Alert archive / Kentucky / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Jackson, KY

January 15, 2013Whitley County, Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this river flood warning at Jan 15, 2013, 3:40 PM EST for Whitley County, Kentucky. It took effect at Jan 16, 2013, 6:02 PM EST. It was in force for 42 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 15, 2013, 3:40 PM EST (20:40 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 16, 2013, 6:02 PM EST
Expired
Jan 18, 2013, 12:09 PM EST
In force
42 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, KY
Flood severity
Minor

County Whitley County, KY

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Cumberland River at Williamsburg (WLBK2).

Action stage
17 ft
Minor stage
21 ft
Moderate stage
27.5 ft
Major stage
32 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03404000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

792 
WGUS43 KJKL 152040
FLWJKL
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 
340 PM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED
A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY...

  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT BARBOURVILLE
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG

.AFTER A RATHER WET PAST FEW DAYS...A PERIOD OF PERSISTENT RAINS 
OF MODERATE AND HEAVY INTENSITY TONIGHT WILL LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT 
RISES ON THE CUMBERLAND RIVER STARTING LATER TONIGHT AND LASTING 
THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. 

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THIS FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 11 PM.

&&

KYC121-160840-
/O.NEW.KJKL.FL.W.0001.130116T1518Z-130117T2024Z/
/BBVK2.1.ER.130116T1518Z.130117T0000Z.130117T1424Z.NO/
340 PM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT BARBOURVILLE.
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 2:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MORNING WEDNESDAY AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 31.4 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 30.0 FEET...MANCHESTER STREET AND MILLER ROAD EAST OF US 25 E 
  FLOOD.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 32.9 FEET ON APRIL 11 
  2003.

$$

KYC235-160840-
/O.NEW.KJKL.FL.W.0002.130116T1732Z-130119T0806Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.130116T1732Z.130117T0600Z.130119T0206Z.NO/
340 PM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 3:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 25.0 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 27.0 FEET ON DECEMBER 31
  1942.

$$
11 follow-up statements
476 
WGUS83 KJKL 160453
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1153 PM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT BARBOURVILLE 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 

.RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALLOW FOR PORTIONS OF THE CUMBERLAND
RIVER TO LEAVE ITS BANKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THIS FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 8 AM WEDNESDAY.

&&

KYC121-161653-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0001.130116T1713Z-130117T2321Z/
/BBVK2.1.ER.130116T1713Z.130117T0600Z.130117T1721Z.NO/
1153 PM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT BARBOURVILLE.
* AT 11:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 30.5 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 30.0 FEET...MANCHESTER STREET AND MILLER ROAD EAST OF US 25 E 
  FLOOD.

$$

KYC235-161653-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0002.130116T1815Z-130119T0820Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.130116T1815Z.130117T1200Z.130119T0220Z.NO/
1153 PM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT 11:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 24.8 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

$$

GEOGERIAN
659 
WGUS83 KJKL 161255
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
755 AM EST WED JAN 16 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT BARBOURVILLE 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ALLOWED FOR MINOR FLOODING
TO OCCUR ALONG PORTIONS OF THE CUMBERLAND AND KENTUCKY RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THIS FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 12 PM.

&&

KYC121-170055-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0001.130116T1731Z-130117T2321Z/
/BBVK2.1.ER.130116T1731Z.130117T0600Z.130117T1721Z.NO/
755 AM EST WED JAN 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT BARBOURVILLE.
* AT  7:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 30.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 30.0 FEET...MANCHESTER STREET AND MILLER ROAD EAST OF US 25 E 
  FLOOD.

$$

KYC235-170055-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0002.130116T1815Z-130119T0820Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.130116T1815Z.130117T1200Z.130119T0220Z.NO/
755 AM EST WED JAN 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT 7:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 24.8 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* AT 21.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD. 

$$

KYC065-170055-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0003.130117T1017Z-130118T2247Z/
/RAVK2.1.ER.130117T1017Z.130118T0000Z.130118T1647Z.UU/
755 AM EST WED JAN 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA.
* AT  7:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.9 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 21.5 FEET...SANG BRANCH ROAD IS UNDER WATER AT RED..LICK...CREEK.

$$
722 
WGUS83 KJKL 161703
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1203 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT BARBOURVILLE 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA 

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING
TO OCCUR ALONG PORTIONS OF THE CUMBERLAND AND KENTUCKY RIVERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THIS FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 6 PM WEDNESDAY EVENING.

&&

KYC121-170503-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0001.130116T1751Z-130117T2114Z/
/BBVK2.1.ER.130116T1751Z.130117T0600Z.130117T1514Z.NO/
1203 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT BARBOURVILLE.
* AT 11:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 31.1 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING.
* AT 30.0 FEET...MANCHESTER STREET AND MILLER ROAD EAST OF US 25 E 
  FLOOD.
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 29.3 FEET ON JANUARY 26 
2010.

$$

KYC235-170503-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0002.130116T2152Z-130119T1856Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.130116T2152Z.130118T1200Z.130119T1256Z.NO/
1203 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT 11:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 25.4 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 25.8 FEET ON NOVEMBER 30 
2011.

$$

KYC065-170503-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0003.130117T0524Z-130119T0130Z/
/RAVK2.1.ER.130117T0524Z.130118T0000Z.130118T1930Z.UU/
1203 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA.
* AT 11:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING 
  AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.9 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 21.5 FEET...SANG BRANCH ROAD IS UNDER WATER AT RED LICK CREEK.
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.1 FEET ON APRIL 29 
2011.

$$

RAY
096 
WGUS83 KJKL 162158
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
458 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT BARBOURVILLE 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA 

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING
TO OCCUR ALONG PORTIONS OF THE CUMBERLAND AND KENTUCKY RIVERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THIS FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 11 PM.

&&

KYC121-170958-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130118T0457Z/
/BBVK2.1.ER.130117T0058Z.130117T1200Z.130117T2257Z.NO/
458 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT BARBOURVILLE.
* AT 4:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 30.7 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 30.0 FEET...MANCHESTER STREET AND MILLER ROAD EAST OF US 25 E 
  FLOOD.
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 29.0 FEET ON DECEMBER 1 
2010.

$$

KYC235-170958-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0002.130116T2302Z-130120T0331Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.130116T2302Z.130119T0000Z.130119T2131Z.NO/
458 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT 4:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 25.5 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 25.8 FEET ON NOVEMBER 30 
2011.

$$

KYC065-170958-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0003.130117T0316Z-130118T2136Z/
/RAVK2.1.ER.130117T0316Z.130117T1800Z.130118T1536Z.UU/
458 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA.
* AT 4:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.9 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 21.5 FEET...SANG BRANCH ROAD IS UNDER WATER AT RED LICK CREEK.
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.1 FEET ON APRIL 29 
2011.

$$

RAY
749 
WGUS83 KJKL 170051
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
751 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...

  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING
TO OCCUR ALONG PORTIONS OF THE CUMBERLAND RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA 
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL 
INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS FORECAST TAKE 
NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 11 PM.

&&

KYC235-171251-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130120T0331Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.130117T0038Z.130119T0000Z.130119T2131Z.NO/
751 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT 
WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT 7:46 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.5 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

$$
465 
WGUS83 KJKL 170321
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1021 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT BARBOURVILLE 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG 

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING
TO OCCUR ALONG PORTIONS OF THE CUMBERLAND AND KENTUCKY RIVERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA 
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL 
INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS FORECAST TAKE 
NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 AM THURSDAY.

&&

KYC121-171521-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130118T0400Z/
/BBVK2.1.ER.130117T0538Z.130117T1200Z.130117T2200Z.NO/
1021 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT BARBOURVILLE.
* AT 9:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SHORTLY AFTER 
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE...CRESTING AT 28.5 FEET 
  AROUND DAWN ON THURSDAY. THE RIVER WILL THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 30.0 FEET...MANCHESTER STREET AND MILLER ROAD EAST OF US 25 E 
  FLOOD.

$$

KYC235-171521-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130119T2141Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.130117T0038Z.130118T1800Z.130119T1541Z.NO/
1021 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT 9:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING...CRESTING AT 24.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  LATE SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

KYC129-171521-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0004.130117T0600Z-130117T2100Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.130117T0600Z.130117T1200Z.130117T1500Z.NO/
1021 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG.
* AT 9:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY RISE THROUGH THE NIGHT...CRESTING 
  AT 20.1 FEET AROUND DAWN ON THURSDAY. 
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD.

$$

KYC065-171520-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0003.130117T0305Z-130118T2136Z/
/RAVK2.1.ER.130117T0246Z.130117T1800Z.130118T1536Z.UU/
1021 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA.
* AT 9:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING...CRESTING AT 23.1 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MIDDAY
  FRIDAY.
* BACK WATER FLOODING IS OCCURRING ON DARK HOLLOW ROAD IN WEST IRVINE
  AND ON DRIFT WOOD DRIVE OFF OF HWY 1571 IN THE PRYSE AREA OF ESTILL 
  COUNTY. AT 21.5 FEET...SANG BRANCH ROAD IS UNDER WATER AT RED LICK 
  CREEK.

$$
879 
WGUS83 KJKL 171042
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
542 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT BARBOURVILLE 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THIS FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 11 AM THURSDAY.

&&

KYC121-172242-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130118T0021Z/
/BBVK2.1.ER.130117T0639Z.130117T1200Z.130117T1821Z.NO/
542 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT BARBOURVILLE.
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.5 FEET BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 27.0 FEET...LOW LYING ROADS FLOOD. MANCHESTER STREET FLOODS.

$$

KYC235-172242-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130119T1338Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.130117T0038Z.130118T0600Z.130119T0738Z.NO/
542 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT 5 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.1 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD.

$$
757 
WGUS83 KJKL 172001
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
301 PM EST THU JAN 17 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...

  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THIS FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 9 PM THIS EVENING.

&&

KYC235-180801-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130119T0520Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.130117T0038Z.130117T1400Z.130118T2320Z.NO/
301 PM EST THU JAN 17 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT 2:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...FLOODING THREATENS LOW LYING ROADS AND STRUCTURES. 
  THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23.1 FEET ON MAY 4 2010.

$$

KYC065-180801-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130118T1640Z/
/RAVK2.1.ER.130117T0242Z.130117T1915Z.130118T1040Z.UU/
301 PM EST THU JAN 17 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA.
* AT 2:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 21.5 FEET...SANG BRANCH ROAD IS UNDER WATER AT RED LICK CREEK.
  THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.1 FEET ON APRIL 29 
  2011.

$$

RAY
811 
WGUS83 KJKL 180146
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
846 PM EST THU JAN 17 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 

.WATER LEVELS ON THE CUMBERLAND AND KENTUCKY RIVERS HAVE CRESTED...
HOWEVER RIVER LEVELS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED INTO THE WEEKEND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA 
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL 
INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS FORECAST TAKE 
NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 7 AM FRIDAY MORNING. 

&&

KYC235-181346-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130119T0520Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.130117T0038Z.130117T1400Z.130118T2320Z.NO/
846 PM EST THU JAN 17 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT 
WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT 8 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND IS FORECAST TO DROP BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.  
* AT 21.0 FEET...FLOODING THREATENS LOW LYING ROADS AND STRUCTURES.

$$

KYC065-181346-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130118T1600Z/
/RAVK2.1.ER.130117T0242Z.130117T1915Z.130118T1000Z.UU/
846 PM EST THU JAN 17 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA.
* AT 8:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND IS FORECAST TO DROP BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 21.5 FEET...SANG BRANCH ROAD IS UNDER WATER AT RED LICK CREEK.

$$
005 
WGUS83 KJKL 181113
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
613 AM EST FRI JAN 18 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA 

.WATER LEVELS ON THE CUMBERLAND AND KENTUCKY RIVERS HAVE CRESTED...
HOWEVER RIVER LEVELS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED INTO THE WEEKEND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THIS FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 11 AM THIS MORNING.

&&

KYC235-182313-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130119T1456Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.130117T0038Z.130117T1400Z.130119T0856Z.NO/
613 AM EST FRI JAN 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT  5:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.3 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW.
* AT 21.0 FEET...FLOODING THREATENS LOW LYING ROADS AND STRUCTURES. .
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23.1 FEET ON MAY 4 2010.

$$

KYC065-181721-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130118T1721Z/
/RAVK2.1.ER.130117T0242Z.130117T1915Z.130118T1121Z.UU/
613 AM EST FRI JAN 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA.
* AT  5:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATER THIS MORNING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD. RED LICK ROAD, MILLERS CREEK,
  DARK HOLLOW ROAD AND HIGHWAY 594 FLOOD IN SEVERAL PLACES.

$$
273 
WGUS83 KJKL 181709
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1209 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS
IN KENTUCKY...
 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG

.THE CUMBERLAND RIVER HAS FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT WILLIAMSBURG 
AND WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL. HOWEVER THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE 
TO RUN HIGH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THIS FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE FOR THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG WILL BE 
ISSUED BY 10 PM.

&&

KYC235-181739-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130119T1456Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.130117T0038Z.130117T1400Z.130118T1000Z.NO/
1209 PM EST FRI JAN 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* AT 11:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 5:00 AM THIS MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO 19.6 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...FLOODING THREATENS LOW LYING ROADS AND STRUCTURES. 

THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.3 FEET ON DECEMBER 10 
2009.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 15, 3:03 PM EST, 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 3:03 PM EST, 37 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
303 PM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 302 PM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

A SERIES OF FAST MOVING WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE AREA FROM THIS EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL YIELD
ANOTHER MESSY NIGHT WITH RAIN...FREEZING RAIN... AND SLEET POSSIBLE
IN SOME AREAS. LOOKING AT LATEST SURFACE OBS...DEWPOINTS SEEM TO BE
THE TELLING SIGN OF WHERE WE MIGHT SEE MORE FREEZING RAIN VERSES PURE
RAIN TONIGHT. DEWPOINTS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY
REMAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. THUS...ASSUMING PRECIPITATION FALLS
HARD ENOUGH...WE SHOULD SEE THESE TEMPERATURES WETBULB DOWN BELOW
FREEZING...SETTING THE STAGE FOR FREEZING RAIN. GIVEN THE SHALLOW
COLD AIR...CANNOT RULE OUT PERIODS OF SLEET AS WELL. FURTHER
SOUTH...TEMPERATURES REMAIN A TOUCH MILDER...ALONG WITH
DEWPOINTS...SUGGESTING WE WILL SEE RAIN FURTHER SOUTH. MODELS ARE
BRINGING THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION FARTHER NORTH INTO SOUTHEAST
KENTUCKY TONIGHT...GIVING THE POTENTIAL FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN.
THIS WILL LEAD TO THE FLOODING THREAT ADDRESSED IN THE HYDRO SECTION.
THE PRECIPITATION WILL START TO EXIT BY LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
TOMORROW MORNING...WITH A TRANSITION TO DRIZZLE LIKELY. AGAIN...WHERE
TEMPERATURES ARE BELOW FREEZING IN THE NORTH...UNTREATED SURFACES
COULD REMAIN SLICK THROUGH THE MORNING COMMUTE. THUS...HAVE LEFT THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY GOING THROUGH THE MORNING COMMUTE. EVENTUALLY
THE DRIZZLE SHOULD WIND DOWN TOMORROW...BUT CLOUDS MAY PERSIST WELL
INTO THE AFTERNOON...WITH TEMPERATURES AGAIN STRUGGLING TO RISE OUT
OF THE 30S.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 302 PM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO GEL ON A SIMILAR SOLUTION ALOFT FOR THE
START OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD. THE OHIO VALLEY WILL BE NEARLY
ENCOMPASSED BY A LARGE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH FROM THE HUDSON BAY
WHILE A COMPACT AND WEAKENING CLOSED LOW SCOOTS THROUGH THE DEEP
SOUTH FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS WAVE HAS
BEEN POORLY HANDLED BY THE MODELS UP TO NOW WITH THE NAM SHOWING ITS
WAVE TOO FAR NORTH WHILE THE GFS IS FURTHER SOUTH...BUT FASTER THAN
THE CONSENSUS OF SOLUTIONS. THE ECMWF CONTINUES TO PROVIDE A
REASONABLE COMPROMISE HERE. THIS WAVE MOVES OUT OF THE AREA
ON FRIDAY AS THE DEEP AND BROAD TROUGH TO THE NORTH MODERATES AND
FLATTENS OUT. A WAVE WILL THEN DEVELOP TO OUR NORTHWEST AND TAKE A
DIVE AT THE OHIO VALLEY ON SUNDAY...MAINTAINING NORTHWEST FLOW
INTO KENTUCKY. A MORE SUBSTANTIAL WAVE...WITH DECENT AGREEMENT AMONG
THE ECMWF AND GFS...LOOKS TO BE BREWING EARLY IN THE NEW WEEK FOR
THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL CHARGE TOWARD THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH
ITS ENERGY PASSING THROUGH LATER TUESDAY SENDING HEIGHTS
SUBSTANTIALLY DOWN THROUGH THE REGION. FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE
EXTENDED FORECAST FAVORED THE ECMWF AND THEREAFTER A GENERAL MODEL
BLEND.

SENSIBLE WEATHER THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL FEATURE A
MODERATING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT SHOULD ALLOW EAST KENTUCKY TO
BEGIN DRYING OUT AND MILDER TEMPERATURES/SUNSHINE TO CLEAR ANY
LINGERING ICE DEPOSITS OVER OUR NORTHERN ZONES. THIS HIGH HOLDS ITS
GROUND THROUGH THE START OF THE WEEKEND BEFORE A MOSTLY DRY COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH ACROSS KENTUCKY ON SUNDAY. WHAT FOLLOWS
BRIEFLY WILL BE JUST A TASTE OF THE MUCH COLDER AIR THAT IS POISED
TO ENTER THE REGION LATER IN THE NEW WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE PASSES
THROUGH QUICKLY IN THE WAKE OF THE WEEKEND FRONT BEFORE AN ARCTIC
ONE WILL PLUNGE INTO OUR STATE LATE MONDAY. THIS BOUNDARY WILL BRING
A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND A HARSH NOSE DIVE IN TEMPERATURES/WIND
CHILLS...AT LEAST EARLY TUESDAY WITH LITTLE RECOVERY DURING THE DAY
DESPITE ANY SUNSHINE.

THE CR GRID LOAD CAME IN DECENT WITH RESPECT TO THE POP AND SKY
DEPICTIONS THROUGH THE EXTENDED...MOSTLY IN LINE WITH THE PREFERRED
SOLUTION SET. DID MAKE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TOWARD THE LATEST ECMWF FOR
THE POPS ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. ALSO MADE SOME SMALL
TERRAIN BASED TWEAKS TO THE LOW TEMPERATURES NEARLY EACH NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1237 PM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD
KEEPING THE AIRPORTS IN EASTERN KENTUCKY BELOW AIRPORT MINIMUMS. RAIN
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD TODAY WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 302 PM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

A SERIES OF FAST MOVING WEATHER DISTURBANCES WILL TRACK NORTHEAST
ACROSS SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH DAYBREAK
WEDNESDAY MORNING. A PERSISTENT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE
TO FALL ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY THROUGH TONIGHT. BY THE TIME
RAIN ENDS WEDNESDAY MORNING...ANYWHERE FROM AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED
FROM RECENT RAINFALL...AND THE CUMBERLAND RIVER ALREADY RUNNING
HIGH...THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL ONLY CREATE MORE SIGNIFICANT
RISES AND POSSIBLY LEAD TO FLOODING ALONG THE RIVER. IN ADDITION...1
TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN ON TOP OF SATURATED GROUND MAY ALSO LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS. AS FAR AS THE CUMBERLAND
RIVER GOES...PINEVILLE IS EXPECTED TO GET VERY CLOSE TO FLOOD
STAGE...WITH WILLIAMSBURG AND BARBOURVILLE EXPECTED TO EASILY REACH
FLOOD STAGE. STILL A CHANCE TO SEE SOME MODERATE FLOODING AT BOTH
SITES. IF WE SEE RAINFALL UP STREAM OF PINEVILLE AROUND 2
INCHES...THIS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE THEM TO REACH FLOOD STAGE.
REGARDLESS...FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST INTO
THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL WATER LEVELS CAN RECEDE.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR KYZ044-
050>052-058>060-104-106>109.

FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR KYZ084>088-110-113-
115>120.

&&

SHORT TERM...KAS
LONG TERM....GREIF
AVIATION...KAS
HYDROLOGY...KAS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 15, 11:22 AM EST, 4 hours 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1122 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-170000-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE
1122 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
9 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING.

A MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...AND SLEET WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING
AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND A TENTH
OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A MIX OF DRIZZLE...FREEZING DRIZZLE AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
MORNING. LITTLE IF ANY ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

THE COMBINATION OF RECENT RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PORTIONS OF THE
CUMBERLAND AND KENTUCKY RIVERS TO RUN HIGH FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS...PLEASE RELAY REPORTS OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...OR
SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
JACKSON.

KYZ068-069-079-080-083-111-112-114-170000-
ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-LEE-BREATHITT-OWSLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...BOONEVILLE
1122 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF RECENT RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PORTIONS OF THE
KENTUCKY RIVER TO RUN HIGH FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

KYZ084>088-110-113-115>120-170000-
MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-KNOTT-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-
LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...
BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...
HINDMAN...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...
PIKEVILLE
1122 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS MAY LEAD
TO SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING
AREAS ALONG WITH RIVER FLOODING ALONG THE CUMBERLAND RIVER THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

KAS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 14, 7:32 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKLBath, Bell, Breathitt, Clay, Elliott, Estill and 26 more3 hr
Jan 15, 3:56 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKLBath, Breathitt, Elliott, Estill, Fleming, Jackson and 13 more29 hr
Jan 15, 11:00 AM ESTFlood WatchJKLBell, Clay, Floyd, Harlan, Knott, Knox and 7 more23 hr
Jan 15, 3:40 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningJKLKnox47 hr
Jan 15, 3:44 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKLHarlan25 hr
Jan 15, 3:44 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKLBell39 hr
Jan 15, 3:58 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningJKLEstill68 hr
Jan 15, 4:07 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKLBreathitt7 hr
Jan 15, 4:07 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKLOwsley7 hr
Jan 15, 4:07 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKLLee3 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.