Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 16, NWS Mobile, AL

February 11, 2013Perry County, Mississippi

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Feb 11, 2013, 2:47 AM CST for Perry County, Mississippi. It took effect at Feb 11, 2013, 6:00 AM CST. It was in force for 39 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 11, 2013, 2:47 AM CST (08:47 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 11, 2013, 6:00 AM CST
Expired
Feb 12, 2013, 9:23 PM CST
In force
39 hr
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Flood severity
Minor

County Perry County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

435 
WGUS44 KMOB 110848
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 
247 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... 

  TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN AFFECTING PERRY COUNTY.

.NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PRODUCED HEAVY RAINFALL...CAUSING
RIVER LEVELS TO RISE OVER TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN. WITH ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY...RIVER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGE
EARLY THIS MORNING.

IT IS EMPHASIZED THAT THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON THE EXPECTED RAINFALL DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND IT MAY BECOME NECESSARY TO REVISE THIS STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC111-111800-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0016.130211T1200Z-130211T1800Z/
/RNTM6.1.ER.130211T1200Z.130211T1200Z.130211T1200Z.UU/
247 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN
* THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING.
* AT 01AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS...16.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE TO THE FLOOD STAGE OF 21.0 FEET EARLY THIS MORNING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS.

$$
4 follow-up statements
898 
WGUS84 KMOB 111610
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1010 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
 
  TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN AFFECTING PERRY COUNTY. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM AFFECTING CLARKE...MONROE AND WILCOX COUNTIES.
  
  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
.
 
  MURDER CREEK AT BREWTON AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR MILLERS FERRY DAM AFFECTING DALLAS...MONROE AND WILCOX 
  COUNTIES. 
  CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON AFFECTING COVINGTON AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES. 
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THESE RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-121610-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0017.130212T0130Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.130212T0130Z.130214T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1010 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 25.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.


$$

ALC053-121610-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0018.130212T2120Z-130214T1708Z/
/BWMA1.1.ER.130212T2120Z.130213T1800Z.130214T1108Z.NO/
1010 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MURDER CREEK AT BREWTON
* FROM TOMORROW AFTERNOON UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING
* AT 8AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.


$$

MSC111-121610-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130213T0600Z/
/RNTM6.1.ER.130211T1800Z.130212T0600Z.130213T0000Z.UU/
1010 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
  THE TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
* AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.7 FEET 
* NONFLOOD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 22 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* AT 21 FEET, LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-121610-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0011.130211T2317Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130211T2317Z.130214T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1010 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE
  TO NEAR 34.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.

$$

ALC023-025-129-121610-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0012.130212T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130212T0000Z.130214T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1010 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 28.2 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC047-099-131-121609-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0019.130212T2130Z-130215T0815Z/
/MRFA1.1.ER.130212T2130Z.130214T0000Z.130215T0215Z.NO/
1010 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR MILLERS FERRY DAM
* FROM TOMORROW AFTERNOON UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
* AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 56.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 66 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 68.6 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  BY THURSDAY EVENING.


$$

ALC025-099-131-121609-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0015.130213T0730Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLBA1.1.ER.130213T0730Z.130215T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1010 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM
* FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.5 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 42 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 44.7 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC039-053-121609-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0020.130216T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.130216T0000Z.130216T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1010 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 27 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING.


$$

ALC053-FLC033-121609-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0014.130213T0800Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.130213T0800Z.130216T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1010 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 20.4 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING.

$$

FLC091-121609-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0021.130213T2000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.130213T2000Z.130214T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1010 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* FROM WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 8.6 FEET BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.


$$

MSC039-041-153-121609-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0013.130211T2328Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.130211T2328Z.130213T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1010 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE
  TO NEAR 27.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING.

$$

MSC039-041-059-121609-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0022.130213T0430Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.130213T0430Z.130216T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1010 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* FROM TOMORROW LATE EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING.


$$
737 
WGUS84 KMOB 120308
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
908 PM CST MON FEB 11 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN AFFECTING PERRY COUNTY. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-130308-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.130212T0733Z.130214T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 PM CST MON FEB 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 25.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
AT 18.0 FEET, CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND AND AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  

$$

MSC111-130308-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130213T0900Z/
/RNTM6.1.ER.130211T1806Z.130212T1200Z.130213T0300Z.UU/
908 PM CST MON FEB 11 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
  THE TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW LATE EVENING.
AT 21.0 FEET, LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-130308-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.130212T0020Z.130213T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 PM CST MON FEB 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.5 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
AT 20.0 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL OCCUR.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-130308-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0022.130213T0640Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.130213T0640Z.130215T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 PM CST MON FEB 11 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING.

$$
512 
WGUS84 KMOB 121633
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1033 AM CST TUE FEB 12 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
 
  TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN AFFECTING PERRY COUNTY. 

  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 

  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND 
  WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR MILLERS FERRY DAM AFFECTING DALLAS...MONROE AND WILCOX 
  COUNTIES. 

  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM AFFECTING CLARKE...MONROE AND WILCOX 
  COUNTIES. 

  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 

  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-131633-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.130212T0713Z.130214T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 AM CST TUE FEB 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 9AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.5 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.

$$

MSC111-130359-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130213T0359Z/
/RNTM6.1.ER.130211T1806Z.130212T0830Z.130212T2159Z.UU/
1033 AM CST TUE FEB 12 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN
* UNTIL THIS EVENING 
* AT 7AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 21 FEET, LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-131633-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130211T2214Z.130214T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 AM CST TUE FEB 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 9AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 37.0 FEET BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.


$$

ALC023-025-129-131633-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130217T1907Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130212T1010Z.130216T0600Z.130217T1307Z.NO/
1033 AM CST TUE FEB 12 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 10AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.4 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC047-099-131-131633-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRFA1.1.ER.130212T0504Z.130214T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 AM CST TUE FEB 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR MILLERS FERRY DAM
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 9AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 69.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 66 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 74.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING.  
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.


$$

ALC025-099-131-131633-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLBA1.1.ER.130212T1118Z.130216T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 AM CST TUE FEB 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 10AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 42.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 42 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 47.9 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING.  
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.


$$

ALC053-FLC033-131633-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0014.130213T0700Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.130213T0700Z.130214T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 AM CST TUE FEB 12 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 18.7 FEET BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.

$$

FLC091-131633-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0021.130214T1200Z-130216T1200Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.130214T1200Z.130215T0600Z.130216T0600Z.NO/
1033 AM CST TUE FEB 12 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING
* AT 9AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 8.2 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 FEET, SOME MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL OCCUR.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-131633-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.130212T0020Z.130214T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 AM CST TUE FEB 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 9AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 22 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE AND SOME ROADS IN 
LOW LYING AREAS WILL BECOME CUT OFF BY HIGH WATER.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-131633-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0022.130213T1300Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.130213T1300Z.130216T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 AM CST TUE FEB 12 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* FROM TOMORROW MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 24.5 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

$$
365 
WGUS84 KMOB 130323
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
923 PM CST TUE FEB 12 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN AFFECTING PERRY COUNTY.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC111-130353-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130213T0359Z/
/RNTM6.1.ER.130211T1806Z.130212T0830Z.130212T1915Z.UU/
923 PM CST TUE FEB 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TALLAHALA CREEK NEAR RUNNELSTOWN
* UNTIL THIS EVENING 
* AT 8PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21 FEET

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 10, 11:57 PM CST, 2 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 10, 11:57 PM CST, 2 hours 50 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1157 PM CST SUN FEB 10 2013

.UPDATE...TORNADO WATCH 33 HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT FOR SOME INLAND
PORTIONS OF SE MS AND SW AL. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE IN
THE WATCH AREA FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
DURING THE DAY ON MON. AS RESULT THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE
EXTENDED INTO THE DAYLIGHT AREAS DURING THE ZONE UPDATE LATER TONIGHT
OR EARLY MON MORNING. RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 6 TO 8 INCHES HAVE BEEN
MEASURED BY THE DOPPLER RADAR ALREADY TONIGHT...GENERALLY NORTH OF A
LINE FROM BEATRICE AL TO JUST SOUTH OF GROVE HILL AL TO HATTIESBURG
MS. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW HEAVY RAIN IN THE WATCH
AREA TO CONTINUE ON MONDAY AND INTO TUESDAY MOSTLY FROM INCREASED
LIFT FROM BETTER MID TO UPPER FORCING ALOFT COMBINED WITH DEEP
MOISTURE FLUX CONVERGENCE ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF A QUASI-STATIONARY
FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE CWFA. 32/EE

&&

.AVIATION...[06Z ISSUANCE]...MOSTLY IFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 14Z MON
FOLLOWED BY IFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z TUE. LOWER CEILING
WILL BE IN AND AROUND SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WHICH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST PD. WINDS WILL BE
SOUTH AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS BECOMING NORTH BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. 32/EE

&&

.MARINE....A MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW OVER THE MARINE
AREA WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY AS A
WEAKENING COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE FRONT WILL
STALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF ON MONDAY AND LINGER THROUGH TUESDAY.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL REDEVELOP AND INCREASE AGAIN ON TUESDAY AS AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES EASTWARD ALONG AND NEAR THE FRONT. A
STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY...THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
AREAS OF DENSE FOG...REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO ONE NAUTICAL MILE OR
LESS WILL BE LIKELY MOSTLY OVER INLAND BAYS AND SOUNDS THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. 32/EE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 410 PM CST SUN FEB 10 2013/

SHORT TERM [TONIGHT AND MONDAY]...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT THAT IS LOCATED ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS INTO NORTHERN
LOUISIANA. MEANWHILE...A WARM FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH OF THE AREA WITH
A WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS SURGING ONSHORE IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.
THE RESULTING INCREASED INSTABILITY ALONG WITH STRONG VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR HAS RESULTING IN SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TO OUR
WEST. AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES EASTWARD THROUGH TONIGHT...CONDITIONS
WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES FROM SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO
INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO
DECREASE BY LATE TONIGHT AS THE ATMOSPHERE STABILIZES AND THE UPPER
DYNAMICS PULL AWAY WHILE THE FRONT GRADUALLY SINKS SOUTHWARD TOWARD
THE COAST. HEAVY RAINS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE SLOW
MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT FROM SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO PARTS OF
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THESE AREAS.

THE FRONT WILL STALL NEAR THE COAST OR JUST OFFSHORE ON MONDAY AS IT
GETS CAUGHT IN THE UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW DOWNSTREAM OF A
DIGGING SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS. ISENTROPIC LIFTING OVER
THE COOLER AIR AT THE SFC ON MONDAY WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CONFINED TO NEAR THE COAST AND OFFSHORE WHERE THE BETTER INSTABILITY
WILL RESIDE. TEMPS WILL NOT FALL VERY FAR TONIGHT WITH THE ABUNDANT
CLOUDS AND PRECIP WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S ACROSS SOUTHEAST ZONES TO LOWER 60S ACROSS
THE NORTHWEST. /13

[MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT]...FORECAST AREA WILL REMAIN
WEDGED BETWEEN A LARGE UPPER HIGH OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
AND A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT LAKES MONDAY EVENING. THE
GREAT LAKES STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE EASTWARD MONDAY NIGHT...AND
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY. MEANWHILE A SECOND UPPER LOW FORMS
OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES MONDAY NIGHT...TRAVERSES OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS ON TUESDAY...AND EVENTUALLY EVOLVES INTO AND OPEN WAVE AFTER
MIDNIGHT TUESDAY. AT THE SURFACE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE
CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL LIFT NORTHWARD...AS A
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORMING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS MOVES EAST
ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. WITH STRONG
OVER-RUNNING IN PLACE AND PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING
OVER THE AREA...WILL KEEP NUMEROUS TO DEFINITE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST FOR THIS TIME FRAME. STRONG DEEP LAYER
SHEAR WILL ALSO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION ON TUESDAY...WHILE
SURFACE BASED AND MIXED LAYER CAPE VALUES REMAIN AROUND 500 J/KG. A
FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA ON TUESDAY. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS
WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED
TORNADO. A SECOND FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL THEN BEGIN TO SHIFT
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY RAINS WILL
PERSIST WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH THIS PERIOD RANGING FROM 2.0
TO 2.5 INCHES. /22

LONG TERM [WEDNESDAY ON]...WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A NOW
OPEN SHORTWAVE MOVES TO OVER THE FA. ITS RELATIVELY SLOW SE MOVEMENT
HELPS TO PUSH THE SURFACE FRONT SLOWLY BACK SOUTHEAST...TO JUST SE
OF THE MARINE FA BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE GFS IS A BIT SLOW THAN THE
ECMWF MOVING THE SURFACE LOW OFF AND THE TRAILING FRONT
SOUTHEAST...WITH HIGHER POPS OVER LAND SECTIONS OF THE FA AS A
RESULT. HAVE SHRA TAPERING OFF FROM THE NORTHWEST AS A RESULT...MORE
INLINE WITH THE SLIGHTLY FASTER ECMWF. /16

THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...SHORTWAVE ENERGY DIGS AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN CONUS. THE GFS AND ECMWF BEGIN TO
DIVERGE...WITH THE GFS ADVERTISING THE SHORTWAVE ENERGY MORE
CONCENTRATED OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION...WHILST THE ECMWF IS
ADVERTISING A LESS ORGANIZED UPPER TROUGH OVER THE UPPER PLAINS AND
ROCKIES. BOTH PUSH THE SURFACE FRONT FARTHER SOUTH...DRYING OUT THE
FA. BOTH ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH TEMPS...WITH THE ECMWF A
SCOOCH COOLER. HAVEN'T DEVIATED FROM THE STATISTICAL GUIDANCE FOR
THE FORECAST FOR TEMPS. /16 /22

FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THE GFS IS ADVERTISING THE UPPER TROUGH
OVER THE GREAT LAKES DIGGING SOUTH AS MORE ENERGY PASSES
THROUGH...WHILST THE ECMWF IS SWINGING A STRONG SHORTWAVE EAST ACROSS
THE PLAINS. THE STRONGER UPPER SOLUTION IN THE ECMWF PUSHES A SURFACE
FRONT TO THE NW-ERN BORD OF THE FA BY SUNRISE SATURDAY...WHILE THE
GFS IS ADVERTISING MORE OF A RE-ENFORCING SHOVE OF COOLER NORTHERLY
AIR SOUTH OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS. THE RESULT IS A COOLER
SOLUTION IN THE GFS THAN THE ECMWF. BOTH ARE ON THE DRY SIDE...WITH
LITTLE MOISTURE RETURN HAVEN'T DEVIATED FROM THE GUIDANCE WITH
RESPECT TO POPS FOR THIS PERIOD. /16

SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF MOVE THE
FRONT THROUGH THE FA...WITH THE ECMWF BACKING OFF ON THE POP
GENERATION. ADJUSTED TO DRY FORECAST FOR NOW. /22

AVIATION (11.00Z ISSUANCE)...MVFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE AT AREA
TERMINALS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND MVFR VISBYS AT KPNS DUE TO SEA
FOG. VCSH CAN BE EXPECTED AT TERMINALS THROUGH TONIGHT WITH CHANCES
OF THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING LATE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES
THE COAST MONDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL CONTINUE MONDAY MORNING IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH LOWED CIGS AND VISBYS AS WELL. /13

MARINE...STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW OVER THE MARINE AREA WILL BECOME
SOUTHERLY TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL
STALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY AND LINGER THROUGH
TUESDAY. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE AGAIN ON TUESDAY AS AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. NORTHWESTERLY TO NORTHERLY FLOW
WILL THEN INCREASE IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM WEDNESDAY. /13

FIRE WEATHER...A MODERATE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE MOISTURE
LEVELS AHEAD OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SAGGING SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA.
THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...WITH PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN...ALONG WITH EMBEDDED
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...AREAS OF LIGHT FOG ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE FRONT MOVING OVER THE AREA...WITH VISIBILITIES
DOWN TO 3 MILES. TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WILL SEE AREAS OF LIGHT
FOG MIXED WITH RAIN. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      70  62  65  52  61 /  60  70  80  80  70
PENSACOLA   69  63  67  54  62 /  40  50  70  60  70
DESTIN      67  63  67  56  63 /  30  40  70  60  70
EVERGREEN   69  63  64  50  55 /  50  70  80  80  90
WAYNESBORO  67  60  60  48  53 /  90  90  80  80  90
CAMDEN      67  62  62  48  52 /  70  90  80  80  90
CRESTVIEW   69  65  68  52  60 /  40  50  70  70  70

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...CRENSHAW...MONROE...
     WASHINGTON...WILCOX...

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...WAYNE...

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
     PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL
     TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 10, 12:12 PM CST, 14 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1212 PM CST SUN FEB 10 2013

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-111300-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1212 PM CST SUN FEB 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT

NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS
MUCH OF THE REGION AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF BECOMING SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS
AND ISOLATED TORNADOES...THOUGH HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES
MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE
65...WHERE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 3
INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. EXCESSIVE RAINS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ALONG A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AREAS...AS WELL AS FLOODING OF RIVERS...CREEKS...AND
STREAMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AND STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY
BE REQUESTED.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-111300-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1212 PM CST SUN FEB 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT

MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH TONIGHT. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
STRONG WIND GUSTS...LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES AND SEAS...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING STRIKES AND HEAVY RAINFALL LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPACT THE MARINE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY NEAR A STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE PASSING FRONT MAY
BRING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT WEDNESDAY.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 10, 9:14 PM CST, 5 hours 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
914 PM CST SUN FEB 10 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     TORNADO          4 NE SAINT STEPHRNS     31.59N 88.01W
02/10/2013                   CLARKE             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            4 TO 6 RESIDENCES SUFFERED MAJOR DAMAGE OR WERE DESTROYED
            ON OLD LOCK ONE ROAD. NO INJURIES REPORTED.

&&

JFB
Special weather statement, Feb 10, 9:53 PM CST, 4 hours 54 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
953 PM CST SUN FEB 10 2013

MSZ067-075-076-110430-
WAYNE MS-PERRY MS-GREENE MS-
953 PM CST SUN FEB 10 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN WAYNE...NORTHERN PERRY
AND NORTHERN GREENE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...THROUGH 1030
PM CST...

AT 949 PM CST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF PETAL...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF NEW AUGUSTA...AND MOVING EAST AT
50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BUCKATUNNA...         RICHTON...            NEW AUGUSTA...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP
TO 55 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW
AROUND SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS
PASSED.

HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
GREATLY RESTRICT VISIBILITY AND CREATE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS...WHICH MAY CAUSE VEHICLES TO HYDROPLANE. TRAVELERS ARE
URGED TO USE CAUTION.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST SUNDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

&&
Special weather statement, Feb 10, 10:19 PM CST, 4 hours 28 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1019 PM CST SUN FEB 10 2013

ALZ051>053-110500-
CHOCTAW AL-WASHINGTON AL-CLARKE AL-
1019 PM CST SUN FEB 10 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN CHOCTAW...NORTHERN
WASHINGTON AND CENTRAL CLARKE COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THROUGH
1100 PM CST...

AT 1017 PM CST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES NORTH OF
CHATOM...OR NEAR MILLRY...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  COFFEEVILLE...        MILLRY...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR
VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. PERSONS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST SUNDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

&&
Local storm report, Feb 11, 12:40 AM CST, 2 hours 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1240 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     HEAVY RAIN       GROVE HILL              31.71N 87.77W
02/11/2013  M5.36 INCH       CLARKE             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CLARKE COUNTY EMA REPORTS 5.36 INCHES OF STORM TOTAL
            RAINFALL AS OF MIDNIGHT CST IN GROVE HILL.

1205 AM     FLASH FLOOD      GROVE HILL              31.71N 87.77W
02/11/2013                   CLARKE             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CLARKE COUNTY EMA REPORTS 5-6 INCHES OF WATER OVER
            ROADWAYS IN GROVE HILL.

1205 AM     FLASH FLOOD      GROVE HILL              31.71N 87.77W
02/11/2013                   CLARKE             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CLARKE COUNTY EMA REPORTED A 50 YARD WIDE AREA OF FAST
            MOVING WATER OVER OLD GROVE HILL ROAD.

1205 AM     FLASH FLOOD      CAMPBELL                31.92N 87.98W
02/11/2013                   CLARKE             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CLARKE COUNTY EMA REPORTED PORTIONS OF BLACKSMITH RD WERE
            WASHED OUT NEAR CAMPBELL.

&&

CL
Special weather statement, Feb 11, 2:10 AM CST, 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
210 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

ALZ051-053-110900-
CHOCTAW AL-CLARKE AL-
210 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN CHOCTAW AND NORTHERN
CLARKE COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THROUGH 300 AM CST...

AT 210 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
MONITORING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM THAT WAS LOCATED 21 MILES SOUTH OF
BUTLER...OR 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF SILAS...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  TOXEY...              SILAS...              GILBERTOWN...
  THOMASVILLE...        FULTON...             COFFEEVILLE...

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55
MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW
AROUND SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND VERY HEAVY RAINS CAN ALSO BE
EXPECTED. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

&&
Special weather statement, Feb 11, 2:17 AM CST, 30 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
217 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

MSZ067-075-076-110900-
WAYNE MS-PERRY MS-GREENE MS-
217 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WAYNE...NORTHERN PERRY AND
NORTHERN GREENE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...THROUGH 300 AM
CST...

AT 216 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
MONITORING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THAT WERE LOCATED FROM 11 MILES
NORTHWEST OF RICHTON...TO NEAR WAYNESBORO...AND MOVING EAST AT 45
MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WAYNESBORO...         STATE LINE...         CLARA...
  BUCKATUNNA...         RICHTON...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55
MPH...PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND VERY
HEAVY RAIN. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO
BLOW AROUND SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM
HAS PASSED.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 10, 6:12 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBWayne6 hr
Feb 10, 6:26 PM CSTTornado WarningMOBWayne64 min
Feb 10, 7:11 PM CSTTornado WarningMOBWayne49 min
Feb 10, 8:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGreene64 min
Feb 11, 12:14 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBGreene, Perry, Wayne6 hr
Feb 11, 5:33 AM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryMOBGeorge, Stone3 hr
Feb 11, 6:29 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningMOBGreene, Perry, Wayne6 hr
Feb 11, 9:49 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBGeorge, Greene, Perry10 days
Feb 11, 9:49 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBGeorge, Greene, Jackson20 days
Feb 11, 12:14 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningMOBGreene, Perry, Wayne18 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.