Alert archive / Tennessee / Special Weather Statements in 2013

Special Weather Statement, NWS Memphis, TN

March 18, 2013McNairy County, Tennessee

NWS Memphis, TN issued this special weather statement at Mar 18, 2013, 12:44 PM CDT for McNairy County, Tennessee. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 18, 2013, 12:44 PM CDT (17:44 UTC)
Expired
Mar 18, 2013, 1:30 PM CDT
In force
46 min
Issued by
NWS Memphis, TN

County McNairy County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 126 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2013-03-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 11 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2013-03-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 227 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
11 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-390 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
432 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
227 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
210 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Mar 18, 11:31 AM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 18, 11:31 AM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1131 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

.UPDATE...

UPDATED TO READJUST POPS AND EXTEND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT REMAINS STRETCHED ACROSS NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI LATE THIS MORNING. A POTENT MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE WAS
EJECTING INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST AND HAS ALLOWED FOR UPSCALE
GROWTH OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF EASTERN ARKANSAS INTO
NORTHWEST TENNESSEE. THESE STORMS CURRENTLY REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE
THE SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND HAVE POSED A LARGE HAIL THREAT.
THIS LARGE HAIL THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. FURTHER SOUTH...THE AIRMASS CONTINUES TO DESTABLIZE TO
THE SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO APPROACH 70
DEGREES AND DEWPOINTS PUSH INTO THE LOWER 60S. THIS AREA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DESTABLIZE WITH MUCAPES APPROACHING 1000 J/KG AND MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES GREATER THAN 7.5 C/KM THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
THIS MAY ALLOW STORMS TO BECOME MORE SURFACE BASED ACROSS THE WARM
SECTOR WITH A INCREASING THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
ALSO HAVE ADJUSTED POPS TO THE EVOLVING SITUATION WITH THE
GREATEST POPS OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS.

THE GRIDS...ZONES...AND HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK HAVE BEEN
UPDATED AND SENT.

JLH

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 509 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013/

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED FROM CENTRAL AR INTO NORTHWEST TN AT 5
AM... ROUGHLY ALONG AND NORTH OF I40. THESE STORMS WERE ROOTED IN
AN ELEVATED LAYER...ON THE COOL SIDE OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT.

FOR THIS AFTERNOON... NAM SOUNDINGS SHOW WARM SECTOR MUCAPES IN
EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG... ACCOMPANIED BY MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR 7
C/KM OVER NORTHEAST MS. WEAK CONVECTIVE INHIBITION SHOULD BE OVERCOME
WITH THE APPROACH OF A MIDLEVEL TROF AXIS... SUPPORTIVE OF A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE.

POST FRONTAL SHOWERS SHOULD EXIT THE TN RIVER VALLEY THIS EVENING...
AS A DRY MIDCONTINENTAL SURFACE HIGH SETTLES IN FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

SIMILAR TO THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...EXTENDED PERIOD MODEL CONSENSUS
BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF REMAINS LOWER THAN NORMAL. BOTH MODELS
POINT TOWARD A RELATIVELY ACTIVE SOUTHERN BRANCH...BUT DIFFER IN
TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL SYSTEMS AND AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL COLD AIR
INTRUSION FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. FOR THE EXTENDED PERIODS...HAVE
CHOSEN TO SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE MILD GFS AND COOLER
ECMWF...WHILE ADDING SOME WEIGHT TO PERSISTENCE. HAVE KEPT POPS AT
OR BELOW CHANCE CATEGORY WHERE MODEL CONSENSUS WAS LACKING.

PWB

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF CYCLE

A QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY LOCATED FROM PARIS TN TO MEMPHIS WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE EAST/SOUTHEAST TODAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES
THIS BOUNDARY AS A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING AT ALL
SITES...WITH BEST CHANCES SHIFTING TO TUP WHERE BEST INSTABILITY
AND LIFT WILL RESIDE LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. MVFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST MID AFTERNOON WITH
IMPROVEMENT TO VFR CONDITIONS BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 8-12KTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS
WILL GRADUALLY VEER NORTHWEST AND DIMINISH TO 6 KTS OR LESS BEHIND
THE FRONT BY TONIGHT.

CJC

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  53  41  61  42 /  80  10   0   0
MKL  54  34  58  35 /  80  10   0   0
JBR  52  35  58  38 /  10   0   0   0
TUP  71  39  65  38 /  90  20   0   0

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 18, 9:56 AM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
956 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-191700-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
956 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WEST TENNESSEE NEAR THE TENNESSEE RIVER AND MUCH OF NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS REMAIN THE PRIMARY
SEVERE WEATHER THREATS. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL COME TO AN
END THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA.

STRONG STORMS WITH SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE FURTHER NORTH
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE MID SOUTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED TODAY ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK
AREA. PLEASE REPORT ANY LARGE HAIL OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MEMPHIS TENNESSEE.

JLH

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 18, 11:04 AM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1104 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

ARZ036-MSZ001-TNZ088-181630-
CRITTENDEN AR-DE SOTO MS-SHELBY TN-
1104 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1130 AM CDT FOR...

  SOUTHERN CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  NORTHERN DESOTO COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
  SOUTHWESTERN SHELBY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER WAS LOCATED 4
MILES NORTHEAST OF PINCKNEY AT 1105 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL
OCCUR WITH THIS  THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN CRITTENDEN...DESOTO AND SHELBY COUNTIES...INCLUDING
LOCATIONS NEAR BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...HORN LAKE...MIDTOWN MEMPHIS...
SOUTHAVEN AND T O FULLER STATE PARK...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM
CLOSELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3524 8984 3499 8974 3489 9036 3500 9041
      3506 9040
TIME...MOT...LOC 1605Z 252DEG 37KT 3501 9023
Special weather statement, Mar 18, 11:39 AM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1139 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

TNZ049-088-089-181715-
SHELBY TN-FAYETTE TN-TIPTON TN-
1139 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1215 PM CDT FOR...

  NORTHWESTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  NORTHEASTERN SHELBY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  SOUTH CENTRAL TIPTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER WAS LOCATED 5
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MILLINGTON AT 1140 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL
OCCUR WITH THIS  THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN FAYETTE...SHELBY AND TIPTON COUNTIES...INCLUDING LOCATIONS
NEAR BARTLETT AND MILLINGTON...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3549 8955 3523 8954 3520 9001 3535 9004
TIME...MOT...LOC 1640Z 260DEG 37KT 3529 8990
Special weather statement, Mar 18, 11:42 AM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1142 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

MSZ001-002-TNZ088-089-181715-
MARSHALL MS-DE SOTO MS-SHELBY TN-FAYETTE TN-
1142 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1215 PM CDT FOR...

  EASTERN DESOTO COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
  SOUTHWESTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  SOUTHEASTERN SHELBY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER WAS LOCATED 6
MILES SOUTHWEST OF OLIVE BRANCH AT 1142 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 45
MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL
OCCUR WITH THIS  THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN DESOTO...FAYETTE...MARSHALL AND SHELBY COUNTIES...INCLUDING
LOCATIONS NEAR COLLIERVILLE...HERNANDO...HORN LAKE...OLIVE BRANCH AND
SOUTHAVEN...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3509 8959 3479 8955 3477 8998 3500 9005
TIME...MOT...LOC 1642Z 255DEG 38KT 3491 8990
Special weather statement, Mar 18, 12:03 PM CDT, 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1203 PM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

MSZ002-003-TNZ089-090-181730-
BENTON MS-MARSHALL MS-FAYETTE TN-HARDEMAN TN-
1203 PM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1230 PM CDT FOR...

  NORTHERN BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTH CENTRAL MARSHALL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
  SOUTHEASTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  SOUTHWESTERN HARDEMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER WAS LOCATED
OVER MT PLEASANT AT 1203 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL
OCCUR WITH THIS  THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN BENTON...FAYETTE...HARDEMAN AND MARSHALL COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3481 8956 3500 8962 3516 8909 3490 8901
      3489 8902
TIME...MOT...LOC 1703Z 256DEG 50KT 3493 8947
Special weather statement, Mar 18, 12:34 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Mar 18, 12:44 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 8:18 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGHardeman27 min
Mar 18, 8:34 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMEGCrockett, Dyer, Lauderdale51 hr
Mar 18, 9:05 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGHardin40 min
Mar 18, 9:21 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGShelby24 min
Mar 18, 9:47 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGFayette28 min
Mar 18, 11:04 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGShelby26 min
Mar 18, 11:39 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGTipton36 min
Mar 17, 10:56 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGCoahoma34 min
Mar 18, 10:24 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGItawamba, Lee36 min
Mar 18, 10:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGTunica48 min
Mar 18, 11:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDeSoto, Tate, Tunica50 min
Mar 18, 11:42 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGDeSoto33 min
Mar 18, 12:03 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGBenton27 min
Mar 18, 12:34 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGItawamba41 min
Mar 18, 1:06 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw, Lee, Pontotoc24 min
Mar 18, 1:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc46 min
Mar 18, 1:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Itawamba, Lee, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tishomingo and 1 more43 min
Mar 18, 1:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba37 min
Mar 18, 1:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe39 min
Mar 18, 2:37 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGCrittenden23 min
Mar 18, 8:14 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGSt. Francis31 min
Mar 18, 8:57 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGCrittenden33 min
Mar 18, 9:27 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGCrittenden33 min
Mar 18, 10:07 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGLee, St. Francis23 min
Mar 18, 10:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLee24 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Tennessee, 2013Every special weather statement in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.