Severe Thunderstorm Warning 22, NWS Blacksburg, VA

841 
WWUS51 KRNK 070047
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
847 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

NCC169-070115-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-130507T0115Z/
STOKES NC-
847 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EDT 
FOR CENTRAL STOKES COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
   
AT 844 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS 
OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MEADOWS...OR 3 MILES SOUTH OF 
DANBURY...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

IN ADDITION...AT AROUND 840 PM EDT QUARTER SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED 
ALONG HIGHWAY 8 ABOUT 1 MILE SOUTH OF MEADOWS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DANBURY...
VADE MECUM...
LAWSONVILLE...
MEADOWS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT GET CAUGHT OUTSIDE. SEEK SHELTER IN A STRONG BUILDING AND 
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND...OR STRONG DAMAGING WINDS...
TORRENTIAL RAINS MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND 
UNDERPASSES. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE 
OR LARGER HAIL...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING 
DOWNED TREES OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND 
PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3638 8032 3646 8038 3650 8018 3632 8014
      3630 8025
TIME...MOT...LOC 0044Z 143DEG 16KT 3637 8021 

$$

SK

653 
WWUS51 KRNK 070104
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
904 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

NCC169-070114-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-130507T0115Z/
STOKES NC-
904 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
CENTRAL STOKES COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE 
LIMITS AND EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED.  HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS 
THUNDERSTORM .

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE 
OR LARGER HAIL...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING 
DOWNED TREES OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND 
PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

LAT...LON 3638 8032 3646 8038 3650 8018 3632 8014
      3630 8025
TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 150DEG 14KT 3644 8026 

$$

SK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
735 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
EXPECT THE UPPER LOW TO TRANSITION FROM TENNESSEE THIS EVENING TO
THE CAROLINAS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...BEFORE SHIFTING NORTH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS LOW WILL KEEP RAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY...BEFORE THE SYSTEM LIFTS OUT THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 730 PM EDT MONDAY...

AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN SHIFTING NORTH THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF CWA WITH BANDED CONVECTION ACROSS EASTERN COUNTIES.
SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS DEVELOPING IN THE UNSTABLE AIR
ACROSS SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF CWA...WITH CAPES AROUND 1000 J/KG AND
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 7. FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT
AND MAY NEED TO EXTENDED IN AREA COVERAGE DEPENDING ON RAINFALL
THIS EVENING. ADJUSTED POPS ACCORDING TO LATEST RADAR TRENDS AND
LEANED OVERNIGHT TOWARDS GFS. MODIFIED TEMPERATURE AND DEWPOINT
WITH OBS AND MODEL TRENDS. MORE CHANGES AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES.

AS OF 400 PM EDT MONDAY...

WHILE THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN HAS SHIFTED NORTH THIS EVENING...
CURRENTLY SITUATED JUST NORTH OF A LINE FROM DANVILLE VA THROUGH
BLUEFIELD WV...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS NORTHERN
NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING OVER WATAUGA COUNTY WHICH WAS HARD HIT
WITH HEAVY RAIN THIS MORNING. BECAUSE OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS...HAVE
DECIDED TO KEEP THE FLOOD WATCH GOING ACROSS THE NC MOUNTAINS AS
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THESE STORMS WILL CONVERT MOSTLY TO
RUNOFF DUE TO SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS. OUTSIDE OF THIS
ACTIVITY...RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE THROUGH THE
EVENING. FURTHER NORTH...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EVENING...LEADING TO A RISK OF LOCALIZED FLOODING
NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 460 CORRIDOR.

BELIEVE THAT RAINFALL WILL DIMINISH IN INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT AS
DAYTIME HEATING ENDS...AND THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TRANSITIONS FROM
TENNESSEE OVER THE CAROLINAS. THE LOW WILL THEN BEGIN TO SHIFT
NORTH THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE THE
REDEVELOPMENT OF HEAVY RAIN NORTH OF INTERSTATE 81 DURING THE
AFTERNOON AS DAYTIME HEATING INCREASES. BELIEVE THAT THE RAINFALL
WILL BE MORE CONVECTIVE IN NATURE ON TUESDAY...TO INCLUDE SPOTTY
DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS...WITH POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN AND
POSSIBLE TRAINING ISSUES. AS SUCH...HAVE ADDED A FEW MORE COUNTIES
TO THE FLOOD WATCH...AND EXTENDED THE FLOOD WATCH TO MIDNIGHT
WEDNESDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...STILL BELIEVE THE FOCUS OF
HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE FOCUSED IN THE VICINITY OF THE BLUE
RIDGE...BUT CANNOT RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF EXPANDING THE
WATCH...DEPENDING ON THE OUTPUT OF THE NEXT SET OF MODELS. IN
ADDITION TO HEAVY RAIN...THE COOLER AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER LOW WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAIL IN SOME OF THE
STRONGER THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE SIMILAR TO THOSE OF PREVIOUS NIGHTS. BELIEVE
THERE WILL BE LESS CLOUD COVER IN THE UPPER LEVELS FOR
TUESDAY...SO BELIEVE THAT TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
WARMER THAN TODAY...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS...TO THE MID 60S FURTHER EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 400 PM EDT MONDAY...

GIVEN THE NATURE OF THE CUTOFF UPPER LOW...MODELS CONTINUE IN
REMARKABLE AGREEMENT WITH THE SLOW DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND UP
OVER PHILLY AREA BY THURSDAY MORNING. DIFFERENCES ARE MAINLY IN
TERMS OF SMALL PIECES OF ENERGY ROTATING AROUND THE LOW...WITH THE
MOST SIGNIFICANT PIECE COMING AROUND BACK SIDE INTO NW NC TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. AT LEAST THE EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS AND
MOVES TO THE NORTH OF THE FCST AREA BY WED MORNING...BUT THIS ENERGY
ROTATING AROUND BACK SIDE COULD BRING UPSLOPE FROM WESTERLY FLOW.
KEPT LIKELY POPS GOING ON WEST SLOPES TUES NIGHT...TRANSITIONING TO
MORE SCATTERED SHOWERY ACTIVITY ON WED BUT SPREAD OUT UNDER THE
UPPER LOW BY AFTERNOON WITH DAYTIME INSOLATION...ALBEIT VERY
LITTLE ACTUAL SUNSHINE EXPECTED. WITH GENERALLY WEAK FLOW...SHOULD
NOT HAVE ANY UPSLOPE AIDED ENHANCEMENTS AND PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES ARE A LITTLE LOWER...BUT ANY SHALLOW CONVECTIVE SHOWERS MAY
BE SLOWER MOVING. DID INCLUDE A SLIGHT CHC OF THUNDER ALL
LOCATIONS SINCE WE REMAIN GENERALLY UNDER THE UPPER LOW AND BUT
MARGINAL SBCAPE VALUES OF 500 OR LESS DUE TO PLENTY OF CLOUD
COVER.

BY WED NIGHT...THE DAYTIME-DRIVEN SHALLOW CONVECTIVE SHOWERS SHOULD
DIE OFF QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET...AS UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO LIFT
NORTHEAST AND MOST OF FCST AREA IS UNDER LIGHT NW FLOW. THURSDAY IS
A LITTLE TRICKIER GIVEN MAINLY SHALLOW MSTR AND NW FLOW...WHICH MAY
SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS BUT WEAK DOWNSLOPE SHOULD
KEEP MUCH OF ANYTHING FROM FORMING IN PIEDMONT AREAS. WAS TEMPTED TO
GO WITH NO POPS OUT EAST BUT DECIDED TO KEEP SLIGHT CHC...WITH CHC
IN PARTS OF THE MTNS...IN PART JUST IN CASE THIS UPPER LOW IS SLOWER
TO LIFT OUT.  PERHAPS THE BIGGER DIFFERENCE IN THE WEATHER BETWEEN
WED AND THURS WILL BE A LITTLE MORE SUN BREAKING THROUGH AT TIMES
DURING THE DAY...WITH WARMER HIGH TEMPS...MOST LOCATIONS IN THE 70S.
WENT CLOSER TO COOLER ECWMF GUIDANCE...AS GFS GUIDANCE HAS MAX TEMPS
AS HIGH AS 80 IN PARTS OF THE EAST THURSDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 400 PM EDT MONDAY...

UPPER TROUGH LIFTS OUT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AS MID WESTERN WAVE SLIDES
IN BEHIND IT...WITH TAP OF GULF MOISTURE OUT AHEAD OF IT.  BETTER
INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THIS FRONT IN SW FLOW FOR GOOD CHANCE OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MOUNTAINS MAINLY BY
FRIDAY. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THEN APPROACHES WESTERN APPALACHIANS BY LATE IN THE DAY
SATURDAY FOR BETTER COVERAGE IN WEST ESPECIALLY. WENT WITH HIGH CHC
TO LOW LIKELY POPS FOR SATURDAY AND SHOULD SEE BEST COVERAGE OF
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OF THE SEASON SO FAR.

BY SUNDAY MORNING THE INITIAL FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION TAKING
MOST MOISTURE WELL TO THE SOUTH...BUT SECONDARY FRONT WITH MUCH
COOLER AIR BEHIND LAGS BEHIND...ESPECIALLY IN GFS...AS UPPER TROUGH
DIGS INTO EASTERN U.S. GIVEN UNCERTAINTY OF JUST HOW MUCH LOW LEVEL
MSTR WILL BE LEFT AHEAD OF THIS SECONDARY FRONT...AND SOME
INSTABILITY UNDER UPPER TROUGH DEPENDING ON ANY SUNSHINE...BEST TO
LEAVE AT LEAST SOME LOW CHC POPS AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY FOR
SUNDAY...BUT ANYTHING THAT DOES FORM WILL BE MAINLY IN MOUNTAINS
WITH WRLY FLOW...AND SHOULD DIE QUICKLY BY LATE IN THE DAY AS DRIER
AIR PUSHES IN AND MAX HEATING WANES.

LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS MUCH LOWER DEW PTS BY SUN NIGHT AND IF
CLEARING CAN OCCUR...MIN TEMPS MAY DROP INTO THE LOWER 40S OR EVEN
UPPER 30S MTNS.  COOLER BUT DRY DAY MONDAY AS SFC HIGH BUILDS IN AND
UPPER TROF BEGINS TO SHIFT TO NEAR COAST...AND WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP
AN EYE ON FROST POTENTIAL FOR MONDAY NIGHT WITH SFC HIGH DIRECTLY
OVERHEAD.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 730 PM EDT MONDAY...

AS ADVERTISED TONIGHT HAS NOT BEEN A GOOD DAY FOR FLYING.

IFR/MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS CONTINUE ACROSS ALL TAF LOCATIONS THIS
EVENING. DAYTIME HEATING ALLOWED SOME INSTABILITY ACROSS THE EAST
TODAY...WHICH BROUGHT SOME THUNDER TO DAN/LYH. EXPECT THIS THREAT TO
END THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. TUESDAY WILL
AGAIN BE UNSETTLED AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SLIDES ACROSS THE REGION.
MODELS ARE AMBITIOUS IN BRINGING UP CEILINGS TO VFR TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...HOWEVER LEFT CEILINGS AT MVFR FOR THE MOMENT.

WEDNESDAY WILL BE ANOTHER UNSETTLED DAY AS THE LOW BEGINS TO MOVE
EAST OF THE REGION...KEEPING CEILINGS AT MVFR AT TIMES. TAF
LOCATIONS FINALLY GET A BREAK ON THURSDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL BE WELL EAST OF THE REGION AND ALL LOCATIONS WILL RETURN TO
VFR. THE RELIEF WILL BE TEMPORARY AS ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MOVES IN
FOR THE WEEKEND BRINGING WITH IT ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
AS OF 400 PM EDT MONDAY...

SIGNIFICANT ONGOING HYDRO EVENT CONTINUES THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE
BLUE RIDGE AND HIGHER TERRAIN ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA ARE UNDER
SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL PER WPC WITH AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE MOST FAVORED UPSLOPE LOCATIONS. TOTAL QPF
REMAINS MORE IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN BASINS OF THE CWA. FORTUNATELY...THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST
RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO OCCUR NORTH OF THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS WHICH HAD ANYWHERE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES IN THE PAST DAY
AND A HALF. LARGER RIVERS IN THAT AREA (ASHE AND WATAUGA COUNTIES)
HAVE CRESTED OR ARE NEARING CREST AND SHOULD SEE FALLING STAGES
OVERNIGHT. THE ONLY RIVER FLOOD WARNING CURRENTLY IN EFFECT IS FOR
THE NEW RIVER AT GALAX WHICH WILL RISE RAPIDLY TONIGHT AS RUNOFF
FROM THE SOUTH AND NORTH FORKS OF THE NEW ENTERS THE RIVER. THOSE
WITH RIVER INTERESTS SHOULD MONITOR THE OVERALL SITUATION CLOSELY
HOWEVER AS THE DAN...ROANOKE AND EVEN JAMES RIVER WILL BE RISING
SHARPLY OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND A NUMBER OF RIVER FORECAST
POINTS ARE FORECAST TO APPROACH FLOOD STAGE.

PRECIPITATION RATES TODAY HAVE NOT BEEN VERY HIGH...GENERALLY IN THE
0.25 TO 0.50 INCH RANGE SO THAT THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING HAS
BEEN LIMITED. STRONGER CONVECTION NOW DEVELOPING TO OUR SOUTHEAST
AND TRACKING NORTHWEST WITH THE FLOW AROUND THE UPPER LOW WILL HAVE
BE MONITORED CLOSELY HOWEVER AS TRAINING OF STORMS MOVING ACROSS
SOME BASINS WILL RAISE THE CHANCE FOR RAPID RISES ON SMALLER STREAMS
RAINFALL RATES IN SOME OF THESE STRONGER CELLS ARE NEARING 1 INCH
PER HOUR AND COULD CAUSE RUNOFF PROBLEMS.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR VAZ007-009>020-022>024-
     032>035.
NC...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR NCZ001>003-018-019.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NF
NEAR TERM...KK/NF
SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM...PM/SK
AVIATION...CF
HYDROLOGY...PC/WP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
345 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

NCZ001>003-018-019-071945-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-
345 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
AND NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SPOTTY SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY RESULT IN LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN...HOWEVER AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO RECEDE. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...BUT REPORTS OF
FLOODING...HAIL...OR RAINFALL TOTALS ARE APPRECIATED.

VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-071945-
TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-
FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-
FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-
345 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL PASS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING
AND TONIGHT...AND MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SLOWLY
ACROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY...TRIGGERING ANOTHER ROUND OF
WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY...POSSIBLY WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.
HEAVIEST RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH 2 TO 3 INCHES IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE
RIDGELINES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...BUT REPORTS OF
FLOODING OR RAINFALL TOTALS ARE APPRECIATED.

NCZ004>006-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-071945-
STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-YADKIN-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-
APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
345 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

BANDS OF HEAVIER RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
SOME FLOODING OF URBAN LOW SPOTS IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HEAVIER RAINS ARE STILL POSSIBLE TUESDAY. ISOLATED FLOODING OF
STREAMS OR CREEKS IS POSSIBLE. SOME RISES ALONG THE MAIN STEM
RIVERS WILL ALSO OCCUR THROUGH MIDWEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...BUT REPORTS OF
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE APPRECIATED.

WVZ042>045-071945-
MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
345 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A PERIOD OR TWO OF HEAVIER RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
ISOLATED LOW LYING FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WHERE HEAVIER RAIN SHOWERS
BEGIN TO TRAIN REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN REMAINS FOR TUESDAY AND THERE COULD BE
SOME ISOLATED FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...BUT REPORTS OF
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE APPRECIATED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
721 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

NCZ003-070000-
SURRY NC-
721 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  CENTRAL SURRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 800 PM EDT

* AT 718 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LEVEL CROSS...OR 4 MILES
  SOUTHEAST OF DOBSON...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

* DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND
  ON ROADWAYS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MOUNT AIRY...
  DOBSON...
  BOTTOM...
  TOAST...
  AND FLAT ROCK.

LAT...LON 3656 8081 3655 8049 3628 8054 3627 8060
      3628 8063 3627 8065 3626 8072 3627 8073
      3628 8074 3627 8075 3627 8078 3626 8079
TIME...MOT...LOC 2318Z 180DEG 11KT 3634 8067

SK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
740 PM EDT MON MAY 06 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0726 PM     HAIL             1 S CUMBERLAND KNOB     36.53N  80.90W
05/06/2013  E1.00 INCH       SURRY              NC   PUBLIC

            HAIL FELL FOR TEN MINUTES

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1301353

FISHER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
746 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

VAZ015-016-070030-
CARROLL VA-GRAYSON VA-
746 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  WESTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME EASTERN GRAYSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 830 PM EDT

* AT 743 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LOW GAP...OR 5 MILES SOUTH OF
  GALAX CITY...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND
  ON ROADWAYS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  GALAX CITY...
  FRIES...
  PIPERS GAP...
  GALAX HILLSVILLE AIRPORT...
  AND BYLLESBY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3657 8098 3680 8105 3682 8076 3656 8077
TIME...MOT...LOC 2343Z 180DEG 11KT 3659 8089

SK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
759 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

NCZ003-070045-
SURRY NC-
759 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN SURRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 845 PM EDT

* AT 756 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WHITE PLAINS...OR 4 MILES EAST
  OF DOBSON...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

* DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MOUNT AIRY...
  BOTTOM...
  TOAST...
  PINE RIDGE...
  AND LEVEL CROSS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3656 8081 3655 8049 3632 8055 3632 8068
TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 176DEG 11KT 3640 8064

SK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
803 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

NCZ020-070100-
YADKIN NC-
803 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  YADKIN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 900 PM EDT

* AT 801 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR COURTNEY...OR 6 MILES SOUTH OF
  YADKINVILLE...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

* DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  YADKINVILLE...
  BOONVILLE...
  EAST BEND...
  LONE HICKORY...
  AND COURTNEY.

LAT...LON 3606 8077 3627 8073 3627 8068 3625 8067
      3625 8065 3627 8065 3626 8059 3626 8053
      3626 8047 3611 8050 3609 8052 3604 8052
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 194DEG 11KT 3604 8065

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
812 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

NCZ004-070100-
STOKES NC-
812 PM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  EASTERN STOKES COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 900 PM EDT

* AT 809 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BELEWS CREEK...MOVING
  NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

* DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND
  ON ROADWAYS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WALNUT COVE...
  DANBURY...
  SANDY RIDGE...
  AYERSVILLE...
  AND DILLARD.

LAT...LON 3644 8032 3653 8003 3637 8003 3626 8004
      3625 8011 3626 8018
TIME...MOT...LOC 0009Z 157DEG 15KT 3625 8007

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