Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
340 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAINED STALL NORTH OF THE AREA INTO
MONDAY. A COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WILL
CROSS THE REGION EARLY ON TUESDAY. A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN
BRIEFLY BUILD INTO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. A RE-ENFORCING COLD FRONT
SHOULD PASS THROUGH THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES EARLY THURSDAY WITH
ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE GREAT LAKES FOLLOWING ON
FRIDAY. A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE
REGION ON SATURDAY. ON SUNDAY A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS. THE MAJORITY OF
CONVECTION HAS BEEN DEVELOPING TO OUR WEST ACROSS THE RIDGES, AHEAD
OF AN SHORT WAVE/VORTICITY MAX MOVING ACROSS WEST/CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA, ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME ACTIVITY ALONG THE COAST NEAR
THE SEABREEZE BOUNDARY. THERE IS NOT MUCH SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA, SO
PULSE TYPE STORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. WITH
PW VALUES AROUND 1.75-2.00 INCHES, ANY THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE
HEAVY RAINFALL; A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST AS THE AIRMASS
WILL REMAIN QUITE MOIST AND UNSTABLE OVERNIGHT, AND ANOTHER SHORT
WAVE/VORTICITY IMPULSE APPROACHES THE AREA OVERNIGHT. SIMILAR TO
LAST NIGHT, ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE SCATTERED IN NATURE AND AGAIN
COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL.

TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WERE A BLEND OF MAV/MET MOS WHICH REMAINS WELL
ABOVE AVERAGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
MUCH THE SAME MONDAY AS SUNDAY IN REGARDS TO THE FORECAST. AN
INITIAL SHORT WAVE/VORTICITY MAX IS EXPECTED TO BE MOVING ACROSS THE
AREA EARLY IN THE MORNING, WHICH COULD BE CREATING SOME SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE DAY. ONCE THIS
IMPULSE SLIDES TO OUR EAST BY MID-MORNING, WE COULD SEE A BRIEF
RESPITE FROM THE PRECIPITATION INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THEN
ANOTHER SHORT WAVE IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST
AGAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON. ALSO, A PREFRONTAL/LEE-SIDE TROUGH MAY
DEVELOP AS WELL, WHICH COULD BECOME A TRIGGER FOR CONVECTION TO
DEVELOP. THE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN QUITE MOIST WITH PW VALUES 1.5-1.75
INCHES AND THERE IS ALSO A FAIR AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY FORECAST.
THERE IS A LITTLE MORE SHEAR MONDAY THAN THERE WAS OVER THE WEEKEND,
ALBEIT MINIMAL AROUND 20-25 KNOTS, SO THERE COULD BE A LITTLE MORE
ORGANIZATION WITH SOME STORMS; HENCE THE REASON SPC HAS US IN A /SEE
TEXT/ FOR MONDAY. A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

HIGHS ON MONDAY WERE A BLEND OF THE MAV/MET MOS, WITH MORE EMPHASIS
ON THE WARMER MAV MOS. THICKNESSES DO NOT CHANGE MUCH, ALTHOUGH
925/850 MB TEMPERATURES MAY BE A DEGREE WARMER ON MONDAY, SO
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE CLOSE TO, IF NOT SLIGHT WARMER MONDAY
THAN IT WAS TODAY. EITHER WAY, IT REMAINS WELL ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE GFS INITIALIZATION REMAINS CLOSEST WITH THE APPROACHING TROF
WHILE THE WRF-NMMB HAS LOOKED BETTER IN THE NORTHEAST. THIS HAS
BEEN THE CASE THE LAST TWO DAYS. THE WRF-NMMB IS DEEPER AND SLOWER
WEST AND REASON IT CONTINUES TO BE THE SLOWEST MODEL WITH ITS
PASSAGE. THE OP GFS RUN WAS MUCH CLOSER TO THE SREF OUTPUT AND
ALMOST A MIRROR IMAGE OF ITS ENSEMBLE MEAN AND HARDLY ANY
DIFFERENCE IN CFP TIMING WITH ITS PREVIOUS DAY RUN YESTERDAY.
THERMALLY THE GFS ALSO LOOKS STRONGER WITH LESS 1C ERRORS AT 850MB
AND 925MB. GIVEN THIS RUN'S NEAR CONSENSUS PLACE AMONG ALL THE
MODEL RUNS AND CONSISTENCY, THIS FCST PACKAGE LEANS A LONG WAY
TOWARD IT.

MOST OF THE ACTIVITY IN THE LONG TERM IS AT THE START, WITH TWO
RELATIVELY DRY CFP(S) THURSDAY AND ON THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES
WILL RETURN CLOSER TO NORMAL AND WITH DEW POINTS AT MORE TOLERABLE
LEVELS.

THE MORE VIGOROUS SHORT WAVES HAVE BEEN MOVING THROUGH OUR CWA AT
NIGHT AND IT LOOKS SIMILARLY THE CASE FOR MONDAY NIGHT. ITS ALSO
COINCIDENTAL WITH THE ENTRANCE REGION OF THE 250MB JET ARRIVING.
WE CONTINUED LIKELY POPS (WITH ENHANCED WORDING EARLY) INTO THE
NIGHT. THERE MAY BE A LULL IN THE MIDDLE OF THE NIGHT BEFORE THE
SHARPENING TROF ENHANCES POPS AGAIN TOWARD MORNING EAST. AS TO
WHERE TO DRAW THE THUNDER/NO THUNDER LINE OVERNIGHT IT WAS RATHER
BEARISH AS THERE WERE TREMENDOUS DIFFERENCES WRT FCST INSTABILITY
ALOFT. WE TRIED TO FOLLOW WHERE MLCAPE SHOWED AT LEAST 500J OFF
THE GFS AS THE DECIDING FACTOR. MIN TEMPS WERE A STAT GUIDANCE
BLEND.'

ON TUESDAY WE FAVORED FCST DPVA AND MID LEVEL QVEC CONVERGENCE OVER
MEAGER MEAN RH AS A DECIDING FACTOR TO THE POPS. ONE, MEAN RH
SKILL DEGRADES FASTER THAN THE FORMER AND TWO ALL OF THE MODELS
ARE FCSTG SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY EAST. WE HAVE UPPED POPS AND
LINGERED THEM LONGER NORTH (BECAUSE OF THE APPROACHING TROF). THUNDER
AGAIN IS BASED ON WHERE THE FCST MLCAPES REACHED AT LEAST 500J.
WHILE THE FCST BULK SHEAR WITH THE APCHG TROF IS THE STRONGEST OF
THE NEXT FEW DAYS, THE FCST CAPE IS MUCH LOWER. ONE WOULD NEED THE
WRF-NMMB TIMING SOLUTION TO VERIFY FOR US TO HAVE THE POSSIBILITY
OF SEVERE. STAT GUIDANCE IS MUCH CLOSER TO GFS MOS THAN NAM MOS.
THIS IS FOR CONSISTENCY SAKE AND ALSO FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF
CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED/ENHANCED BY THE PRESENCE OF THE JET.

A SIGN OF THE TIMES ON TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE MODELS ARE FORECASTING
SOME MOISTURE TO GET TRAPPED BENEATH THE DEVELOPING INVERSION
NORTHWEST. WE WENT SLIGHTLY MORE PESSIMISTIC WITH THE CLOUD COVER
THAN MODEL INGESTED GRIDS WERE GIVING US. THE GENERAL WARM RUN BY
THE WRF-NMMB WAS NOT FOLLOWED WITH MIN TEMPS. WE ARE AGAIN CLOSER TO
GFS MOS. THERE SHOULD BE TOO MUCH WIND FOR DECOUPLING, SO MINS ARE
MORE BASED ON ELEVATION AND PROXIMITY TO THE THERMAL TROF.

ON WEDNESDAY THE TROF MOVES EAST OF US AND WE ARE NOT MAKING MUCH OF
THE APCHG WEAK SHORT WAVE LATE IN THE ZONAL FLOW. MAX TEMPS ARE A
BLEND OF LATEST MODEL DATA AND CONTINUITY.  THE TIMING OF THE
RE-ENFORCING CFP IS POOR (AROUND THURSDAY MORNING) FOR GENERATING
PCPN AND WE KEPT IT POPLESS. WE WILL GIVE THE COOLER AIR A LAG
TIME PLUS THE KATABATIC FLOW TENDS TO WARM US REGARDLESS. MAX
TEMPS ARE SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN WEDNESDAY. A MORE TYPICAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING NIGHT IS FORECAST FOR THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
SLIGHTLY LOWER MAX TEMPS FOR FRIDAY. WITH THE HIGH SETTLING OVER
OUR AREA, NOT MUCH CLOUDINESS EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

ALL SITES HAVE RETURNED TO VFR THIS AFTERNOON, WITH CLOUD BASES
AROUND 3,000-4,000 FEET. GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING, BEFORE A RETURN TO MVFR, AND POSSIBLE
IFR, OVERNIGHT TOWARD DAYBREAK MONDAY. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY IMPROVE ON MONDAY SIMILAR TO SUNDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. WE HAVE A TEMPO
GROUP FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING WHEN WE THINK THE
MOST LIKELY TIME FOR THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BE. OTHERWISE WE HAVE
SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE NIGHT. IF A SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM AFFECTS ANY TAF SITE, IT COULD REDUCE CIGS AND/OR VSBYS
TEMPORARILY.

THERE COULD BE A BREAK IN SHOWER ACTIVITY LATE MONDAY MORNING,
BEFORE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AGAIN MONDAY
AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS WERE NOT INCLUDED FOR MONDAY AT THIS TIME
AS CONFIDENCE IN TIMING IS LOW.

WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST DIRECTION
INLAND, AND SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST CLOSER TO THE COAST, GENERALLY AROUND
5 TO 10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON, DIMINISHING SOME OVERNIGHT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN ON MONDAY.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT...SHOULD AVERAGE MVFR BUT WITH ADDITIONALLY REDUCED
CIG/VSBY ASSOCIATED DURING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

TUESDAY...PREDOMINATELY VFR WITH SCATTERED RESTRICTIONS IN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME RESTRICTIONS DUE TO FOG ALSO POSSIBLE EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...VFR. SOME EARLY MORNING FOG POSSIBLE AT
RURAL AIRPORTS ON FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
OVERALL, SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY,
ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL PERIODICALLY GUSTY AROUND 20 KNOTS. THERE IS
SOME STRONGER WINDS ABOVE THE SURFACE THIS EVENING, NEAR 25 KNOTS,
BUT WE DO NOT THINK THIS WILL MIX FULLY TO THE SURFACE. THERE MAY BE
A BRIEF GUST AROUND 25 KNOTS, BUT WE DO NOT EXPECT IT TO BE FREQUENT
ENOUGH FOR AN ADVISORY AT THIS TIME. SEAS ON THE OCEAN WILL CONTINUE
AROUND 3-4 FEET.

OUTLOOK...
WINDS AND WAVES SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA THROUGH THE COMING
OUTLOOK PERIOD. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD BE IN THE CAA NORTHWEST
FLOW ON TUESDAY NIGHT, BUT FOR NOW WE ARE EXPECTING THEM TO PEAK
BELOW 25 KTS. AFTER THAT THE SW WIND FLOW PRECEDING AND NW WIND FLOW
FOLLOWING THE ENSUING FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAKER. THE ONE CAVEAT
REMAINS LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS IN THE VICINITY OF
THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY TUESDAY.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AMC/GAINES/GIGI
NEAR TERM...ROBERTSON
SHORT TERM...ROBERTSON
LONG TERM...GAINES/GIGI
AVIATION...AMC/GIGI/ROBERTSON
MARINE...AMC/GIGI/ROBERTSON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
344 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

NJZ001-007>010-012-PAZ054-055-060>062-103-105-021945-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-CARBON-MONROE-
BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
344 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD LEAD TO
URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING INTO TONIGHT. ISOLATED STORMS
COULD ALSO PRODUCE SOME STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD LEAD TO URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ013-015>023-027-PAZ070-071-101-
102-104-106-021945-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
344 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD LEAD TO
URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING INTO TONIGHT. ISOLATED STORMS
COULD ALSO PRODUCE SOME STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD LEAD TO URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ014-024>026-021945-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-
344 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD LEAD TO
URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING INTO TONIGHT. ISOLATED STORMS
COULD ALSO PRODUCE SOME STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD LEAD TO URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ004-021945-
DELAWARE BEACHES-
344 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD LEAD TO
URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING INTO TONIGHT. ISOLATED STORMS
COULD ALSO PRODUCE SOME STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD LEAD TO URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-021945-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
344 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SOME GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
330 PM EDT SUN SEP 01 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0140 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     MILLVILLE               38.55N  75.11W
09/01/2013                   SUSSEX             DE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FUNNEL CLOUD OBSERVED BY SEVERAL CITIZENS DROPPING ON A
            CORN FIELD OFF RAILWAY ROAD. NO DAMAGE REPORTED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1300397

GAINES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
333 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

NJZ022-025-012015-
ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-
333 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN ATLANTIC COUNTY...

AT 330 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF OCEAN
CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

LOCAL WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. DO NOT STAY
IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES. IF ON THE
LOCAL BEACHES, BE AWARE OF THIS NEARBY THUNDERSTORM AND BE PREPARED
TO SEEK SHELTER INDOORS.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR LINWOOD AROUND 350 PM...MARGATE CITY AROUND
400 PM...NORTHFIELD AROUND 410 PM AND PLEASANTVILLE AROUND 420 PM.

LAT...LON 3945 7432 3934 7447 3930 7453 3929 7457
      3931 7459 3929 7461 3930 7463 3929 7465
      3930 7469 3936 7478 3961 7461

FORECASTER: GORSE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
413 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

NJZ013-014-020-012115-
EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-OCEAN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
413 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL MONMOUTH AND NORTHERN
OCEAN COUNTIES...

AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS COVERED PORTIONS OF MONMOUTH AND
OCEAN COUNTIES AT 410 PM EDT. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE GENERALLY
MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO UP 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS. DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES
WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM
APPROACHES.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...AND WILL
CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

LAT...LON 4008 7415 4011 7438 4043 7424 4041 7400

FORECASTER: GORSE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
425 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

NJZ020-027-012130-
OCEAN NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
425 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN BURLINGTON AND NORTHERN
OCEAN COUNTIES...

AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS COVERED PORTIONS OF BURLINGTON AND
OCEAN COUNTIES AT 423 PM EDT. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE GENERALLY
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS. DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES
WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM
APPROACHES.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...AND WILL
CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

LAT...LON 3970 7440 3979 7460 3992 7451 3992 7447
      3996 7449 4011 7438 4008 7414

FORECASTER: GORSE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
725 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

NJZ007-009-PAZ061-062-105-106-020030-
HUNTERDON NJ-LEHIGH PA-LOWER BUCKS PA-NORTHAMPTON PA-UPPER BUCKS PA-
WARREN NJ-
725 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL LEHIGH...
HUNTERDON...NORTH CENTRAL BUCKS...NORTHAMPTON AND SOUTHERN WARREN
COUNTIES...

AT 722 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM
CATASAUQUA TO SPRINGTOWN TO PIPERSVILLE TO BYRAM...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. DO
NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE RAIN CAN CAUSE RAPID
RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.

LAT...LON 4089 7516 4077 7489 4065 7477 4057 7472
      4034 7503 4040 7523 4052 7535 4060 7554

FORECASTER: GORSE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
802 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

NJZ007-009-PAZ062-020100-
HUNTERDON NJ-NORTHAMPTON PA-WARREN NJ-
802 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN NORTHAMPTON...NORTHERN
HUNTERDON AND SOUTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTIES...

AT 800 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR ALPHA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. DO
NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 4099 7512 4080 7486 4078 7489 4074 7483
      4074 7477 4071 7473 4057 7518 4058 7520
      4060 7519 4061 7520 4060 7522 4066 7530

FORECASTER: GORSE