Severe Thunderstorm Warning 30, NWS Pocatello, ID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
259 PM MDT SAT JUL 6 2013

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
EXTREMELY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE AGAIN PRODUCING WIDESPREAD
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HAVE POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS IN GRIDS WITH THE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. EXPECT THE ACTIVITY TO PERSIST THROUGH
MIDNIGHT BEFORE SUBSIDING. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES SUNDAY
WITH MOISTURE STILL IN PLACE AND EXTENSIVE INSTABILITY SO EXPECT A
REPEAT ONCE AGAIN OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT SOUTHEASTERN IDAHO.
AND AGAIN HAVE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY. GET A
BIT DRIER AIR MASS PUSH IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY AND EXPECT LESS
COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORM AND ONLY HAVE ISOLATED IN HIGH
ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
SHORT TERM.
GK

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES THROUGH THE LONG TERM AS WELL AND
EXPECT HOT CONDITIONS WITH NOTHING MORE THAN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
SEASONAL NORMALS.
GK

&&

.AVIATION...THE PERSISTENT UPPER RIDGE HAS MOVED MORE TO THE EAST...
WITH MONSOON MOISTURE OVER SE ID. SCT TSTMS EXPECTED TONIGHT
OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN HIGHLANDS...WITH ISOLD TSTMS
ELSEWHERE. SOME TSTMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL...BUT OVERALL VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THRU TONIGHT. DSH

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...THE PERSISTENT UPPER RIDGE HAS MOVED EASTWARD...
PUSHING MUCH OF THE MONSOON MOISTURE TO THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN
HIGHLANDS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY OVER THE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN HIGHLANDS...WITH ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
COVERAGE ELSEWHERE. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY
SURFACE WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. THE UPPER RIDGE REBUILDS NEXT
WEEK...WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES. THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE
WESTERLY AND WILL LIMIT ACCESS TO MONSOON MOISTURE...SO
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE MORE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED IN
COVERAGE. DSH

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

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