Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Blacksburg, VA

January 30, 201310 counties in Virginia

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 30, 2013, 4:52 PM EST for 10 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 53 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 30, 2013, 4:52 PM EST (21:52 UTC)
Expired
Jan 30, 2013, 5:45 PM EST
In force
53 min
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Alleghany County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 30, 5:05 PM ESTTSTM WND GST 622 Wnw Stewartsville, VA
Jan 30, 5:55 PM ESTTSTM WND DMG2 Se Pleasant View, VATREES DOWN OFF BUFFALO SPRINGS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 13 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 30, 3:42 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 65 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2013-01-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2013-01-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 299 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
561 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
299 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
488 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

824 
WUUS51 KRNK 302152
SVRRNK
VAC005-009-019-023-161-163-515-530-678-680-770-302245-
/O.NEW.KRNK.SV.W.0004.130130T2152Z-130130T2245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
452 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EXTREME EAST CENTRAL ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  AMHERST COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  BOTETOURT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  CITY OF BEDFORD IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  CITY OF BUENA VISTA IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  CITY OF LEXINGTON IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  CITY OF LYNCHBURG IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  CITY OF ROANOKE IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EASTERN ROANOKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 545 PM EST

* AT 446 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE 
  THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 
  70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 
  COLLIERSTOWN TO BOONES MILL...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 
  MILES SOUTHEAST OF CLIFTON FORGE CITY TO 7 MILES SOUTH OF 
  ROANOKE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ROANOKE...                       LYNCHBURG CITY...
  WAYNESBORO...                    FOREST...
  STEWARTSVILLE...                 COLLIERSTOWN...
  ROCKBRIDGE BATHS...              BUENA VISTA CITY...
  BEDFORD CITY...                  MONTVALE...
  FORKS OF BUFFALO...              AMHERST...
  CLIFFORD...                      BUCHANAN...
  BIG ISLAND...                    GLASGOW...
  TROUTVILLE...                    EAGLE ROCK...
  ELON...                          AND HOLLINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND 
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY. MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR TO AN INTERIOR 
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY SHELTER NOW. EVACUATE MOBILE 
HOMES AND MOVE INSIDE A STURDIER STRUCTURE. IF NONE IS AVAILABLE...
SEEK SHELTER IN A DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD.

IN ADDITION TO STRONG DAMAGING WINDS... TORRENTIAL RAINS MAY FLOOD 
LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. DO NOT DRIVE INTO 
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE 
OR LARGER HAIL...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING 
DOWNED TREES OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND 
PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3823 7875 3738 7906 3714 8004 3781 7977
TIME...MOT...LOC 2151Z 245DEG 43KT 3776 7969 3717 7994 

$$

AS
4 follow-up statements
615 
WWUS51 KRNK 302159
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
459 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAC005-009-019-023-161-163-515-530-678-680-770-302245-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130130T2245Z/
BEDFORD VA-CITY OF ROANOKE VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-AMHERST VA-
CITY OF LEXINGTON VA-CITY OF LYNCHBURG VA-ROANOKE VA-BOTETOURT VA-
ALLEGHANY VA-CITY OF BUENA VISTA VA-CITY OF BEDFORD VA-
459 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EST 
FOR
BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY IN WEST 
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...AMHERST COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EASTERN 
ROANOKE...BOTETOURT...EXTREME EAST CENTRAL ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN WEST 
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...THE CITY OF ROANOKE...THE CITY OF LEXINGTON...THE 
CITY OF LYNCHBURG...THE CITY OF BUENA VISTA AND THE CITY OF 
BEDFORD...

AT 455 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 
ROCKBRIDGE BATHS TO STEWARTSVILLE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 
MILES SOUTH OF GOSHEN TO MONTVALE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROANOKE...                       LYNCHBURG CITY...
FOREST...                        STEWARTSVILLE...
COLLIERSTOWN...                  ROCKBRIDGE BATHS...
BUENA VISTA CITY...              BEDFORD CITY...
MONTVALE...                      FORKS OF BUFFALO...
BUCHANAN...                      BIG ISLAND...
GLASGOW...                       TROUTVILLE...
EAGLE ROCK...                    ELON...
CAVE SPRING...                   HOLLINS...
MADISON HEIGHTS...               AND VESUVIUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND 
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY. MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR TO AN INTERIOR 
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY SHELTER NOW. EVACUATE MOBILE 
HOMES AND MOVE INSIDE A STURDIER STRUCTURE. IF NONE IS AVAILABLE...
SEEK SHELTER IN A DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD.

IN ADDITION TO STRONG DAMAGING WINDS... TORRENTIAL RAINS MAY FLOOD 
LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. DO NOT DRIVE INTO 
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE 
OR LARGER HAIL...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING 
DOWNED TREES OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND 
PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3787 7915 3781 7917 3780 7913 3739 7906
      3721 7978 3723 7979 3722 7980 3722 7987
      3718 7990 3715 8000 3717 8003 3781 7977
      3799 7932
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 239DEG 59KT 3789 7949 3730 7974 

$$

AS
815 
WWUS51 KRNK 302216
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
516 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAC005-770-302225-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130130T2245Z/
CITY OF ROANOKE VA-ALLEGHANY VA-
516 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND 
THE CITY OF ROANOKE IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3787 7915 3781 7917 3780 7913 3739 7906
      3721 7978 3723 7978 3722 7980 3722 7987
      3790 7955 3799 7932
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 266DEG 26KT 3795 7926 3736 7956 

$$

VAC009-019-023-161-163-515-530-678-680-302245-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130130T2245Z/
BEDFORD VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-AMHERST VA-CITY OF LEXINGTON VA-
CITY OF LYNCHBURG VA-ROANOKE VA-BOTETOURT VA-CITY OF BUENA VISTA VA-
CITY OF BEDFORD VA-
516 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EST 
FOR BEDFORD...ROCKBRIDGE...AMHERST...EXTREME EAST CENTRAL 
ROANOKE...EASTERN BOTETOURT COUNTY...THE CITY OF LEXINGTON...THE 
CITY OF LYNCHBURG... THE CITY OF BUENA VISTA AND THE 
CITY OF BEDFORD...

AT 512 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 
BROWNSBURG TO BEDFORD CITY...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES 
EAST OF ROCKBRIDGE BATHS TO 9 MILES EAST OF MONTVALE...MOVING EAST 
AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LYNCHBURG CITY...                FOREST...
STEWARTSVILLE...                 COLLIERSTOWN...
ROCKBRIDGE BATHS...              BUENA VISTA CITY...
BEDFORD CITY...                  MONTVALE...
FORKS OF BUFFALO...              BUCHANAN...
BIG ISLAND...                    GLASGOW...
ELON...                          MADISON HEIGHTS...
VESUVIUS...                      COLEMAN FALLS...
NAOLA...                         GOODE...
BOONSBORO...                     AND ALTO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND 
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY. MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR TO AN INTERIOR 
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY SHELTER NOW. EVACUATE MOBILE 
HOMES AND MOVE INSIDE A STURDIER STRUCTURE. IF NONE IS AVAILABLE...
SEEK SHELTER IN A DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD.

IN ADDITION TO STRONG DAMAGING WINDS... TORRENTIAL RAINS MAY FLOOD 
LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. DO NOT DRIVE INTO 
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE 
OR LARGER HAIL...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING 
DOWNED TREES OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND 
PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3787 7915 3781 7917 3780 7913 3739 7906
      3721 7978 3723 7978 3722 7980 3722 7987
      3790 7955 3799 7932
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 266DEG 26KT 3795 7926 3736 7956 

$$

AS
270 
WWUS51 KRNK 302231
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
531 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAC161-678-302240-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130130T2245Z/
CITY OF LEXINGTON VA-ROANOKE VA-
531 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL ROANOKE COUNTY AND THE CITY OF LEXINGTON IS 
CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3787 7915 3781 7917 3780 7913 3739 7906
      3721 7978 3796 7928
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 273DEG 27KT 3795 7910 3735 7946 

$$

VAC009-019-023-163-515-530-680-302245-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130130T2245Z/
BEDFORD VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-AMHERST VA-CITY OF LYNCHBURG VA-
BOTETOURT VA-CITY OF BUENA VISTA VA-CITY OF BEDFORD VA-
531 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EST 
FOR NORTHEASTERN BEDFORD...SOUTHEASTERN 
ROCKBRIDGE...AMHERST...EXTREME EAST CENTRAL BOTETOURT COUNTY...THE 
CITY OF LYNCHBURG...THE CITY OF BUENA 
VISTA AND THE CITY OF BEDFORD...

AT 530 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES 
NORTH OF MONTEBELLO TO BEDFORD CITY...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 
13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WAYNESBORO TO 9 MILES WEST OF FOREST...MOVING 
EAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LYNCHBURG CITY...                FOREST...
BUENA VISTA CITY...              BEDFORD CITY...
FORKS OF BUFFALO...              BIG ISLAND...
GLASGOW...                       ELON...
MADISON HEIGHTS...               VESUVIUS...
COLEMAN FALLS...                 NAOLA...
GOODE...                         BOONSBORO...
ALTO...                          CORNWALL...
FAIRFIELD...                     PLEASANT VIEW...
ORONOCO...                       AND THAXTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO STRONG DAMAGING WINDS... TORRENTIAL RAINS MAY FLOOD 
LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. DO NOT DRIVE INTO 
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE 
OR LARGER HAIL...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING 
DOWNED TREES OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND 
PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3787 7915 3781 7917 3780 7913 3739 7906
      3721 7978 3796 7928
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 273DEG 27KT 3795 7910 3735 7946 

$$

AS
765 
WWUS51 KRNK 302250
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
550 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAC019-023-009-163-680-530-515-302300-
/O.EXP.KRNK.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130130T2245Z/
BEDFORD VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-AMHERST VA-CITY OF LYNCHBURG VA-
BOTETOURT VA-CITY OF BUENA VISTA VA-CITY OF BEDFORD VA-
550 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN 
BEDFORD...SOUTHEASTERN ROCKBRIDGE...AMHERST...EXTREME EAST CENTRAL 
BOTETOURT COUNTY...THE CITY OF LYNCHBURG...THE CITY OF BUENA 
VISTA AND THE CITY OF BEDFORD HAS EXPIRED...
    
THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER 
HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 3787 7915 3781 7917 3780 7913 3739 7906
      3721 7978 3796 7928
TIME...MOT...LOC 2250Z 245DEG 43KT 3795 7910 3735 7946 

$$

AS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 30, 4:28 PM EST, 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 4:28 PM EST, 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
428 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL THROUGH THE AREA...BRINGING A PERIOD OF
HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG THIS EVENING...FOLLOWED BY FALLING
TEMPERATURES AND MORE GUSTY WINDS LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
COLD AIR WILL PERSIST FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND...WITH PERIODIC EPISODES OF SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY MAINLY
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 400 PM WEDNESDAY...

QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEM (QLCS - SQUALL LINE) WILL RACE
EAST OF MAIN COLD FRONT THIS EVENING. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NUMBER 22 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10PM ALONG AND EAST OF BLUE RIDGE TO
ACCOUNT FOR THIS FAST MOVING LINE OF SEVERE SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE
OF THIS LINE OF CONVECTION.

AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE QLCS SHOULD SEE A LULL IN THE
WIND...ALTHOUGH PERIODS OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...MAY CONTINUE UP
UNTIL THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LATER TONIGHT. SURFACE COLD FRONT IS
CURRENTLY MOVING EAST THROUGH THE OHIO/TN VALLEYS AND IS PROGGED
TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT...BRINING AN ABRUPT CHANGE
IN TEMPERATURE AND SHIFT IN WIND DIRECTION. ANY LULL IN THE WIND
PRIOR TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL INCREASE AGAIN POST FRONTAL WITH
STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION BRINGING STRONG WIND GUSTS AND FALLING
TEMPERATURES FOR THE LATE NIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
THURSDAY.

HAVE EXTENDED THE HIGH WIND WARNINGS/ADVISORIES THROUGH 4PM
THURSDAY TO ACCOUNT FOR BOTH PRE AND POST FRONTAL WINDS. FLASH
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXPANDED EAST THROUGH SOUTHSIDE VA THROUGH
MIDNIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR VERY HEAVY RAIN ANTICIPATED FROM THE
QLCS. THE NORTH END OF THE SQUALL LINE APPEARS TO BE MOVING FASTER
THAN THE SOUTH END...THUS THINK THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL OCCUR OVER
THE DAN RIVER BASIN.

AT SOME POINT MAY NEED TO CONSIDER WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES FOR
THE FAR WESTERN CWA...FROM WESTERN GREENBRIER...SOUTHWARD THROUGH
BLUEFIELD AND INTO THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA. RAPID FALL
IN TEMPERATURE IS EXPECTED AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT WHICH
WILL RESULT IN CHANGE OVER FROM RAIN TO SNOW. THIS CHANGE IS
PROGGED TO TAKE PLACE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW ACROSS THESE MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS.

WINDS/CLOUDS/MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. FROM THAT POINT ON...IT WILL BE BACK TO
WINTER WITH TEMPS AND PTYPE RESEMBLING SOMETHING MORE TYPICAL OF
JANUARY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 415 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

WARM WEATHER IS OVER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

POLAR AIR WHICH COMES INTO THE AREA THURSDAY WILL BE REINFORCED BY
SOME ARCTIC AIR THURSDAY NIGHT. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WILL PASS ACROSS THE AREA TOWARD MIDNIGHT THURSDAY... PASSING OFF
THE MID ATLANTIC COAST EARLY FRIDAY. WINDS AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM
WILL BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST ALLOWING SOME MOISTURE TO POOL INTO THE
REGION. THIS SYSTEM WILL STILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AS THE GULF IS
BEING BLOCKED BY A SURFACE RIDGE. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BRING ONE
TO THREE INCHES OF DRY SNOW TO THE FAR WEST AND A DUSTING TO AN
INCH FOR COUNTIES ALONG AND JUST WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. CAN NOT
RULE OUT SCATTERED FLURRIES PUSHING EAST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE...POSSIBLY IN TO THE PIEDMONT EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

BEHIND THIS DISTURBANCE...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SURGE INTO THE
REGION DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. 85H TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
PLUNGE TO NEAR -16C IN THE AFTERNOON...SUGGESTING SURFACE TEMPS
WILL STRUGGLE TO GET ABOVE FREEZING EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...AND
REMAIN IN THE 20S WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. FRIDAY NIGHT LOOKS TO
BE THE COLDEST OF THE UPCOMING NIGHT THIS WEEKEND...CLEAR SKIES
AND DIMINISHING WINDS ALLOWING FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD IS DOMINATED BY WEST OR NORTHWEST FLOW AND
SOME DEGREE OF COLD ADVECTION UNDER LARGE LONG WAVE TROUGH THAT
PERSISTS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF NORTH AMERICA...HOWEVER OVER TIME
THE AMPLITUDE OF THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY AS WE GO THROUGH
NEXT WEEK.  HOW MUCH THIS DIMINISHES...AS WELL AS THE TIMING OF A
FEW CLIPPER SYSTEMS THAT WILL PROVIDE A RE-ENFORCING SHOT OF COLDER
AIR AND SNOW SHOWER POTENTIAL...REMAINS SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION AS
THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN MUCH OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE THROUGH THIS
PERIOD.

BEGINNING SATURDAY HOWEVER...GUIDANCE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH BY LATE IN THE DAY
AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH THE 00Z ECMWF AND 12Z CANADIAN A
LITTLE FASTER AND A LITTLE COLDER. 12Z GFS A BIT STRONGER WITH THIS
SYSTEM...BUT ALSO SOMEWHAT MILDER ON SATURDAY BEFORE IT ARRIVES WITH
WEAK WARM ADVECTION.  GFS ENSEMBLES ALSO SUGGEST THE OPERATIONAL GFS
IS ON THE WARMER SIDE OF THE POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS...SO EVEN THOUGH
WILL NOT GO AS COLD AS THE ECMWF MOS NUMBERS...WILL STAY A FEW DEG
COOLER THAN GFS-BASED NUMBERS. HAVE ALSO INTRODUCED SOME HIGH CHC TO
LOW LIKELY POPS IN THE FAR WEST AS EARLY AS LATE IN THE DAY
SATURDAY. WOULD EXPECT PRECIP TO ARRIVE EARLIER THAN THE GFS...AND
MAYBE EARLIER THAN THE ECMWF GIVEN THE TYPICAL BIAS OF THE MODELS IN
THESE SITUATIONS. STILL LOOKS LIKE A FAIRLY MINOR NW FLOW SNOWFALL
EVENT FOR THE UPSLOPE AREAS...YET A FEW INCHES IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION. MAYBE EVEN A SKIFF FARTHER EAST UP TOWARD THE BLUE RDG IF
THE STRONGER GFS IDEA ENDS UP BEING CORRECT.

COOL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THAT...AND THE DEGREE OF COLD
AIR ADVECTION IS UNCERTAIN YET DOES NOT LOOK ESPECIALLY STRONG.  00Z
ECMWF BUILDS WEAK S/WV RIDGE IN FOR MONDAY ACTUALLY...AHEAD OF THE
NEXT SYSTEM. FASTER SOLUTIONS SUGGEST THIS NEXT CLIPPER COULD ARRIVE
BY LATE MONDAY...BUT CONSENSUS LOOKS MORE LIKE LATE MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY. HAVE A SLIGHT CHC IN LATE MONDAY THOUGH AGAIN BECAUSE
OF MODEL BIASES TYPICALLY NOT FAST ENOUGH.  THIS IS LIKELY TO BE
MORE MINOR EVENT IN TERMS OF ANY SNOW SHOWER ACCUMULATIONS IN
TYPICAL UPSLOPE AREAS COMPARED TO WEEKEND EVENT...YET FAR ENOUGH OUT
THAT THERE IS PLENTY OF TIME FOR POTENTIAL AMPLIFICATION AND
CANADIAN IS MOST AGRESSIVE WITH THIS IDEA.

FINALLY BY WEDNESDAY THERE ARE SIGNS OF LARGE SCALE FLOW BECOMING
INCREASINGLY ZONAL...ESPECIALLY GFS SOLUTIONS...BUT SOME DEGREE OF
NW FLOW MAY CONTINUE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK SO NOT EXPECTING ANY MAJOR
WARM UPS THROUGH MID WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING FAIRLY
SEASONABLE. BETTER CHANCE FOR WARM UP MAY COME LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 1245 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

PRIMARILY MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA INTO
TONIGHT AS A BROAD AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS PROGRESSES INTO THE AREA
IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. ALSO...IN ADVANCE OF
THESE SHOWERS...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW IS HELPING TO MAINTAIN RAIN
ALONG AND NEAR THE CREST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. THIS SAME SOUTHERLY
JET WILL HELP MAINTAIN GUSTY CONDITIONS AT THE
SURFACE...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL
EXIT EASTWARD OUT OF THE REGION WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
HOWEVER...STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT WILL HELP
MAINTAIN MVFR CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
WEST VIRGINIA AND NEIGHBORING SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
THROUGH THURSDAY.

UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE...BUT DECREASE IN COVERAGE
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE REST OF THE AREA WILL SEE VFR
CONDITIONS.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS VFR CONDITIONS TO THE ENTIRE AREA FOR
THE START OF THE WEEKEND. GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE
CLIPPER THROUGH MONDAY.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND LOCALIZED
MVFR CONDITIONS TO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
1-2 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN AREAS OF SMALL STREAM AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. RIVERS
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO RESPOND WITH SIGNIFICANT RISES ANTICIPATED.

THE MAIN THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE IN THE MOUNTAINOUS AREAS
WHERE WATER WILL QUICKLY FILL DRAINAGES. THE RIVER WHICH WILL BE
MOST SUSEPTIBLE TO RIVER FLOODING WILL BE THE DAN RIVER WHERE
SIGNIFICANT RAINS OCCURRED DURING THE LAST HEAVY RAIN EVENT FROM A
WEEK TO 10 DAYS AGO. OTHER RIVERS TO WATCH...ESP IN THE
MOUNTAINS...CLINCH/HOLSTON/GREENBRIER AND WATAUGA.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTER BROADCASTING FROM WYTHEVILLE
IS BACK ON THE AIR. THE SITE LOST COMMERCIAL POWER AND IS NOW
OPERATING ON GENERATOR POWER.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR VAZ007-
     009>020-032-033-043-044-058.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR VAZ011-013-014-
     016>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR VAZ007-009-010-
     012-015.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NCZ001>006-
     018>020.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ002>006-019-020.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ001-018.
WV...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR WVZ042>045.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR WVZ043>045.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR WVZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PM
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...SK
AVIATION...DS
HYDROLOGY...PM
EQUIPMENT...PM
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 30, 3:55 PM EST, 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NCZ001-018-VAZ012-015-312100-
ASHE-WATAUGA-WYTHE-GRAYSON-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

VAZ007-009-010-WVZ042-312100-
TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-MERCER-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

VAZ019-020-WVZ043>045-312100-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

VAZ022>024-034-035-045>047-059-312100-
ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-BEDFORD-AMHERST-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-
BUCKINGHAM-CHARLOTTE-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE.

VAZ011-014-018-312100-
GILES-MONTGOMERY-CRAIG-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

NCZ002>006-019-020-VAZ013-016-017-032-033-043-044-058-312100-
ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-PULASKI-
CARROLL-FLOYD-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-HALIFAX-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

DS

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 30, 2:31 PM EST, 2 hours 21 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
231 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NCZ001-018-VAZ009-012-015-302030-
WATAUGA NC-ASHE NC-SMYTH VA-GRAYSON VA-WYTHE VA-
231 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  WATAUGA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  ASHE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  SMYTH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  WESTERN GRAYSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN WYTHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 330 PM EST

* AT 228 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF SHOWERS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SALTVILLE
  TO BULADEAN...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF
  CHILHOWIE TO 10 MILES EAST OF ERWIN...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS BAND OF
  SHOWERS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BOONE...                         TODD...
  MARION...                        SALTVILLE...
  CHILHOWIE...                     JEFFERSON...
  BLOWING ROCK...                  SPEEDWELL...
  SUGAR GROVE...                   BEECH MOUNTAIN...
  TROUTDALE...                     MOUTH OF WILSON...
  WHITETOP...                      ASHLAND...
  LANSING...                       SANDS...
  LOVILL...                        RUTHERWOOD...
  SILVERSTONE...                   MEAT CAMP...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3636 8179 3634 8176 3634 8171 3641 8174
      3647 8170 3653 8171 3663 8161 3680 8170
      3693 8183 3683 8114 3658 8130 3657 8136
      3653 8134 3612 8162 3611 8181 3619 8185
      3622 8191 3627 8189 3629 8192
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 285DEG 31KT 3686 8181 3612 8223

JH
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 3:22 PM EST, 1 hour 30 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
322 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ010>014-016-017-022-032-033-302115-
GILES VA-FRANKLIN VA-BLAND VA-PATRICK VA-CARROLL VA-WYTHE VA-
PULASKI VA-ROANOKE VA-FLOYD VA-MONTGOMERY VA-
322 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN GILES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME WESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN BLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN PATRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN WYTHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  PULASKI COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN ROANOKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  FLOYD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 415 PM EST

* AT 320 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROCKY
  GAP TO WYTHEVILLE TO CRIPPLE CREEK...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
  FROM 8 MILES EAST OF BLUEFIELD TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF MAX MEADOWS
  TO SPEEDWELL...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. VERY HEAVY
  RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADWAYS AND
  QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BLACKSBURG...                    NEWPORT...
  PILOT...                         CHRISTIANSBURG...
  RADFORD...                       INDIAN VALLEY...
  ROCKY GAP...                     ALLISONIA...
  PULASKI...                       WYTHEVILLE...
  POPLAR HILL...                   DUBLIN...
  BENT MOUNTAIN...                 COPPER HILL...
  SHAWSVILLE...                    MAX MEADOWS...
  WOOLWINE...                      FLOYD...
  WILLIS...                        PRICES FORK...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3702 8109 3727 8114 3730 8102 3728 8011
      3693 8004 3664 8017 3691 8115
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 275DEG 39KT 3722 8107 3702 8102 3686 8109

JH
Local storm report, Jan 30, 4:10 PM EST, 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
410 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0311 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DUBLIN                  37.12N  80.70W
01/30/2013                   PULASKI            VA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STRUCTURE COLLAPSE AND SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN DUBLIN

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1300381

JVC
Local storm report, Jan 30, 4:18 PM EST, 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
418 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0341 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DUBLIN                  37.12N  80.70W
01/30/2013                   PULASKI            VA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STRUCTURE COLLAPSE AND SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN DUBLIN

&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME

EVENT NUMBER RNK1300381

JVC
Local storm report, Jan 30, 4:42 PM EST, 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
442 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0403 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WNW BLACKSBURG        37.24N 80.43W
01/30/2013                   MONTGOMERY         VA   STORM CHASER

            5 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS DOWN ON VIRGINIA TECH GOLF
            COURSE NEAR PRICES FORK ROAD.

&&

SK
Local storm report, Jan 30, 4:46 PM EST, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
446 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SE BOONE              36.20N 81.66W
01/30/2013                   WATAUGA            NC   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            STREAM OUT OF ITS BANKS AND FLOWIONG OVER DEERFIELD ROAD
            AT THE MEDICAL CENTER.

&&

SK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 30, 4:24 AM ESTFlash Flood WatchRNKAlleghany, Amherst, Bath, Bedford, Bland, Botetourt and 28 more21 hr
Jan 30, 10:07 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKBland, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe53 min
Jan 30, 10:30 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKSmyth, Tazewell30 min
Jan 30, 11:12 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKBland, Smyth, Tazewell63 min
Jan 30, 12:13 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKGiles47 min
Jan 30, 12:58 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKAlleghany, Bath, Bland, Craig, Giles, Pulaski and 3 more62 min
Jan 30, 1:51 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKAlleghany, Bath, City of Covington54 min
Jan 30, 2:31 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKSmyth59 min
Jan 30, 2:59 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKGrayson, Smyth, Wythe61 min
Jan 30, 3:22 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKFloyd, Montgomery, Pulaski, Wythe, City of Radford53 min
Jan 30, 3:27 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBland, Carroll, Floyd, Giles, Grayson, Montgomery and 5 more63 min
Jan 30, 3:31 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKBland, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe6 hr
Jan 30, 3:56 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKCarroll, Grayson, City of Galax6 hr
Jan 30, 4:02 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Bedford, Botetourt, Craig, Franklin, Giles and 4 more58 min
Jan 30, 4:19 PM ESTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyRNKGrayson10 hr
Jan 30, 4:57 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKAlleghany, Bath, Bedford, Botetourt, Craig, Floyd and 8 more6 hr
Jan 30, 5:02 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKCarroll, Floyd, Franklin, Grayson, Montgomery, Patrick and 3 more6 hr
Jan 30, 5:34 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRNKBland, Carroll, Craig, Floyd, Giles, Grayson and 6 more18 hr
Jan 30, 5:48 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Appomattox, City of Lynchburg42 min
Jan 30, 6:19 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRNKAlleghany, Bath6 hr
Jan 30, 6:23 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKBedford, Campbell, Henry, Pittsylvania, City of Martinsville52 min
Jan 30, 6:25 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningRNKCarroll, Floyd, Franklin, Grayson, Montgomery, Patrick and 2 more6 hr
Jan 30, 6:32 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKBuckingham58 min
Jan 30, 6:39 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningRNKAlleghany, Amherst, Bath, Bedford, Botetourt, Craig and 8 more6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Virginia, 2013Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.