Flash Flood Warning 16, NWS Raleigh, NC

273 
WGUS72 KRAH 102238
FFSRAH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
638 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

NCC101-183-110100-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130611T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WAKE NC-JOHNSTON NC-
638 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR
NORTHERN JOHNSTON AND EAST CENTRAL WAKE COUNTIES...

AT 628 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF 
CLAYTON TO NEAR ZEBULON... MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. FLOODING HAS BEEN 
REPORTED IN CLAYTON ALONG SEVERAL STREETS AND ROADS INCLUDING US-70 
BUSINESS. THE HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED OUT OF THE GARNER AND CLAYTON 
AREAS... BUT THE RESIDUAL FLOODING WILL LINGER THROUGH 700 PM. 

LOCATIONS THREATENED BY FLOODING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO 
GARNER... CLAYTON... KNIGHTDALE... WENDELL... ZEBULON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. 
MANY ROADS AND INTERSECTIONS IN THE AREA WILL QUICKLY FLOOD. WHEN 
ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3566 7817 3559 7840 3557 7854 3563 7862
      3572 7867 3588 7848 3592 7835

$$

PWB

011 
WGUS72 KRAH 110028
FFSRAH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
828 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

NCC101-183-110037-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130611T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WAKE NC-JOHNSTON NC-
828 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR NORTHERN JOHNSTON
AND EAST CENTRAL WAKE COUNTIES...

THE EARLIER FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN AROUND GARNER AND CLAYTON 
STREETS AND ROADS HAS ENDED. THE WARNING FOR FLOODING HAS BEEN 
CANCELED. 

LAT...LON 3566 7817 3559 7840 3557 7854 3563 7862
      3572 7867 3588 7848 3592 7835

$$

PWB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
300 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE WEST
TODAY...THEN TRACK EAST THROUGH THE CAROLINAS TONIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY. AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND
ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK EASTWARD THROUGH THE REGION ON
THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 255 PM MONDAY...

TROUGH ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY... WITH UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER
INDIANA... CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EASTWARD. DEWPOINTS HAVE REMAINED
STEADY... OR NUDGED UPWARD BY A FEW DEGREES INTO THE LOW 70S. BREAKS
BEGINNING TO SHOW IN THE CLOUD COVER OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...
WHICH WILL AID IN FURTHER DESTABILIZATION ACROSS THE AREA.

CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND IN TO THE EVENING HOURS. THE PRIMARY THREATS REMAIN
FLASH FLOODING AND STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CONTAINING DAMAGING
WINDS... INCLUDING THE RISK FOR A TORNADO. PW VALUES ARE NEAR 2
INCHES ACROSS THE AREA... AND SOILS REMAIN SATURATED. MLCAPE VALUES
ARE NEAR 1500 J/KG ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. BULK SHEAR HAS INCREASED
TO 30 KTS ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE STATE... AND IS EXPECTED TO
FURTHER INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON TO 35-40 KTS... SUPPORTING ORGANIZED
CELLS. WITH CLOCKWISE TURNING HODOGRAPHS... AND HELICITY BRIEFLY
REACHING ABOVE 200 M2/S2 THIS AFTERNOON... AND A FEW SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES MAY RESULT.

A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL REMAIN OVERNIGHT... AS THE TROUGH AXIS
TRAVERSES THE AREA. LOWS WILL REMAIN WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF 70.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 255 PM MONDAY...

A MID/UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA EARLY ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
(WHICH WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING TO START THE DAY)...BUT THEY WILL
LIKELY COME TO AN END BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS SUBSIDENCE COMMENCES
BEHIND THE TROUGH AND SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR MOVES IN. HIGHS ARE
EXPECTED TO GENERALLY BE IN THE MID 80S...WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
MID/UPPER 60S.

FOR WEDNESDAY...MODELS INDICATE A SURFACE TROUGH STAYING OVER THE
AREA...BUT WITH SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR AND MAYBE SOME SUBSIDENCE FROM
THE DEPARTING MID/UPPER TROUGH (AS SEEN IN A SLIGHT CAPPING
INVERSION ON MODEL SOUNDINGS)...AM EXPECTING A MOSTLY DRY DAY.
HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED
OUT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WEST. LOW LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES ARE
PROGGED TO BEGIN TO APPROACH 1430M AND WITH MORE IN THE WAY ON
SUNSHINE...A WARMER DAY IS ON TAP...WITH HIGHS GENERALLY RANGING
FROM NEAR 90 DEGREES TO THE LOW 90S (POSSIBLY A FEW MID 90S).
OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD BE IN THE LOW 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 255 PM MONDAY...

AS A MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE EAST COAST.
MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH SHOWING A FAIRLY POTENT
SHORTWAVE MOVING ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND TRACKING
ACROSS THE AREA...PROPELLING A SURFACE FRONT THROUGH THE REGION
THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT. STRONG HEATING ON THURSDAY (HIGHS GENERALLY
IN THE LOWER 90S...MAYBE EVEN SOME MID 90S) SHOULD LEAD TO STRONG
INSTABILITY. WITH GOOD MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND BULK SHEAR PROGGED
TO BE ON THE ORDER OF 30-40 KNOTS (HIGHEST ACROSS THE NORTH)...AM
EXPECTING SEVERE STORMS TO IMPACT THE AREA AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
ACROSS THE REGION...ESPECIALLY IF THE CURRENT TIMING IS CORRECT WITH
IT COMING THROUGH DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL. BEING THIS IS
STILL DAY 4 TIME FRAME...WILL KEEP POPS IN THE HIGH CHANCE RANGE FOR
NOW (MAINLY TO ACCOUNT FOR A POSSIBLE CHANGE IN TIMING)...BUT THESE
WILL LIKELY HAVE TO BE RAISED SOON.

CONDITIONS SHOULD DRY OUT AND COOL DOWN BEHIND THE DEPARTING SYSTEM
FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND EARLY WEEKEND. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND
RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT (ALTHOUGH THE CORE OF THE MID/UPPER HIGH WILL
REMAIN WEST OF OF THE REGION) WILL LEAD TO MORE SUNSHINE AND MOSTLY
DRY CONDITIONS. TEMPS SHOULD STAY BELOW NORMAL (HIGHS IN THE LOW/MID
80S...OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOW 60S) FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...BEFORE
MODIFYING SOME ON SUNDAY AS THE SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS OFFSHORE. THE
NEXT SYSTEM LOOKS TO APPROACH THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT FOR
NOW WILL LEAVE MONDAY DRY AS THERE ARE STILL SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES
AMONG THE MODELS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 145 PM MONDAY...

MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS THE AREA WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY WITH ANY SHOWERS OR STORMS...
AND IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE AT AFFECTED SITES.
WINDS ARE 7-12 KTS FROM THE SW... WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 KTS LIKELY
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE NEXT
SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE AREA WILL MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING... BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR NCZ007>011-
021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...VINCENT
NEAR TERM...SEC
SHORT TERM...KRR
LONG TERM...KRR
AVIATION...SEC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
513 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

NCZ007>011-023>028-040>043-075>078-083>086-088-089-112115-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-
FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-MOORE-LEE-
HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
513 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 292 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY AS A POTENT
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
TRACK EAST ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC. SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER
WILL BE POSSIBLE...INCLUDING VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THROUGH THIS
EVENING. SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT SEVERE WEATHER AS SOON AS IT IS
SAFE TO DO SO. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR LATER WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

NCZ021-022-038-039-073-074-112115-
FORSYTH-GUILFORD-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-
513 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY AS A POTENT
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
TRACK EAST ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC. SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER
WILL BE POSSIBLE...INCLUDING VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
530 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0359 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 S LINWOOD             35.69N  80.31W
06/10/2013                   DAVIDSON           NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE ON A HOUSE ON LAKESHORE DRIVE

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1300523

KRR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
531 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

NCZ089-102200-
SAMPSON-
531 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

...ANOTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS SAMPSON COUNTY
THROUGH 600 PM EDT...

AT 530 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES
NORTHEAST OF GARLAND...OR ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTH OF CLINTON...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM
INCLUDE...GARLAND AND TURKEY.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.
EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
40 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND
TRASH CANS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND RESULT IN
ACCUMULATIONS OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

THIS THUNDERSTORM IS PRODUCING AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF DEADLY CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF
YOU CANNOT SEEK SHELTER INDOORS...AN ENCLOSED VEHICLE CAN PROVIDE
SAFE SHELTER.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3469 7837 3473 7840 3474 7839 3477 7843
      3485 7849 3515 7816 3509 7817 3505 7815
      3489 7814 3477 7818 3474 7819 3467 7833
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 230DEG 29KT 3486 7827

BLAES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
533 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0408 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ENE GORDONTOWN        35.77N  80.08W
06/10/2013                   DAVIDSON           NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 109 AND US
            64

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1300524

KRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
536 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NNW GREENSBORO        36.09N  79.83W
06/10/2013                   GUILFORD           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            FLOODING AT FRIENDLY AVE AND MARKET ST

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1300525

KRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
538 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NW RANDLEMAN          35.84N  79.84W
06/10/2013                   RANDOLPH           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            FLOODING ON NORTH MAIN STREET IN ASHEBORO

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1300526

KRR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
553 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

NCZ009-010-026-027-102300-
FRANKLIN-NASH-VANCE-WARREN-
553 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS NASH...WARREN...VANCE AND
FRANKLIN COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM EDT...

AT 553 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
YOUNGSVILLE...OR ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LOUISBURG...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...LOUISBURG...
INGLESIDE...AND CENTERVILLE.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
50 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL OR WEAKENED TREES AND
BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER
LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY REDUCE
VISIBILITY AND RESULT IN PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. DRIVERS ARE
URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION WITH THIS STORM. IF THE
STORM INTENSIFIES AND ROTATION STRENGTHENS...A WARNING MAY NEED TO BE
ISSUED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3621 7800 3620 7801 3618 7798 3619 7797
      3614 7788 3593 7836 3594 7840 3598 7844
      3602 7854 3605 7854 3618 7850 3636 7826
TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 233DEG 26KT 3605 7841

10