Severe Thunderstorm Warning 206, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
243 PM CDT WED MAY 8 2013

.DISCUSSION...
STORMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA. THE STORM SCALE MODELS PAINT A CONSISTENT PICTURE OF
STORMS CONTINUING TO DEVELOP ALONG THE DRYLINE IN WESTERN
OKLAHOMA... WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS POTENTIALLY DEVELOPING AHEAD
OF THE DRYLINE. ALTHOUGH DISCRETE STORMS ARE EXPECTED INITIALLY...
IT WILL LIKELY DEVELOP INTO A LINE OR COMPLEX AND SPREAD EAST
ACROSS THE AREA. POPS ARE MORE INFLUENCED BY THE SHORT-TERM MODELS
THAN THE MOS NUMBERS FOR THIS EVENING. SOME SEVERE WEATHER LOOKS
LIKELY THIS EVENING. SOME LINGERING SHOWERS AND STORMS REMAIN
POSSIBLE INTO THE MORNING IN THE WAKE OF THE COMPLEX... ESPECIALLY
IN THE NORTH. THE LONGWAVE TROUGH REMAINS TO THE WEST FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA... THUS PRECIP
CHANCES WILL PERSIST ESPECIALLY WITH A SURFACE BOUNDARY IN OR NEAR
THE AREA... ALTHOUGH CHANCES WILL DECREASE AS THE UPPER LOW
WEAKENS AND COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH INTO TEXAS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  60  79  56  73 /  40  30  50  20
HOBART OK         59  80  55  74 /  50  20  40  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  62  87  57  77 /  40  30  50  30
GAGE OK           55  75  53  71 /  40  30  30  10
PONCA CITY OK     60  77  57  72 /  60  40  30  20
DURANT OK         60  79  60  79 /  20  50  60  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

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