Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Jackson, KY

138 
WWUS53 KJKL 092106
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
506 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013

KYC063-115-153-175-092115-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-130609T2115Z/
JOHNSON KY-MAGOFFIN KY-MORGAN KY-ELLIOTT KY-
506 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN
ELLIOTT...EAST CENTRAL MORGAN...NORTH CENTRAL MAGOFFIN AND JOHNSON
COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

AT 505 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR OPHIR...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PAINTSVILLE...RELIEF...LEANDER...ELNA...PATRICK...ISONVILLE...GILLEM
BRANCH...DENVER...REDBUSH...BARNETTS CREEK...BARNROCK...FLATGAP...
KEATON...WINIFRED...KERZ...SIP...CHANDLERVILLE...GALEN...STAMBAUGH
AND STAFFORDSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3818 8298 3817 8291 3811 8289 3809 8292
      3805 8295 3803 8300 3798 8302 3797 8299
      3800 8297 3800 8294 3795 8279 3777 8271
      3773 8304 3802 8319 3820 8299
TIME...MOT...LOC 2107Z 244DEG 20KT 3791 8299

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

DUSTY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
425 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 318 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013

STRONG 500MB CUT OFF LOW REMAINS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH WARM AIR FLOWING UP FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS /FOLLOWING THE LEE SIDE OF THE 500MB
TROUGHING PATTERN/. CONDITIONS WERE FAVORABLE TODAY FOR A GOOD CONVECTIVE
SET UP...WITH CELLS FIRING UP THIS MORNING ALONG AN AREA OF BEST
QVECTOR CONVERGENCE...AND THEN PUSHING NNE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. AT THE
MOMENT...BEST LINE OF STORMS IS MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN CWA /STILL
CONTINUING NNE. WITH GOOD INSTABILITY AND SHEER ACROSS THE REGION...A
FEW OF THESE STORMS HAVE BECOME SEVERE IN NATURE AND WILL CONTINUE TO
HOLD THE BRUNT OF THE INSTABILITY AS WE HEAD THROUGHOUT THE EVENING.

BESIDES THIS INITIAL LINE AND ADDITIONAL SCATTERED CONVECTION TO OUR
SOUTH...A MOIST ENVIRONMENT REMAINS. AS BOTH THE 500MB AND SURFACE
LOW CONTINUE SE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY OVERNIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. BEST INSTABILITY IS BEING TAPPED INTO THIS
AFTERNOON WITH THE ONGOING STORMS...AND WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING...NOT EXPECTING THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT TO BE SEVERE AT THIS
TIME. WITH CLOUD COVER IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION...OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL BE SOMEWHAT MODERATED...ONLY EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 60S.

DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY...ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WITH THIS
SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. DAYTIME TEMPS SHOULD DROP FROM
TODAY...ONLY REACHING THE MID 70S. BY MONDAY EVENING...LOW WILL
BEGIN LIFTING OFF TO THE NE WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWING DRY AIR
WORKING IN QUICKLY. AT THIS POINT...EXPECT CLOUD COVER TO BE ON A
DECREASING TREND /THOUGH SOME REMAINING LLVL MOISTURE WILL KEEP IN
SOME SCT/BKN LOW LVL CLOUDS/ AND POPS TO COME TO AN END. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH 60 DEGREES IN SOME LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY
IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 150 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013

THE MIDDLE HALF OF THE CONUS FEATURES A BUILDING RIDGE WITH WEAK AND
MOBILE TROFS ON EACH COAST. THE EAST COAST TROF IS CLEARING THE OHIO
VALLEY WITH PCPN ENDING FOR ERN KY. HOWEVER THIS REPRIEVE WILL BE
SHORT LIVED AS THE NW FLOW ON THE FRONT SIDE OF THE RIDGE WILL DROP
A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES THRU ERN KY WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF SHOWERS
AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS THRU THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. LOOK FOR
SAT TO BE MOSTLY DRY WITH THE NEXT SHORT WAVE TO DROP INTO THE
COMMONWEALTH ON SUNDAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL CLIMB FROM HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S ON TUE TO THE UPPER 80S ON WED WITH SOME LOCATIONS EVEN
TOPPING OUT AROUND 90. LOW HUMIDITY ON WED WILL KEEP THE HEAT INDEX
IN CHECK BUT READINGS COULD STILL RISE TO THE LOWER 90S FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA. THE SERIES OF SHORT WAVES FOR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK
WITH RAIN AND RATHER EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP HIGHS TO THE
LOWER 80S ON THU/FRI BUT THE DRY WEATHER ON SAT WILL ONCE AGAIN SEE
HIGHS PEAK IN THE MID 80S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 131 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013

STRONG LOW SITTING OVER THE PLAINS AT THIS TIME IS MAKING FOR A VERY
ACTIVE TAF PERIOD. AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SURGE NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...AN AREA OF STORMS HAS DEVELOPED OVER CENTRAL
TN AND CENTRAL KY...AND CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE NNE. EASTERN
KY HAS SEEN SEVERAL ISOLATED CELLS DEVELOP AS WELL...PRODUCING SOME
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING. AS WE GO THROUGHOUT THE
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT...CHANCES FOR MORE
SCATTERED/WIDESPREAD TS COVERAGE WILL INCREASE. HOWEVER IT WILL BE
VERY DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT EXACTLY WHICH TAF SITES WILL BE AFFECTED
AND WHEN UNTIL AFTER THE CONVECTION HAS INITIATED. AS A
RESULT...TRIED TO BE A LITTLE GENERAL...WITH THE BEST CHANCES OF
VIS/CIG DROPPING WHEN HIGHER AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE AND POPS ARRIVE
OVERNIGHT. IN THE MEANTIME...TRIED TO COVER ANY ISOLATED/SCATTERED TS
AFFECTING THE TAF SITES IN A TEMPO GROUP. AS PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED...TAFS MAY NEED TO BE UPDATED/AMENDED TO ACCOUNT FOR
CONVECTION NEARBY ONCE IT DEVELOPS.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JMW
LONG TERM...DUSTY
AVIATION...JMW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
414 AM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-101100-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
414 AM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME THUNDERSTORMS
COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY SHOULD A SERIES OF
STORMS PASS OVER THE SAME AREA REPEATEDLY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AS
A POTENT COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

RAY/ABE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
331 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013

KYZ108-111-112-114-092000-
OWSLEY-WOLFE-LEE-BREATHITT-
331 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 400
PM EDT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

   NORTH CENTRAL OWSLEY...
   SOUTHWESTERN WOLFE...
   LEE AND
   NORTHWESTERN BREATHITT.

AT 332 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR IDA MAY...OR
NEAR BEATTYVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...ENOCH AROUND
340 PM EDT...ST. HELENS AROUND 345 PM EDT...PRIMROSE AROUND 350 PM
EDT...WILLIBA AROUND 355 PM EDT...FLAT AROUND 400 PM EDT...

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP
TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS.
MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY.

GEOGERIAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
344 PM EDT SUN JUN 09 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     HEAVY RAIN       BEATTYVILLE             37.58N 83.71W
06/09/2013  E1.00 INCH       LEE                KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1 INCH OF RAIN RECEIVED IN LESS THAN 15 MINUTES. WINDS
            ESTIMATED OF 40 TO 45 MPH.

&&

JCARICO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
402 PM EDT SUN JUN 09 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     HAIL             1 NE PRIMROSE           37.61N 83.60W
06/09/2013  E1.00 INCH       LEE                KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JCARICO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
412 PM EDT SUN JUN 09 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S BEATTYVILLE         37.54N 83.71W
06/09/2013                   LEE                KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS KNOCKED TWO TREES DOWN. ONE TREE
            IS BLOCKING SHORT RIDGE ROAD. ALSO...NICKEL SIZE HAIL
            OCCURRED.

&&

JCARICO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
420 PM EDT SUN JUN 09 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     HAIL             2 WSW HAZEL GREEN       37.79N 83.45W
06/09/2013  E1.00 INCH       WOLFE              KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JCARICO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
430 PM EDT SUN JUN 09 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     TSTM WND DMG     STACY FORK              37.84N 83.27W
06/09/2013                   MORGAN             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            THREE TREES KNOCKED DOWN. ESTIMATED WINDS OF 60+ MPH.

&&

JCARICO