Severe Thunderstorm Warning 88, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

013 
WWUS54 KMAF 060307
SVSMAF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
907 PM MDT WED JUN 5 2013

NMC015-025-TXC165-060315-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0088.000000T0000Z-130606T0315Z/
GAINES TX-LEA NM-EDDY NM-
907 PM MDT WED JUN 5 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM
MDT/1015 PM CDT/ FOR NORTH CENTRAL EDDY...NORTHERN LEA AND EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN GAINES COUNTIES...

AT 1002 PM CDT/902 PM MDT/...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS
CONTINUED TO DETECT A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 
MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES 
SOUTH OF LEVELLAND TO PLAINS TO 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF LOVINGTON TO 27 
MILES EAST OF ARTESIA TO 10 MILES NORTH OF ARTESIA...MOVING SOUTH AT 
45 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE...LOVINGTON
AIRPORT...ARTESIA...ARTESIA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...LOVINGTON AND
MALJAMAR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN TATUM AND 
ARTESIA. SEEK SAFE SHELTER AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM MDT
THURSDAY MORNING/500 AM CDT THURSDAY MORNING/ FOR SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3340 10367 3344 10353 3355 10311 3296 10306
      3296 10300 3289 10323 3278 10396 3281 10457
      3297 10460 3297 10377 3339 10377
TIME...MOT...LOC 0306Z 348DEG 33KT 3339 10242 3316 10284
          3303 10327 3294 10396 3294 10446

$$
HLUCHAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
714 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
PRIMARY AVIATION CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS INCLUDE ONGOING
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AND A FRONTAL PASSAGE. CONVECTION WILL
CONTINUE THRU THE EVENING AND HAVE INCLUDED TEMPO TSRA MENTIONS AT
CNM...HOB...AND MAF. BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE AREA ARE PRODUCING A
HIGHLY VARIABLE WIND FIELD WHICH WILL BECOME MORE UNIFORM OUT OF
THE EAST WITH TONIGHT/S FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
BE THROUGH ALL TAF SITES BY 07Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 231 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013/

DISCUSSION...
THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE NORTHERN
AND POSSIBLY THE CENTRAL PERMIAN BASIN THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
DUE TO AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY CURRENTLY RESIDING IN THE NORTHERN
PERMIAN BASIN...COMBINED WITH UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE UPPER JET. THE OUTFLOW SHOULD
PRESS SOUTH AND WEST OVERNIGHT TOWARD THE MOUNTAINS AS IT GETS
PUSHED BY CONVECTION FORMING ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND ALSO
CONVECTION FORMING FURTHER NORTH DEVELOPING IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT. STORMS THAT FORM WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE GIVEN 0-6 KILOMETER SHEAR GREATER THAN
40 KNOTS AND CAPES IN EXCESS OF 1500 J/KG.

GETTING MIXED SIGNALS ABOUT THE BEST CHANCE FOR CONVECTION
TOMORROW. THE BEST CHANCE MAY ENDING UP BEING IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF EXTREME SOUTHWEST TEXAS CLOSEST TO THE SOUTHWARD MOVING
FRONT WITH ENHANCEMENT FROM TOPOGRAPHY. ANY STORMS THAT COULD FORM
TOMORROW WOULD HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE WITH SHEAR
FORECAST TO BE 40 KNOTS WITH CAPES OF OVER 1000 J/KG. WILL
CONTINUE SLIGHT POPS AREAWIDE. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY WILL BE
10 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER AREAWIDE BEHIND THE FRONT.

THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTION THE NEXT 7 DAYS MAY
END UP BEING THURSDAY NIGHT. THE GFS/NAM/ECMWF ARE KEYING ON A
POTENTIAL MCS FORMING BY A SHORTWAVE MOVING SOUTHEAST FROM NEW
MEXICO INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN AIDED BY A 30 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET.
HAVE UPPED POPS IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS
THESE AREAS. KEPT CHANCE POPS GOING FRIDAY ANTICIPATING THURSDAY
NIGHT ACTIVITY COULD STILL BE ONGOING IN THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS
FRIDAY MORNING WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT FURTHER WEST IN THE
MOUNTAINS IN THE AFTERNOON DUE TO HEATING COMBINED WITH MOIST
UNSTABLE UPSLOPE FLOW. ACTIVITY WOULD CONTINUE BUT DIMINISH INTO
FRIDAY EVENING SO KEPT SLIGHT POPS GOING.

IT APPEARS THE LAST CHANCE FOR ANY PRECIPITATION THIS FORECAST
PACKAGE WILL BE SATURDAY AS ONE ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE POSSIBLY
MOVES INTO THE REGION IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. BEYOND
SATURDAY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO CLIMB TO ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN BY NEXT
SUNDAY UNDERNEATH THIS RIDGE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT
BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING IN
THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS BUT WILL NOT MENTION THIS FAR OUT IN THE
FORECAST CYCLE.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

13

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1227 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-061730-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1227 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013 /1127 AM MDT WED JUN 5 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND EAST OF
A TATUM TO BIG SPRING LINE THIS AFTERNOON, WITH MORE WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TRANS PECOS, PERMIAN BASIN AND INTO THE BIG
BEND REGION.  SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREATS.  ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL
LIKELY LAST INTO THE EVENING, IF NOT THROUGH THE NIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE, ESPECIALLY OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE
PERMIAN BASIN THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
804 PM CDT WED JUN 05 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0801 PM     HAIL             TARZAN                  32.31N 101.98W
06/05/2013  E1.75 INCH       MARTIN             TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

MH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
830 PM CDT WED JUN 05 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0827 PM     HAIL             LEES                    32.08N 101.49W
06/05/2013  M1.00 INCH       GLASSCOCK          TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

HLUCHAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
837 PM CDT WED JUN 05 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HAIL             3 S ELBOW               32.12N 101.51W
06/05/2013  M1.00 INCH       HOWARD             TX   PUBLIC

            1.2 INCHES OF RAIN IN 30 MINUTES MEASURED

&&

MARK.STROBIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
846 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013

NMZ033-060215-
CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-
746 PM MDT WED JUN 5 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
CENTRAL LEA COUNTY UNTIL 815 PM MDT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF BUCKEYE AT 746
PM MDT...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.  THIS STORM IN INCREASING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3295 10311 3269 10328 3281 10359 3298 10350
TIME...MOT...LOC 0146Z 279DEG 15KT 3287 10341

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
921 PM CDT WED JUN 05 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0920 PM     HAIL             COLORADO CITY           32.40N 100.86W
06/05/2013  E1.00 INCH       MITCHELL           TX   PUBLIC

&&

MARK.STROBIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
923 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013

NMZ033-TXZ045-060300-
GAINES-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-
823 PM MDT WED JUN 5 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
EAST CENTRAL LEA AND WEST CENTRAL GAINES COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM
MDT/1000 PM CDT/...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF HUMBLE CITY AT 823
PM MDT/923 PM CDT/...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS MOVING
TOWARD HOBBS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3285 10293 3263 10297 3270 10341 3288 10338
TIME...MOT...LOC 0223Z 277DEG 21KT 3278 10329