Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2013

Wind Advisory 12, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

November 23, 201311 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Nov 23, 2013, 10:27 AM EST for 11 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Nov 23, 2013, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 18 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 23, 2013, 10:27 AM EST (15:27 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 23, 2013, 6:00 PM EST
Expired
Nov 24, 2013, 12:00 PM EST
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Yancey County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 219 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2013-11-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2013-11-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -23 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
679 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

664 
WWUS72 KGSP 231527
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1027 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

...GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY...

.STRONG COLD ADVECTION REGIME WILL INDUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THROUGH MIDDAY
SUNDAY AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WINDS
GUSTS RANGING FROM 40-50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE ADVISORY
AREA WITH THE HIGHEST GUSTS LIKELY ALONG THE RIDGE TOPS.

NCZ033-048>050-052-053-064-065-501-503-505-240100-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.131123T2300Z-131124T1700Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...WAYNESVILLE...
ASHEVILLE...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
1027 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
NOON EST SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WIND GUSTS.

* TIMING...WIND GUSTS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY WITH
  THE HIGHEST GUSTS BEING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS OF EARLY SUNDAY
  MORNING.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE STRONG WIND GUSTS COULD KNOCK DOWN A FEW TREES AND
  RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 45 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

CDG
3 follow-up statements
978 
WWUS72 KGSP 240036
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
736 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

...GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THROUGH MIDDAY
SUNDAY...

.A STRONG COLD ADVECTION REGIME WILL INDUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THROUGH
MIDDAY SUNDAY AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
WIND GUSTS RANGING FROM 40-50 MPH WILL BE LIKELY WITHIN THE ADVISORY
AREA WITH THE HIGHEST GUSTS ALONG THE RIDGETOPS.

NCZ033-048>050-052-053-064-065-501-503-505-241000-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-131124T1700Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...WAYNESVILLE...
ASHEVILLE...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
736 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS IN WESTERN NORTH 
  CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WIND GUSTS.

* TIMING...TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE STRONG WIND GUSTS COULD KNOCK DOWN A FEW TREES 
  AND RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 45 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

CSH
938 
WWUS72 KGSP 240908
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
408 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013

...GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE
REST OF THIS MORNING...

.A STRONG COLD ADVECTION REGIME WILL INDUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THROUGH
THE REST OF THIS MORNING AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. WIND GUSTS RANGING AROUND 45 MPH WILL BE LIKELY WITHIN THE
ADVISORY AREA WITH THE HIGHEST GUSTS ALONG THE RIDGETOPS.

NCZ033-048>050-052-053-064-065-501-503-505-241700-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-131124T1700Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...WAYNESVILLE...
ASHEVILLE...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
408 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* LOCATIONS...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS IN WESTERN NORTH 
  CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WIND GUSTS.

* TIMING...THIS MORNING.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE STRONG WIND GUSTS COULD KNOCK DOWN A FEW TREES 
  AND RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 45 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NED
530 
WWUS72 KGSP 241651
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1151 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013

...GUSTY WINDS TO SUBSIDE ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THIS
AFTERNOON...

.DECREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT FORCES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS WILL YIELD LESS THAN ADVISORY LEVEL WIND GUSTS.

NCZ033-048>050-052-053-064-065-501-503-505-241800-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-131124T1700Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...WAYNESVILLE...
ASHEVILLE...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
1151 AM EST SUN NOV 24 2013

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT NOON EST TODAY...

EXPECTED DECREASING WIND GUSTS WILL WARRANT EXPIRATION OF CURRENT
WIND ADVISORY AS PREVIOUSLY SCHEDULED.

$$

CDG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 23, 10:11 AM EST, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 23, 10:11 AM EST, 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1011 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY
AND USHER IN WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY. THE HIGH
WILL LINGER AND MODIFY WARMER MONDAY...BEFORE A MOIST GULF OF MEXICO
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AFFECTS THE REGION TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1000 AM EST SATURDAY...EARLY MORNING DENSE FOG HAS ALL BUT
ERODED AT THIS TIME WITH SOME LIGHT VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS STILL
PRESENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN UPSTATE.  HOWEVER...THOSE
RESTRICTIONS SHOULD IMPROVE SHORTLY.  ADJUSTED POPS AND SKY GRIDS
IN THE NEAR TERM TO REFLECT LATEST OBS/SATELLITE TRENDS.  THE
LARGEST CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IS DUE TO NEW GUIDANCE
INDICATING ADVISORY CRITERIA WIND GUSTS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN AS STRONG COLD ADVECTION PREVAILS.
THUS...WILL ISSUE WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION THROUGH 17Z SUNDAY.
OTHERWISE...WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR POSSIBLE WIND CHILL EXTREMES
FOR THE SAME REGION WHICH COULD WARRANT ISSUANCE OF WIND CHILL
ADVISORY LATER IN THE DAY.  NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE
AT THIS TIME.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

AS OF 3 AM...LATEST SFC OBSERVATIONS...SATELLITE IMAGES...AND RADAR
VELOCITY INDICATES THAT THE SFC COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED EAST OF THE
SC MTNS...NE BETWEEN KHKY AND KSVH. SATELLITE AND SFC OBSERVATION
INDICATE WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS AND FOG EXISTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE FRONT. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH EAST THIS MORNING...EXITING
THE NC PIEDMONT DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS AND THE UPPER SAVANNAH
RIVER VALLEY AN HOUR OR TWO AFTER SUNRISE. WAVES OF LIGHT RAIN TO
DRIZZLE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WINDS
WILL VEER FROM THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THIS MORNING...RESULTING IN THE
EROSION OF LOW CLOUDS AND LIGHT RAIN IN THE LEE OF THE MTNS EARLY
THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...MODELS RETAIN A FIELD OF LOWER MOISTURE
ACROSS THE EASTERN FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT INTO THE EARLY TO MID
AFTERNOON. A PASSING S/W MAY SUPPORT A FEW -SHRA EAST OF THE
FOOTHILLS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE TIMING OF CLOUDS AND CAA...ALONG
WITH DEVELOPMENT OF DOWNSLOPE FLOW...RESULTS IN A CHALLENGING HIGH
TEMPERATURE FORECAST. I WILL FORECAST MID 40S ACROSS THE RIDGES TO
MID 50S IN THE VALLEYS...EAST U50S EXPECTED ACROSS I-40 TO MID 60S
ACROSS THE UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY.

TONIGHT...MODELS SHOW PROGRESSIVE CLEARING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
EARLY THIS EVENING. IN FACT...SKY CONDITIONS SHOULD BECOME MOSTLY
CLEAR BY LATE TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE THE
PLACEMENT AND TIMING OF GAP WINDS. STEADY CAA AND PRESSURE GRADIENT
RANGING FROM 5-8 MBS...HIGH CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. A
SERIES OF GAP WINDS SHOULD DEVELOP DURING THE EARLY EVENING ACROSS
THE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG AREA...AND ACROSS TYPICAL NC FOOTHILL
AREAS. GAP WINDS MAY CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT...STRONGEST
GUSTS BETWEEN 1-8Z. GUSTS SHOULD RANGE NEAR 30 MPH WITHIN THE UPPER
FRENCH BROAD VALLEY...WITH 20-25 MPH WITHIN THE DOWNWIND GAP WIND
AREAS. LOW TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THE TEENS ACROSS
THE RIDGES TO LOW TO MID 20S WITHIN THE MTN VALLEYS...I-40 CORRIDOR
MAY RANGE IN THE MID 20S...WITH AROUND 30 DEGREES ACROSS THE UPPER
SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 200 AM EST SATURDAY...THE SHORT TERM WILL BE LARGELY A
TRANSITIONAL PERIOD...ONE MARKED BY VERY COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS...
AS ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST ACROSS THE REGION. DESPITE SUNNY
CONDITIONS...MAX TEMPS SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE ABOUT 20 DEGREES
BELOW CLIMO...WITH MANY MOUNTAIN VALLEY LOCATIONS STRUGGLING TO
CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING. WINDS WILL BE VERY GUSTY IN THE MORNING...ESP
OVER THE MTNS...BUT A RELAXING GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING WINDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT HIGH/MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BEGIN INCREASING
AT SOME POINT SUNDAY NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF A MAJOR SOUTHERN STREAM
STORM SYSTEM. THIS IS PROBABLY THE ONLY FACTOR THAT WILL PREVENT
WIDESPREAD MIN TEMPS IN THE TEENS MONDAY MORNING. AS SUCH...EXPECT
THE SUB-20S TO BE LIMITED TO THE MTNS AND PORTIONS OF THE NC
PIEDMONT.

DESPITE DEVELOPING SOUTHERLY FLOW AND RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT...MONDAY
WILL NOT BE SIGNIFICANTLY WARMER THAN SUNDAY (EXCEPT PERHAPS OVER
THE MTNS)...OWING LARGELY TO THE EXTENSIVE SHIELD OF HIGH/MID-LEVEL
CLOUDS THAT IS ANTICIPATED TO COVER THE AREA BY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 250 AM SATURDAY...A COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN IS STILL WELL
ADVERTISED FOR MON NIGHT THROUGH THE DAY WED. THE MODELS ARE WAFTING
WITH THE USUAL TIMING/MAGNITUDE DIFFERENCES...BUT ALL IN ALL THERE
IS DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE EXPECTED PATTERN. A SETUP WHICH WILL
FEATURE A COLD/DRY MODIFIED CA AIRMASS HYBRID CAD INTERACTING WITH A
MOIST MILLER/A TYPE SFC LOW AND A LIKELY ULVL CLOSED LOW.

WILL ANTICIPATE A VERY DRY SFC LAYER IN PLACE MON NIGHT WITH TD/S IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS EARLY ACROSS THE FAVORED CAD REGION...MODIFYING TO
AROUND 20 F BY 12Z. THIS IS ON THE HIGHER END OF GUIDANCE AND
IN/LINE MORESO WITH THE ECMWF/CMC MASS FIELDS. THUS...THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR AN EVEN DRIER AIRMASS TO BEGIN THE PERIOD. IN ANY
CASE...GOOD GOM MOISTURE FLUX WILL COMBINE WITH AN ATL FETCH
OVERNIGHT AND SATURATE THE CAD BOUNDARY IN ISENT ASCENT WHILE
BRINGING IN A DECENT WARM NOSE. A LOOK AT SFC TW/S AND THERMAL
PROFILES INDICATE A GOOD POTENTIAL FOR -FZRA ACROSS THE BLUE RIDGE
AND NC FTHILLS...WHILE THE NC MTNS SHOULD SEE MORE OF A WINTRY MIX
OF IP/SN THROUGH 12Z. AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LOW END THROUGH DAYBREAK BUT
IF THE CAD STRENGTHENS AND MAINTAINS LOW TD/S...THEN THERE COULD
BE SOME MODEST ICE ACCUMS AS THE PRECIP INTENSITY INCREASE AFT 12Z.
TOO EARLY TO TELL WHAT TYPE OF LLVL THERMAL TRANSITION IS FAVORED
JUST YET...HOWEVER...THIS WILL BE A WX SITUATION TO KEEP AN EYE ON
FOR EARLY MORNING TRAVELING/ACTIVITIES.

THE ATMOS WARMS RATHER WELL DURING THE DAY IN GOOD WAA...BUT WITH
THE HIGH CAD CLOUDINESS AND EARLY COLD START...MAX TEMPS WILL
STRUGGLE TO WARM UP 10 DEGREES FROM THE MORNING LOWS OF AROUND
FREEZING. EXPECT WIDESPREAD PRECIP COVERAGE AND STEADY/MODEST
AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL DURING THE DAY WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS
THE SRN AND ERN ZONES WHILE THE GULF LOW CONTINUES TO TRACK NE
ACROSS SRN GA. PRECIP COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WILL TAPER OFF TUE
NIGHT AS THE FA BECOMES SITUATED IN THE BACK SIDE OF THE SFC LOW
ADVANCING OFF THE MID ATL COAST. THERE LOOKS TO BE A GOOD SHOT OF
LLVL DRY AIR MIXING INTO THE WRN NC MTNS AS THE PRECIP WANES EARLY
WED...WHICH COULD BRING MORE ICY PRECIP...ESP ACROSS THE NRN MTNS
THROUGH MID MORNING.

MOISTURE LEVELS WANE RATHER QUICKLY ACROSS THE MTN ZONES WED AND
LLVL N/LY FLOW WILL NOT BE FAVORABLE FOR MUCH NW FLOW SNOW...YET A
FEW HRS OF -SNSH IS POSSIBLE BEFORE NOON. THE OP MODELS ARE STILL
HOLDING ONTO THE IDEA OF A MOIST DEFORMATION ZONE LINGERING OVER THE
THE SE/RN HALF OF THE FCST AREA WED...SO POPS WERE MAINTAINED IN THE
HIGHER END CHANCE RANGE THROUGH AROUND 18Z. COLD MAX TEMPS WILL
CONTINUE WED WITH THE PRECIP AND CLOUD COVER...AND EXPECT SIMILAR
MAXES OF AROUND 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THU/FRI WHEN ANOTHER
CANADIAN HIGH ENVELOPES THE EAST COAST AND KEEPS THE SFC FLOW DRY
AND N/LY.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT KCLT...AT 1130Z...DENSE FOG AND LOW CLOUDS WAS WIDESPREAD ACROSS
THE CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. THE DENSE FOG SHOULD LINGER
UNTIL 13Z. HOWEVER...IFR CEILINGS MAY LINGER UNTIL 14Z. AT
1130Z...TCLT INDICATED SEVERAL LIGHT SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE ON THE EAST
SIDE OF THE CLT METRO AREA. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE EAST
ACROSS THE PIEDMONT THIS MORNING...RESULTING IN NE WINDS BY 13Z.
WINDS WILL VEER NORTHEAST BY 14Z...CLOUDS BASES MAY LIFT TO VFR. NORTH
TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND
MOS SUPPORTS CLOUDY CONDITIONS...BASES BETWEEN 035-045. CLOUD COVER
WILL DECREASE STEADILY AFTER SUNSET. BY LATE EVENING...GUSTY NORTH
WINDS SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION...REMAINING THROUGH 12Z.

ELSEWHERE...AT 1130Z...DENSE FOG AND LOW CLOUDS WAS WIDESPREAD
ACROSS THE CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. KHKY WILL REMAIN VFR.
KAVL WILL BEGIN WITH MVFR CEILINGS. ELSEWHERE...THE DENSE FOG SHOULD
LINGER UNTIL 13Z. HOWEVER...IFR CEILINGS MAY LINGER UNTIL 14Z. A
COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE PIEDMONT THIS
MORNING...RESULTING IN NE WINDS BY 13Z. AT KGSP...KGMU...AND KAND
     WINDS WILL BACK NORTH BY MID DAY...CLOUDS BASES MAY LIFT TO VFR.
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF
PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
AND MOS SUPPORTS CLOUDY CONDITIONS...BASES BETWEEN 035-045. CLOUD
COVER WILL DECREASE STEADILY AFTER SUNSET. BY LATE EVENING...GUSTY
NORTH WINDS SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION...REMAINING THROUGH
12Z. KGSP AND KGMU WILL LIKELY SEE GUSTY GAP WINDS DEVELOP AFTER
SUNSET AND REMAIN THROUGH 6Z. KAVL SHOULD SEE NORTH WIND GUSTS ABOVE
20 KTS BY 19Z...INCREASING TO NEAR 30 KTS BY 2Z.

OUTLOOK...A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
MONDAY. HOWEVER...GUSTY NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION SAT
AFTERNOON AND REMAIN THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MTNS. RESTRICTIONS WILL LIKELY
RETURN BY MIDWEEK AS ANOTHER STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AFFECTS
THE REGION.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            15-21Z        21-03Z        03-09Z        09-15Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH  81%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH  90%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH  88%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH  84%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY...BRINGING
IN A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS ALONG WITH VERY GUSTY N/NW WINDS. GUSTY
WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY...MAINLY DURING THE MORNING. VERY
LOW RH IN THE 20-25 PERCENT RANGE IS ANTICIPATED SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
THERE WILL NOT BE CONSIDERABLE OVERLAP BETWEEN THE STRONG WINDS AND
LOWEST RH...BUT THE EXPECTED CONDITIONS MAY WARRANT AT LEAST A FIRE
DANGER STATEMENT IN SOME AREAS FOR SUNDAY. VERY LOW RH IS EXPECTED
AGAIN ON MONDAY...BUT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH LIGHTER. A
STRONG STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING ABUNDANT RAINFALL TO THE AREA TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SUNDAY FOR
     NCZ033-048>050-052-053-064-065-501-503-505.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...CDG/NED
SHORT TERM...JDL
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...NED
FIRE WEATHER...
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 23, 9:32 AM EST, 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
932 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-241445-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
932 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NORTH AND NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THIS
AFTERNOON BEHIND AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT. FREQUENT GUSTS OF 40 TO 45
MPH ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT IN AREAS ALONG THE EASTERN
BLUE RIDGE. HIGHER GUSTS MAY BE OBSERVED ACROSS THE HIGHEST PEAKS
AND RIDGES. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND TEMPERATURES IN
THE TEENS WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES BETWEEN ZERO AND
FIVE BELOW LATE TONIGHT...MAINLY IN ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...HIGH WINDS AND WILDFIRE DANGER POSSIBLE. WIND GUSTS OF
40 TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...THEN
DIMINISH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY CREATE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE
SPREAD OF WILDFIRES. IN ADDITION...WIND CHILL VALUES AT THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS WILL BE AS LOW AS ZERO TO 5 BELOW DURING THE
MORNING HOURS.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE. A LIGHT MIX OF SLEET...
FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW MAY DEVELOP EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS
THE MOUNTAINS. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE
PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO RAIN.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ070>072-082-SCZ001>014-019-241445-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-
CABARRUS-UNION NC-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
932 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA...AND THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...WILDFIRE DANGER POSSIBLE. BREEZY WINDS MAY COMBINE WITH
VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO INCREASE WILDFIRE DANGER.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068-069-502-504-506-508-510-241445-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
EASTERN POLK-
932 AM EST SAT NOV 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND NORTHWEST
PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...WILDFIRE DANGER POSSIBLE. BREEZY WINDS MAY COMBINE WITH
VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO INCREASE WILDFIRE DANGER.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE. ANY PRECIPITATION THAT FALLS
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING COULD BEGIN AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT AND NORTHERN
FOOTHILLS. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE
PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO RAIN.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

HG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 23, 6:16 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryGSPAlexander, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba, Cleveland, Davie and 7 more104 min
Nov 23, 2:48 PM ESTWind Chill AdvisoryGSPAvery, Mitchell, Yancey18 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2013Every wind advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.