Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Chill Advisories in 2013

Wind Chill Advisory 2, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

November 23, 2013Avery County, Mitchell County, Yancey County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind chill advisory at Nov 23, 2013, 2:48 PM EST for Avery County, Mitchell County, Yancey County, North Carolina. It took effect at Nov 24, 2013, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 23, 2013, 2:48 PM EST (19:48 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 24, 2013, 12:00 AM EST
Expired
Nov 24, 2013, 9:00 AM EST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Avery County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Yancey County, NC

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2013-11-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2013-11-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -23 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
679 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

214 
WWUS42 KGSP 231948
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
248 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

...SUB ZERO WIND CHILLS EXPECTED THIS EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...

.STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING CANADIAN HIGH
PRESSURE WILL COMBINE WITH GUSTY WINDS OVERNIGHT SUNDAY MORNING
TO PRODUCE SUB ZERO WIND CHILL VALUES. THE COLDEST WIND CHILLS WILL
BOTTOM OUT NEAR 5 DEGREES BELOW ZERO WITH WIDESPREAD NEAR ZERO
VALUES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

NCZ033-049-050-240200-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WC.Y.0002.131124T0500Z-131124T1400Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
248 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 9 AM EST SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...EXTREME NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
  MOUNTAINS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 5 BELOW DUE TO TEMPERATURES IN THE
  LOWER 20S...AND WINDS NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40
  TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL
  BE HAZARDOUS TO EXPOSED SKIN ON HUMANS AND OUTDOOR PETS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$

CDG
3 follow-up statements
195 
WWUS42 KGSP 240140
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
840 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

...SUB ZERO WIND CHILL INDEX VALUES EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...

.STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF APPROACHING CANADIAN HIGH
PRESSURE WILL COMBINE WITH GUSTY WINDS OVERNIGHT TO PRODUCE SUB
ZERO WIND CHILL INDEX VALUES. THE COLDEST WIND CHILLS WILL BOTTOM
OUT NEAR 5 DEGREES BELOW ZERO WITH WIDESPREAD NEAR ZERO VALUES
ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

NCZ033-049-050-241400-
/O.CON.KGSP.WC.Y.0002.131124T0500Z-131124T1400Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
840 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 AM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...FROM ZERO TO 5 BELOW DUE TO THE COMBINATION
  OF TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE UPPER TEENS AND GUSTY WINDS.

* IMPACTS...PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES 
  WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO EXPOSED SKIN ON HUMANS AND OUTDOOR PETS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$

CSH
316 
WWUS42 KGSP 240902
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
402 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013

...SUB ZERO WIND CHILL INDEX VALUES EXPECTED THIS MORNING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...

.STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF APPROACHING CANADIAN HIGH
PRESSURE WILL COMBINE WITH GUSTY WINDS THIS MORNING TO PRODUCE
SUB ZERO WIND CHILL INDEX VALUES. THE COLDEST WIND CHILLS WILL
BOTTOM OUT NEAR 5 DEGREES BELOW ZERO WITH WIDESPREAD NEAR ZERO
VALUES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

NCZ033-049-050-241400-
/O.CON.KGSP.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-131124T1400Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
402 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 5 BELOW DUE TO TEMPERATURES IN THE
  SINGLE DIGITS TO TEENS...AND GUSTY WINDS.

* IMPACTS...PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES 
  WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO EXPOSED SKIN ON HUMANS AND OUTDOOR PETS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$

NED
258 
WWUS42 KGSP 241346
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
846 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013

...GUSTY WINDS TO SUBSIDE LATE THIS MORNING...

.STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS WILL DECREASE IN MAGNITUDE
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO APPROACH
FROM THE NORTH. THUS...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY TO
ABOVE ADVISORY LEVELS.

NCZ033-049-050-241500-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-131124T1400Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
846 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

DECREASING WIND GUSTS WILL WARRANT EXPIRATION OF CURRENT WIND
CHILL ADVISORY AT THE SCHEDULED TIME. HOWEVER...BITTERLY COLD
TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL YIELD A BRISK DAY ACROSS
THE PREVIOUSLY ADVISED AREAS.

$$

CDG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind chill advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill advisory went out at Nov 23, 12:49 PM EST, 1 hour 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 23, 12:49 PM EST, 1 hour 59 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1249 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST THROUGH TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES OFF TO THE EAST.
THE HIGH WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION ON SUNDAY AND MODIFY WARMER
MONDAY...BEFORE A MOIST GULF OF MEXICO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AFFECTS
THE REGION TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1245 PM EST SATURDAY...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE
EXTREME NEAR TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST SINCE THE LAST UPDATE.
DID ADJUST TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS TO REFLECT LATEST OBSERVATIONS
AND LEFT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AS IS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

AS OF 3 AM...LATEST SFC OBSERVATIONS...SATELLITE IMAGES...AND RADAR
VELOCITY INDICATES THAT THE SFC COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED EAST OF THE
SC MTNS...NE BETWEEN KHKY AND KSVH. SATELLITE AND SFC OBSERVATION
INDICATE WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS AND FOG EXISTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE FRONT. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH EAST THIS MORNING...EXITING
THE NC PIEDMONT DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS AND THE UPPER SAVANNAH
RIVER VALLEY AN HOUR OR TWO AFTER SUNRISE. WAVES OF LIGHT RAIN TO
DRIZZLE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WINDS
WILL VEER FROM THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THIS MORNING...RESULTING IN THE
EROSION OF LOW CLOUDS AND LIGHT RAIN IN THE LEE OF THE MTNS EARLY
THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...MODELS RETAIN A FIELD OF LOWER MOISTURE
ACROSS THE EASTERN FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT INTO THE EARLY TO MID
AFTERNOON. A PASSING S/W MAY SUPPORT A FEW -SHRA EAST OF THE
FOOTHILLS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE TIMING OF CLOUDS AND CAA...ALONG
WITH DEVELOPMENT OF DOWNSLOPE FLOW...RESULTS IN A CHALLENGING HIGH
TEMPERATURE FORECAST. I WILL FORECAST MID 40S ACROSS THE RIDGES TO
MID 50S IN THE VALLEYS...EAST U50S EXPECTED ACROSS I-40 TO MID 60S
ACROSS THE UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY.

TONIGHT...MODELS SHOW PROGRESSIVE CLEARING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
EARLY THIS EVENING. IN FACT...SKY CONDITIONS SHOULD BECOME MOSTLY
CLEAR BY LATE TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE THE
PLACEMENT AND TIMING OF GAP WINDS. STEADY CAA AND PRESSURE GRADIENT
RANGING FROM 5-8 MBS...HIGH CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. A
SERIES OF GAP WINDS SHOULD DEVELOP DURING THE EARLY EVENING ACROSS
THE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG AREA...AND ACROSS TYPICAL NC FOOTHILL
AREAS. GAP WINDS MAY CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT...STRONGEST
GUSTS BETWEEN 1-8Z. GUSTS SHOULD RANGE NEAR 30 MPH WITHIN THE UPPER
FRENCH BROAD VALLEY...WITH 20-25 MPH WITHIN THE DOWNWIND GAP WIND
AREAS. LOW TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THE TEENS ACROSS
THE RIDGES TO LOW TO MID 20S WITHIN THE MTN VALLEYS...I-40 CORRIDOR
MAY RANGE IN THE MID 20S...WITH AROUND 30 DEGREES ACROSS THE UPPER
SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 200 AM EST SATURDAY...THE SHORT TERM WILL BE LARGELY A
TRANSITIONAL PERIOD...ONE MARKED BY VERY COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS...
AS ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST ACROSS THE REGION. DESPITE SUNNY
CONDITIONS...MAX TEMPS SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE ABOUT 20 DEGREES
BELOW CLIMO...WITH MANY MOUNTAIN VALLEY LOCATIONS STRUGGLING TO
CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING. WINDS WILL BE VERY GUSTY IN THE MORNING...ESP
OVER THE MTNS...BUT A RELAXING GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING WINDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT HIGH/MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BEGIN INCREASING
AT SOME POINT SUNDAY NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF A MAJOR SOUTHERN STREAM
STORM SYSTEM. THIS IS PROBABLY THE ONLY FACTOR THAT WILL PREVENT
WIDESPREAD MIN TEMPS IN THE TEENS MONDAY MORNING. AS SUCH...EXPECT
THE SUB-20S TO BE LIMITED TO THE MTNS AND PORTIONS OF THE NC
PIEDMONT.

DESPITE DEVELOPING SOUTHERLY FLOW AND RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT...MONDAY
WILL NOT BE SIGNIFICANTLY WARMER THAN SUNDAY (EXCEPT PERHAPS OVER
THE MTNS)...OWING LARGELY TO THE EXTENSIVE SHIELD OF HIGH/MID-LEVEL
CLOUDS THAT IS ANTICIPATED TO COVER THE AREA BY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 250 AM SATURDAY...A COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN IS STILL WELL
ADVERTISED FOR MON NIGHT THROUGH THE DAY WED. THE MODELS ARE WAFTING
WITH THE USUAL TIMING/MAGNITUDE DIFFERENCES...BUT ALL IN ALL THERE
IS DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE EXPECTED PATTERN. A SETUP WHICH WILL
FEATURE A COLD/DRY MODIFIED CA AIRMASS HYBRID CAD INTERACTING WITH A
MOIST MILLER/A TYPE SFC LOW AND A LIKELY ULVL CLOSED LOW.

WILL ANTICIPATE A VERY DRY SFC LAYER IN PLACE MON NIGHT WITH TD/S IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS EARLY ACROSS THE FAVORED CAD REGION...MODIFYING TO
AROUND 20 F BY 12Z. THIS IS ON THE HIGHER END OF GUIDANCE AND
IN/LINE MORESO WITH THE ECMWF/CMC MASS FIELDS. THUS...THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR AN EVEN DRIER AIRMASS TO BEGIN THE PERIOD. IN ANY
CASE...GOOD GOM MOISTURE FLUX WILL COMBINE WITH AN ATL FETCH
OVERNIGHT AND SATURATE THE CAD BOUNDARY IN ISENT ASCENT WHILE
BRINGING IN A DECENT WARM NOSE. A LOOK AT SFC TW/S AND THERMAL
PROFILES INDICATE A GOOD POTENTIAL FOR -FZRA ACROSS THE BLUE RIDGE
AND NC FTHILLS...WHILE THE NC MTNS SHOULD SEE MORE OF A WINTRY MIX
OF IP/SN THROUGH 12Z. AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LOW END THROUGH DAYBREAK BUT
IF THE CAD STRENGTHENS AND MAINTAINS LOW TD/S...THEN THERE COULD
BE SOME MODEST ICE ACCUMS AS THE PRECIP INTENSITY INCREASE AFT 12Z.
TOO EARLY TO TELL WHAT TYPE OF LLVL THERMAL TRANSITION IS FAVORED
JUST YET...HOWEVER...THIS WILL BE A WX SITUATION TO KEEP AN EYE ON
FOR EARLY MORNING TRAVELING/ACTIVITIES.

THE ATMOS WARMS RATHER WELL DURING THE DAY IN GOOD WAA...BUT WITH
THE HIGH CAD CLOUDINESS AND EARLY COLD START...MAX TEMPS WILL
STRUGGLE TO WARM UP 10 DEGREES FROM THE MORNING LOWS OF AROUND
FREEZING. EXPECT WIDESPREAD PRECIP COVERAGE AND STEADY/MODEST
AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL DURING THE DAY WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS
THE SRN AND ERN ZONES WHILE THE GULF LOW CONTINUES TO TRACK NE
ACROSS SRN GA. PRECIP COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WILL TAPER OFF TUE
NIGHT AS THE FA BECOMES SITUATED IN THE BACK SIDE OF THE SFC LOW
ADVANCING OFF THE MID ATL COAST. THERE LOOKS TO BE A GOOD SHOT OF
LLVL DRY AIR MIXING INTO THE WRN NC MTNS AS THE PRECIP WANES EARLY
WED...WHICH COULD BRING MORE ICY PRECIP...ESP ACROSS THE NRN MTNS
THROUGH MID MORNING.

MOISTURE LEVELS WANE RATHER QUICKLY ACROSS THE MTN ZONES WED AND
LLVL N/LY FLOW WILL NOT BE FAVORABLE FOR MUCH NW FLOW SNOW...YET A
FEW HRS OF -SNSH IS POSSIBLE BEFORE NOON. THE OP MODELS ARE STILL
HOLDING ONTO THE IDEA OF A MOIST DEFORMATION ZONE LINGERING OVER THE
THE SE/RN HALF OF THE FCST AREA WED...SO POPS WERE MAINTAINED IN THE
HIGHER END CHANCE RANGE THROUGH AROUND 18Z. COLD MAX TEMPS WILL
CONTINUE WED WITH THE PRECIP AND CLOUD COVER...AND EXPECT SIMILAR
MAXES OF AROUND 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THU/FRI WHEN ANOTHER
CANADIAN HIGH ENVELOPES THE EAST COAST AND KEEPS THE SFC FLOW DRY
AND N/LY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AT KCLT...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AS COLD
ADVECTION USHERS IN MUCH DRIER AIR THROUGH THE PROFILE.  CURRENT
FEW/SCT LOW CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY SCT FURTHER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
EVENTUALLY GIVING WAY TO SKC CONDITIONS TONIGHT.  THE MAIN AVIATION
CONCERN WILL BE GUSTY WINDS AT THE AIRFIELD.  EXPECTING NORTHERLY
WINDS TO SUSTAIN AROUND 10-12KTS LATE TONIGHT WITH GUSTS TOPPING
20KTS...PERSISTING THROUGH THIS ENTIRE TAF CYCLE.

ELSEWHERE...MUCH THE SAME AS KCLT ABOVE AS VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL.
SKY COVER WILL CONTINUE TO SCT OUT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH
ALL LOCATIONS BECOMING SKC LATER TONIGHT.  WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN
CONCERN THROUGH THE PERIOD AS GUSTS CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN
MAGNITUDE AT ALL SITES WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KAND WHERE SIGNIFICANT
GUSTING IS NOT LIKELY.  EXPECTING GUSTS AT MOST SITES IN THE
20-25KTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TOPPING 30KTS AT KAVL AS WINDS ARE
CHANNELED IN THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER VALLEY.

OUTLOOK...A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
MONDAY. HOWEVER...GUSTY NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION SAT
AFTERNOON AND REMAIN THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE MTNS. RESTRICTIONS WILL LIKELY RETURN BY MIDWEEK AS ANOTHER
STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AFFECTS THE REGION.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            17-23Z        23-05Z        05-11Z        11-17Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     MED   71%
KGSP       HIGH  92%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     MED   71%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     MED   71%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     MED   71%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     MED   71%
KAND       HIGH  90%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     MED   71%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY...BRINGING
IN A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS ALONG WITH VERY GUSTY N/NW WINDS. GUSTY
WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY...MAINLY DURING THE MORNING. VERY
LOW RH IN THE 20-25 PERCENT RANGE IS ANTICIPATED SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
THERE WILL NOT BE CONSIDERABLE OVERLAP BETWEEN THE STRONG WINDS AND
LOWEST RH...BUT THE EXPECTED CONDITIONS MAY WARRANT AT LEAST A FIRE
DANGER STATEMENT IN SOME AREAS FOR SUNDAY. VERY LOW RH IS EXPECTED
AGAIN ON MONDAY...BUT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH LIGHTER. A
STRONG STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING ABUNDANT RAINFALL TO THE AREA TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SUNDAY FOR
     NCZ033-048>050-052-053-064-065-501-503-505.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JOH
NEAR TERM...CDG/NED
SHORT TERM...JDL
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...CDG
FIRE WEATHER...
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 23, 10:41 AM EST, 4 hours 7 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1041 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

NCZ033-048>050-052-053-064-065-501-503-505-241545-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
1041 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS
WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES BETWEEN ZERO AND FIVE BELOW
LATE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...HIGH WINDS AND WILDFIRE DANGER POSSIBLE. WIND GUSTS OF
40 TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...THEN
DIMINISH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY CREATE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE
SPREAD OF WILDFIRES. IN ADDITION...WIND CHILL VALUES AT THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS WILL BE AS LOW AS ZERO TO 5 BELOW DURING THE
MORNING HOURS.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE. A LIGHT MIX OF SLEET...
FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW MAY DEVELOP EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS
THE MOUNTAINS. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE
PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO RAIN.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ051-058-059-062-063-507-509-241545-
SWAIN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
1041 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS OF
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...AS WELL AS THE MOUNTAINS OF POLK AND
RUTHERFORD COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NORTH AND NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THIS
AFTERNOON BEHIND AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT. FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. THE HIGHEST GUSTS SHOULD BE OBSERVED ACROSS THE HIGHEST
PEAKS AND RIDGES. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND TEMPERATURES
IN THE TEENS WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES APPROACHING
ZERO...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...HIGH WINDS AND WILDFIRE DANGER POSSIBLE. WIND GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...THEN DIMINISH
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY CREATE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD
OF WILDFIRES. IN ADDITION...WIND CHILL VALUES AT THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS WILL BE AROUND ZERO DURING THE MORNING HOURS.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE. A LIGHT MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN MAY DEVELOP EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS WILL
BE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO RAIN.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ070>072-082-SCZ001>014-019-241545-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-
CABARRUS-UNION NC-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
1041 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...WILDFIRE DANGER POSSIBLE. BREEZY WINDS MAY COMBINE WITH
VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO INCREASE WILDFIRE DANGER.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068-069-502-504-506-508-510-241545-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
EASTERN POLK-
1041 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND NORTHWEST
PIEDMONT OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...WILDFIRE DANGER POSSIBLE. BREEZY WINDS MAY COMBINE WITH
VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO INCREASE WILDFIRE DANGER.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE. ANY PRECIPITATION THAT FALLS
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING COULD BEGIN AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT AND NORTHERN
FOOTHILLS. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE
PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO RAIN.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

HG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 23, 6:16 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryGSPAlexander, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba, Cleveland, Davie and 7 more104 min
Nov 23, 10:27 AM ESTWind AdvisoryGSPAvery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Haywood, Henderson and 5 more26 hr

Nearby

Wind Chill Advisories in North Carolina, 2013Every wind chill advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.