Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS Norman, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
516 PM CDT FRI MAR 29 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-301000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
516 PM CDT FRI MAR 29 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS SOUTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM WOODWARD TO
GUTHRIE AND SEMINOLE...TO ADA AND DURANT OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING ALL
OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM 5 PM THIS
EVENING THROUGH 2 AM.

IMPACTS...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF TENNIS BALLS AND WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS FROM THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
MOST SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT MOVED ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA LATE THIS
MORNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND EXITED THE REGION TO THE EAST.

THIS EVENING...MODERATE INSTABILITY...COMBINED WITH RELATIVELY WEAK
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR...WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SOME SEVERE STORMS FROM
NOW THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A MODEST CAP HAS KEPT MOST STORM ACTIVITY
FROM DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THIS CAP IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS AN
UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED STORMS...A FEW OF WHICH MAY BE SEVERE...PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

STORMS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE INTO THE NIGHT...BUT A STRENGTHENING
SURFACE INVERSION WILL LIKELY CAUSE THE STORMS TO BECOME ELEVATED.
A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY STILL BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE BUT THE
OVERALL INTENSITY OF THE STORMS WILL WEAKEN LATER THIS EVENING. HAIL
UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY MAR 30.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...80 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY THROUGH MONDAY.
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS OVER MOST OF OKLAHOMA AND
NORTH TEXAS ON SATURDAY.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
SOME LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...
AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY MORNINGS
ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 AM... WITH
UPDATES AS NEEDED.

CMS/MAXWELL/AUSTIN

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
607 PM CDT FRI MAR 29 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     HAIL             5 NNW EL RENO           35.62N 97.99W
03/29/2013  M1.00 INCH       CANADIAN           OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MBS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
633 PM CDT FRI MAR 29 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0628 PM     HAIL             3 NE CONCHO             35.65N 97.96W
03/29/2013  E1.25 INCH       CANADIAN           OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MDAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
639 PM CDT FRI MAR 29 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0637 PM     HAIL             4 NE CONCHO             35.66N 97.95W
03/29/2013  E1.50 INCH       CANADIAN           OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MDAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
642 PM CDT FRI MAR 29 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0637 PM     TSTM WND GST     FREDERICK               34.39N 99.01W
03/29/2013  E64 MPH          TILLMAN            OK   ASOS

&&

MDAY