Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 3, NWS Blacksburg, VA

January 30, 2013Monroe County, West Virginia; 10 counties in Virginia

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 30, 2013, 4:02 PM EST for Monroe County, West Virginia; 10 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 58 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 30, 2013, 4:02 PM EST (21:02 UTC)
Expired
Jan 30, 2013, 5:00 PM EST
In force
58 min
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Alleghany County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Craig County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Giles County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Monroe County, WV

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 30, 4:03 PM ESTTSTM WND DMG1 Wnw Blacksburg, VA5 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS DOWN ON VIRGINIA TECH GOLF COURSE NEAR PRICES FORK ROAD.
Jan 30, 5:05 PM ESTTSTM WND GST 622 Wnw Stewartsville, VA

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 1 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 30, 3:42 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 50 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2013-01-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2013-01-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 299 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
561 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
299 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
488 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

854 
WUUS51 KRNK 302102
SVRRNK
VAC005-019-023-045-067-071-121-161-515-770-775-WVC063-302200-
/O.NEW.KRNK.SV.W.0003.130130T2102Z-130130T2200Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
402 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHWESTERN BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  BOTETOURT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  CITY OF BEDFORD IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  CITY OF ROANOKE IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  CITY OF SALEM IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  CRAIG COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME NORTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME EASTERN GILES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  ROANOKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 500 PM EST

* AT 359 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE 
  THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 
  70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEW 
  CASTLE TO ELLISTON-LAFAYETTE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 
  PAINT BANK TO BENT MOUNTAIN...AND MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ROANOKE...                       BLACKSBURG...
  SALEM CITY...                    CATAWBA...
  CHRISTIANSBURG...                STEWARTSVILLE...
  BEDFORD CITY...                  MONTVALE...
  BENT MOUNTAIN...                 BUCHANAN...
  SHAWSVILLE...                    TROUTVILLE...
  ORISKANY...                      EAGLE ROCK...
  PAINT BANK...                    NEW CASTLE...
  SINKING CREEK...                 HUFFMAN...
  MAGGIE...                        SIMMONSVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT GET CAUGHT OUTSIDE. SEEK SHELTER IN A STRONG BUILDING AND 
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND 
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY. MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR TO AN INTERIOR 
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY SHELTER NOW. EVACUATE MOBILE 
HOMES AND MOVE INSIDE A STURDIER STRUCTURE. IF NONE IS AVAILABLE...
SEEK SHELTER IN A DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE 
OR LARGER HAIL...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING 
DOWNED TREES OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND 
PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3781 7976 3769 7967 3766 7968 3761 7959
      3730 7934 3703 8048 3752 8051
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 249DEG 50KT 3754 8018 3720 8017 

$$

JH
2 follow-up statements
036 
WWUS51 KRNK 302136
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
436 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAC071-WVC063-302144-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130130T2200Z/
GILES VA-MONROE WV-
436 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
EXTREME EASTERN GILES AND SOUTHEASTERN MONROE COUNTIES IS 
CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3781 7976 3769 7967 3766 7968 3761 7959
      3730 7934 3703 8048 3767 8012
TIME...MOT...LOC 2134Z 250DEG 49KT 3770 7997 3711 8022 

$$

VAC005-019-023-045-067-121-161-515-770-775-302200-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130130T2200Z/
BEDFORD VA-CITY OF ROANOKE VA-CITY OF SALEM VA-MONTGOMERY VA-
ROANOKE VA-CRAIG VA-FRANKLIN VA-BOTETOURT VA-ALLEGHANY VA-
CITY OF BEDFORD VA-
436 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST 
FOR
NORTHWESTERN BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EASTERN 
MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...ROANOKE COUNTY IN WEST 
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EASTERN CRAIG COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
EXTREME NORTHERN FRANKLIN...BOTETOURTEXTREME SOUTHERN ALLEGHANY 
COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...THE CITY OF ROANOKE...THE CITY OF 
SALEM AND THE CITY OF BEDFORD...

AT 433 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ORISKANY 
TO CROCKETT SPRINGS...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTH 
OF COVINGTON CITY TO COPPER HILL...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH. PENNY SIZE 
HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE DAMAGING WINDS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROANOKE...                       SALEM CITY...
CATAWBA...                       CHRISTIANSBURG...
STEWARTSVILLE...                 BEDFORD CITY...
MONTVALE...                      BENT MOUNTAIN...
BUCHANAN...                      SHAWSVILLE...
TROUTVILLE...                    EAGLE ROCK...
ORISKANY...                      NEW CASTLE...
CAVE SPRING...                   POAGES MILL...
HOLLINS...                       ROANOKE AIRPORT...
GOODVIEW...                      AND VINTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT GET CAUGHT OUTSIDE. SEEK SHELTER IN A STRONG BUILDING AND 
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND 
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY. MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR TO AN INTERIOR 
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY SHELTER NOW. EVACUATE MOBILE 
HOMES AND MOVE INSIDE A STURDIER STRUCTURE. IF NONE IS AVAILABLE...
SEEK SHELTER IN A DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE 
OR LARGER HAIL...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING 
DOWNED TREES OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND 
PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3781 7976 3769 7967 3766 7968 3761 7959
      3730 7934 3703 8048 3767 8012
TIME...MOT...LOC 2133Z 250DEG 49KT 3770 7997 3711 8022 

$$

AS
280 
WWUS51 KRNK 302155
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
455 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAC161-121-005-775-023-045-019-067-515-770-302204-
/O.EXP.KRNK.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130130T2200Z/
BEDFORD VA-CITY OF ROANOKE VA-CITY OF SALEM VA-MONTGOMERY VA-
ROANOKE VA-CRAIG VA-FRANKLIN VA-BOTETOURT VA-ALLEGHANY VA-
CITY OF BEDFORD VA-
455 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
NORTHWESTERN BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EASTERN 
MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...ROANOKE COUNTY IN WEST 
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EASTERN CRAIG COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
EXTREME NORTHERN FRANKLIN...BOTETOURT...EXTREME SOUTHERN ALLEGHANY 
COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...THE CITY OF ROANOKE...THE CITY OF 
SALEM AND THE CITY OF BEDFORD WILL EXPIRE AT 500 PM EST...
    
THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER 
HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT 
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
BLACKSBURG.

LAT...LON 3781 7976 3769 7967 3766 7968 3761 7959
      3730 7934 3703 8048 3767 8012
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 249DEG 50KT 3770 7997 3711 8022 

$$

AS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 30, 1:12 PM EST, 2 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 1:12 PM EST, 2 hours 50 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
112 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINS...AND
STRONG...POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS TO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE FRONT MOVES OFF THE COAST THURSDAY MORNING WHILE
COLDER AIR MOVES BACK IN TO END THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 100 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE BIGGEST ADJUSTMENT FOR THE AFTERNOON IS THE CANCELLATION OF
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH. THE BEST PUSH OF THE COLDER AIR
REMAINED NORTH OF THE REGION...AND THE SECTION OF THE LINE THAT
REACHED OUR AREA LOST ITS MOMENTUM. THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON...WE EXPECT WHAT IS LEFT OF THE LINE TO CONTINUE HEADING
EAST WITH RAIN SHOWERS BEHIND IT. RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO OCCUR
ALONG AND NEAR THE CREST OF THE BLUE RIDGE AS STRONG SOUTHERLY
FLOW CONTINUES. REDEVELOPMENT OF THE LINE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING IS POSSIBLE AS IT ENTERS SOUTHSIDE VIRGINIA AND
NEIGHBORING PORTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

AS OF 945 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

MORNING UPDATE REFLECTS INCREASED CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION IN THE
WEST WITH THE TIMING OF THE ARRIVAL OF THE LINE OF SHOWERS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE CONVECTIVE WATCH. ALONG THE CREST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE...HAVE RAMPED POPS TO CATEGORICAL WHERE LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY
FLOW IS PRODUCING A GENEROUS COVERAGE OF LIGHT RAIN. HAVE MADE
ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPERATURES...DEW POINTS AND SKY COVER BASED UPON
THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND EXPECTED TRENDS THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON.

AS OF 830 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED THROUGH 400 PM FOR
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA AND SOME NEIGHBORING PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA. THE CONCERN IS DAMAGING COINCIDENT TO THE PASSAGE OF A
SQUALL LINE APPROACHING THE REGION FROM EASTERN KENTUCKY. VERY
LITTLE IF ANY THUNDER IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE SQUALL LINE.
HOWEVER...IF ANY WARNINGS ARE NEEDED THEY WOULD BE ISSUED AS A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING.

AS OF 345 AM WEDNESDAY...

PATTERN IS MORE LIKE MARCH THAN LATE JANUARY. WE WILL BE DEALING
WITH SEVERAL WEATHER ISSUES THIS PERIOD.

FIRST...LIGHT SHOWERS CONTINUE TO MOVE NE ALONG THE SOUTHERN BLUE
RIDGE THIS MORNING...AND SHOULD SEE SOME INCREASE IN COVERAGE
THROUGH THE MORNING GIVEN INCREASING SOUTHERLY COMPONENT IN THE LOW
LVLS. THE WINDS WILL BE THE FIRST TO CAUSE ISSUES LATER THIS
MORNING...AS 50-70 KNOT LOW LVL JET MOVES FROM THE OHIO VALLEY/TN
EAST-NORTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. THE SFC COMPONENT WILL
BE FAVORABLE AT LEAST FOR A FEW HOURS FOR WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE
SFC AND GUST OVER 55 MPH IN PORTIONS OF SRN WV/FAR SW VA AND NW
NC....HENCE THE HIGH WIND WARNING. THIS WILL BE SOMEWHAT INHIBITED
BY THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND RAINFALL MOVING IN.

THE BIG ISSUE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SVR WX AND FLASH FLOODING
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. SQUALL LINE LINED UP FROM WRN
INDIANA SOUTH ALONG THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY IS GOING TO ADVANCE
EAST AND ANTICIPATING IT REACHING THE MTNS BETWEEN 21Z-00Z...THEN
KICKING EAST INTO THE PIEDMONT AFTER 01Z AND EXITING THE CWA AROUND
MIDNIGHT...WITH LINGERING SHOWERS THEREAFTER. THE SVR THREAT WILL
COME FROM THE STRONG WIND ENERGY WITH THIS SYSTEM. WE HAVE WIND
ADVISORIES POSTED AHEAD OF THIS GIVEN POTENTIAL MIXING DOWN OF 45+
MPH WINDS. THE INSTABILITY STILL APPEARS LIMITED GIVEN CLOUD
COVER...BUT A FEW BREAKS MAY OCCUR IN THE MTN EMPIRE. DONT EXPECT TO
SEE TOO MUCH LIGHTNING WITH THIS.

THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT SEEMS GREATER IN THE MOUNTAINS GIVEN THE
ALIGNMENT OF THE LINE OF CONVECTION AND PWATS OF 1.00 TO 1.5 WHICH
FOR LATE JANUARY IS MAXED OUT. HPC HAS THE MOUNTAINS IN A SLIGHT
RISK OF EXCEEDING FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE AND MODERATE RISK OVER
GREENBRIER AND BATH COUNTIES. GIVEN SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS AND
SOME LINGERING SNOW COVER...HAVE DECIDED TO GO WITH A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE MOUNTAIN COVERAGE AREA...LEAVING OUT ROA/SRN
SHENANDOAH VALLEY...ALTHOUGH THEY COULD GET SOME ISOLATED THREAT.
THIS FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL RUN FROM NOON TIL MIDNIGHT AS MOST OF
THE HEAVIER RAINS WILL OCCUR FROM MID AFTERNOON TIL EVENING.

DESPITE THE CLOUDS AND INCREASING SHOWERS...TEMPS SHOULD BE ABLE TO
PUSH INTO THE 60S WEST AND LOWER TO MID 70S SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER...THE
RECORD HIGHS FOR THIS DATE SEEM JUST OUT OF REACH. BLF IS CLOSEST
WITH FORECAST HIGH OF 67 AND RECORD HIGH OF 69 SET IN 2002.

FOR TONIGHT...THERE WILL BE SOMEWHAT OF A LULL IN WINDS ONCE THE
QLCS PUSHES EAST BUT THEN PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS AND 6 HR
PRESSURE RISES OF 5-8 MB WILL BRING ANOTHER SURGE OF STRONG WINDS
ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION INTO THE AREA MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT
BUT MORE LIKELY TOWARD DAWN. WILL LEAVE OUR WIND HEADLINES AS
IS...AS THIS WILL COVER MORE OF THE PREFRONTAL STUFF...AND LET LATER
SHIFTS REARRANGE AND/OR EXPAND IT IN TIME AS WE GET CLOSER.

THE OTHER ISSUE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT WILL BE SNOW SHOWERS ON THE
UPSLOPE. MODELS ARE SHOWING A QUICK BURST OF 1/2 TO 2 INCHES IN THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF WRN ASHE/WATAUGA AND THE SE WV MTNS. MAY NEED A
WINTER WX ADVISORY FOR THIS...AS THE STRONG COLD ADVECTION PLUS SNOW
AND WET GROUND COULD LEAD TO SOME VERY SLICK ROADS. WILL MENTION IN
THE HWO.

TEMPS TONIGHT WILL VARY AND IF THE FRONT SLOWS ANOTHER 1 TO 2
HOURS...PLACES LIKE DANVILLE MAY STAY IN THE 50S. FOR NOW THINK THE
COOLER AIR ARRIVES AROUND DAWN TO SEND THE PIEDMONT DOWN INTO THE
LOWER 40S WHILE THE MTNS ARE DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
30S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 345 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

HOPE YOU HAVE ENJOYED THE WARM...WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THE
PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. COME THURSDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL NOT REACH
NORMAL AND LIKELY FALL THROUGH THE DAY. COMBINING THE COLD AIR AND
WINDY CONDITIONS...WIND CHILLS WILL VARY FROM THE UPPER TEENS TO MID
20S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS TO MID 20S TO LOWER 30S EAST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE THURSDAY. WEST WINDS AND MOISTURE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL
KEEP SNOW SHOWERS ON WESTERN SLOPES INTO MID AFTERNOON. WITH ONLY A
BRIEF UPSLOPE EVENT...AMOUNTS ON WESTERN SLOPES WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO
3 INCHES. BOTH THE WIND AND THE SNOW TAPER OFF BY THURSDAY EVENING.

A DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE QUICKLY FROM THE OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY
EVENING TO THE MID ATLANTIC SHORE FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS AHEAD OF
THIS SYSTEM WILL BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST ALLOWING SOME MOISTURE TO
POOL INTO THE REGION. THIS SYSTEM WILL STILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AS
THE GULF IS BEING BLOCKED BY A SURFACE RIDGE. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL
BRING ONE TO TWO INCHES OF DRY SNOW TO THE FAR WEST AND A DUSTING TO
AN INCH FOR COUNTIES ALONG AND JUST WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. CAN NOT
RULE OUT SCATTERED FLURRIES PUSHING EAST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE...POSSIBLY IN TO THE PIEDMONT FRIDAY MORNING.

BEHIND THIS DISTURBANCE...MORE COLDER AIR WILL SURGE INTO THE REGION
FRIDAY. 85H TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AFTERNOON ARE FORECASTED AROUND
-8C. BEHIND FRIDAY DISTURBANCE...85H TEMPERATURES ARE FORECASTED TO
BE -16C IN THE AFTERNOON. IN OTHER WORDS...TEMPERATURES THURSDAY
WILL RANGE BETWEEN 30F-45F...FRIDAY 20F-35F. THE SNOW AND THE WIND
WILL TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
WEST. HOWEVER...THE COLD AIR WILL LINGER INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 305 PM EST TUESDAY...

A LONG WAVE TROF REMAINS OVER THE EASTERN CONUS FOR THE WEEKEND. SFC
HIGH CENTERED ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY WILL MOVE EAST INTO
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. A CLIPPER-LOW AND ATTENDING SURFACE COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST SATURDAY AND TRAVELS ACROSS FORECAST AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THE GFS SUGGEST THAT A COUPLE OF
INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE WESTERN UPSLOPE
AREAS. THE ECMWF HINTS AT LIGHTER SNOW TOTALS. KEPT SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE NORTHWEST UPSLOPE FLOW FOR SUNDAY MORNING INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON
LEANING TOWARDS GFS THEN TAPER OFF AS THE TROF AXIS MOVES FURTHER
INTO THE ATLANTIC.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE CENTER LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS GREAT
LAKES AND PUSHES A COLD FRONT TOWARDS OUR REGION MONDAY. THE COLD
FRONT ADVANCES ACROSS OUR REGION MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THE
GFS DEVELOPS A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OFF THE VIRGINIA COAST MONDAY
NIGHT AND LIFTS IT NORTHWARD ON TUESDAY. THE GFS SOLUTION
INDICATED THAT MORE SNOW...SEVERAL INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WESTERN UPSLOPE AREAS ON MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. WENT WITH
SCATTERED POPS FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AND WILL WATCH FOR
FURTHER RUNS TO SEE EVOLUTION AND DETAILS OF THIS STORM FOR EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 1245 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

PRIMARILY MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA INTO
TONIGHT AS A BROAD AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS PROGRESSES INTO THE AREA
IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. ALSO...IN ADVANCE OF
THESE SHOWERS...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW IS HELPING TO MAINTAIN RAIN
ALONG AND NEAR THE CREST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. THIS SAME SOUTHERLY
JET WILL HELP MAINTAIN GUSTY CONDITIONS AT THE
SURFACE...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL
EXIT EASTWARD OUT OF THE REGION WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
HOWEVER...STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT WILL HELP
MAINTAIN MVFR CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
WEST VIRGINIA AND NEIGHBORING SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
THROUGH THURSDAY.

UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE...BUT DECREASE IN COVERAGE
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE REST OF THE AREA WILL SEE VFR
CONDITIONS.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS VFR CONDITIONS TO THE ENTIRE AREA FOR
THE START OF THE WEEKEND. GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE
CLIPPER THROUGH MONDAY.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND LOCALIZED
MVFR CONDITIONS TO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
POTENTIAL FOR AN INCH OR TWO OF RAIN WITH THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOME POSSIBILITY FOR EVEN HIGHER. MAIN THREAT IS
FLASH FLOODING GIVEN CONVECTIVE NATURE OF THE SYSTEM...AND GROUND
BEING SATURATED.

WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR RIVERS COMING BACK UP AFTER THE RECENT WET
SPELL...MAINLY IN THOSE RIVERS IN THE MOUNTAINS LIKE THE
CLINCH/HOLSTON/GREENBRIER AND WATAUGA.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTER BROADCASTING FROM WYTHEVILLE
IS BACK ON THE AIR. THE SITE LOST COMMERCIAL POWER AND IS NOW
OPERATING ON GENERATOR POWER.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR VAZ007-
     009>020.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR VAZ011-013-014-
     016>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NCZ001-002-
     018.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NCZ002>006-019-
     020.
WV...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR WVZ042>045.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR WVZ043>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WP
NEAR TERM...DS/WP
SHORT TERM...RCS
LONG TERM...KK
AVIATION...DS
HYDROLOGY...
EQUIPMENT...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 30, 3:55 PM EST, 7 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NCZ001-018-VAZ012-015-312100-
ASHE-WATAUGA-WYTHE-GRAYSON-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

VAZ007-009-010-WVZ042-312100-
TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-MERCER-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

VAZ019-020-WVZ043>045-312100-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

VAZ022>024-034-035-045>047-059-312100-
ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-BEDFORD-AMHERST-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-
BUCKINGHAM-CHARLOTTE-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE.

VAZ011-014-018-312100-
GILES-MONTGOMERY-CRAIG-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

NCZ002>006-019-020-VAZ013-016-017-032-033-043-044-058-312100-
ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-PULASKI-
CARROLL-FLOYD-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-HALIFAX-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

DS

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 30, 11:12 AM EST, 4 hours 50 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1112 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ007-009>012-015-019-WVZ042>045-301715-
SMYTH VA-GILES VA-TAZEWELL VA-BLAND VA-GRAYSON VA-WYTHE VA-
ALLEGHANY VA-MERCER WV-SUMMERS WV-GREENBRIER WV-MONROE WV-
1112 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SMYTH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME WESTERN GILES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  TAZEWELL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  BLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN GRAYSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  WESTERN WYTHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  MERCER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  SUMMERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  GREENBRIER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  WESTERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 1215 PM EST

* AT 1109 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG RAIN SHOWERS ENTERING WESTERN PORTIONS
  OF SMYTH AND TAZEWELL COUNTIES IN VIRGINIA...AND WESTERN
  MERCER...SUMMERS AND GREENBRIER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST WEST
  VIRGINIA.

* WHILE VERY LITTLE LIGHTNING HAS BEEN OBSERVED ALONG THIS LINE...WE
  HAVE RECEIVED NUMEROUS REPORTS OF WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 50
  MPH AS THIS LINE PASSED THROUGH PORTIONS OF WEST VIRGINIA AND
  KENTUCKY. THESE WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN TREES AND
  LARGE TREE LIMBS. POWER LINES MAY ALSO BE BLOWN DOWN AND POWER
  OUTAGES MAY OCCUR.

* IN ADDITION TO STRONG WINDS...HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE LINE
  AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA...WHICH MAY RESULT IN SLICK ROADS AND
  LOW VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD BE EXTRA CAUTIOUS AND BE AWARE FOR ANY DEBRIS BLOWN
INTO THE ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3805 8027 3807 7996 3770 8028 3770 8042
      3687 8125 3677 8126 3664 8162 3715 8190
      3724 8174 3721 8155 3727 8142 3758 8119
      3771 8097 3768 8088 3782 8094 3787 8075
      3806 8080 3810 8088 3808 8071 3827 8044
TIME...MOT...LOC 1609Z 278DEG 26KT 3853 8044 3698 8201

16
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 12:13 PM EST, 3 hours 49 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1213 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ011-019-020-WVZ042>045-301800-
GILES VA-BATH VA-ALLEGHANY VA-MERCER WV-SUMMERS WV-GREENBRIER WV-
MONROE WV-
1213 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  GILES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHWESTERN BATH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHWESTERN ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN MERCER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  CENTRAL SUMMERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  GREENBRIER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 100 PM EST

* AT 1205 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG RAIN SHOWERS PASSING ACROSS EXTREME
  SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA AT AROUND 35 MPH...EXPECTED TO PASS INTO
  VIRGINIA BY 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

* WHILE VERY LITTLE LIGHTNING HAS BEEN OBSERVED ALONG THIS
  LINE...AUTOMATED WEATHER OBSERVING STATIONS HAVE REPORTED A FEW
  WIND GUSTS IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE AS THIS LINE PASSED THROUGH
  PORTIONS OF WEST VIRGINIA EARLIER TODAY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BLUEFIELD...                     PRINCETON...
  WARM SPRINGS...                  HOT SPRINGS...
  LEWISBURG...                     POPLAR HILL...
  PEARISBURG...                    WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD BE CAUTIOUS FOR ANY DEBRIS BLOWN INTO THE ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3820 7960 3757 8032 3724 8061 3715 8086
      3719 8087 3718 8089 3727 8101 3730 8098
      3724 8122 3727 8128 3813 8037 3805 8027
      3804 8016 3806 7997 3811 7993 3818 7992
      3826 7981
TIME...MOT...LOC 1705Z 291DEG 26KT 3818 8013 3673 8168

16
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 12:58 PM EST, 3 hours 4 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1258 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ009>014-018>020-023-024-WVZ042-044-045-301900-
GILES VA-SMYTH VA-CRAIG VA-BLAND VA-BATH VA-MONTGOMERY VA-
BOTETOURT VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-WYTHE VA-PULASKI VA-ALLEGHANY VA-
MERCER WV-MONROE WV-GREENBRIER WV-
1258 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  GILES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  CENTRAL SMYTH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  CRAIG COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  BLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  BATH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN BOTETOURT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  WYTHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHWESTERN PULASKI COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MERCER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 200 PM EST

* AT 1253 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING SHOWERS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF
  BURNSVILLE TO RURAL RETREAT...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 18
  MILES NORTH OF GOSHEN TO CERES...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE SHOWERS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  NEWPORT...                       PULASKI...
  WYTHEVILLE...                    BLAND...
  MARION...                        JORDAN MINES...
  COVINGTON CITY...                WARM SPRINGS...
  CLIFTON FORGE CITY...            HOT SPRINGS...
  POPLAR HILL...                   PEARISBURG...
  DUBLIN...                        NARROWS...
  RURAL RETREAT...                 SPEEDWELL...
  MOUNTAIN LAKE...                 PETERSTOWN...
  UNION...                         MAX MEADOWS...

LAT...LON 3803 7939 3677 8110 3678 8167 3817 7978
TIME...MOT...LOC 1753Z 270DEG 48KT 3825 7951 3697 8127

JH
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 1:51 PM EST, 2 hours 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
151 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ019-020-024-WVZ044-045-301945-
BATH VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-ALLEGHANY VA-GREENBRIER WV-MONROE WV-
151 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  BATH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHWESTERN ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 245 PM EST

* AT 145 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A SHOWER WITH GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN NEAR ORGAN
  CAVE...OR 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RONCEVERTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55
  MPH. ADDITIONAL FAST MOVING SHOWERS MAY ALSO AFFECT THE REGION AS
  A MORE WIDESPREAD AREA OF SHOWERS MOVES IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH 3
  PM.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS SHOWER.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  COVINGTON CITY...                WARM SPRINGS...
  HOT SPRINGS...                   CLIFTON FORGE CITY...
  LEWISBURG...                     WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS...
  RONCEVERTE...                    GOSHEN...
  MILLBORO...                      NEOLA...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS SHOWERS WILL LIKELY INTENSIFY...SO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TELEVISION FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS...FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3823 7973 3796 7939 3759 8041 3773 8055
      3806 8010 3806 7997 3811 7993 3813 7995
      3818 7992 3827 7980
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 233DEG 47KT 3771 8041
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 2:31 PM EST, 1 hour 31 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
231 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NCZ001-018-VAZ009-012-015-302030-
WATAUGA NC-ASHE NC-SMYTH VA-GRAYSON VA-WYTHE VA-
231 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  WATAUGA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  ASHE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  SMYTH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  WESTERN GRAYSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN WYTHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 330 PM EST

* AT 228 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF SHOWERS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SALTVILLE
  TO BULADEAN...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF
  CHILHOWIE TO 10 MILES EAST OF ERWIN...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS BAND OF
  SHOWERS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BOONE...                         TODD...
  MARION...                        SALTVILLE...
  CHILHOWIE...                     JEFFERSON...
  BLOWING ROCK...                  SPEEDWELL...
  SUGAR GROVE...                   BEECH MOUNTAIN...
  TROUTDALE...                     MOUTH OF WILSON...
  WHITETOP...                      ASHLAND...
  LANSING...                       SANDS...
  LOVILL...                        RUTHERWOOD...
  SILVERSTONE...                   MEAT CAMP...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3636 8179 3634 8176 3634 8171 3641 8174
      3647 8170 3653 8171 3663 8161 3680 8170
      3693 8183 3683 8114 3658 8130 3657 8136
      3653 8134 3612 8162 3611 8181 3619 8185
      3622 8191 3627 8189 3629 8192
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 285DEG 31KT 3686 8181 3612 8223

JH
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 3:22 PM EST, 40 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
322 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ010>014-016-017-022-032-033-302115-
GILES VA-FRANKLIN VA-BLAND VA-PATRICK VA-CARROLL VA-WYTHE VA-
PULASKI VA-ROANOKE VA-FLOYD VA-MONTGOMERY VA-
322 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN GILES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME WESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN BLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN PATRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN WYTHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  PULASKI COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN ROANOKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  FLOYD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 415 PM EST

* AT 320 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROCKY
  GAP TO WYTHEVILLE TO CRIPPLE CREEK...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
  FROM 8 MILES EAST OF BLUEFIELD TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF MAX MEADOWS
  TO SPEEDWELL...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. VERY HEAVY
  RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADWAYS AND
  QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BLACKSBURG...                    NEWPORT...
  PILOT...                         CHRISTIANSBURG...
  RADFORD...                       INDIAN VALLEY...
  ROCKY GAP...                     ALLISONIA...
  PULASKI...                       WYTHEVILLE...
  POPLAR HILL...                   DUBLIN...
  BENT MOUNTAIN...                 COPPER HILL...
  SHAWSVILLE...                    MAX MEADOWS...
  WOOLWINE...                      FLOYD...
  WILLIS...                        PRICES FORK...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3702 8109 3727 8114 3730 8102 3728 8011
      3693 8004 3664 8017 3691 8115
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 275DEG 39KT 3722 8107 3702 8102 3686 8109

JH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 30, 4:24 AM ESTFlash Flood WatchRNKMercer, Monroe, Summers21 hr
Jan 30, 10:07 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKGreenbrier, Mercer, Monroe, Summers53 min
Jan 30, 10:30 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKGreenbrier, Mercer, Summers30 min
Jan 30, 11:12 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKGreenbrier, Mercer, Summers63 min
Jan 30, 12:13 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKGreenbrier, Mercer, Monroe, Summers47 min
Jan 30, 12:58 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKMonroe62 min
Jan 30, 3:27 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKMercer63 min
Jan 30, 3:31 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKMercer6 hr
Jan 30, 4:57 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKMonroe6 hr
Jan 30, 5:34 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRNKMercer, Monroe, Summers18 hr
Jan 30, 6:19 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRNKGreenbrier, Monroe, Summers6 hr
Jan 30, 1:51 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKAlleghany, Bath, City of Covington54 min
Jan 30, 2:31 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKSmyth59 min
Jan 30, 2:59 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKGrayson, Smyth, Wythe61 min
Jan 30, 3:22 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKFloyd, Montgomery, Pulaski, Wythe, City of Radford53 min
Jan 30, 3:56 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKCarroll, Grayson, City of Galax6 hr
Jan 30, 4:19 PM ESTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyRNKGrayson10 hr
Jan 30, 4:52 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Amherst, Bedford, Botetourt, Roanoke, Rockbridge and 4 more53 min
Jan 30, 5:02 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKCarroll, Floyd, Franklin, Grayson, Montgomery, Patrick and 3 more6 hr
Jan 30, 5:48 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Appomattox, City of Lynchburg42 min
Jan 30, 6:23 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKBedford, Campbell, Henry, Pittsylvania, City of Martinsville52 min
Jan 30, 6:25 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningRNKCarroll, Floyd, Franklin, Grayson, Montgomery, Patrick and 2 more6 hr
Jan 30, 6:32 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKBuckingham58 min
Jan 30, 6:39 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningRNKAlleghany, Amherst, Bath, Bedford, Botetourt, Craig and 8 more6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Virginia, 2013Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in West Virginia, 2013Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.