Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 27, NWS Milwaukee, WI

May 30, 2013Dane County, Jefferson County, Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 30, 2013, 7:01 PM CDT for Dane County, Jefferson County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 44 min. 8 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 30, 2013, 7:01 PM CDT (00:01 UTC)
Expired: May 30, 2013, 7:45 PM CDT
In force: 44 min
Issued by: NWS Milwaukee, WI
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Dane County, WI, Jefferson County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 30, 7:05 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 52	2 Ene Brooklyn, WI
May 30, 7:10 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Middleton, WI	TREES AND POWERLINES. SOME TREES ON CARS. SHED DESTROYED. PER WKOW REPORT. ESTIMATED TIME BASED ON RADAR.
May 30, 7:12 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Middleton, WI	POWER LINES DOWN AND ABLAZE.
May 30, 7:15 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 60	7 Sw Madison, WI	ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND GUST.
May 30, 7:24 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	1 Wnw Madison Truax Air, WI	23 TREES DAMGED OR PUSHED OVER. POWERLINES DOWN. PER WSJ REPORT.
May 30, 7:24 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	3 Sw Oregon, WI	TREE BRANCHES GREATER THAN 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER SNAPPED.
May 30, 7:30 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	3 W Cottage Grove, WI	TREE AND POWER LINES DOWN.
May 30, 7:30 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Cottage Grove, WI	POWER POLE AND WIRES DOWN WITH SPARKING.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 9 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 9 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 30, 6:40 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	3 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 187 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1214 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -175 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -61 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

413 
WUUS53 KMKX 310001
SVRMKX
WIC025-055-310045-
/O.NEW.KMKX.SV.W.0027.130531T0001Z-130531T0045Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
701 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  DANE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
  WESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN...

* UNTIL 745 PM CDT

* AT 657 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
  LINE EXTENDING FROM MOUNT HOREB TO EVANSVILLE...AND MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

  HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  CROSS PLAINS AND STOUGHTON AROUND 710 PM CDT.
  MADISON CAPITOL SQUARE AND SHOREWOOD HILLS AROUND 715 PM CDT.
  I90/94 INTERCHANGE AND WAUNAKEE AROUND 720 PM CDT.
  MADISON TRUAX AIRPORT AND LAKE RIPLEY AROUND 725 PM CDT.
  WINDSOR AND SUN PRAIRIE AROUND 730 PM CDT.
  MARSHALL AND LAKE MILLS AROUND 735 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
ALBION...UTICA...HENRY VILAS ZOO...CAMP RANDALL STADIUM...
MARXVILLE...BUSSEYVILLE...ROCKDALE...DANE...TOKEN CREEK AND
MORRISONVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

INTENSE SQUALL LINES CAN SOMETIMES PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
OF A BUILDING. THIS STORM MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT
PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4286 8960 4297 8984 4304 8984 4329 8958
      4329 8901 4320 8901 4320 8860 4284 8897
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 217DEG 39KT 4303 8970 4279 8918

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

MGG

4 follow-up statements

240 
WWUS53 KMKX 310011
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
711 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

WIC025-055-310045-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-130531T0045Z/
DANE WI-JEFFERSON WI-
711 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN
JEFFERSON AND DANE COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AT 707 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM CROSS PLAINS TO 5 MILES NORTH OF EVANSVILLE...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MADISON CAPITOL SQUARE AND MONONA AROUND 720 PM CDT.
  I90/94 INTERCHANGE AND MADISON TRUAX AIRPORT AROUND 725 PM CDT.
  WINDSOR AND SUN PRAIRIE AROUND 730 PM CDT.
  JEFFERSON AROUND 735 PM CDT.
  WATERLOO AND MARSHALL AROUND 740 PM CDT.
  JOHNSON CREEK AROUND 745 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE UTICA...BUSSEYVILLE...
ROCKDALE...DANE...TOKEN CREEK...MORRISONVILLE...EAST BRISTOL...
DEANSVILLE...MILFORD AND HUBBLETON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

INTENSE SQUALL LINES CAN SOMETIMES PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
OF A BUILDING. THIS STORM MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT
PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4289 8957 4294 8966 4303 8968 4329 8958
      4329 8901 4320 8901 4320 8860 4284 8897
TIME...MOT...LOC 0011Z 217DEG 39KT 4312 8961 4288 8923

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$
COLLAR

997 
WWUS53 KMKX 310018
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
718 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

WIC025-055-310045-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-130531T0045Z/
DANE WI-JEFFERSON WI-
718 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
JEFFERSON AND EASTERN DANE COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AT 715 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM CROSS PLAINS TO STOUGHTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  I90/94 INTERCHANGE AND MADISON TRUAX AIRPORT AROUND 725 PM CDT.
  WINDSOR AND SUN PRAIRIE AROUND 730 PM CDT.
  MARSHALL AND LAKE MILLS AROUND 740 PM CDT.
  WATERLOO AROUND 745 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUSSEYVILLE...DANE...
ROCKDALE...TOKEN CREEK...MORRISONVILLE...EAST BRISTOL...DEANSVILLE...
MILFORD AND HUBBLETON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

INTENSE SQUALL LINES CAN SOMETIMES PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
OF A BUILDING. THIS STORM MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT
PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4295 8947 4299 8958 4305 8962 4329 8958
      4329 8901 4320 8901 4320 8873 4288 8899
TIME...MOT...LOC 0018Z 217DEG 39KT 4318 8954 4294 8917

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$
COLLAR

814 
WWUS53 KMKX 310024
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
724 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

WIC025-055-310045-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-130531T0045Z/
DANE WI-JEFFERSON WI-
724 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
JEFFERSON AND EASTERN DANE COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AT 719 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM WAUNAKEE TO STOUGHTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
45 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WINDSOR AND SUN PRAIRIE AROUND 730 PM CDT.
  MARSHALL AND LAKE MILLS AROUND 740 PM CDT.
  WATERLOO AROUND 745 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE TOKEN CREEK...MORRISONVILLE...
EAST BRISTOL...DEANSVILLE...MILFORD AND HUBBLETON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

INTENSE SQUALL LINES CAN SOMETIMES PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
OF A BUILDING. THIS STORM MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT
PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4298 8938 4301 8945 4307 8953 4327 8956
      4329 8901 4320 8901 4320 8876 4290 8901
TIME...MOT...LOC 0024Z 217DEG 39KT 4319 8943 4299 8911

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$
COLLAR

124 
WWUS53 KMKX 310030
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
730 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

WIC025-055-310045-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-130531T0045Z/
DANE WI-JEFFERSON WI-
730 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
JEFFERSON AND NORTHEASTERN DANE COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AT 728 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM WINDSOR TO DEERFIELD...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45
MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WATERLOO AND MARSHALL AROUND 740 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE EAST BRISTOL...DEANSVILLE AND
HUBBLETON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

INTENSE SQUALL LINES CAN SOMETIMES PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
OF A BUILDING. THIS STORM MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT
PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 8921 4307 8930 4311 8943 4327 8949
      4329 8901 4320 8901 4320 8876 4295 8902
TIME...MOT...LOC 0031Z 217DEG 39KT 4325 8936 4305 8905

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$
COLLAR

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 30, 4:46 PM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 4:46 PM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
446 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

.SHORT TERM...

.TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM.

ONGOING SCATTERED CONVECTION WITH MORE DISCRETE-TYPE CELLS
ASSOCIATED WITH A VORT MAX ROTATING AROUND A NEGATIVELY TILTED 500MB
UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS...AND ON THE NOSE OF THE 850MB
LOW LEVEL JET. MOST OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN
LARGE HAIL AND THE TOKEN DAMAGING WINDS. DECENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND
CAPE STILL WARRANTS TORNADO WATCH. WEAK TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE. THE
STORMS MAY CONGEAL INTO BOWING LINE SEGMENTS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS
THEY GET INTO SOUTHEAST WI PER THE 17Z HRRR MODEL RUN.

MEANWHILE... A STRONGER VORT MAX CURRENTLY OVER MISSOURI WILL ROLL
ACROSS IOWA AROUND 00Z. STORMS AHEAD OF THIS DISTURBANCE WILL MOST
LIKELY BE IN A LINE/MCS MODE AS IT REACHES NORTHERN IL/SOUTHERN WI.
EXPECTING THIS TO MOVE ACROSS ALL OF THE MKX AREA THIS EVENING.
LATEST 17Z HRRR SPED THIS UP WITH THE LEADING EDGE CLEARING EASTERN
WI BY 03Z...WHILE THE 12Z NAM DELAYS IT OVER THE MKX AREA FROM
03-09Z.

EXPECT A BREAK IN PRECIP LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING AFTER THIS
SECONDARY ROUND. THEN WE WILL BE IN ANOTHER FAVORABLE SYNOPTIC SETUP
FOR MORE SEVERE STORMS ON FRIDAY. THE 500MB UPPER LOW WILL SHIFT A
LITTLE CLOSER INTO THE EASTERN DAKOTAS AND ANOTHER VORT MAX WILL
SWING INTO SOUTHERN WI AS THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF A 100KT UPPER JET
MOVES THROUGH. CONVECTIVE MODE WILL LIKELY BE A LINE OF STORMS WITH
A SUBTLE COLD-FRONT. DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT.

ONE UNCERTAINTY WITH FRIDAY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THAT THE LINE
COULD FORM IN ILLINOIS AND MOVE EAST AND JUST CLIP SOUTHEAST WI OR
EVEN MISS IT ALL TOGETHER.

FRIDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH SATURDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM
TO HIGH

THE MID/UPPER TROUGH WILL PUSH INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
REGION. THE 250 MB JET MAX INCREASES TO 100 KNOTS ACROSS SOUTHERN
AND NORTHEAST WISCONSIN WITH MODERATE UPPER DIVERGENCE OVER
SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN DURING THE EVENING.

SOUTHERN WISCONSIN WILL REMAIN IN THE WARM SECTOR FRIDAY EVENING
WITH A MID DRY PUNCH OVER MUCH OF THE AREA.  THOUGH THE BEST LOW
LEVEL WIND MAX WILL BE TO THE SOUTH AND EAST...STRONGER STORMS
ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION ESPECIALLY WITH WIND SHEAR A BIT
HIGHER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS. THE CWASP SEVERE PARAMETER IS HIGHEST
ACROSS NORTHEAST ILLINOIS LOWER VALUES EXTENDS CLOSER TO THE UPPER
LOW OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE WILL FINALLY DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN BY SATURDAY NIGHT. NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS STILL
HAVE 1300 J/KM OF CAPE SATURDAY AFTERNOON IF FORECAST DEW POINTS
ARE NOT TOO HIGH.

.LONG TERM...

SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH

MAIN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
SATURDAY NIGHT THEN INTO SOUTHERN CANADA ON SUNDAY.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW MOISTURE TRAPPED BELOW AN INVERSION AROUND
7 THSD FT...SO EXPECT CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS SUNDAY.  COOLER AIR IS
EXPECTED TO ARRIVE WITH THE SHORTWAVE.

THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR IN BRINGING ANOTHER UPPER
TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT AND REACHING THE
UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WEDNESDAY. ON THURSDAY THE GFS BRINGS THE
UPPER TROUGH ACROSS WISCONSIN WITH A BROADER MORE NORTH LOCATION
ON THE 00Z ECMWF.

STILL SOME POTENTIAL OF INSTABILITY SHOWERS SUNDAY BEFORE HIGH
PRESSURE DOMINATES WISCONSIN MONDAY.

BY TUESDAY SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AREA
TUESDAY EVENING WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY.

&&

EXPECT GUSTS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 KTS TO PERSIST UNTIL EVENING AS
MIXING CEASES. DISCRETE THUNDERSTORMS WITH SOME PRODUCING LARGE HAIL
MAINLY IN SOUTH CENTRAL WI. EXPECTING STORMS TO CONGEAL AT SOME
POINT AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS WILL BECOME THE MAIN THREAT FOR ALL OF
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WI. STORMS ARE DEVELOPING RAPIDLY...SO
WATCH THE RADAR CLOSELY FOR NEW DEVELOPMENTS. WEAK TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE WITH DECENT LOW-LEVEL ROTATION.

ANOTHER ROUND...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...IS EXPECTED EARLY THIS
EVENING AND THESE WILL LIKELY SPREAD ALL THE WAY ACROSS SOUTHERN WI.
STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

AFTER A BREAK LATE TONIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY...EXPECT A LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG A WEAK COLD FRONT SOMEWHERE IN IA/IL
AND TRACK ENE MIDDAY FRIDAY. THESE MAY SWEEP ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN
WI OR JUST CLIP SOUTHEAST WI. STAY TUNED TO THE FORECAST FOR THIS
ONE.

&&

.MARINE...

GUSTY SOUTH WINDS DUE TO MIXING OVER THE LAND WILL AFFECT SHORELINE
NEARSHORE AREAS UNTIL THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BE LESS GUSTY TOWARD
THE OPEN WATERS. HOWEVER...THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE LAKE
WILL ALLOW SUSTAINED WINDS TO BE IN THE 15 TO 20 KNOT RANGE TODAY
AND TONIGHT. STABLE AIR DOWN AT LAKE LEVEL WILL KEEP WAVES FROM
RESPONDING TOO MUCH TO THE GUSTY WINDS.

THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND AGAIN FRIDAY MIDDAY AND
AGAIN SOMETIME ON SATURDAY.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

TONIGHT/FRIDAY AND AVIATION/MARINE...MRC
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...HENTZ

Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 3:35 PM CDT, 3 hours 26 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
335 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-312045-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
335 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THROUGH THIS EVENING. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE. WINDS AND HAIL ARE THE PRIMARY
THREAT...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
WISCONSIN INTO THE EARLY EVENING. THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL OF LOCALIZED
URBAN AND LOW LYING FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SOUTHERN WISCONSIN WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF A LOW OVER
THE DAKOTAS AND MINNESOTA THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN
MORE THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE...
ESPECIALLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION HAS BEEN ACTIVATED INTO THIS EVENING AND MAY BE
NEEDED AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY EVENING.

LMZ643>646-312045-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
335 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SOUTH WINDS WILL APPROACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS INTO THE
EARLY EVENING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THROUGH THE EVENING AND MAY BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SATURDAY. SOME OF
THESE MAY BE SEVERE ESPECIALLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.

HENTZ

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 30, 6:15 PM CDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
615 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0543 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 ESE CAMBRIDGE         42.98N 88.94W
05/30/2013  E50 MPH          JEFFERSON          WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            4 INCH LIMB DAMAGE. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

MEB

Special weather statement, May 30, 6:15 PM CDT, 46 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
615 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

WIZ046-056-057-302345-
COLUMBIA-MARQUETTE-SAUK-
615 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING INTO MARQUETTE COUNTY...

AT 611 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTH OF PORTAGE...MOVING NORTH AT 55
MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MONTELLO BY 620 PM CDT...
  WESTFIELD BY 625 PM CDT...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS
PASSED.

HENTZ

Local storm report, May 30, 6:16 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
616 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     TSTM WND GST     FALL RIVER              43.39N 89.05W
05/30/2013  E65 MPH          COLUMBIA           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS 60 TO 65 MPH.

&&

ET

Special weather statement, May 30, 6:45 PM CDT, 16 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
645 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

WIZ047-051-052-058-059-064-065-310045-
DODGE-FOND DU LAC-GREEN LAKE-JEFFERSON-SHEBOYGAN-WASHINGTON-WAUKESHA-
645 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO FOND DU LAC COUNTY...

AT 639 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES SOUTH OF FOND DU LAC...MOVING NORTH AT
55 MPH. ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FOND DU LAC AND FOND DU LAC AIRPORT BY 650 PM CDT...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS
PASSED.

HENTZ

Local storm report, May 30, 6:51 PM CDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
651 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     TSTM WND GST     MONROE AIRPORT          42.62N 89.59W
05/30/2013  M53 MPH          GREEN              WI   AWOS

            39 MPH GUSTING TO 53 MPH.

&&

MEB

Local storm report, May 30, 6:53 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
653 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0651 PM     TSTM WND GST     FOND DU LAC AIRPORT     43.77N 88.49W
05/30/2013  M49 MPH          FOND DU LAC        WI   ASOS

            37 MPH GUSTING TO 49 MPH.

&&

MEB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 30, 7:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Rock, Walworth	45 min
May 30, 7:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Columbia, Dane, Dodge, Jefferson	40 min
May 30, 7:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Dodge, Jefferson, Kenosha, Racine, Rock, Walworth and 1 more	41 min
May 30, 7:51 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		114 min
May 30, 8:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Dodge, Fond du Lac	48 min
May 30, 8:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Dodge, Fond du Lac, Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Washington, Waukesha	46 min
May 30, 8:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Fond du Lac, Sheboygan	57 min
May 30, 8:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Fond du Lac, Ozaukee, Sheboygan, Washington	67 min
May 31, 7:44 AM CDT	Marine Dense Fog Advisory	MKX		8 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Wisconsin, 2013 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.