Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2013

Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

June 17, 2013Mitchell County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this flash flood warning at Jun 17, 2013, 10:31 PM CDT for Mitchell County, Texas. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 17, 2013, 10:31 PM CDT (03:31 UTC)
Expired: Jun 18, 2013, 1:30 AM CDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

County Mitchell County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 130 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 977 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -44 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2611 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -33 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 11 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

681 
WGUS54 KMAF 180331
FFWMAF
TXC335-180630-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FF.W.0011.130618T0331Z-130618T0630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1031 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN MITCHELL COUNTY IN WEST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 130 AM CDT

* AT 1025 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED  
  POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING FROM HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA.  
  RADAR INDICATED 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN WITH AN  
  ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CHAMPION   
  CREEK RESERVOIR...LAKE COLORADO CITY AND COLORADO CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WHICH COULD INCREASE THE POTENTIAL
FOR FLOODING IN THE WARNED AREA.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. ACT QUICKLY IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3240 10101 3240 10068 3209 10067 3210 10100

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 17, 7:14 PM CDT, 3 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 7:14 PM CDT, 3 hours 17 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
714 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER COORD WITH SPC HAVE INCLUDED REEVES COUNTY AND REMAINDER OF
THE PB IN THE SEVERE TSTM WATCH #323. ALSO HAVE INCREASED POPS
BASED ON LATEST RADAR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 646 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013/

DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...
SEVERE WEATHER ONGOING ACROSS THE AREA EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN LEA
COUNTY...ACROSS THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND INTO SOUTHWEST TEXAS.
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE AT TAF LOCATIONS UNTIL AFTER
06Z. MVFR CONDITIONS DUE TO LIMITED VISIBILITY IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH 06Z.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 410 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013/

DISCUSSION...
SEVERE TSTM WATCH #323 HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 04Z FOR SE NM AND
ALL OF THE PB NORTH OF I-20. NO CHANGE FROM DISCUSSION BELOW.

ADDITIONAL PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 211 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013/

DISCUSSION...
SFC BOUNDARY NW-SE ACROSS THE PB WILL BE A PRIMARY FOCUS FOR DEEP
CONVECTION TO FORM ALONG/NEAR TODAY. LOW LEVEL MSTR IS RICH (DWPNTS OF
M60S ACROSS PB) AND WITH STEEP MID LEVEL LR/S PER EML SB CAPES ARE
ABOVE 2500 J/KG. LOW LEVEL MSTR IS CONVERGING INVOF WRN PB/SE NM
AND ONCE TEMPS GET INTO THE M90S CAP IS EXPECTED BREAK ALLOWING
STORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE PB. ALSO A MINOR SHRTWV TROF ROUNDING
NW MID LEVEL FLOW MAY SERVE TO COOL TEMPS AROUND 5H AND PROVIDE
ADDITIVE LIFT. 12Z NAM12 QPF AGREES WITH AND HAS DEVELOPED PRECIP
FARTHER S INTO THE PB AS EARLY AS 21Z (INDICATIVE OF WEAK TO NO
CAP). SAID CAPES AND BULK SHEAR OF 25-35KTS ACROSS PB WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE STORMS AND HAVE INCLUDE FOR PB AND TRANS
PECOS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND ARE THE MAIN CONCERN BUT AN ISOLD
TORNADO CAN/T BE RULED EITHER. MEANWHILE A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX IS
FAVORED TO COME OUT THE NE NM HIGHLANDS INTO WX TX PLAINS AND MAY
RESULT IN SECOND ROUND OF TSTMS EARLY TUE AM ACRS THE NRN CWFA.
ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS POSSIBLE TUE PM IN PERSISTENT NW MID
LEVEL FLOW. THESE STORM WOULD BE FAVORED TO MOVE THRU THE N-NE
CWFA LATE TUE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AND AGAIN COULD BE
SEVERE. HOWEVER IF THERE IS A SECOND ROUND OF STORMS EARLY TUE AM
ACROSS THE N-NE IT MAY BE DIFFICULT FOR THE ATMOSPHERE TO RECOVER.
SLGHT CHC TO CHC TSTMS WILL BE FAVORED IN THE DAVIS MTNS
REGARDLESS TUE PM. TIMING OF CONVECTION TUE WILL MAKE TEMPS FCST
DIFFICULT AND WILL TREND TEMPS DOWN JUST A DEGREE OR 2 FOR NOW.
STRONGER PRESENCE OF MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL SIGNAL DOWNTURN IN POPS
AND THOSE BEING CONFINED TO THE W ON WRN SIDE OF RIDGE FOR
WED/THUR. PRESENCE OF MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL ALSO SIGNAL WARMER WITH
HIGHS TEMPS EASILY BACK TO 95-100 ACROSS PB. SOME HINTS THAT MID
LEVEL RIDGE WILL DEVELOP FAR E FRI-SUN WHICH WOULD LEAD TO A
LITTLE COOLER TEMPS AND LOW PROBABILITY POPS BACK INTO THE WRN
AREAS WITH ECMWF EVEN MORESO FOR MONDAY.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 17, 1:39 PM CDT, 8 hours 52 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
139 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-181845-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
139 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013 /1239 PM MDT MON JUN 17 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS WEST
TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. SOME STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG
TO SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND OR DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR
TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AREAWIDE
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. A FEW STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN.

AREAL COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE SIGNIFICANTLY
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY HOWEVER ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS
AND THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 17, 8:16 PM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
816 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0734 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HOBBS                   32.73N 103.16W
06/17/2013                   LEA                NM   PUBLIC

            HIGH WATER RESCUES IN HOBBS

&&

ANDREW.ARNOLD

Local storm report, Jun 17, 8:17 PM CDT, 2 hours 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
817 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0742 PM     FLASH FLOOD      25 NW HOBBS             32.99N 103.47W
06/17/2013                   LEA                NM   PUBLIC

            8 INCH OF WATER ON ROADS

&&

ANDREW.ARNOLD

Local storm report, Jun 17, 8:18 PM CDT, 2 hours 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
818 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HOBBS                   32.73N 103.16W
06/17/2013                   LEA                NM   PUBLIC

            8 INCHES OF WATER ON GRIMES ROAD IN HOBBS

&&

ANDREW.ARNOLD

Local storm report, Jun 17, 8:19 PM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
819 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0754 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HOBBS                   32.73N 103.16W
06/17/2013                   LEA                NM   PUBLIC

            10 INCHES OF WATER OVER EL PASO AND MARLINE ROADS AND
            MAIN STREET

&&

ANDREW.ARNOLD

Local storm report, Jun 17, 8:20 PM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
820 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 N HOBBS               32.75N 103.16W
06/17/2013                   LEA                NM   PUBLIC

            4-5 INCH OF WATER ACROSS HWY 132 NORTH OF HOBBS

&&

ANDREW.ARNOLD

Local storm report, Jun 17, 9:11 PM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
911 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST ANDREWS                 32.32N 102.55W
06/17/2013  E45 MPH          ANDREWS            TX   PUBLIC

            ROOF BLOWN OF OF SRUCTURE

&&

ANDREW.ARNOLD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 17, 7:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reeves	30 min
Jun 17, 7:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Jeff Davis, Loving, Pecos, Reeves, Ward, Winkler	62 min
Jun 17, 7:27 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Andrews, Gaines	3 hr
Jun 17, 7:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Loving, Winkler	62 min
Jun 17, 7:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Gaines	62 min
Jun 17, 8:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Crane, Dawson, Ector, Martin, Pecos	31 min
Jun 17, 8:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Borden, Dawson, Gaines, Howard, Martin	65 min
Jun 17, 8:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Mitchell	57 min
Jun 17, 9:23 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Borden, Dawson, Gaines	3 hr
Jun 17, 9:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Borden, Glasscock, Howard, Mitchell	36 min
Jun 17, 10:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Borden, Howard, Mitchell, Scurry	40 min
Jun 17, 10:33 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Howard, Mitchell	3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2013 Every flash flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.