Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
804 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY,
DRAGGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH INTO
THE REGION ON FRIDAY, SLIDING TO OUR SOUTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST DRAGGING A
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO THE REGION FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE MORNING,
COVERING MUCH OF SOUTHEAST PA, CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN NJ, DELAWARE,
AND THE EASTERN SHORE OF MARYLAND. A POTENT MID-LVL SHRTWV TROF IS
MOVG ESEWD NEAR LAKE MI ATTM...WITH ASSOCD SFC LOW OVER NRN
OHIO/LAKE ERIE. LARGE BOW-ECHO SYSTEM IS TRAVERSING WRN TO CENTRAL
PA WITH ADDITIONAL TSTMS DEVELOPING IN DOWNSTREAM WRM ADVCTN OVER
CENTRAL AND E-CNTRL PA. THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND HAIL; ALTHOUGH, THERE IS LOWER CONFIDENCE IN THIS
OCCURRING ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA, AS THERE IS
MORE STABLE AIR IN PLACE.

FURTHER EVOLUTION OF CNVTV PATN IS SMWHT UNCERTAIN ATTM BUT THE
THREAT FOR SEVERE WX CONTINUES FOR TODAY...SPCLY FROM SE PA AND
CNTRL NJ SWD. GUIDANCE DIFFERS SOME ON TRACK OF THE SFC LOW BUT
BELIEVE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS FOR LOW TO MOVE ESEWD TO VCNTY
PHL/TTN BY 00Z THIS EVENING. SHARPENING FRONTAL BNDRY AHEAD OF LOW
WILL SEPARATE COOL RAINY AMS OVER NRN NJ AND POCONOS FROM VERY WARM
AND UNSTABLE AMS FATHER S. NOTE THERE IS A 30 DEG F CONTRAST BETWEEN
THE FCST MAX TEMP FOR MT POCONO VS SRN DE. THIS IS A COMPROMISE
BETWEEN THE RATHER DIVERGENT MET AND MAV GUIDANCE. ALSO THE FF WATCH
REMAINS IN PLACE DUE TO POTENTIAL FOR 2+ INCHES ADDITIONAL RAIN
FALLING ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUND.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/...
FOR TONIGHT...THE SEASONALLY STRONG SFC LOW WILL MOVE OFFSHORE
DURING THE EVENING AND CONT MOVG AWAY FROM THE SHORE OVERNIGHT. N/NW
WINDS BEHIND THE LOW WILL BRING IN MORE STABLE AIR AND GENERALLY END
THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WX. SOME STRATIFORM PRECIP WILL CONTINUE WITH
THE UPPER TROF AXIS STILL TO THE WEST...BUT SHOULD MOSTLY END BY
DAYBREAK FRIDAY. MET/MAV GUIDANCE WAS CLOSE ON OVERNIGHT MINS FALLING
INTO THE 50S OR LOWER 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
BY FRIDAY MORNING, THE SURFACE LOW WILL BE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST
AND MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE
WEST. IN THE MID LEVELS, A TROUGH WILL ROTATE THROUGH OUR AREA ON
FRIDAY WHICH WILL THEN ALLOW FOR RIDGING TO BEGIN MOVING INTO THE
THE REGION.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST ON FRIDAY, SLIDING TO
OUR SOUTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS HIGH WILL USHER IN SOME COOLER
AND DRIER AIR IN THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW. FOR THE MOST PART, THE
WEEKEND WILL BE DRY. FRIDAY WILL BE THE COOLEST DAY AND THE
CLOUDIEST. TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO WARM IN THE NORTHERLY FLOW
AND MAY NOT BE WARMER THAN THE MID 70S ACROSS THE AREA. SATURDAY
WILL BE WARMER WITH SUNDAY BEING THE WARMEST OF THE THREE DAYS.
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80 WITH
SUNDAY TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

THE MID LEVEL FLOW STARTS TO FLATTEN OUT AND A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVES
WILL ROTATE THROUGH IT WITH ONE CROSSING THE SOUTHERN AREAS DURING
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND THE SECOND CROSSING THE NORTHERN AREAS SUNDAY
NIGHT. THERE MIGHT BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THAT A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MAY POP UP AS
THESE SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH.

AN UNSETTLED PERIOD TO START THE WEEK WITH A FEW WEAK SYSTEMS MOVING
THROUGH OUR AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. THE MAIN FEATURE WILL BE A COLD
FRONT MOVING THROUGH ON TUESDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

WE DEVELOP A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ON MONDAY, BUT THE FLOW IS
FAIRLY WEAK AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT AND TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN
THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S ACROSS THE REGION. MOISTURE WILL START TO
INCREASE ONCE AGAIN IN THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THIS NEXT
SYSTEM WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES EXPECTED. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
WILL BE IN THE 1.5-2.0 INCH RANGE AND WITH THE VERY WET ANTECEDENT
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION, WE WILL NEED WATCH FOR ANY POTENTIAL
FLOODING CONCERNS.

THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THINGS WILL START TO
CLEAR OUT A BIT AS HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO PUSH IN FROM THE WEST AND
WEDNESDAY LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE A FAIRLY DRY DAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

GENERALLY NOT SO FAVORABLE FLYING CONDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS OR SO. VFR CONDS ARE NOTED ATTM BUT WILL BE DETERIORATING AS
SHOWERS AND T-STORMS MOVE IN FROM THE WEST THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL
BE INCREASING FROM THE SE THIS MORNING AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE SW THIS AFTN AND BECOME
GUSTY...THEN SHIFT TO NW OR N THIS EVENING AFTER THE LOW PRES PASSES
EAST OF THE AREA.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY: IMPROVING CONDITIONS TO VFR THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS
POSSIBLE EARLY, THEN CLEARING. NORTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
KNOTS.

SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY: MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. POSSIBLE
MVFR CONDITIONS IN SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE STARTING OFF LIGHT EARLY THIS MORNING BUT WILL BE
PICKING UP FROM THE SE LATER AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE S AND SW THIS AFTN AND EVENTUALLY TO NW
THIS EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES OFF THE NJ COAST. WINDS MAY GUST
TO 30KT AT TIMES FOR A STRONG SCA BUT ATTM DO NOT THINK THERE WILL
BE ANY GALE FORCE WINDS. SEAS WILL ALSO BUILD..ESPECIALLY WELL
OFFSHORE...UP TO 6-7 FT.

OUTLOOK...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL REMAIN UP THROUGH 8PM FRIDAY ON THE
OCEAN WATERS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST ABOVE 25 KT ON FRIDAY
BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE FRIDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL GRADUALLY FALL
BELOW 5 FT ON FRIDAY EVENING AS WELL.

FOR SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY, WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA. SEAS WILL START TO INCREASE THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT
WEEK AND MAY APPROACH 5 FEET LATE MONDAY OR TUESDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

RATHER STRONG LOW PRESSURE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR IS LOCATED OVER
NORTHEAST OHIO EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOW IS FCST TO TRACK ESEWD
ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA TODAY ALONG A NORTHWARD MOVING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND T-STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
LOW AND FRONTAL SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE GENERALLY ONE TO
TWO INCHES OVER THE FLOOD WATCH AREA FROM THIS MORNING INTO
TONIGHT. SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE HIGHER AMOUNTS DEPENDING ON
WHERE STORMS FORM AND/OR REGENERATE.

THE FLOOD WATCH IS FOCUSED ON AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN
DURING THE PAST WEEK OR SO RESULTING IN SATURATED SOIL AND ABOVE
NORMAL STREAM FLOWS. FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT FLOODING
CAN OCCUR FROM AN INCH OF RAIN OR LESS IN A COUPLE OF HOURS...AND
THE EXPECTED T-STORMS CAN EASILY PRODUCE THAT MUCH RAIN IN A SHORT
TIME.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD MONTHLY RAINFALL - JUNE

PHL 10.06 1938
ILG  9.90 2003
ACY  8.45 1920

THURSDAY JUNE 13 DAILY RECORD RAINFALL

ACY 1.29 1953
PHL 2.21 1982
ILG 2.41 1982
ABE 2.93 1942

RAINFALL THIS MONTH THROUGH THE 10TH IS ABOUT 200-400 PERCENT OF
NORMAL WITH 5 TO 7 INCHES COMMON ALONG THE MOUNT HOLLY CWA I95
CORRIDOR.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR PAZ054-055-060>062-070-
     071-101>106.
NJ...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR NJZ001-007>010-012>020-
     026-027.
DE...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR DEZ001.
MD...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR MDZ008.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR
     ANZ450>455.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING
     FOR ANZ431.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MEOLA
NEAR TERM...AMC/KLINE
SHORT TERM...AMC
LONG TERM...MEOLA
AVIATION...AMC/MEOLA
MARINE...AMC/MEOLA
HYDROLOGY...
CLIMATE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
748 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-062-141200-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-NORTHAMPTON-
748 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

NJZ009-010-012-PAZ061-141200-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-LEHIGH-
748 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 304 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   FLOOD WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ013-015>020-027-PAZ060-070-071-101>106-141200-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
748 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 304 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   FLOOD WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS, LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

DEZ002-003-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021>023-141200-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
748 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 304 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

ANOTHER ROUND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. THERE IS
A GROWING POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ACTIVITY WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM.
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS, LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

NJZ014-026-141200-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL OCEAN-
748 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 304 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   FLOOD WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS, LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

NJZ024-025-141200-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
748 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 304 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

ANOTHER ROUND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. THERE IS
A GROWING POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ACTIVITY WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM.
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS, LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

DEZ004-141200-
DELAWARE BEACHES-
748 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 304 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

ANOTHER ROUND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. THERE IS
A GROWING POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ACTIVITY WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM.
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS, LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ450>455-141200-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
748 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 304 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ430-431-141200-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
748 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 304 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS OVER THE DELAWARE BAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
810 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

MDZ008-012-015-PAZ101-102-131300-
CECIL MD-EASTERN CHESTER PA-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
WESTERN CHESTER PA-
810 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL
AFFECT CECIL...CHESTER...KENT AND NORTH CENTRAL QUEEN ANNE'S
COUNTIES...

AT 806 AM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS
LOCATED FROM 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF MANHEIM TO 45 MILES WEST OF MIDDLE
RIVER...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

AS THESE STORMS TRACK EAST AND SOUTHEASTWARD, THE AIRMASS IS TENDING
TO BECOME LESS UNSTABLE. AS A RESULT, THE LINE OF STORMS ESPECIALLY
THE NORTHERN EXTENT MAY WEAKEN. IF THESE MAINTAIN THEIR INTENSITY
THOUGH, STRONG TO LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN MARYLAND SHORE INTO
CHESTER COUNTY IN PENNSYLVANIA. REMAIN ALERT IN THE EVENT WARNINGS
ARE ISSUED.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS LINE OF
STORMS. DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN
LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 3926 7623 3934 7617 3943 7601 3952 7599
      3955 7603 3955 7608 3957 7608 3972 7623
      3973 7614 3979 7605 3988 7599 3997 7600
      4003 7594 4011 7595 4014 7586 4006 7542
      3972 7579 3927 7581 3910 7625 3917 7629

FORECASTER: GORSE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
831 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

DEZ001-PAZ070-071-103>106-131345-
NEW CASTLE-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...
COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...CHALFONT...
PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
831 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING THE
PHILADELPHIA METRO FROM THE WEST...

AT 825 AM, NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN
AREA OF SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO FAR EASTERN
PENNSLVANIA. THE MOST INTENSE PART OF THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS
CLOSEST TO THE PENNSYLVANIA MARYLAND BORDER. THIS ACTIVITY
CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD AT AROUND 50 MPH.

CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS ACTIVITY, WITH
THE MOST FREQUENT LIGHTNING ACROSS THE LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY AS
OF 825 AM. AS THESE STORMS MOVE EASTWARD, THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING
THREAT OF DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING FOR THE IMMEDIATE
PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA INCLUDING THE LOCATION OF THE U.S OPEN
AROUND 9 AM.

IF YOU HEAR THUNDER OR SEE THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHING, SEEK
SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INDOORS. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES.

GORSE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
906 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

PAZ071-103>106-131415-
PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILADELPHIA...COLLEGEVILLE...
POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...
MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
906 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
WILL AFFECT THE IMMEDIATE PHILADELPHIA METRO INCLUDING THE U.S.
OPEN...

AT 905 AM, NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN
AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE IMMEDIATE PHILADELPHIA METRO.
THE MAIN LINE OF STORMS CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD AT AROUND 50 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS
LINE OF STORMS. THEREFORE, DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL
AFFECT THE IMMEDIATE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA INCLUDING THE
LOCATION OF THE U.S OPEN THROUGH ABOUT 945 AM.

SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INDOORS. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES.

GORSE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
932 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0918 AM     HAIL             ELVERSON                40.16N  75.83W
06/13/2013  E0.25 INCH       CHESTER            PA   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1300094

BUNKER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
935 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0932 AM     TSTM WND DMG     HOCKESSIN               39.78N  75.69W
06/13/2013                   NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SINGLE TREE INTO POWER LINE

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1300095

BUNKER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
939 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

DEZ002-003-MDZ012-015-019-020-131430-
CAROLINE MD-INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT DE-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
TALBOT MD-
939 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN TALBOT...
NORTHERN CAROLINE...NORTHWESTERN SUSSEX...SOUTHERN KENT...SOUTHERN
QUEEN ANNE'S AND SOUTHWESTERN KENT COUNTIES...

AT 936 AM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM ROCK
HALL TO BAY RIDGE...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS. EXPECT INTENSE LIGHTNING FROM THESE STORMS. DO NOT STAY IN
THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE
INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES. VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL
FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND FILL
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE RAIN WILL CAUSE RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS
AND CREEKS.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR GRASONVILLE...OVERTON...OVERTON...AND
GRASONVILLE AROUND 945 AM...QUEENSTOWN...AND CENTREVILLE AROUND 950
AM...WYE MILLS...WYE MILLS...STARR AND STARR AROUND 955 AM.

LAT...LON 3905 7631 3899 7627 3898 7621 3900 7618
      3903 7625 3912 7626 3912 7625 3912 7544
      3881 7549 3887 7622 3892 7622 3894 7624
      3890 7624 3893 7628 3889 7628 3891 7632
      3888 7632 3888 7637 3894 7637

FORECASTER: DRAG