Amherst, Bedford, Botetourt, Carroll, Floyd, Franklin and 12 more | 18 hr |
| Nov 26, 11:22 AM EST | High Wind Warning | RNK | Amherst, Bedford, Botetourt, Carroll, Floyd, Franklin and 9 more | 9 hr |
| Nov 26, 3:00 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | RNK | Grayson, Smyth, Tazewell | 32 hr |
| Nov 26, 3:00 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | RNK | Alleghany, Amherst, Bath, Bland, Botetourt, Carroll and 15 more | 32 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Virginia, 2013Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2013Every wind advisory in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.