Flash Flood Warning 43, NWS Wilmington, OH

468 
WGUS71 KILN 220835
FFSILN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
335 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

KYC135-OHC001-047-073-131-141-145-220842-
/O.CAN.KILN.FF.W.0043.000000T0000Z-131222T0930Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LEWIS KY-ADAMS OH-FAYETTE OH-HOCKING OH-PIKE OH-ROSS OH-SCIOTO OH-
335 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR LEWIS COUNTY IN
NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...AND SOUTHWESTERN HOCKING AND EASTERN FAYETTE
COUNTIES IN CENTRAL OHIO...AND SCIOTO...ROSS...PIKE AND EASTERN ADAMS
COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST OHIO HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED AND FLASH FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO 
POSE A THREAT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN AN 
INCH AND MAY RESULT IN PONDING ON AREA ROADS BUT FLASH FLOODING IS 
NOT EXPECTED.   

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS FLASH FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BY GOING TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMITTING YOUR REPORT
VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

LAT...LON 3850 8362 3864 8359 3888 8345 3905 8342
      3906 8338 3926 8338 3953 8332 3944 8271
      3936 8269 3936 8274 3896 8280 3894 8275
      3886 8275 3885 8265 3869 8269 3864 8286
      3875 8288 3872 8302 3859 8307 3841 8323

$$

AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1056 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING THE
REGION WILL PUSH THE FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA AS A COLD FRONT
TONIGHT...BRINGING WITH IT A CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER. COOLER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT TO START THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
QLCS MOVING EASTWARD THROUGH THE ILN CWA LATE THIS EVENING. LITTLE
CHANGE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST.

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LIFT
NORTHEASTWARD FROM TX/AR AND ARRIVE IN THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT.
AHEAD OF THE IS LOW...WARM/MOIST AIR WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRAWN
NORTH INTO THE OHIO VALLEY WITH DEWPOINTS REACHING THE LOWER 60S
SOUTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND PWATS NEARING OR BREAKING RECORD
VALUES FOR DECEMBER. THIS MOISTURE SURGE AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL
ALLOW FOR HIGH RAIN RATES WITH ANY PRECIPITATION OCCURRING THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT AS THE LOW TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION.

OUT AHEAD OF THIS LOW...A QLCS/SQUALL LINE TYPE OF FEATURE THAT IS
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL TRACK
NORTHEASTWARD...AFFECTING MOST LOCATIONS IN THE WARM
SECTOR...WHICH WILL INCLUDE THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE ILN
CWA. WIND SHEAR WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES LATE THIS EVENING AS THIS LINE APPROACHES FROM
THE SOUTHWEST...WITH THE TIMING OF THE HIGHEST THREAT FOR SEVERE
IN THE ILN CWA BEING BETWEEN 10 PM AND 3 AM. HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT AS A LARGE SWATH OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE QLCS AND AREAS NORTH OF
THE QLCS. THIS WILL LIKELY WORSEN EXISTING FLOOD ISSUES AND CREATE
NEW FLOODING ISSUES ACROSS THE AREA.

IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING TONIGHT AND
THE WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR SEVERE WEATHER LATE THIS
EVENING...SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE OF CONVECTION
TONIGHT.

BY THE END OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD...RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF
IN THE WESTERN ZONES...WITH THE MAIN BAND OF PRECIPITATION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT BEGINNING TO EXIT OUR EASTERN
ZONES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND AWAY FROM THE ILN
CWA ON SUNDAY. COLD ADVECTION WILL DEVELOP AND BRING IN COOLER AIR
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.

SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS THE
AREA AS AN UPPER TROUGH DIGS SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES
WITH A WEAK TROUGH HELPING TO PRODUCE MAINLY RAIN ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN ZONES AND SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES.
EVENTUALLY...ANY LINGERING SHOWERS WILL BE ALL SNOW AS SUFFICIENT
COLD AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME...LITTLE TO NO SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED FROM SNOW SHOWERS THAT MAY OCCUR DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
GIVEN SHORT TERM CONCERNS...NOT MUCH TIME SPENT ON THIS TIMEFRAME.
THIS PERIOD CHARACTERIZED BY LONGWAVE RIDGING NEAR/OFF THE WEST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES WHICH SUPPORTS TROUGHING IN THE NORTHEAST
CONUS. THIS IS A BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURE REGIME FOR THE OHIO
VALLEY...AND HAVE DERIVED MAX/MIN TEMPS FIRST FROM AN ECMWF/ENSEMBLE
MOS AND ADJUSTED FROM THERE TO MEET DETERMINISTIC THOUGHTS ON
ADVECTION. REALLY NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER SYSTEMS IN THIS
REGIME...THE ONLY APPRECIABLE CHANCE AT PRECIPITATION COMES WITH A
WEAK SYSTEM ON TUESDAY AND THURSDAY...BUT THESE ARE MINOR THREATS AT
BEST AS BEING DEPICTED IN THE 21.12Z ECMWF/GFS MODELS AT THIS TIME.
SUPPOSE THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A LAKE-INDUCED SNOW SHOWER THREAT
IN THE COLD ADVECTION BEHIND EITHER SYSTEM...BUT THOSE MESOSCALE
PROCESS ARE NOT WELL DEFINED AT THIS TIME RANGE THIS FAR FROM THE
LAKES.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING THIS EVENING
ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ATTENDANT WARM FRONT AND
COLD FRONT. SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM CONTINUED TO SWEEP
ACROSS THE TAF SITES FROM THE SW TO NE THIS EVENING. EXPECT SHOWERS
TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT IN THIS VERY MOIST REGIME AND END FROM
THE WEST SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH
WITH GUSTS OVER 20 KNOTS TONIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES CLOSER AND THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. POSSIBILITY EXISTS OF A SQUALL LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE COLD FRONT. INCLUDED THUNDERSTORMS IN ALL
TAF SITES EXCEPT KCMH AND KLCK AFT 02Z TO 04Z FOR SEVERAL HOURS.
LESS LIKELY TO SEE THUNDER AS FAR NORTH AS KCMH AND KLCK BUT WILL
MONITOR CONDITIONS. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO MVFR ON SUNDAY
WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON. POSSIBILITY
OF WRAP AROUND SHOWERS AFTER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EXITS REGION
SUNDAY BUT SINCE THAT IS TOWARD THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD ANY
FORECAST OF SHOWERS WAS LEFT OUT.

OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS EXPECTED TO LINGER SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY FOR OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
     051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY FOR KYZ089>100.
IN...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY FOR INZ050-058-059-066-
     073>075-080.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LATTO
NEAR TERM...LATTO
SHORT TERM...LATTO
LONG TERM...BINAU
AVIATION...PARKER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
412 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-222115-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
411 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AS A COLD
FRONT SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION. DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS ARE THE MAIN
CONCERN AT THIS TIME...THOUGH A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT
ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 71. THUNDERSTORMS WOULD
CONTAIN HEAVY RAIN RATES...AND COULD BRING A FLASH FLOOD THREAT.

IN ADDITION...GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT OUT OF THE
SOUTH...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 20 TO 25 MPH...AND GUSTS TO 35
MPH. IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY...WESTERLY WIND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS EVENING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1209 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1020 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LEWISTOWN               40.42N 83.88W
12/21/2013                   LOGAN              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2 LARGE OAK TREES DOWNED. WINDS EST 70-80 MPH

&&

HUGHES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1210 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     HEAVY RAIN       6 NE FAIRFIELD          39.39N 84.48W
12/22/2013  M2.00 INCH       BUTLER             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

&&

KURZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1215 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

OHZ046-055-056-064-065-220600-
DELAWARE OH-FAIRFIELD OH-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING OH-PICKAWAY OH-
1215 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN
PICKAWAY...LICKING...EASTERN FRANKLIN...NORTHERN FAIRFIELD AND
EASTERN DELAWARE COUNTIES THROUGH 100 AM EST...

AT 1210 AM EST...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM INTERSTATE 71 AT US ROUTE 36/STATE ROUTE 37 TO
DUVALL...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 50 MPH...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...REYNOLDSBURG...
PICKERINGTON...PATASKALA...BALTIMORE...GRANVILLE...UTICA...BUCKEYE
LAKE...HEATH AND NEWARK.

ALSO...CANAL WINCHESTER...LITHOPOLIS...SUMMIT STATION...JERSEY...
HARTFORD...JOHNSTOWN...CARROLL...ETNA...BEECHWOOD TRAILS AND
ALEXANDRIA ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THESE STORMS BECOME
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3995 8219 3994 8223 3991 8224 3992 8246
      3984 8247 3983 8239 3974 8240 3977 8299
      4036 8292 4035 8275 4028 8274 4027 8252
      4027 8248 4025 8247 4024 8218

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1219 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MINSTER                 40.39N 84.38W
12/20/2013                   AUGLAIZE           OH   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE DOWN

&&

KURZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1222 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 N EATON               39.76N 84.63W
12/22/2013  M3.74 INCH       PREBLE             OH   COCORAHS

            SATURDAY RAINFALL TOTAL

&&

KURZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1223 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 AM     HEAVY RAIN       COVINGTON               40.12N 84.35W
12/22/2013  M4.30 INCH       MIAMI              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

&&

KURZ