Alert archive / Georgia / Flash Flood Warnings in 2013
Flash Flood Warning 44, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at Jul 9, 2013, 11:12 PM EDT for Elbert County, Georgia; Abbeville County, South Carolina. It was in force for 3 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 9, 2013, 11:12 PM EDT (03:12 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 10, 2013, 2:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Elbert County, GA, Abbeville County, SC
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 1:36 AM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 2 Ese Calhoun Falls, SC | SENECA STREET IN CALHOUN FALLS FLOODED DUE TO CREEK |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this flash flood warning; the first came 144 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 00:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1342 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -14 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1182 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 4 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 20 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
262
WGUS52 KGSP 100312
FFWGSP
GAC105-SCC001-100600-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FF.W.0044.130710T0312Z-130710T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1112 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
EASTERN ELBERT COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...
WESTERN ABBEVILLE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
* UNTIL 200 AM EDT
* AT 1110 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
WARNED AREA. THESE STORMS HAVE BEEN PRODUCING TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN
WITHIN A THREE HOUR PERIOD.
* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
ANTREVILLE...CALHOUN FALLS...DUE WEST...FORTSONIA...LAKE RUSSELL...
LOWNDESVILLE AND SECESSION LAKE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO
NOT ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO
ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN
WATER BEGINS RISING.
PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3397 8260 3397 8264 3398 8266 3397 8278
3418 8278 3441 8243 3441 8235 3406 8243
3406 8246 3407 8248 3407 8253 3401 8259
3396 8256
$$
ARK3 follow-up statements
330
WGUS72 KGSP 100408
FFSGSP
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1208 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013
GAC105-SCC001-100600-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0044.000000T0000Z-130710T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ELBERT GA-ABBEVILLE SC-
1208 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN ABBEVILLE AND
EASTERN ELBERT COUNTIES UNTIL 200 AM EDT...
AT 1206 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS MOVING THROUGH THE
SOUTHWEST CORNER OF THE WARNING...MAINLY IN SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY.
RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY STILL CAUSING SOME FLOODING ACROSS
CENTRAL ABBEVILLE COUNTY AS WELL.
RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING
INCLUDE...ANTREVILLE...CALHOUN FALLS...FORTSONIA...LAKE
RUSSELL...LOWNDESVILLE AND SECESSION LAKE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.
PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3397 8260 3397 8264 3398 8266 3397 8278
3418 8278 3441 8243 3441 8235 3406 8243
3406 8246 3407 8248 3407 8253 3401 8259
3396 8256
$$
ARK725
WGUS72 KGSP 100534
FFSGSP
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
134 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013
SCC001-100549-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FF.W.0044.000000T0000Z-130710T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ABBEVILLE SC-
134 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN ABBEVILLE
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3397 8264 3398 8266 3397 8278 3418 8278
3420 8274 3415 8272 3413 8268 3410 8266
3409 8264 3407 8265 3403 8259 3396 8256
$$
GAC105-100600-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0044.000000T0000Z-130710T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ELBERT GA-
134 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN ELBERT COUNTY
UNTIL 200 AM EDT...
AT 134 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED
THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTY.
RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
FORTSONIA AND LAKE RUSSELL.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.
PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3397 8264 3398 8266 3397 8278 3418 8278
3420 8274 3415 8272 3413 8268 3410 8266
3409 8264 3407 8265 3403 8259 3396 8256
$$
ARK623
WGUS72 KGSP 100550
FFSGSP
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
150 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013
GAC105-100605-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FF.W.0044.000000T0000Z-130710T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ELBERT GA-
150 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN ELBERT
COUNTY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 200 AM EDT...
EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3397 8264 3398 8266 3397 8278 3418 8278
3420 8274 3415 8272 3413 8268 3410 8266
3409 8264 3407 8265 3403 8259 3396 8256
$$
ARKWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 9, 7:55 PM EDT, 3 hours 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 9, 7:55 PM EDT, 3 hours 17 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
755 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY DEEPEN OVER THE
EAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF EARLY EVENING...SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUE
TO FORM ACROSS NE GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...AND WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO AS LONG AS THERE IS SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY. SUPPLY
STILL LOOKS AMPLE AS OF 23Z...WHICH INDICATES THIS SHOULD CONTINUE
WELL INTO THE EVENING. SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT...THE STORMS WILL BE
SLOW TO MOVE AND SHOULD PRODUCE ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL. NO
BIG CHANGES FOR NOW...BUT WILL TWEAK THE POP AND TEMPS BASED ON
TRENDS ON RADAR.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
AS OF 230 PM EDT TUESDAY...THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE REGION HAS BECOME
QUITE UNSTABLE THIS AFTN WITH SURFACE BASED CAPE VALUES AVERAGING
AROUND 3000 J/KG ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. THE LLVL FLOW AS
BACKED AND THERE IS MODEST CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND NC
BLUE RIDGE. SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA.
A COUPLE WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW SHORT WAVE TROUGHS WILL WORK ACROSS THE
REGION INTO THE EVENING.
AS NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...PERSISTENCE STILL
LOOKS TO BE A GOOD WAY TO GO WITH THIS AFTERNOON/S FORECAST.
SO...MUCH LIKE YDAY...CONVECTION SHOULD INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTN
HOURS AND PEAK SOMETIME DURING THE EVENING. THE WRN UPSTATE...NE GA
AND THE SRN AND CENTRAL NC MTNS SHOULD SEE THE GREATEST COVERAGE AS
THEY ARE UNDER THE BEST DEFINED SHORT WAVE FEATURE THAT I CAN SEE ON
THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RUC. HOWEVER...WITH HIGH INSTABILITY AND
NO CAP...A STRONG...SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT
ANYWHERE. WITH WEAKLY DIFFLUENT DEEP LAYER THICKNESSES AND LLVL
WINDS INCREASING A BIT FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS EVENING CELLS SHOULD
MOVE VERY SLOWLY AND MAY CONSOLIDATE INTO LARGER CLUSTERS LIKE THEY
DID LAST NIGHT. THIS MEANS A FEW AREAS OVER THE REGION ARE LIKELY TO
SEE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. HOWEVER...OWNING TO THE RATHER ISOLATED
NATURE OF THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT AND DIFFICULTLY NAILING DOWN WHERE
IT WILL HAPPEN...I WILL NOT ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS
EVENING.
DESPITE WEAK FORCING...INCREASING LAYER RH/S AND A SHARPENING UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC THROUGH SHOULD SUPPORT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WED AFTN AND EVENING.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT 230 PM EDT TUESDAY...AND UPPER TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY OVER THE
EASTERN USA ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT....PHASING WITH AND EASTERLY WAVE
OVER FL. THE TROUGH AXIS PROGRESSES TO THE EAST COAST ON BY
FRIDAY...DIGGING TO NORTH FL. A BAND OF MOISTURE WILL LINGER OVER
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NE GA ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT....WHILE A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NW. LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
BE LIGHT WESTERLY...LIMITING WEAK OROGRAPHIC LIFT TO THE WEST SIDE
OF THE MOUNTAINS. THE FRONT SLOWLY CROSSES OUR AREA ON THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. THE MODELS SHOW DRIER AIR WORKING INTO OUR AREA
BEHIND THE FRONT ON FRIDAY.
ABOVE NORMAL POPS WILL BE CARRIED AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN DEEP
MOISTURE...FAVORING THE TN BORDER AREA. THE GREATEST POPS WILL
FOLLOW THE FRONT EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT. POPS WILL DECREASE ON FRIDAY IN DRIER AIR...BUT WITH SOME
MOISTURE BANKED UP AGAINST THE BLUE RIDGE...THE GREATEST POPS WILL
BE CARRIED THERE. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL DECREASE FROM SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL TO ALMOST 10 DEGREE BELOW NORMAL AS HEIGHTS FALL ALOFT.
MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL IN A
MOIST AIR MASS.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT 230 PM EST TUESDAY...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL BE ALONG THE EAST COAST
ON FRIDAY NIGHT...AS A NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH REMAINS PHASED WITH
AND EASTERLY WAVE...BETWEEN UPPER RIDGES ON THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND
THE GREAT PLAINS. THE NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH PROGRESSES INTO EASTERN
CANADA ON SUNDAY...WHILE THE EASTERLY WAVE MOVES WEST ACROSS THE
GULF OF MEXICO. THE UPSTREAM UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST AND BUILD
OVER THE OH AND TN RIVER VALLEYS ON MONDAY...AND WILL BUILD ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS ON TUESDAY.
A STATIONARY FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED FROM THE COASTAL PLAIN
OF THE CAROLINAS TO SOUTH GEORGIA ON SATURDAY...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL EXTEND FROM SE CANADA TO THE TN RIVER VALLEY. THE FRONT WEAKENS
NEAR THE COAST ON SUNDAY...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE
APPALACHIANS. THIS HIGH MOVES LITTLE ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
THE MODELS SHOW MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT LINGERING OVER
OUR AREA IN A LIGHT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE FLOW OVER THE BOUNDARY. EVEN
WITH THE FRONT DISSIPATING... A LIGHT EASTERLY LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE
FLOW WILL KEEP CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION OVER OUR AREA INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW NORMAL
INITIALLY UNDER THE UPPER TROUGH...WARMING TO NEAR NORMAL AS HEIGHTS
RISE WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE UPPER RIDGE. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL
BE NEAR NORMAL AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND CLOUDS PERSIST.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT...VERY UNSTABLE THIS EVENING. SHOWERS WERE FORMING OVER THE
PIEDMONT AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXPAND IN AREA AND COVERAGE AS LONG
AS INSTABILITY IS PRESENT...SO HAVE INCLUDED A TEMPO GROUP FOR THE
FIRST TWO HOURS FOR THUNDERSTORMS. CEILING AND VSBY COULD EASILY BE
IFR IF THE CORE OF A STORM MOVES RIGHT OVER THE AIRFIELD...AND WITH
THE SLOW MOVEMENT...IT COULD PERSIST FOR MORE THAN ONE HOUR. THE
STORMS SHOULD BECOME LESS NUMEROUS ONCE THE INSTABILITY IS USED UP
LATER THIS EVENING. AFTER THAT...THE SITUATION IS VERY SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAY...SO PERSISTENCE IS A GOOD FORECAST. THINK WE WILL HAVE AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF MVFR STRATUS STARTING BEFORE DAYBREAK...WHICH
WILL MORPH INTO A CU FIELD AFTER SUNRISE STARTING WITH BASES IN THE
020-030 RANGE. THIS WILL SCATTER OUT ONCE AGAIN DURING MIDDAY...
FOLLOWED BY MORE SCATTERED STORMS DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
HEATING. IN GENERAL...WIND WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE S TO SW AWAY FROM
THUNDERSTORMS AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.
ELSEWHERE...STORMS ARE A BIT MORE NUMEROUS APART FROM KHKY...SO WILL
HAVE TO AMEND ACCORDINGLY IF ONE DRIFTS OR FORMS NEAR A TAF SITE.
WITH A PERSISTENT SCENARIO...WHAT HAPPENED LAST NIGHT IS A GOOD
INDICATOR OF THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE OF THE SAME TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING. PLACES THAT HAD RAINFALL IN THE LAST 24 HOURS
WILL BE MORE LIKELY TO HAVE MVFR OR IFR STRATUS/FOG AROUND DAYBREAK.
OUTLOOK...THERE COULD ALSO BE MVFR OR IFR CLOUDS/FOG AROUND DAYBREAK
AND THROUGH MID MORNING ON ANY DAY THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS/STORMS WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL STILL OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...CONTINUING THE CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS AND MORNING RESTRICTIONS IN LOW CLOUDS.
CONFIDENCE TABLE...
00-06Z 06-12Z 12-18Z 18-24Z
KCLT HIGH 100% HIGH 91% MED 67% LOW 59%
KGSP HIGH 100% HIGH 89% LOW 58% MED 64%
KAVL HIGH 86% HIGH 85% MED 64% MED 68%
KHKY HIGH 100% HIGH 98% MED 64% MED 60%
KGMU HIGH 100% HIGH 82% MED 62% MED 64%
KAND HIGH 100% MED 77% LOW 58% MED 60%
THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JAT
NEAR TERM...MCAVOY/PM
SHORT TERM...JAT
LONG TERM...JAT
AVIATION...PMHazardous weather outlook, Jul 9, 4:02 PM EDT, 7 hours 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 402 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065- 068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-102015- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER- IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA- ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 402 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING... POSSIBLY RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY HAZARD. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA MAY SUPPORT SEVERAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...LARGE HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE. 07
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 9, 8:05 PM EDT, 3 hours 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 805 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013 NCZ048-049-053-100045- BUNCOMBE-MADISON-YANCEY- 805 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL YANCEY...EASTERN MADISON AND NORTHERN BUNCOMBE COUNTIES THROUGH 845 PM EDT... AT 800 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BARNARDSVILLE...OR 10 MILES NORTH OF DOWNTOWN ASHEVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR... BARNARDSVILLE... DIME SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND TORRENTIAL RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDER AN INTERIOR ROOM. LAT...LON 3592 8239 3577 8225 3561 8250 3575 8264 KRENTZ
Special weather statement, Jul 9, 8:14 PM EDT, 2 hours 58 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
814 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013
SCZ012-100100-
LAURENS-
814 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN LAURENS COUNTY THROUGH
900 PM EDT...
AT 811 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES EAST OF JOANNA...OR 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF
NEWBERRY...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH.
THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
JOANNA...
WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...AND TORRENTIAL RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.
THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDER AN
INTERIOR ROOM.
HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS. WATER
LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER
GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.
LAT...LON 3424 8201 3426 8203 3462 8203 3462 8192
3458 8187 3460 8185 3455 8173 3456 8168
3452 8164 3444 8173 3436 8178 3431 8188
3426 8190 3424 8199
ARKSpecial weather statement, Jul 9, 8:45 PM EDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
845 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013
NCZ072-100130-
CABARRUS-
845 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN CABARRUS COUNTY
THROUGH 930 PM EDT...
AT 842 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KANNAPOLIS...OR 6 MILES WEST
OF CONCORD...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.
THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
KANNAPOLIS...
CONCORD...
DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.
THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDER AN
INTERIOR ROOM.
LAT...LON 3535 8070 3537 8073 3549 8079 3551 8062
3550 8055 3539 8050
KRENTZSpecial weather statement, Jul 9, 9:06 PM EDT, 2 hours 6 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 906 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013 NCZ504-100145- GREATER BURKE- 906 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL BURKE COUNTY THROUGH 945 PM EDT... AT 900 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MORGANTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH. THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR... MORGANTON... DIME SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND TORRENTIAL RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDER AN INTERIOR ROOM. LAT...LON 3572 8153 3559 8171 3578 8184 3587 8170 KRENTZ
Local storm report, Jul 9, 10:14 PM EDT, 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1014 PM EDT TUE JUL 09 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1008 PM HAIL 5 ESE TROUTMAN 35.68N 80.81W
07/09/2013 E1.25 INCH IREDELL NC PUBLIC
&&
KRENTZSpecial weather statement, Jul 9, 10:57 PM EDT, 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1057 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013
GAZ029-SCZ011-019-100345-
ABBEVILLE-ELBERT-GREENWOOD-
1057 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2013
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ABBEVILLE...SOUTHEASTERN ELBERT
AND WESTERN GREENWOOD COUNTIES THROUGH 1145 PM EDT...
AT 1051 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ABBEVILLE...MOVING WEST AT
15 MPH.
THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
ABBEVILLE...
ANTREVILLE...
CALHOUN FALLS...
WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...AND TORRENTIAL RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.
HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS. WATER
LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER
GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.
FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...TRY TO
GET INDOORS OR INTO A HARD TOPPED VEHICLE. OTHERWISE...STAY AWAY FROM
OPEN AREAS AND ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. WHEN INDOORS...
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING WIRED ELECTRONIC
DEVICES. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM
APPROACHES.
LAT...LON 3398 8267 3421 8271 3432 8256 3431 8214
3398 8211 3397 8221 3401 8226 3397 8231
3406 8234 3405 8242 3407 8248 3407 8253
3401 8259 3397 8258
ARKThe office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 8:08 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Hart | 112 min |
| Jul 9, 10:01 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | GSP | Elbert | 3 hr |
| Jul 10, 12:23 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Elbert, Hart | 97 min |
| Jul 10, 1:05 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | GSP | Elbert | 3 hr |
| Jul 10, 4:06 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Elbert | 3 hr |
| Jul 10, 4:23 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | GSP | Elbert, Franklin, Hart, Stephens | 18 hr |
| Jul 10, 5:23 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Elbert, Franklin, Hart | 2 hr |
| Jul 10, 5:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Hart | 61 min |
| Jul 10, 7:00 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Rabun | 60 min |
| Jul 9, 8:14 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Laurens | 46 min |
| Jul 9, 8:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Laurens | 40 min |
| Jul 9, 9:01 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | GSP | Laurens | 3 hr |
| Jul 9, 9:48 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Greenwood, Laurens | 102 min |
| Jul 9, 10:13 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | GSP | Abbeville, Greenwood, Laurens | 3 hr |
| Jul 9, 10:45 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Cherokee, Greenville, Spartanburg | 75 min |
| Jul 9, 10:57 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Abbeville, Greenwood | 48 min |
| Jul 9, 11:55 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | GSP | Laurens | 2 hr |
| Jul 10, 12:55 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | GSP | Greenwood | 2 hr |
| Jul 10, 2:54 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Oconee | 36 min |
| Jul 10, 2:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Oconee | 34 min |
| Jul 10, 3:01 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Greenwood | 44 min |
| Jul 10, 3:44 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Greenwood, Laurens | 106 min |
| Jul 10, 4:09 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Oconee | 51 min |
| Jul 10, 4:41 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Oconee | 49 min |
| Jul 10, 5:14 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Union | 46 min |
| Jul 10, 5:56 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Anderson | 49 min |
| Jul 10, 6:36 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Anderson | 39 min |
| Jul 10, 7:23 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Greenville | 67 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2013Flash Flood Warnings in South Carolina, 2013Every flash flood warning in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.