Severe Thunderstorm Warning 87, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

515 
WWUS54 KMAF 060217
SVSMAF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
917 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013

TXC033-227-060227-
/O.CAN.KMAF.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-130606T0245Z/
HOWARD TX-BORDEN TX-
917 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BORDEN AND
EASTERN HOWARD COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

AT 917 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT
THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAD WEAKENED.
THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

&&

LAT...LON 3208 10071 3208 10108 3210 10117 3247 10115
      3269 10107 3272 10066 3209 10066
TIME...MOT...LOC 0217Z 261DEG 40KT 3238 10075

$$

TXC335-415-060245-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-130606T0245Z/
MITCHELL TX-SCURRY TX-
917 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN SCURRY AND MITCHELL COUNTIES...

AT 915 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR LORAINE...OR ABOUT NEAR COLORADO CITY...MOVING EAST AT
35 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...LORAINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. IF YOU ARE IN THE
PATH OF THIS STORM... TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.

&&

LAT...LON 3208 10071 3208 10108 3210 10117 3247 10115
      3269 10107 3272 10066 3209 10066
TIME...MOT...LOC 0217Z 261DEG 40KT 3238 10075

$$
HLUCHAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
714 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
PRIMARY AVIATION CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS INCLUDE ONGOING
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AND A FRONTAL PASSAGE. CONVECTION WILL
CONTINUE THRU THE EVENING AND HAVE INCLUDED TEMPO TSRA MENTIONS AT
CNM...HOB...AND MAF. BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE AREA ARE PRODUCING A
HIGHLY VARIABLE WIND FIELD WHICH WILL BECOME MORE UNIFORM OUT OF
THE EAST WITH TONIGHT/S FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
BE THROUGH ALL TAF SITES BY 07Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 231 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013/

DISCUSSION...
THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE NORTHERN
AND POSSIBLY THE CENTRAL PERMIAN BASIN THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
DUE TO AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY CURRENTLY RESIDING IN THE NORTHERN
PERMIAN BASIN...COMBINED WITH UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE UPPER JET. THE OUTFLOW SHOULD
PRESS SOUTH AND WEST OVERNIGHT TOWARD THE MOUNTAINS AS IT GETS
PUSHED BY CONVECTION FORMING ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND ALSO
CONVECTION FORMING FURTHER NORTH DEVELOPING IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT. STORMS THAT FORM WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE GIVEN 0-6 KILOMETER SHEAR GREATER THAN
40 KNOTS AND CAPES IN EXCESS OF 1500 J/KG.

GETTING MIXED SIGNALS ABOUT THE BEST CHANCE FOR CONVECTION
TOMORROW. THE BEST CHANCE MAY ENDING UP BEING IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF EXTREME SOUTHWEST TEXAS CLOSEST TO THE SOUTHWARD MOVING
FRONT WITH ENHANCEMENT FROM TOPOGRAPHY. ANY STORMS THAT COULD FORM
TOMORROW WOULD HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE WITH SHEAR
FORECAST TO BE 40 KNOTS WITH CAPES OF OVER 1000 J/KG. WILL
CONTINUE SLIGHT POPS AREAWIDE. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY WILL BE
10 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER AREAWIDE BEHIND THE FRONT.

THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTION THE NEXT 7 DAYS MAY
END UP BEING THURSDAY NIGHT. THE GFS/NAM/ECMWF ARE KEYING ON A
POTENTIAL MCS FORMING BY A SHORTWAVE MOVING SOUTHEAST FROM NEW
MEXICO INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN AIDED BY A 30 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET.
HAVE UPPED POPS IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS
THESE AREAS. KEPT CHANCE POPS GOING FRIDAY ANTICIPATING THURSDAY
NIGHT ACTIVITY COULD STILL BE ONGOING IN THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS
FRIDAY MORNING WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT FURTHER WEST IN THE
MOUNTAINS IN THE AFTERNOON DUE TO HEATING COMBINED WITH MOIST
UNSTABLE UPSLOPE FLOW. ACTIVITY WOULD CONTINUE BUT DIMINISH INTO
FRIDAY EVENING SO KEPT SLIGHT POPS GOING.

IT APPEARS THE LAST CHANCE FOR ANY PRECIPITATION THIS FORECAST
PACKAGE WILL BE SATURDAY AS ONE ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE POSSIBLY
MOVES INTO THE REGION IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. BEYOND
SATURDAY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO CLIMB TO ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN BY NEXT
SUNDAY UNDERNEATH THIS RIDGE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT
BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING IN
THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS BUT WILL NOT MENTION THIS FAR OUT IN THE
FORECAST CYCLE.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

13

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1227 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-061730-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1227 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013 /1127 AM MDT WED JUN 5 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND EAST OF
A TATUM TO BIG SPRING LINE THIS AFTERNOON, WITH MORE WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TRANS PECOS, PERMIAN BASIN AND INTO THE BIG
BEND REGION.  SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREATS.  ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL
LIKELY LAST INTO THE EVENING, IF NOT THROUGH THE NIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE, ESPECIALLY OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE
PERMIAN BASIN THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
545 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013

TXZ070-052315-
REAGAN-
545 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
AFFECTING SOUTHERN REAGAN COUNTY UNTIL 615 PM CDT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED 3
MILES SOUTH OF BEST AT 545 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. WINDS MAY
REACH 55 MPH AND CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING DUST NEAR THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3108 10128 3108 10176 3141 10177 3149 10126
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 249DEG 31KT 3121 10155

HLUCHAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
612 PM CDT WED JUN 05 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 SW ST. LAWRENCE       31.65N 101.60W
06/05/2013  M68 MPH          REAGAN             TX   MESONET

&&

HLUCHAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
804 PM CDT WED JUN 05 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0801 PM     HAIL             TARZAN                  32.31N 101.98W
06/05/2013  E1.75 INCH       MARTIN             TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

MH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
830 PM CDT WED JUN 05 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0827 PM     HAIL             LEES                    32.08N 101.49W
06/05/2013  M1.00 INCH       GLASSCOCK          TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

HLUCHAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
837 PM CDT WED JUN 05 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HAIL             3 S ELBOW               32.12N 101.51W
06/05/2013  M1.00 INCH       HOWARD             TX   PUBLIC

            1.2 INCHES OF RAIN IN 30 MINUTES MEASURED

&&

MARK.STROBIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
846 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013

NMZ033-060215-
CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-
746 PM MDT WED JUN 5 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
CENTRAL LEA COUNTY UNTIL 815 PM MDT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF BUCKEYE AT 746
PM MDT...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.  THIS STORM IN INCREASING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3295 10311 3269 10328 3281 10359 3298 10350
TIME...MOT...LOC 0146Z 279DEG 15KT 3287 10341