Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 64, NWS Mobile, AL

May 2, 2013Baldwin County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at May 2, 2013, 9:02 AM CDT for Baldwin County, Alabama. It took effect at May 2, 2013, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 22 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 2, 2013, 9:02 AM CDT (14:02 UTC)
In effect from
May 2, 2013, 1:00 PM CDT
Expired
May 3, 2013, 10:58 AM CDT
In force
22 hr
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Flood severity
Minor

County Baldwin County, AL

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Fish River (AL) near Silverhill (FSHA1). The gauge peaked at 10.99 ft at May 2, 2013, 6:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate051005/0205/0305/04
Action stage
7 ft
Minor stage
11 ft
Moderate stage
13 ft
Major stage
18 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02378500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

629 
WGUS44 KMOB 021402
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 
902 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013



...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA... 

  FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY.

.HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS COMBINED WITH RAIN FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
 HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO RISE AND A FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.  IT IS 
EMPHASIZED THAT THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON THE EXPECTED RAINFALL DURING 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  IF LESS RAINFALL OCCURS... IT MAY BE NECESSARY TO REVISE 
THIS STAGE FORECAST DOWNWARD.

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC003-031402-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0064.130502T1800Z-130503T1923Z/
/FSHA1.1.ER.130502T1800Z.130503T0600Z.130503T1323Z.UU/
902 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 8AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...9.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 11.9 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 11 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...COUNTY ROAD 48 FLOODS AT BRIDGE.

$$
3 follow-up statements
741 
WGUS84 KMOB 021808
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
108 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...
 
  FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC003-030900-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-130503T0900Z/
/FSHA1.1.ER.130502T2230Z.130503T0000Z.130503T0300Z.UU/
108 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL
* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL LATE TONIGHT
* AT 12PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE
  TO NEAR 11.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* AT 11.0 FEET, FLOOD STAGE...COUNTY ROAD 48 FLOODS AT BRIDGE.  

$$
801 
WGUS84 KMOB 030217
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
917 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...

 
  BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND AFFECTING MOBILE COUNTY. 
  FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THESE RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC097-040217-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-130506T0600Z/
/SARA1.1.ER.130502T1645Z.130503T1200Z.130506T0000Z.NO/
917 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT 
* AT 11AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 4 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 4.1 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 4 FEET, FLOODING OF STREETS BEGINS AND BECOMES WIDESPREAD EAST OF THE 
RAILROAD WHEN THE LEVEL REACHES 5 FEET.  

$$

ALC003-031942-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-130503T1942Z/
/FSHA1.1.ER.130502T2230Z.130503T0600Z.130503T1342Z.UU/
917 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL
* FROM TONIGHT UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 
  11.8 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 11 FEET, FLOOD STAGE...COUNTY ROAD 48 FLOODS AT BRIDGE  

$$

ALC023-025-129-040216-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0065.130504T0600Z-130504T1200Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130504T0600Z.130504T0600Z.130504T0600Z.NO/
917 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING
* AT 9PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE TO FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING RISING TO 
  24 FEET. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

MSC039-041-111-040216-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130502T1435Z.130505T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
917 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 19 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND WILL SUBSIDE AS THE 
WATER LEVEL DROPS BELOW 18 FEET.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-040216-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.130502T1730Z.130507T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
917 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THEN
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 22 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE AND SOME ROADS IN 
LOW LYING AREAS WILL BECOME CUT OFF BY HIGH WATER.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-040216-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.130504T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.130504T1200Z.130506T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
917 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 22.5 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.

$$
604 
WGUS84 KMOB 031558
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1058 AM CDT FRI MAY 3 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...
 
  FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC003-031628-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-130503T1942Z/
/FSHA1.1.ER.130502T2230Z.130502T2300Z.130502T2330Z.UU/
1058 AM CDT FRI MAY 3 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON 
* AT 10AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 2, 6:42 AM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 2, 6:42 AM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
642 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

.AVIATION (12Z ISSUANCE)...WILL BEGIN WITH IFR CEILINGS AT MOB/BFM
WITH MVFR CEILINGS AT PNS.  THE CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS HEAVIER
SHOWERS JUST WEST OF PNS AND WILL INCLUDE A TEMPO GROUP FOR IFR
CONDITIONS IN SHOWERS FROM 12-15Z WITH A TEMPO GROUP FOR VFR
CEILINGS AT MOB/BFM DURING THE SAME PERIOD BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS.
TIMING FOR CONVECTION AND CEILINGS IS CHALLENGING DURING THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD AND DEPENDENT ON MESOSCALE INTERACTIONS WITH
CONVECTION DURING THE DAY.  WILL HAVE MVFR CONDITIONS IN SHOWERS
BEGINNING AT 15Z AT THE TAF SITES WITH A TEMPO GROUP FROM 15-19Z FOR
IFR CONDITIONS IN THUNDERSTORMS.  HAVE CONTINUED WITH A SIMILAR
PREVAILING AND TEMPO GROUP FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. /29

** PREVIOUS DISCUSSION **

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...THE MOVEMENT OF THE UPPER
LOW...CURRENTLY SEEN IN WATER VAPOR LOOP OVER SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...HAS NOT BEEN HANDLED PARTICULARLY WELL BY GUIDANCE WHICH
ADDS UNCERTAINTY TO THE FORECAST EVEN FOR THE FIRST PERIOD.
MESOSCALE INTERACTIONS WITH CONVECTION HAVE LED TO VERY HIGH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO AROUND 13 INCHES OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA WITH AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES EAST OF THIS AREA OVER MID SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.
USING CURRENT RADAR TRENDS AND AN EXPECTED SLOW EASTWARD DRIFT OF
THE UPPER LOW...ALONG WITH A BLEND OF ECMWF/GEM GUIDANCE...EXPECT
THE HIGHEST QPF THIS MORNING WILL BE OVER THE MID SECTION OF THE
FORECAST AREA THEN MAINLY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON.  HAVE EXPANDED THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH TO INCLUDE THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA BASED ON
THIS AND PREVIOUSLY RECEIVED RAINFALL.  WILL HAVE CATEGORICAL POPS
FOR NEARLY THE ENTIRE AREA TODAY.  THE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT DEPENDS
ON THE MOVEMENT OF THE UPPER LOW AS WELL AS HOW MESOSCALE
INTERACTIONS FAVOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.  HAVE GONE WITH LIKELY
POPS FOR NEARLY THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST QPF
EXPECTED MAINLY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA.  TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE MODERATED BY EXTENSIVE CLOUD
COVER AND PRECIPITATION BUT NEAR SEASONABLE VALUES TONIGHT.  BASED
ON PREVIOUS REPORTS OF WATER SPLASHING OVER THE ROAD LEADING TO THE
DAUPHIN ISLAND BRIDGE AS WELL AS THE BEST WIND GRADIENT OVER THE
ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS DURING THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE THIS
AFTERNOON...HAVE GONE WITH A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR COASTAL
ALABAMA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.  A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
CONTINUES ALONG ALL BEACH AREAS THROUGH THIS EVENING. /29

(FRIDAY AND SATURDAY)...A LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH A CUTOFF LOW DEVELOPING IN BASE OF THE
TROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED SFC LOW WILL BECOME OCCLUDED WITH
THE UPPER LOW ON SATURDAY AS IT MOVES SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD...WITH A
TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A WET PATTERN THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL. ONCE THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND PUSHES THE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
EAST...RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE ON SATURDAY. HOWEVER...ISOLATED TO
SHOWERS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST ON SATURDAY DUE TO THE CUTOFF
UPPER LOW MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. A SLIGHTLY
COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIRMASS WILL ALSO MOVE INTO THE AREA FOR THE
BEGINNING OF WEEKEND IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. /13

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...AS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES
SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY...A GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON ANOTHER WEAK COLD
FRONT MOVING ACROSS DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES WILL BE BELOW ONE INCH AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...WITH ONLY
ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE. THE UPPER LOW WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO MOVE
EAST ON MONDAY WITH A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN NORTHEASTERN
ZONES MONDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WITH MODERATING TEMPS CAN BE EXPECTED
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. TEMPS WILL START THE PERIOD BELOW
NORMAL BUT WARM TO NEAR NORMAL BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. /13

&&

.MARINE...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING NEAR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
WILL MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH TONIGHT WHILE A COLD FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST.  STRONG EASTERLY WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA WILL
GRADUALLY DECREASE AND BECOME MORE NORTHEASTERLY THROUGH TONIGHT.
HAVE SHORTENED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TO EXPIRE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON BASED ON THIS TREND.  A SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ON FRIDAY
FOLLOWED BY THE COLD FRONT MOVING  THROUGH THE MARINE AREA FRIDAY
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING WITH A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT.  A MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW ON SATURDAY
BECOMES WESTERLY SATURDAY NIGHT THEN INCREASES ON SUNDAY AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      74  62  76  46  73 / 100  70  40  30  30
PENSACOLA   74  64  78  52  73 / 100  70  50  40  30
DESTIN      75  65  75  57  73 /  80  60  60  40  30
EVERGREEN   75  62  76  48  69 /  90  60  60  50  30
WAYNESBORO  73  61  70  43  70 / 100  60  60  40  30
CAMDEN      75  62  72  45  68 /  90  60  80  60  30
CRESTVIEW   75  62  78  53  74 /  80  60  60  50  30

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL MIDNIGHT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...
     LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...
     WASHINGTON...

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...
     INLAND SANTA ROSA...

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL MIDNIGHT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA
     ROSA...

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...WAYNE...

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
     PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL
     TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 2, 7:45 AM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
745 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ634-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-031030-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
745 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL TODAY WILL BE
APPROXIMATELY 25 MILES ON EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM CLARKE COUNTY
ALABAMA SOUTH TO GULF SHORES. A GENERAL TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF
RAINFALL IS EXPECT WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF UP TO EIGHT INCHES. A
FLASH FLOOD IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND A PORTION OF THE NORTHWEST
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

WHILE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT IS LOW...SOME STORMS
MAY BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG BEACH AREAS THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING FOR
COASTAL ALABAMA.  A COMBINATION OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG WITH MODERATE TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS RESULTING IN
TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED LEVELS WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST.

SOME RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING
THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.
WHILE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED...THE STRONGER
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS.

SOME RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI ARE EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE MINOR
FLOODING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT EXPECTED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

GMZ630>633-635-650-655-670-675-031030-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
745 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA
TODAY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. SOME STORMS
MAY BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER
LIGHTNING.

MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA WILL LIKELY CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT DECREASING THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.
WHILE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED...THE STRONGER
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER
LIGHTNING.

MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 2, 6:14 AM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
614 AM CDT THU MAY 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 AM     FLASH FLOOD      FOLEY                   30.41N 87.68W
05/02/2013                   BALDWIN            AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED IN SOUTHERN BALDWIN COUNTY.

&&

JC
Local storm report, May 2, 7:59 AM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
759 AM CDT THU MAY 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0751 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N DEES                30.59N 88.34W
05/02/2013  M13.52 INCH      MOBILE             AL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE MEASURED 13.52 INCHES OF EVENT
            TOTAL RAINFAL THUS FAR ENDING 7 AM CDT.

&&
Local storm report, May 2, 8:47 AM CDT, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
847 AM CDT THU MAY 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 AM     LIGHTNING        THEODORE                30.55N 88.18W
05/02/2013                   MOBILE             AL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            HOUSE HIT BY LIGHTNING AROUND 4 AM...CAUSING HOUSEFIRE
            AND BLOCK STRUCTURE DAMAGE. REPORTED BY MOBILE FIRE AND
            RESCUE DEPT.

&&

SAM
Local storm report, May 2, 8:48 AM CDT, 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
848 AM CDT THU MAY 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 AM     LIGHTNING        THEODORE                30.55N 88.18W
05/02/2013                   MOBILE             AL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            HOUSE HIT BY LIGHTNING AROUND 4 AM...CAUSING HOUSEFIRE
            AND BLOCK STRUCTURE DAMAGE. REPORTED BY MOBILE FIRE AND
            RESCUE DEPT.

0613 AM     FLASH FLOOD      FOLEY                   30.41N 87.68W
05/02/2013                   BALDWIN            AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED IN SOUTHERN BALDWIN COUNTY.

0751 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N DEES                30.59N 88.34W
05/02/2013  M13.52 INCH      MOBILE             AL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE MEASURED 13.52 INCHES OF EVENT
            TOTAL RAINFAL THUS FAR ENDING 7 AM CDT.

&&

SAM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 8:13 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBMobile4 hr
May 1, 9:32 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMOB88 min
May 1, 10:08 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBBaldwin, Mobile112 min
May 1, 10:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBMobile4 hr
May 1, 11:03 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMOB87 min
May 2, 12:32 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMOB88 min
May 2, 12:45 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBBaldwin2 hr
May 2, 2:28 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningMOBMobile12 hr
May 2, 2:57 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBBaldwin3 hr
May 2, 3:08 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningMOBMobile12 hr
May 2, 5:02 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMOB88 min
May 2, 5:04 AM CDTCoastal Flood StatementMOB8 hr
May 2, 5:46 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBBaldwin6 hr
May 2, 10:50 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Washington36 hr
May 2, 12:29 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBMobile26 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.