Severe Thunderstorm Warning 45, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
644 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL WORK INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND REMAIN NEAR THE
AREA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL RETURN TO THE
REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY AS MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES
WORK THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
ALTHOUGH THE SEVERE THREAT HAS DISSIPATED ACROSS THE AREA HEAVY
RAIN WILL STILL OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS MORNING. A
COLD FRONT WILL WORK THROUGH THE FA THIS MORNING AND PRECIPITATION
WILL TAPER OFF BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. WIND GUSTS UPWARDS OF
25 TO 30 MILES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FA TODAY. WITH
THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TODAY NOT EXPECTING
TEMPERATURES TO RISE MUCH WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ONLY IN THE
MIDDLE 70S TO AROUND 80.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL WORK INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AND REMAIN ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DRY
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FA THROUGH THIS TIME. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL WORK THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

WITH COOL NORTHERLY FLOW TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL BE BELOW
NORMAL WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL ON SATURDAY WITH SOUTHERLY
FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MID AND UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL FLATTEN TO A ZONAL PATTERN SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER TROUGH AND WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL CANADA DIGS SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES. DISTURBANCES
EMBEDDED IN THIS ZONAL FLOW WILL BRING PERIODIC CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. NIGHTTIME TEMPERATURES DURING THIS TIME PERIOD WILL BE
MILD...WITH CLOUD COVER AND DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S EXPECTED TO BE
PRESENT.

BY MONDAY MODELS ARE INDICATING THE TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW OVER THE
GREAT LAKES WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD...WHICH WILL HELP TO DRAG A COLD
FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA. THIS WOULD RESULT IN UNSETTLED WEATHER ON
MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING...FOLLOWED BY A DRYING TREND MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL AFFECT THE TERMINALS UNTIL AROUND 14Z.
EXCEPTION IS IN CENTRAL OHIO WHICH WILL LIKELY REMAIN NORTH OF
THIS ACTIVITY. COLD FRONT WILL PUSH STORMS OFF TO THE EAST. THIS
WILL ALSO CAUSE WINDS TO VEER AND CEILINGS TO LOWER TO MVFR. WINDS
WILL BECOME GUSTY AND VEER MORE TO THE NORTHWEST WITH TIME.
CEILINGS WILL GRADUALLY LIFT LATE IN THE MORNING AND THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. CLOUDS ARE FORECAST TO SCATTER OUT TOWARDS 00Z AND
WINDS WIL DIMINISH AS WELL. COULD SEE SOME VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS
DEVELOP AT THE MORE FOG PRONE TAF SITES LATE IN THE PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NOVAK
NEAR TERM...NOVAK
SHORT TERM...NOVAK
LONG TERM...LATTO
AVIATION...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
529 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>045-051>053-140930-
RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-
CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-
MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-
529 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO
AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ046-054>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-140930-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-DELAWARE-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-
LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-
BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-
ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
529 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF
OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
THIS MORNING. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL AND MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
337 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NNW RICHWOOD          40.48N 83.33W
06/13/2013                   UNION              OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROOF BLOWN OFF HOME

0103 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SSW RICHWOOD          40.36N 83.31W
06/13/2013                   UNION              OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO A BARN

1255 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 ESE WEST MANSFIELD    40.37N 83.45W
06/13/2013                   UNION              OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO INDUSTRIAL BUILDING

1225 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ALGER                   40.71N 83.84W
06/13/2013                   HARDIN             OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN

1228 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ROUNDHEAD               40.56N 83.84W
06/13/2013                   HARDIN             OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN

1237 AM     TSTM WND DMG     KENTON                  40.64N 83.61W
06/13/2013                   HARDIN             OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWER POLES DOWN

0137 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ESE HILLIARD          40.03N 83.12W
06/13/2013                   FRANKLIN           OH   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROOF DECKING REMOVED FROM A LOWES BUILDING

&&

SNYDER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
338 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ESE HILLIARD          40.02N 83.10W
06/13/2013                   FRANKLIN           OH   NEWSPAPER

            LARGE TREE LIMB DOWN

0207 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SSE DOWNTOWN COLUMBUS 39.89N 82.96W
06/13/2013                   FRANKLIN           OH   NEWSPAPER

            LARGE TREE DOWN

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
346 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SE RICHWOOD           40.39N 83.22W
06/13/2013                   DELAWARE           OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BARN BLOWN OFF FOUNDATION IN THOMPSON TWP

0120 AM     TSTM WND DMG     DELAWARE                40.30N 83.08W
06/13/2013                   DELAWARE           OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL REPORTS OF TREES DOWN AROUND DELAWARE COUNTY

&&

SNYDER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
749 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ060-070-131230-
UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-FAYETTE IN-WAYNE IN-BUTLER OH-PREBLE OH-
749 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN PREBLE...WESTERN
BUTLER...SOUTHERN WAYNE...FAYETTE...NORTHERN FRANKLIN AND UNION
COUNTIES THROUGH 830 AM EDT...

AT 744 AM EDT...RADAR INDICATED AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 5
MILES SOUTHWEST OF GLENWOOD...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 50 MPH...
PEA SIZE HAIL...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...CONNERSVILLE...
BROOKVILLE...LIBERTY...WEST COLLEGE CORNER...OXFORD...EATON AND
CAMDEN.

ALSO...BUENA VISTA...BENTONVILLE...COLUMBIA...BUNKER HILL...LAUREL...
PEPPERTOWN...ALPINE...NULLTOWN...METAMORA AND METTEL FIELD ARE NEAR
THE PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3977 8531 3978 8456 3935 8457 3940 8530