Severe Thunderstorm Warning 47, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
644 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL WORK INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND REMAIN NEAR THE
AREA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL RETURN TO THE
REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY AS MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES
WORK THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
ALTHOUGH THE SEVERE THREAT HAS DISSIPATED ACROSS THE AREA HEAVY
RAIN WILL STILL OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS MORNING. A
COLD FRONT WILL WORK THROUGH THE FA THIS MORNING AND PRECIPITATION
WILL TAPER OFF BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. WIND GUSTS UPWARDS OF
25 TO 30 MILES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FA TODAY. WITH
THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TODAY NOT EXPECTING
TEMPERATURES TO RISE MUCH WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ONLY IN THE
MIDDLE 70S TO AROUND 80.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL WORK INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AND REMAIN ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DRY
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FA THROUGH THIS TIME. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL WORK THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

WITH COOL NORTHERLY FLOW TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL BE BELOW
NORMAL WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL ON SATURDAY WITH SOUTHERLY
FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MID AND UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL FLATTEN TO A ZONAL PATTERN SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER TROUGH AND WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL CANADA DIGS SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES. DISTURBANCES
EMBEDDED IN THIS ZONAL FLOW WILL BRING PERIODIC CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. NIGHTTIME TEMPERATURES DURING THIS TIME PERIOD WILL BE
MILD...WITH CLOUD COVER AND DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S EXPECTED TO BE
PRESENT.

BY MONDAY MODELS ARE INDICATING THE TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW OVER THE
GREAT LAKES WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD...WHICH WILL HELP TO DRAG A COLD
FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA. THIS WOULD RESULT IN UNSETTLED WEATHER ON
MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING...FOLLOWED BY A DRYING TREND MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL AFFECT THE TERMINALS UNTIL AROUND 14Z.
EXCEPTION IS IN CENTRAL OHIO WHICH WILL LIKELY REMAIN NORTH OF
THIS ACTIVITY. COLD FRONT WILL PUSH STORMS OFF TO THE EAST. THIS
WILL ALSO CAUSE WINDS TO VEER AND CEILINGS TO LOWER TO MVFR. WINDS
WILL BECOME GUSTY AND VEER MORE TO THE NORTHWEST WITH TIME.
CEILINGS WILL GRADUALLY LIFT LATE IN THE MORNING AND THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. CLOUDS ARE FORECAST TO SCATTER OUT TOWARDS 00Z AND
WINDS WIL DIMINISH AS WELL. COULD SEE SOME VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS
DEVELOP AT THE MORE FOG PRONE TAF SITES LATE IN THE PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NOVAK
NEAR TERM...NOVAK
SHORT TERM...NOVAK
LONG TERM...LATTO
AVIATION...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
529 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>045-051>053-140930-
RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-
CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-
MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-
529 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO
AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ046-054>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-140930-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-DELAWARE-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-
LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-
BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-
ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
529 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF
OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
THIS MORNING. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL AND MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
842 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

OHZ071-072-078>080-131315-
BROWN OH-CLINTON OH-WARREN OH-CLERMONT OH-HIGHLAND OH-
842 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN HIGHLAND...NORTHEASTERN
CLERMONT...SOUTHEASTERN WARREN...SOUTHERN CLINTON AND NORTHERN BROWN
COUNTIES THROUGH 915 AM EDT...

AT 836 AM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR GOSHEN...
MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 40 MPH...
ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...BLANCHESTER...
FAYETTEVILLE...ST. MARTIN...LYNCHBURG AND NEW VIENNA.

ALSO...WOODVILLE...LAKE LORELEI...CHASETOWN...WESTBORO...MIDLAND...
MARTINSVILLE...DANVILLE...RUSSELL AND NEW MARKET ARE NEAR THE PATH OF
THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3933 8365 3912 8366 3917 8422 3931 8421

ASL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
857 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

OHZ062>064-072-073-080-131330-
CLINTON OH-FAYETTE OH-GREENE OH-PICKAWAY OH-ROSS OH-HIGHLAND OH-
857 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN HIGHLAND...
NORTHWESTERN ROSS...CENTRAL PICKAWAY...SOUTHEASTERN GREENE...FAYETTE
AND NORTHEASTERN CLINTON COUNTIES THROUGH 930 AM EDT...

AT 855 AM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
BLOOMINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 50 MPH...
PEA SIZE HAIL...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...SABINA...
JEFFERSONVILLE...LEESBURG...WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE...BLOOMINGBURG...
GREENFIELD...NEW HOLLAND...WILLIAMSPORT AND NORTH FORK VILLAGE.

ALSO...LEES CREEK...OCTA...MILLEDGEVILLE...JASPER MILLS...EAST
MONROE...STAUNTON...NEW MARTINSBURG...ROCK MILLS...GOOD HOPE AND
MADISON MILLS ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

LAT...LON 3964 8299 3928 8302 3937 8383 3968 8370

ASL

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