Alert archive / Tennessee / River Flood Warnings in 2013
River Flood Warning 40, NWS Memphis, TN
NWS Memphis, TN issued this river flood warning at Mar 18, 2013, 8:34 AM CDT for Crockett County, Dyer County, Lauderdale County, Tennessee. It took effect at Mar 18, 2013, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 40 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 18, 2013, 8:34 AM CDT (13:34 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 18, 2013, 7:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- Mar 20, 2013, 11:25 AM CDT
- In force
- 40 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Memphis, TN
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point South Fork Forked Deer River near Halls (HLST1).
- Action stage
- 8.5 ft
- Minor stage
- 9 ft
- Moderate stage
- 13.5 ft
- Major stage
- 16 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 18, 6:27 AM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 18, 6:27 AM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 627 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013 .UPDATE... UPDATED TO ADD 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 509 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013/ DISCUSSION... THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED FROM CENTRAL AR INTO NORTHWEST TN AT 5 AM... ROUGHLY ALONG AND NORTH OF I40. THESE STORMS WERE ROOTED IN AN ELEVATED LAYER...ON THE COOL SIDE OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT. FOR THIS AFTERNOON... NAM SOUNDINGS SHOW WARM SECTOR MUCAPES IN EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG... ACCOMPANIED BY MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR 7 C/KM OVER NORTHEAST MS. WEAK CONVECTIVE INHIBITION SHOULD BE OVERCOME WITH THE APPROACH OF A MIDLEVEL TROF AXIS... SUPPORTIVE OF A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE. POST FRONTAL SHOWERS SHOULD EXIT THE TN RIVER VALLEY THIS EVENING... AS A DRY MIDCONTINENTAL SURFACE HIGH SETTLES IN FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. SIMILAR TO THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...EXTENDED PERIOD MODEL CONSENSUS BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF REMAINS LOWER THAN NORMAL. BOTH MODELS POINT TOWARD A RELATIVELY ACTIVE SOUTHERN BRANCH...BUT DIFFER IN TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL SYSTEMS AND AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL COLD AIR INTRUSION FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. FOR THE EXTENDED PERIODS...HAVE CHOSEN TO SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE MILD GFS AND COOLER ECMWF...WHILE ADDING SOME WEIGHT TO PERSISTENCE. HAVE KEPT POPS AT OR BELOW CHANCE CATEGORY WHERE MODEL CONSENSUS WAS LACKING. PWB && .AVIATION... 12Z TAF CYCLE A QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY LOCATED FROM PARIS TN TO MEMPHIS WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EAST/SOUTHEAST TODAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES THIS BOUNDARY AS A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING AT ALL SITES...WITH BEST CHANCES SHIFTING TO TUP WHERE BEST INSTABILITY AND LIFT WILL RESIDE LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST MID AFTERNOON WITH IMPROVEMENT TO VFR CONDITIONS BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 8-12KTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS WILL GRADUALLY VEER NORTHWEST AND DIMINISH TO 6 KTS OR LESS BEHIND THE FRONT BY TONIGHT. CJC && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MEM 63 43 61 42 / 90 10 0 0 MKL 62 36 58 35 / 90 10 0 0 JBR 58 37 58 38 / 40 0 0 0 TUP 73 43 65 38 / 100 30 0 0 && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 18, 3:55 AM CDT, 4 hours 39 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 355 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-191100- ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA- CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER- FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY- ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON- MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT- PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY- ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA- UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 355 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM CHARLESTON AND NEW ALBANY MISSISSIPPI...TO SAVANNAH TENNESSEE. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS...WITH A SECONDARY THREAT OF TORNADOES OVER NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MIDSOUTH... ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR...WITH SMALL HAIL POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED OVER NORTH MISSISSIPPI TODAY. PWB
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Mar 18, 2:37 AM CDT, 5 hours 57 minutes before
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</html>Special weather statement, Mar 18, 8:14 AM CDT, 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 814 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013 ARZ035-036-048-181345- CRITTENDEN AR-CROSS AR-ST. FRANCIS AR- 814 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 845 AM CDT FOR... WEST CENTRAL CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... SOUTHEASTERN CROSS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... NORTHEASTERN ST. FRANCIS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER WAS LOCATED OVER CALDWELL AT 814 AM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. PEOPLE IN CRITTENDEN...CROSS AND ST. FRANCIS COUNTIES...INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR EARLE...FORREST CITY...MADISON...PARKIN AND VILLAGE CREEK STATE PARK...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. && LAT...LON 3538 9041 3507 9036 3496 9086 3510 9093 TIME...MOT...LOC 1314Z 247DEG 41KT 3507 9078
Special weather statement, Mar 18, 8:18 AM CDT, 16 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 818 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013 MSZ003>005-TNZ090-091-181345- BENTON MS-TIPPAH MS-ALCORN MS-HARDEMAN TN-MCNAIRY TN- 818 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 845 AM CDT FOR... NORTHWESTERN ALCORN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEASTERN BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... NORTH CENTRAL TIPPAH COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHERN HARDEMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE... SOUTHWESTERN MCNAIRY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER WAS LOCATED 15 MILES WEST OF POCAHONTAS AT 819 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. PEOPLE IN ALCORN...BENTON...HARDEMAN...MCNAIRY AND TIPPAH COUNTIES... INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR BIG HILL POND STATE PARK AND SELMER...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. && LAT...LON 3526 8858 3494 8852 3490 8911 3503 8917 TIME...MOT...LOC 1319Z 250DEG 38KT 3499 8902
The office that day
Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 8:18 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Hardeman | 27 min |
| Mar 18, 9:05 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Hardin | 40 min |
| Mar 18, 9:21 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Shelby | 24 min |
| Mar 18, 9:47 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Fayette | 28 min |
| Mar 18, 11:04 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Shelby | 26 min |
| Mar 18, 11:39 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Tipton | 36 min |
| Mar 18, 12:44 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | McNairy | 46 min |
| Mar 17, 10:56 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Coahoma | 34 min |
| Mar 18, 10:24 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Itawamba, Lee | 36 min |
| Mar 18, 10:42 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Tunica | 48 min |
| Mar 18, 11:10 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | DeSoto, Tate, Tunica | 50 min |
| Mar 18, 11:42 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | DeSoto | 33 min |
| Mar 18, 12:03 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Benton | 27 min |
| Mar 18, 12:34 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Itawamba | 41 min |
| Mar 18, 1:06 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw, Lee, Pontotoc | 24 min |
| Mar 18, 1:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc | 46 min |
| Mar 18, 1:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Itawamba, Lee, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tishomingo and 1 more | 43 min |
| Mar 18, 1:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Itawamba | 37 min |
| Mar 18, 1:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe | 39 min |
| Mar 18, 2:37 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Crittenden | 23 min |
| Mar 18, 8:14 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | St. Francis | 31 min |
| Mar 18, 8:57 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Crittenden | 33 min |
| Mar 18, 9:27 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Crittenden | 33 min |
| Mar 18, 10:07 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Lee, St. Francis | 23 min |
| Mar 18, 10:21 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee | 24 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Tennessee, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.