Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 65, NWS Mobile, AL

May 2, 2013Choctaw County, Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at May 2, 2013, 10:50 AM CDT for Choctaw County, Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama. It took effect at May 4, 2013, 1:00 AM CDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 2, 2013, 10:50 AM CDT (15:50 UTC)
In effect from: May 4, 2013, 1:00 AM CDT
Expired: May 3, 2013, 10:22 PM CDT
In force
Issued by: NWS Mobile, AL
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Washington County, AL

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tombigbee River near Leroy (LRYA1). The gauge peaked at 20.80 ft at May 3, 2013, 7:00 PM CDT.

Action stage: 19 ft
Minor stage: 24 ft
Moderate stage: 30 ft
Major stage: 35 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02470050, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

227 
WGUS44 KMOB 021550
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 
1050 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013



...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA... 

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES.

.HEAVY RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST DAY AND IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS. AS A RESULT...RIVER LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO RISE AND A FLOOD WARNING 
IS NOW IN EFFECT. THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON THE EXPECTED RAINFALL DURING 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  IF LESS RAINFALL OCCURS... IT MAY BE NECESSARY TO REVISE THIS 
STAGE FORECAST DOWNWARD.

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-031550-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0065.130503T2200Z-130507T1200Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130503T2200Z.130504T0600Z.130507T0600Z.NO/
1050 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...19.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 24.3 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 24 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
  OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$

2 follow-up statements

801 
WGUS84 KMOB 030217
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
917 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...

 
  BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND AFFECTING MOBILE COUNTY. 
  FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THESE RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC097-040217-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-130506T0600Z/
/SARA1.1.ER.130502T1645Z.130503T1200Z.130506T0000Z.NO/
917 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT 
* AT 11AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 4 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 4.1 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 4 FEET, FLOODING OF STREETS BEGINS AND BECOMES WIDESPREAD EAST OF THE 
RAILROAD WHEN THE LEVEL REACHES 5 FEET.  

$$

ALC003-031942-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-130503T1942Z/
/FSHA1.1.ER.130502T2230Z.130503T0600Z.130503T1342Z.UU/
917 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL
* FROM TONIGHT UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 
  11.8 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 11 FEET, FLOOD STAGE...COUNTY ROAD 48 FLOODS AT BRIDGE  

$$

ALC023-025-129-040216-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0065.130504T0600Z-130504T1200Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130504T0600Z.130504T0600Z.130504T0600Z.NO/
917 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING
* AT 9PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE TO FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING RISING TO 
  24 FEET. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

MSC039-041-111-040216-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130502T1435Z.130505T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
917 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 19 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND WILL SUBSIDE AS THE 
WATER LEVEL DROPS BELOW 18 FEET.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-040216-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.130502T1730Z.130507T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
917 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THEN
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 22 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE AND SOME ROADS IN 
LOW LYING AREAS WILL BECOME CUT OFF BY HIGH WATER.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-040216-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.130504T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.130504T1200Z.130506T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
917 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 22.5 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.

$$

086 
WGUS84 KMOB 040322
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1022 PM CDT FRI MAY 3 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES.
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THESE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-050322-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130502T1435Z.130506T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1022 PM CDT FRI MAY 3 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 9PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.


$$

MSC039-041-153-050322-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.130502T1730Z.130507T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1022 PM CDT FRI MAY 3 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 9PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 23 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN
  FALLING.
*AT 22 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE AND SOME ROADS IN 
LOW LYING AREAS WILL BECOME CUT OFF BY HIGH WATER.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-050322-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.130504T1800Z-130509T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.130504T1800Z.130507T0600Z.130508T1800Z.NO/
1022 PM CDT FRI MAY 3 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* FROM TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING
* AT 9PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 23 FEET, STREETS AND PORTIONS OF THE OLD BUSINESS SECTION OF MERRILL WILL 
BECOME FLOODED.  AT 24 FEET THE BRIDGE BECOMES INACESSIBLE BY AUTOMOBILE.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-040352-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-130504T1200Z/
/LRYA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1022 PM CDT FRI MAY 3 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING 
* AT 10PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 2, 9:19 AM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 2, 9:19 AM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
919 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...LATEST SATELLITE AND RADAR TRENDS SUPERPOSED
WITH UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT UPPER LOW IS NOW A BIT FURTHER
EAST OVER SOUTHEASTERN LA AND HAS BECOME SOMEWHAT ELONGATED AND
SHEARED HORIZONTALLY. WHAT IS REALLY NOTICEABLE IS THAT THE UPPER
LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW HAS BECOME A BIT DISPLACED FROM THE LOWER
TROPOSPHERIC MOISTURE AXIS WITH BEST INTEGRATED MOISTURE FLUX.
HOWEVER...WITH PWAT VALUES RUNNING INTO THE LOWER 90TH PERCENTILE
FOR THIS DATE WE SHOULD SEE A REPEAT OF YESTERDAY'S HEAVY RAINFALL
THREAT ALONG THE AXIS OUTLINED BY CURRENT ONGOING DEEP CONVECTION
FROM ROUGHLY SOUTHERN BALDWIN COUNTY TO CLARKE COUNTY AND ABOUT 25
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE AS CELLS MOVE NORTHWARD OFF OF THE
GULFMEX ALONG THIS AXIS AS WELL.

EXPECT A GENERAL 2 TO 4 INCHES ALONG THIS AXIS WITH ISOLATED TOTALS
OF NEAR 8 INCHES WHERE CELLS TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREA. SFC WIND
TRAJECTORIES ARE E TO NE EAST OF I-65 WITH UPPER 50 SFC DEWPOINTS.
THIS SHOULD LIMIT RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR THESE ZONES. HOWEVER THIS
SURGE OF WINDS WILL CONVERGE RIGHT INTO THE WARM LOW LEVEL
CONVEYOR-BELT ENHANCING THE DEEP LAYER MASS CONVERGENCE UNDER A
REGION WITH VERY PRONOUNCED MID- AND UPPER TROPOSPHERIC DIVERGENCE.

OUR INITIAL THOUGHTS ARE THAT THE ONSET OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE
ANYTIME AFTER 16Z OR SO AND ENDURING THROUGH MID EVENING. WE ARE
ADJUSTING THE QPF GRIDS IN TIMER AND AN UPDATE WILL BE OUT SHORTLY.
CURRENT GRAPHICAST REFLECTS EXPECTED HEAVIEST RAINFALL AXIS.

/23 MEDLIN

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      74  62  76  46  73 / 100  70  40  30  30
PENSACOLA   74  64  78  52  73 / 100  70  50  40  30
DESTIN      75  65  75  57  73 /  80  60  60  40  30
EVERGREEN   75  62  76  48  69 /  90  60  60  50  30
WAYNESBORO  73  61  70  43  70 / 100  60  60  40  30
CAMDEN      75  62  72  45  68 /  90  60  80  60  30
CRESTVIEW   75  62  78  53  74 /  80  60  60  50  30

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL MIDNIGHT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES:      CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...ESCAMBIA...LOWER
BALDWIN...     LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER
MOBILE...     WASHINGTON...

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES:      COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND
ESCAMBIA...     INLAND SANTA ROSA...

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL MIDNIGHT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA
     ROSA...

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES:      GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...WAYNE...

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
     PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL
     TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 2, 7:45 AM CDT, 3 hours 5 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
745 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ634-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-031030-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
745 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL TODAY WILL BE
APPROXIMATELY 25 MILES ON EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM CLARKE COUNTY
ALABAMA SOUTH TO GULF SHORES. A GENERAL TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF
RAINFALL IS EXPECT WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF UP TO EIGHT INCHES. A
FLASH FLOOD IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND A PORTION OF THE NORTHWEST
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

WHILE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT IS LOW...SOME STORMS
MAY BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG BEACH AREAS THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING FOR
COASTAL ALABAMA.  A COMBINATION OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG WITH MODERATE TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS RESULTING IN
TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED LEVELS WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST.

SOME RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING
THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.
WHILE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED...THE STRONGER
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS.

SOME RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI ARE EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE MINOR
FLOODING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT EXPECTED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

GMZ630>633-635-650-655-670-675-031030-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
745 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA
TODAY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. SOME STORMS
MAY BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER
LIGHTNING.

MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA WILL LIKELY CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT DECREASING THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.
WHILE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED...THE STRONGER
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER
LIGHTNING.

MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 2, 6:14 AM CDT, 4 hours 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
614 AM CDT THU MAY 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 AM     FLASH FLOOD      FOLEY                   30.41N 87.68W
05/02/2013                   BALDWIN            AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED IN SOUTHERN BALDWIN COUNTY.

&&

JC

Local storm report, May 2, 7:59 AM CDT, 2 hours 51 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
759 AM CDT THU MAY 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0751 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N DEES                30.59N 88.34W
05/02/2013  M13.52 INCH      MOBILE             AL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE MEASURED 13.52 INCHES OF EVENT
            TOTAL RAINFAL THUS FAR ENDING 7 AM CDT.

&&

Local storm report, May 2, 8:47 AM CDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
847 AM CDT THU MAY 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 AM     LIGHTNING        THEODORE                30.55N 88.18W
05/02/2013                   MOBILE             AL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            HOUSE HIT BY LIGHTNING AROUND 4 AM...CAUSING HOUSEFIRE
            AND BLOCK STRUCTURE DAMAGE. REPORTED BY MOBILE FIRE AND
            RESCUE DEPT.

&&

SAM

Local storm report, May 2, 8:48 AM CDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
848 AM CDT THU MAY 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 AM     LIGHTNING        THEODORE                30.55N 88.18W
05/02/2013                   MOBILE             AL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            HOUSE HIT BY LIGHTNING AROUND 4 AM...CAUSING HOUSEFIRE
            AND BLOCK STRUCTURE DAMAGE. REPORTED BY MOBILE FIRE AND
            RESCUE DEPT.

0613 AM     FLASH FLOOD      FOLEY                   30.41N 87.68W
05/02/2013                   BALDWIN            AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED IN SOUTHERN BALDWIN COUNTY.

0751 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N DEES                30.59N 88.34W
05/02/2013  M13.52 INCH      MOBILE             AL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE MEASURED 13.52 INCHES OF EVENT
            TOTAL RAINFAL THUS FAR ENDING 7 AM CDT.

&&

SAM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 1, 8:13 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MOB	Mobile	4 hr
May 1, 9:32 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		88 min
May 1, 10:08 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MOB	Baldwin, Mobile	112 min
May 1, 10:43 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MOB	Mobile	4 hr
May 1, 11:03 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		87 min
May 2, 12:32 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		88 min
May 2, 12:45 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MOB	Baldwin	2 hr
May 2, 2:28 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	MOB	Mobile	12 hr
May 2, 2:57 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MOB	Baldwin	3 hr
May 2, 3:08 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	MOB	Mobile	12 hr
May 2, 5:02 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		88 min
May 2, 5:04 AM CDT	Coastal Flood Statement	MOB		8 hr
May 2, 5:46 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MOB	Baldwin	6 hr
May 2, 9:02 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	MOB	Baldwin	26 hr
May 2, 12:29 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	MOB	Mobile	26 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2013 Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.