Alert archive / New Jersey / Areal Flood Advisories in 2013

Areal Flood Advisory 49, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

June 13, 20135 counties in New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this areal flood advisory at Jun 13, 2013, 6:31 PM EDT for 5 counties in New Jersey. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 13, 2013, 6:31 PM EDT (22:31 UTC)
Expired: Jun 13, 2013, 10:30 PM EDT
In force: 4 hr
Issued by: NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 28 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 155 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 416 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -188 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 645 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 63 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 172 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 6.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

998 
WGUS81 KPHI 132231
FLSPHI

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
631 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

NJC001-005-007-015-029-140230-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.Y.0049.130613T2231Z-130614T0230Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAMDEN NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-BURLINGTON NJ-ATLANTIC NJ-OCEAN NJ-
631 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHERN CAMDEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  SOUTHEASTERN GLOUCESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  SOUTHERN BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  NORTHERN ATLANTIC COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  SOUTHERN OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 1030 PM EDT

* AT 630 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED 
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ADVISED AREA. THE RAIN WAS  
ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORMS. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL 
FROM THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

THIS WILL BE ENOUGH PRECIPITATION TO CAUSE LOW LYING AND POOR 
DRAINAGE FLOODING AND WILL AFFECT THE LATTER HALF OF THE EVENING 
COMMUTE.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3977 7409 3967 7414 3950 7430 3950 7434
      3954 7435 3955 7446 3952 7498 3955 7504
      3980 7507 3989 7415 3987 7412 3986 7412
      3977 7418 3972 7415 3986 7408 3985 7407
      3977 7408

$$

KRUZDLO

1 follow-up statement

048 
WGUS81 KPHI 132355
FLSPHI

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
755 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

NJC001-005-007-015-029-140005-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-130614T0230Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAMDEN NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-BURLINGTON NJ-ATLANTIC NJ-OCEAN NJ-
755 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SOUTHERN OCEAN...
NORTHERN ATLANTIC...SOUTHERN BURLINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN GLOUCESTER AND
SOUTHERN CAMDEN COUNTIES...

THE RAIN RESPONSIBLE FOR THE ADVISORY HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.

LAT...LON 3977 7409 3967 7414 3950 7430 3950 7434
      3954 7435 3955 7446 3952 7498 3955 7504
      3980 7507 3989 7415 3987 7412 3986 7412
      3977 7418 3972 7415 3986 7408 3985 7407
      3977 7408

$$

KRUZDLO

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Jun 13, 6:13 PM EDT, 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 13, 6:13 PM EDT, 18 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
613 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE ACROSS OUR AREA TONIGHT WITH AN
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SHIFTING TO OUR EAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHWEST LATER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE NEXT COLD
FRONT AND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ARE FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH LATER
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN FORECAST TO BUILD INTO OUR REGION
DURING WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...

WITH THIS UPDATE HAVE MADE SOME TWEAKS TO THE TEMPERATURES BASED ON
THE WARM FRONTAL LOCATION AND AREAS THAT HAVE SEEN THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. WITH CONVECTION ONGOING HAVE LEFT IN
ENHANCED WORDING. AFTER THE EARLY EVENING HOURS POPS WERE LOWERED
SLIGHTLY BASED ON CURRENT RADAR.

AFTER COORDINATING WITH SPC, WE HAVE EXPANDED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH 306 INTO MOST OF OUR DELMARVA ZONES, IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM.

THROUGH THIS EVENING, STRONG SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS OUR CWA,
EVENTUALLY MOVING OFFSHORE AROUND MIDNIGHT. FOR MUCH OF THE REGION
THROUGH NORTHERN TO CENTRAL NJ AND MUCH OF EASTERN PA, THE OVERALL
THREAT FOR SEVERE WX HAS ENDED. CONVECTION THAT OCCURRED EARLIER
THIS MORNING HELPED TO STABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS THESE AREAS,
AND WHILE WE CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT A FEW SCATTERED T-STORMS
THROUGH THIS EVENING AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE PUSHES ACROSS THE
REGION, WE DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FOR
THESE LOCATIONS. FATHER SOUTH HOWEVER, INTO FAR SOUTHERN NJ AND OUR
DELMARVA ZONES, MORE INSTABILITY REMAINS, AND THESE AREAS ARE ALSO
IN THE WARM SECTOR. WE STILL ANTICIPATE DAMAGING WINDS, HAIL, AND
HEAVY RAIN TO BE A THREAT WITH ANY T-STORMS DEVELOPING AND MOVING
INTO THESE AREAS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

ONCE THE SURFACE LOW AND TRAILING COLD FRONT PUSH EAST AND OFFSHORE,
WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS,
ALLOWING MORE STABLE AIR TO SETTLE IN ACROSS THE REGION. PRECIP
CHANCES WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT, BUT WITH AN UPPER
TROUGH STILL PROGRESSING ACROSS THE FCST AREA, SOME SCATTERED SHOWER
MAY CONTINUE. FOR OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES, WE BLENDED MET/MAV
GUIDANCE WITH CONTINUITY, WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE LOWER TO MID
50S NORTH TO THE LOWER 60S SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
OVERALL, QUIETER WEATHER IS IN STORE FRIDAY AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
MOVES NORTHEAST AND OUT TO SEA. HOWEVER, A MID/UPPER TROUGH WILL BE
SLOW TO MOVE EAST AWAY FROM THE REGION. WITH THIS IN MIND, WE
THEREFORE HAVE MAINTAINED SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS FOR A FEW
SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION, WITH HIGHEST POPS ACROSS THE NORTH.
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION ON NORTH
TO NORTHWEST WINDS, WITH DEWPOINTS MAINLY IN THE 50S. WE USED A
BLEND OF MOS GUIDANCE WITH CONTINUITY FOR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES, WITH
HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY IN THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE FCST AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP IS COMPRISED OF A SHARP TROUGH IN THE
EAST TO START, HOWEVER THIS LIFTS OUT AND TENDS TO GO TOWARDS A
TROUGH FROM CENTRAL CANADA TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. THIS RESULTS
IN A MORE ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE U.S. WITH AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES. THIS FLOW IS THEN FORECAST TO
BUCKLE LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK AS ENERGY ARRIVES
INTO THE WEST COAST, WITH A SHORT WAVE TROUGH DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. THIS LOOKS TO
GRADUALLY LEAD TOWARD AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ARRIVING INTO THE EAST
LATE TUESDAY AND LINGERING INTO THURSDAY. WE USED A MODEL BLEND
APPROACH FOR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, THEN USED WPC GUIDANCE
THEREAFTER WITH JUST SOME MINOR TWEAKS.

FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SHOULD BE
SHIFTING TO OUR EAST DURING THIS TIME FRAME, WITH PERHAPS SOME
LINGERING SHOWERS/THUNDER FRIDAY EVENING. ANY ACTIVITY SHOULD BE
ISOLATED/SCATTERED BEFORE ENDING EARLY, THEN A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
OCCURS WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ARRIVING FOR SATURDAY.

FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW IS FORECAST TO BECOME
MORE ZONAL SUNDAY BEFORE STARTING TO AMPLIFY SOME ON MONDAY. SOME
SHORT WAVE ENERGY WITHIN THIS ZONAL FLOW MAY TEAM UP WITH JUST
ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND A LEE SIDE TROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING TO PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS. THESE SHOULD MOSTLY BE
DRIVEN BY DAYTIME HEATING WITH A DIMINISHING TREND SUNDAY NIGHT,
UNLESS A CONVECTIVE CLUSTER CAN ORGANIZE TO OUR NORTHWEST. A SHORT
WAVE TROUGH THEN STARTS TO AMPLIFY INTO A MAIN TROUGH ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS WILL DRIVE A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EASTWARD, ALTHOUGH IT APPEARS IT HANGS BACK FAR ENOUGH
MONDAY TO KEEP THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION TO OUR WEST. HOWEVER, A
LEE SIDE TROUGH MAY ONCE AGAIN BE IN PLACE MONDAY ALLOWING FOR THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME ORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...WE TENDED TO FOLLOW THE PRESSURE AND
FRONTS GUIDANCE FROM WPC, WHICH SHOWS A COLD FRONT ARRIVING LATER
TUESDAY. THIS BOUNDARY MAY HAVE A SURFACE LOW MOVING UP ALONG IT AS
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AMPLIFIES SOME. THERE LOOKS TO BE AMPLE
MOISTURE ADVECTING NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE, THEREFORE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY. WE MAY
EVENTUALLY HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF SOME STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION
TUESDAY, HOWEVER THIS WILL DEPEND ON THE TIMING, FORCING AND THERMAL
PROFILES. THE COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO BE TO OUR EAST WEDNESDAY,
WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY. WE KEPT
POPS TUESDAY AT CHC FOR NOW, THEN LOWERED THEM AT NIGHT AND WENT DRY
FOR WEDNESDAY.

FOR THURSDAY...AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE NORTHEAST WITH GENERALLY
CYCLONIC FLOW. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO SETTLE
ACROSS OUR AREA AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS PUSHED WELL TO OUR SOUTH.
WE GENERALLY FOLLOWED WPC GUIDANCE CLOSELY, WITH NO PRECIPITATION
ANTICIPATED.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

WHILE THE THREAT OF STRONG TO SEVERE T-STORMS HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS
MUCH OF THE REGION, SOME SCATTERED T-STORM ACTIVITY IS STILL
POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING, MAINLY FROM AROUND KPHL AND
SOUTHWARD. WE HAVE INCLUDED A TEMPO GROUP ON THE TIMING FOR POSSIBLE
T-STORMS FOR THESE SITES, ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE ON THIS IS ONLY
AVERAGE. OTHERWISE, WE EXPECT SOME SCATTERED SHWR ACTIVITY THROUGH
LATE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT, WITH CEILINGS LOWERING TO MVFR.

BY AROUND EARLY TO MID MORNING FRIDAY, CEILINGS SHOULD BEGIN TO RISE
BACK TO VFR. WINDS FOR FRIDAY WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH-NORTHWEST,
WITH SOME GUSTS IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE EXPECTED. SOME ISOLATED
SHOWERS MAY BE POSSIBLE DURING THE DAYTIME FRIDAY, BUT WE DO NOT
EXPECT COVERAGE TO BE WIDESPREAD.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY NIGHT...A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE EARLY, OTHERWISE VFR.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS.

SATURDAY...VFR. NORTHWEST WINDS NEAR 10 KNOTS, BECOMING LIGHT
SOUTHWESTERLY AT NIGHT.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY...OVERALL VFR. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE MAINLY EACH AFTERNOON WITH A CHANCE OF LOCAL MVFR AT TIMES.
SOUTHWEST WINDS MOSTLY 5-10 KNOTS.

TUESDAY...VFR TO START, THE AREAS OF MVFR WITH POSSIBLE SHOWERS AND
SOME THUNDERSTORMS. SOUTHERLY WINDS 10-15 KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...
WITH STRONG SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT TRACKING
ACROSS OUR REGION AND COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY,
THE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN ACROSS OUR COASTAL WATERS AND FOR A TIME
INTO LOWER DELAWARE BAY. WE THEREFORE MAINTAIN THE CURRENT SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR LOWER DELAWARE THROUGH THIS EVENING AND FOR OUR
COASTAL WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. WIND GUSTS ON OUR COASTAL
WATERS WILL APPROACH 30 KNOTS AT TIMES DURING FRIDAY, WITH SEAS IN
THE 5 TO 6 FOOT RANGE.

OUTLOOK...
AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH GRADUALLY SHIFTS TO OUR EAST FRIDAY NIGHT,
ITS INFLUENCE WILL BE WANING. THE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE BELOW
ADVISORY CRITERIA, AND THE SEAS ON THE OCEAN SHOULD BE SUBSIDING TO
UNDER 5 FEET EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. THEREFORE, WE MAINTAINED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE OCEAN ZONES UNTIL 00Z SATURDAY. FOR
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY, WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CRITERIA. HOWEVER WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A PROLONGED
SOUTHERLY FLOW, THE SEAS WILL START TO BUILD AND COULD REACH OR
EXCEED 5 FEET EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT
FRIDAY FOR ANZ450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GORSE
NEAR TERM...KLINE
SHORT TERM...KLINE
LONG TERM...GORSE
AVIATION...GORSE/KLINE
MARINE...GORSE/KLINE

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 13, 4:13 PM EDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
413 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015-PAZ054-055-061-062-105-142015-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
MERCER-CARBON-MONROE-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-UPPER BUCKS-
413 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SOME HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING, WHICH MAY
PRODUCE LOCALIZED POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ017>020-027-PAZ060-070-071-101>104-106-142015-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
413 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS. SOME HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE, WHICH COULD PRODUCE
LOCALIZED POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016-021>023-142015-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
413 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS. SOME HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE, WHICH COULD PRODUCE
LOCALIZED POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ002-003-MDZ012-015-019-020-142015-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
413 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 306 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ014-026-142015-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL OCEAN-
413 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

SOME HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING, WHICH MAY
PRODUCE LOCALIZED POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ024-142015-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
413 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS. SOME HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE, WHICH COULD PRODUCE
LOCALIZED POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ004-142015-
DELAWARE BEACHES-
413 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 306 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ450-451-142015-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
413 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ430-431-452>455-142015-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
413 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 13, 5:25 PM EDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
525 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0524 PM     TSTM WND GST     CEDARVILLE              39.33N  75.20W
06/13/2013  E60 MPH          CUMBERLAND         NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1300118

BUNKER

Special weather statement, Jun 13, 5:26 PM EDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
526 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

NJZ021-132230-
CUMBERLAND NJ-
526 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CUMBERLAND COUNTY...

AT 525 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR DIVIDING CREEK...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL BE
NEAR PORT ELIZABETH AROUND 540 PM.

LAT...LON 3930 7488 3925 7489 3919 7503 3921 7504
      3920 7511 3917 7514 3919 7517 3923 7518
      3924 7520 3930 7524 3947 7502 3931 7487

NIERENBERG

Special weather statement, Jun 13, 5:38 PM EDT, 53 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
538 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

NJZ017-020>027-132245-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-CAPE MAY NJ-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-
OCEAN NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
538 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ATLANTIC...EASTERN
CUMBERLAND...NORTHERN CAPE MAY...SOUTHEASTERN
BURLINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN GLOUCESTER AND SOUTHERN OCEAN COUNTIES...

AT 537 PM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE NEAR BELLEPLAIN
FOREST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR ENGLISH CREEK AROUND 550 PM...ABSECON AROUND
600 PM...BRIGANTINE AROUND 610 PM...BEACH HAVEN AROUND 620 PM...NORTH
BEACH HAVEN AROUND 630 PM AND HARVEY CEDARS AROUND 640 PM.

LAT...LON 3956 7422 3949 7430 3948 7429 3943 7432
      3934 7443 3911 7488 3917 7490 3950 7516
      3946 7509 3955 7507 3989 7413 3986 7412
      3978 7418 3972 7415 3977 7415 3985 7410
      3977 7408

NIERENBERG

Local storm report, Jun 13, 6:02 PM EDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
602 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     TSTM WND GST     FRANKFORD               38.52N  75.23W
06/13/2013  M68 MPH          SUSSEX             DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1300119

BUNKER

Local storm report, Jun 13, 6:09 PM EDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
609 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     TSTM WND GST     MILLVILLE               39.39N  75.05W
06/13/2013  M58 MPH          CUMBERLAND         NJ   ASOS

            MEASURED WIND SPEED

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1300120

BUNKER

Local storm report, Jun 13, 6:16 PM EDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
616 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0553 PM     TSTM WND GST     NEWPORT                 39.30N  75.18W
06/13/2013  M63 MPH          CUMBERLAND         NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SMALL TREE LIMBS DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1300121

BUNKER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 13, 9:18 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PHI	Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Salem	57 min
Jun 13, 9:47 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Somerset and 1 more	58 min
Jun 13, 9:58 AM EDT	Special Marine Warning	PHI		62 min
Jun 13, 10:03 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PHI	Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 2 more	57 min
Jun 13, 10:26 AM EDT	Special Marine Warning	PHI		94 min
Jun 13, 10:43 AM EDT	Special Marine Warning	PHI		2 hr
Jun 13, 10:50 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PHI	Cape May	55 min
Jun 13, 10:58 AM EDT	Special Marine Warning	PHI		62 min
Jun 13, 11:01 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	PHI	Ocean	29 min
Jun 13, 11:27 AM EDT	Special Marine Warning	PHI		63 min
Jun 13, 4:46 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	PHI		59 min
Jun 13, 4:56 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	PHI		64 min
Jun 13, 5:26 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	PHI	Cumberland	64 min
Jun 13, 5:27 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland, Salem	4 hr
Jun 13, 5:38 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	PHI	Atlantic	67 min
Jun 13, 5:40 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	PHI		65 min
Jun 13, 5:47 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PHI	Atlantic, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Salem	58 min
Jun 13, 5:51 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	PHI		54 min
Jun 13, 5:56 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	PHI		64 min
Jun 13, 6:17 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PHI	Atlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Cumberland, Ocean	58 min
Jun 13, 6:40 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	PHI		95 min
Jun 13, 7:50 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Somerset	4 hr

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in New Jersey, 2013 Every areal flood advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.