Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 101, NWS Memphis, TN

June 1, 2013Crittenden County, Arkansas; Fayette County, Shelby County, Tennessee; DeSoto County, Marshall County, Mississippi

NWS Memphis, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 1, 2013, 11:30 AM CDT for Crittenden County, Arkansas; Fayette County, Shelby County, Tennessee; DeSoto County, Marshall County, Mississippi. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 1, 2013, 11:30 AM CDT (16:30 UTC)
Expired: Jun 1, 2013, 12:15 PM CDT
In force: 45 min
Issued by: NWS Memphis, TN
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Crittenden County, AR, DeSoto County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Fayette County, TN, Shelby County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 12 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 46 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1721 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 546 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 166 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 128 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.2
Supercell composite: 9.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

802 
WUUS54 KMEG 011630
SVRMEG
ARC035-MSC033-093-TNC047-157-011715-
/O.NEW.KMEG.SV.W.0101.130601T1630Z-130601T1715Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1130 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EAST CENTRAL CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  NORTHEASTERN DESOTO COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
  SOUTHWESTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  SHELBY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 1215 PM CDT

* AT 1131 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. 
  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FRAYSER...OR NEAR MEEMAN SHELBY FOREST
  STATE PARK...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WEST
  MEMPHIS...BARTLETT...COLLIERVILLE...GERMANTOWN...MIDTOWN MEMPHIS...
  MILLINGTON...CORDOVA AND MEEMAN SHELBY FOREST STATE PARK.

 THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR BRANDYWINE LAKE AND CORONEE
  LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3540 9003 3540 9001 3520 8944 3490 8967
      3514 9020
TIME...MOT...LOC 1631Z 299DEG 31KT 3526 8999

$$

1 follow-up statement

252 
WWUS54 KMEG 011650
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1150 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

ARC035-MSC033-093-TNC047-157-011659-
/O.CAN.KMEG.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-130601T1715Z/
CRITTENDEN AR-MARSHALL MS-DESOTO MS-SHELBY TN-FAYETTE TN-
1150 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN FAYETTE...
SHELBY...NORTHEASTERN DESOTO...NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL AND EAST CENTRAL
CRITTENDEN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

AT 1149 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED AND NO LONGER 
POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE. 

LAT...LON 3540 9003 3540 9001 3520 8944 3490 8967
      3514 9020
TIME...MOT...LOC 1649Z 299DEG 31KT 3518 8982

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 1, 10:51 AM CDT, 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 1, 10:51 AM CDT, 39 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1051 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

.DISCUSSION...15Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A SURFACE LOW OVER
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND THEN BACK INTO NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...AND INTO THE RED RIVER VALLEY OF TEXAS. AS OF 10 AM
CDT...KNQA/KLZK WSR- 88D RADAR TRENDS SHOW A QUASI-LINEAR LINE OF
CONVECTION /QLCS/ LOCATED FROM JUST NORTH OF JACKSON TENNESSEE AND
EXTENDING BACK TO HARRISBURG/WHEATLEY ARKANSAS.

LATEST 15Z LAPS ANALYSIS YIELDS AROUND 1700 J/KG SURFACE BASED
CAPE LOCATED AROUND THE MEMPHIS METRO AREA AND PORTIONS OF EAST
ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. LATEST SHORT TERM TRENDS INDICATE
A POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY TO APPROACH 2000-2500
J/KG ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON...0-6 KM
BULK SHEAR VALUES BETWEEN 25 TO 35 KTS...AND NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL
WINDS ALOFT SUGGEST A POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
FOR THE REMAINDER OF TODAY ACROSS AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF
I-40. DAMAGING WINDS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE PREDOMINANT THREAT
FOR ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT REACH SEVERE LIMITS. IN ADDITION...DEEP LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE EVIDENT IN LZK/JAN 12Z UPPER AIR SOUNDINGS THIS
MORNING...FAVORABLE 850-300 MB THICKNESS DIFLUENCE...PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES APPROACHING 2 INCHES...AND SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE
CURRENT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY STILL SUGGESTS A POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID
SOUTH TODAY AND PERHAPS INTO TONIGHT. WILL CONSIDER A POTENTIAL FOR
EXPANDING THE FLASH FLOOD FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS PORTIONS OF
MISSISSIPPI IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS IF TRENDS SUGGEST AN
INCREASING THREAT.

WILL UPDATE FORECAST TO ADJUST POPS UP ACCORDINGLY FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY...LOWER TODAY/S HIGH TEMPERATURES AND ADJUST
ALL OTHER ELEMENTS AS NEEDED.

UPDATED GRIDS WILL BE PUBLISHED SHORTLY.

CJC

 &&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 634 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013/

UPDATE...

UPDATE TO AVIATION SECTION

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 355 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013/

DISCUSSION...
A LITTLE MORE BREATHING ROOM TONIGHT COMPARED TO LAST NIGHT AS WE
ARE BETWEEN STORM SYSTEMS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH. HOWEVER WE DO HAVE
STORMS TO OUR NORTH AND WEST THAT WILL LIKELY MAKE IT INTO THE
MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHWEST TENNESSEE AND EAST ARKANSAS BY
SUNRISE. WE REMAIN IN A FAIRLY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE FEATURING
TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 70S AND DEW POINTS IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE
70S. LAPS INSTABILITY TRENDS ARE DECLINING...INDICATING CAPE
VALUES GENERALLY 1000 TO 2000 J/KG AND LI'S -2 TO -4C...MOST
UNSTABLE IN NORTHEAST ARKANSAS. SATELLITE AND ASOS DATA SHOW
PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLEAR SKIES ACROSS MOST OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND
WEST TENNESSEE WITH INCREASING CLOUD COVER WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER INTO EASTERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS. THIS WILL ALLOW RAPID
DESTABILIZATION...OR FURTHER DESTABILIZATION OF THE ATMOSPHERE
AFTER SUNRISE. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS OUTLINED ALL OF THE
MIDSOUTH FOR A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. STORMS
WILL LIKELY DEVELOP AFTER SUNRISE ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH AHEAD OF
THE ONGOING STORMS IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND SOUTH MISSOURI...AS
THAT MAIN AREA OF STORMS CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE SOUTH AND EAST.

WE WILL SEE A RATHER STAGNATE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN BEGIN TO SHIFT
TO THE EAST TODAY IN RESPONSE TO TROUGHING ALONG THE PACIFIC
COAST. AS A RESULT...THE FOCUS FOR SEVERE WEATHER THAT WE HAVE
SEEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST AND
EVENTUALLY INCLUDE THE MIDSOUTH. THE BEST UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR
SEVERE STORMS LOOKS TO BE A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH AND EAST THAN
THE MIDSOUTH...BUT WE SHOULD HAVE ENOUGH THERMODYNAMIC SUPPORT FOR
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAY TODAY. THERE IS A
GOOD POSSIBILITY THAT STORMS CONGEAL INTO A MCS AFTER SUNSET AND
MAINTAIN AT LEAST STRONG IF NOT SEVERE STATUS WELL INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THEY SHIFT INTO NORTH MISSISSIPPI...WEST
TENNESSEE...THEN EVENTUALLY OUT OF THE MIDSOUTH.

AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE PROGRESSIVE...A STATIONARY FRONT
CURRENTLY LOCATED FROM NORTH MISSOURI INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WILL
BEGIN TO MOVE EAST AS A COLD FRONT. IT SHOULD MOVE INTO EAST
ARKANSAS BY SUNSET...CROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AROUND
MIDNIGHT...AND SHIFT INTO CENTRAL TENNESSEE/NORTHWEST ALABAMA
AROUND SUNRISE. FEEL WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING THE OVERALL
SEVERE THREAT WILL DIMINISH DURING THE NIGHT...BUT AS MENTIONED
ABOVE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A HEALTHY COLD POOL WOULD ALLOW A MCS TO
MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH FOR QUITE SOME TIME AFTER SUNSET. PRIMARY
MODE OF SEVER WEATHER WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGING WIND...BUT HAIL AND
QCLS-TYPE TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST
TENNESSEE MAY BE THE MOST AT RISK TODAY AS CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW
THE MOST DESTABILIZATION BEFORE STORMS ALONG THE FRONT BEGIN THEIR
PUSH EAST. GFS AND NAM INSTABILITY PARAMETERS SHOW CAPES IN EXCESS
OF 3000 J/KG AND LI'S LESS THAN -7 THIS AFTERNOON...VALUES NOT
UNREALISTIC GIVEN CURRENT MOISTURE LEVELS AND CLEAR SKIES. LAPSE
RATES ARE NOT WHOLLY IMPRESSIVE...BUT SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
SEVERE STORMS. LIKEWISE...SHEAR PROFILES ARE SUFFICIENT...BUT NOT
ALARMING. EXPECTING AN ACTIVE AFTERNOON...BUT NOT A HIGH END
OUTBREAK AT THIS POINT.

RAINFALL IS ANOTHER BIG CONCERN THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. WE MAY TRANSITION FROM A TRADITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER EVENT INTO
A FLASH FLOOD EVENT THIS EVENING. PORTIONS OF THE
MIDSOUTH...ESPECIALLY EAST ARKANSAS HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED IN
EXCESS OF 5 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. HPC INDICATES
2-3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS LIKELY OVER MUCH OF WEST
TENNESSEE...EAST ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL. LOCALLY...IF
OR WHERE MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE SAME LOCATION
THOSE VALUES COULD EASILY BE DOUBLED RESULTING IN LOCALIZED
FLOODING. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
THE MIDSOUTH.

SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER SUNDAY...MAINLY IN NORTH
MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE NEAR THE TENNESSEE RIVER...BUT NO
ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED. COOLER AIR WILL FILTER IN
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. HIGHS EARLY NEXT WEEK MAY STRUGGLE TO GET
OUT OF THE 70S ACROSS THE COOLEST PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH WITH
GRADUAL WARMING THROUGH MIDWEEK. WE WILL LIKELY SEE HIGHS BACK IN
TO THE UPPER 80S AFTER MIDWEEK. THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...WE WILL SEE
GENERAL ZONAL FLOW TRANSITION INTO A WEAK...BROAD TROUGH FROM THE
CENTRAL PLAINS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH. A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST BY THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
A MIX OF MVFR AND VFR CONDITIONS EXISTS DUE TO LOWER CIGS.
MODERATE TO MODEST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH GUSTS
NEARING 20-25KTS AT TIMES THROUGH THE EVENING. LOWER VSBY POSSIBLE
THIS AFTN AND EVENING WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME MAY
HAVE STRONG WIND GUSTS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT PUSHING SITES TOWARDS IFR CONDITIONS
WITH LOWER CIGS AS WELL INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MILD
IMPROVEMENT POSSIBLE LATE IN THE PERIOD AFTER 02/08Z TO 02/10Z.
-ABS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  87  68  82  62 /  70  80  30  10
MKL  84  66  80  58 /  70  80  20  10
JBR  82  62  79  59 /  80  80  10  10
TUP  89  72  82  59 /  50  80  50  10

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR CLAY-
     CRAIGHEAD-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-POINSETT-
     RANDOLPH.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR CRITTENDEN-LEE AR-ST.
     FRANCIS.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR DUNKLIN-
     PEMISCOT.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR DESOTO.

TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR CARROLL-CHESTER-
     CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-
     HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-
     WEAKLEY.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 1, 11:11 AM CDT, 19 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1111 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-021115-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
1111 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF I-40 THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE MID SOUTH. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT FOR ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT REACH SEVERE LIMITS.

IN ADDITION...A FLASH FLOOD FLASH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
MID SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS AREAS NORTH OF A LINE
FROM MARIANNA ARKANSAS TO DECATURVILLE TENNESSEE. LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE MID SOUTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS MOST OF
THE MID SOUTH IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 1, 10:21 AM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1021 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

ARZ027-028-036-011545-
CRITTENDEN AR-MISSISSIPPI AR-POINSETT AR-
1021 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1045 AM CDT FOR...

  NORTHERN CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  EASTERN POINSETT COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING WINDS TO 50 MPH VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS
LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF MARKED TREE AT 1021 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT
45 MPH.

PEOPLE IN CRITTENDEN...MISSISSIPPI AND POINSETT COUNTIES...INCLUDING
LOCATIONS NEAR LEPANTO...MARKED TREE...TYRONZA AND WILSON...SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3567 9052 3558 9001 3555 9004 3547 9006
      3548 9011 3544 9013 3542 9017 3538 9017
      3538 9014 3541 9014 3540 9010 3534 9012
      3545 9059
TIME...MOT...LOC 1521Z 284DEG 38KT 3552 9048

Special weather statement, Jun 1, 10:41 AM CDT, 49 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1041 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

ARZ027-028-035-036-048-011615-
CRITTENDEN AR-CROSS AR-MISSISSIPPI AR-POINSETT AR-ST. FRANCIS AR-
1041 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1115 AM CDT FOR...

  NORTHWESTERN CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  EASTERN CROSS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  EASTERN POINSETT COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  NORTHEASTERN ST. FRANCIS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING WINDS 45 MPH WAS LOCATED
FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF LEPANTO TO VILLAGE CREEK STATE PARK AT
1041 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

PEOPLE IN CRITTENDEN...CROSS...MISSISSIPPI...POINSETT AND ST. FRANCIS
COUNTIES...INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR EARLE...KEISER...LEPANTO...MARKED
TREE...OSCEOLA...PARKIN...TYRONZA...VILLAGE CREEK STATE PARK AND
WILSON...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3570 9035 3570 9029 3579 9027 3572 8996
      3566 8993 3556 8999 3555 9004 3544 9007
      3547 9007 3548 9011 3542 9017 3538 9018
      3538 9014 3540 9015 3541 9011 3540 9010
      3502 9035 3513 9083
TIME...MOT...LOC 1541Z 285DEG 23KT 3569 9022 3518 9066

Special weather statement, Jun 1, 10:44 AM CDT, 46 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1044 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

ARZ048-049-058-011630-
LEE AR-PHILLIPS AR-ST. FRANCIS AR-
1044 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1130 AM CDT FOR...

  LEE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  NORTHERN PHILLIPS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  ST. FRANCIS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING WINDS TO 45 MPH WAS LOCATED
FROM 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF CALDWELL TO 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GARRET
GROVE AT 1045 AM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

PEOPLE IN LEE...PHILLIPS AND ST. FRANCIS COUNTIES...INCLUDING
LOCATIONS NEAR FORREST CITY...HUGHES...MADISON...MARIANNA...
MARVELL...PALESTINE...ST FRANCIS NATIONAL PARK AND WEST HELENA...
SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3506 9105 3515 9090 3503 9040 3491 9041
      3487 9049 3482 9046 3473 9051 3473 9052
      3480 9053 3479 9054 3469 9053 3468 9059
      3466 9055 3466 9056 3441 9069 3460 9106
      3473 9106 3474 9111 3486 9111 3491 9116
TIME...MOT...LOC 1545Z 300DEG 26KT 3509 9072 3475 9114

Special weather statement, Jun 1, 11:08 AM CDT, 22 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1108 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

ARZ028-TNZ048-049-011645-
MISSISSIPPI AR-LAUDERDALE TN-TIPTON TN-
1108 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1145 AM CDT FOR...

  CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  LAUDERDALE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  NORTH CENTRAL TIPTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING WINDS TO 50 MPH AND VERY HEAVY
RAIN WAS LOCATED OVER OSCEOLA AT 1108 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

PEOPLE IN LAUDERDALE...MISSISSIPPI AND TIPTON COUNTIES...INCLUDING
LOCATIONS NEAR LUXORA...OSCEOLA AND RIPLEY...SHOULD MONITOR THIS
STORM CLOSELY. THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT ALSO INCLUDES BIG
LAKE...CHISHOLM LAKE AND OPEN LAKE.

&&

LAT...LON 3585 8942 3557 8956 3572 9017 3592 9013
TIME...MOT...LOC 1608Z 270DEG 38KT 3571 8996

Special weather statement, Jun 1, 11:12 AM CDT, 18 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1112 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

ARZ028-036-TNZ049-088-011645-
CRITTENDEN AR-MISSISSIPPI AR-SHELBY TN-TIPTON TN-
1112 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1145 AM CDT FOR...

  NORTHEASTERN CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  SHELBY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  SOUTHWESTERN TIPTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING WINDS TO 45 MPH WAS LOCATED 4 MILES
NORTH OF MEEMAN SHELBY FOREST STATE PARK AT 1112 AM CDT...MOVING
EAST AT 35 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN CRITTENDEN...MISSISSIPPI...SHELBY AND TIPTON COUNTIES...
INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR BARTLETT...MARION...MEEMAN SHELBY FOREST
STATE PARK...MIDTOWN MEMPHIS AND MILLINGTON...SHOULD MONITOR THIS
STORM CLOSELY. THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT ALSO INCLUDES
BRANDYWINE LAKE AND CORONEE LAKE.

&&

LAT...LON 3537 8972 3509 8988 3521 9031 3549 9019
TIME...MOT...LOC 1612Z 285DEG 32KT 3539 9004

Special weather statement, Jun 1, 11:26 AM CDT, 4 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1126 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

ARZ049-058-MSZ007-008-010>012-011715-
LEE AR-PHILLIPS AR-TUNICA MS-TATE MS-QUITMAN MS-PANOLA MS-COAHOMA MS-
1126 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1215 PM CDT FOR...

  EASTERN LEE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  PHILLIPS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  COAHOMA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHWESTERN PANOLA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHERN QUITMAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
  WESTERN TATE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
  TUNICA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING WINDS TO 45 MPH WAS LOCATED
FROM 5 MILES SOUTH OF BRICKEYS TO 12 MILES WEST OF ELAINE AT 1126 AM
CDT...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

PEOPLE IN COAHOMA...LEE...PANOLA...PHILLIPS...QUITMAN...TATE AND
TUNICA COUNTIES...INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR CLARKSDALE...ELAINE...
HELENA...MARVELL...SENATOBIA...ST FRANCIS NATIONAL PARK AND WEST
HELENA...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ALERT ALSO INCLUDES ARKABUTLA LAKE...BEAVERDAM LAKE...FLOWER LAKE...
HORSESHOE LAKE...MIDWAY LAKE...MOON LAKE AND TUNICA LAKE.

&&

LAT...LON 3430 9107 3433 9106 3435 9101 3447 9102
      3487 9062 3475 9020 3473 9020 3474 9018
      3466 8991 3409 9049 3424 9108 3429 9108
TIME...MOT...LOC 1626Z 289DEG 41KT 3476 9058 3431 9103

The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 1, 7:39 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MEG	Clay, Randolph	3 hr
Jun 1, 9:24 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MEG	Clay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Poinsett and 1 more	4 hr
Jun 1, 9:31 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Craighead	44 min
Jun 1, 10:10 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MEG	Crittenden, Cross, Lee, St. Francis	3 hr
Jun 1, 10:16 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Mississippi	44 min
Jun 1, 10:21 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Crittenden	24 min
Jun 1, 10:41 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Crittenden	34 min
Jun 1, 10:44 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Lee, St. Francis	46 min
Jun 1, 10:51 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MEG	Mississippi	4 hr
Jun 1, 10:57 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Mississippi	48 min
Jun 1, 11:08 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Mississippi	37 min
Jun 1, 11:26 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Phillips	49 min
Jun 1, 11:35 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MEG	Mississippi	3 hr
Jun 1, 11:41 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MEG	Crittenden, St. Francis	2 hr
Jun 1, 11:12 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Shelby	33 min
Jun 1, 12:06 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Haywood	24 min
Jun 1, 12:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Madison	49 min
Jun 1, 1:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Decatur, Henderson	44 min
Jun 1, 2:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Decatur	30 min
Jun 1, 2:37 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MEG	Decatur, Hardin	113 min
Jun 1, 12:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Panola	37 min
Jun 1, 2:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Calhoun	45 min
Jun 1, 2:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Itawamba, Lee	44 min
Jun 1, 2:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Itawamba	42 min
Jun 1, 2:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Itawamba, Lee	36 min
Jun 1, 3:08 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Chickasaw	37 min
Jun 1, 3:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	Monroe	38 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Tennessee, 2013 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2013 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2013 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.