Flash Flood Warning 19, NWS Pittsburgh, PA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
709 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL A COLD
FRONT CROSSES THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE
WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
MADE A FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO MRNG POPS. AN AREA OF SHWRS AND SCT
TSTMS CONTS TO MOVE E ACRS THE AREA THIS MRNG PRODUCING VRY HVY
RAINFALL. EXP WE WL SEE A LULL IN THE ACTIVITY FOR A WHILE LATER
THIS MRNG AS BEST DYNAMICS SHIFT E. THIS AFTN A CDFNT WL BEGIN TO
APRCH FM THE W...WITH ADDNL TSTMS DVLPG. EXP CAPES 2000-3000 J/KG
OVR THE RGN. SHEAR VALUES NOT IMPRESSIVE BUT SOME DRYING IN THE
MID LVLS SHOULD BRING A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. LARGE HAIL
WL ALSO BE PSBL. EXP THIS TO CONT INTO THE EVE BEFORE INSTBY GRDLY
DCRS AFT SUNSET.

PWATS WL REMAIN HIGH SO THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING CONTS. NO
CHGS TO FLASH FLOOD WATCH ATTM...PLACEMENT STILL LOOKS GOOD. MAY
BE SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING FURTHER NORTH BUT THREAT NOT SUFFICIENT
ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN THE WATCH ATTM. PCPN SHOULD DMNSH/MOVE OUT
OF THE RGN LTR TNGT AS THE CDFNT PUSHES THROUGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
COOLER AND LESS HUMID CONDS WL FOLLOW FROPA AS HIGH PRES BLDS IN.
AN UPR TROF WL MOVE ACRS THE GT LKS THU EVE BUT NO GOOD MOISTURE
TO WORK WITH SO LEFT FCST DRY. EXP SLIGHTLY BLO SEASONAL AVG
TEMPS THRU THE PD.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRES IS EXPD TO BE IN CTRL MUCH OF THE PD. WIDE RANGE OF MDL
SOLUTIONS ERLY NEXT WK IN HANDLING OF AN UPR LOW OVER THE NERN
CONUS. WENT WITH A NAEFS/HPC SOLN WHICH KEEPS MORE UPR LVL RIDGING
ACRS THE RGN. KEPT SLGT CHC POPS ERLY IN THE WK...WITH SLIGHTLY
BETTER CHCS TWD MID WK AS THE HIGH BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN. EXP ABV
SEASONAL AVG TEMPS THRU THE PD.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHWRS AND SCT TSTMS CONT TO MOVE E ACRS THE RGN ERLY THIS MRNG.
EXP MVFR TO OCNL IFR WITH THE PCPN. PCPN SHOULD DCRS LTR THIS
MRNG WITH CONDS GRDLY RETURNING TO VFR THIS AFTN. A CDFNT WL MOVE
EWD THIS AFTN AND EVE WITH TSTMS EXPD. TIMING OF TSTMS STILL IN QN
SO INCLUDED VCTS IN THE TAFS ATTM. EXP PCPN TO TAPER OFF TNGT AS
WNDS SHIFT TO THE NW AFT FROPA. AREAS MVFR/PTCHY IFR BR BEHIND THE
FNT EXPD THU MRNG.

OUTLOOK.../THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
GENL VFR CONDS EXPD WITH HIGH PRES IN CTRL.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR MDZ001.
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR OHZ039>041-048>050-
     057>059-068-069.
PA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR PAZ020-021-029-031-
     073>076.
WV...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR WVZ001>004-012-
     021>023-041.

&&

07

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
406 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ020-021-029-031-073>076-
WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-110815-
GARRETT-TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COLUMBIANA-COSHOCTON-HARRISON-
JEFFERSON OH-MUSKINGUM-GUERNSEY-BELMONT-NOBLE-MONROE-BEAVER-
ALLEGHENY-WASHINGTON-GREENE-WESTMORELAND-WESTMORELAND RIDGES-FAYETTE-
FAYETTE RIDGES-HANCOCK-BROOKE-OHIO-MARSHALL-WETZEL-MARION-MONONGALIA-
PRESTON-TUCKER-
406 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MARYLAND...EAST
CENTRAL OHIO...SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND
NORTHERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH
DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ007>009-013>016-022-023-110815-
MERCER-VENANGO-FOREST-LAWRENCE-BUTLER-CLARION-JEFFERSON PA-ARMSTRONG-
INDIANA-
406 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA AND
WEST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADDITION...HEAVY
RAIN MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

07

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
828 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

OHZ041-PAZ013-020-WVZ001-101300-
BEAVER PA-COLUMBIANA OH-HANCOCK WV-LAWRENCE PA-
828 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BEAVER...EAST CENTRAL
COLUMBIANA...NORTHEASTERN HANCOCK AND SOUTHWESTERN LAWRENCE
COUNTIES...

AT 825 AM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE FROM 3 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF EAST PALESTINE TO 3 MILES WEST OF DARLINGTON TO 3 MILES
NORTH OF DARLINGTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. HEAVY RAIN WILL
POND WATER ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.
GIVEN THE SATURATED SOIL...TREES LIKELY WILL BLOW DOWN IN WIND OF
THIS SPEED.

  LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  EAST PALESTINE...     DARLINGTON...         BLACKHAWK...
  BEAVER FALLS...       BEAVER...             SHIPPINGPORT...
  ALIQUIPPA...

STORM INTENSITY IS INCREASING...AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP
RAPIDLY. REMAIN ALERT...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF WARNINGS
ARE ISSUED.

PLEASE REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER BY CALLING...412-262-1988...POSTING
TO THE NWS PITTSBURGH FACEBOOK PAGE...OR USING TWITTER
@NWSPITTSBURGH.

LAT...LON 4083 8063 4086 8052 4091 8044 4069 8018
      4056 8030 4055 8051

KRAMAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
837 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0829 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LINCOLN PLACE           40.37N  79.92W
07/10/2013                   ALLEGHENY          PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MIFFLIN RD AND LEBANON RD LANDSLIDE AND FLOODING

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1302395

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