Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2013

Flash Flood Warning 34, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

July 4, 20137 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at Jul 4, 2013, 8:47 PM EDT for 7 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 4 hr. 6 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 4, 2013, 8:47 PM EDT (00:47 UTC)
Expired
Jul 5, 2013, 12:30 AM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Yancey County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 4, 9:05 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD3 Wnw Glen Alpine, NCPOWERHOUSE ROAD NEAR BRIDGEWATER DAM CLOSED.
Jul 4, 9:05 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD5 Nne Morganton, NCJAY CLARK ROAD FLOODED FROM SADDLE CREEK. ALSO PAX HILL ROAD CLOSED IN THE CHESTERFIELD AREA DUE TO FLASH FLOODING.
Jul 4, 9:10 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD4 Sw Collettsville, NCUPPER PLAYMORE BEACH ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
Jul 4, 9:15 PM EDTFLASH FLOODGlobe, SCGLOBE ROAD WAS CLOSED OFF DUE TO FLASH FLOODING. ANTHONY CREEK ROAD OFF GLOBE ROAD WAS CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING. OLD JOHNS RIVER ROAD AND WILSON CREEK ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING. NORTH CAROLINA FORESTY SERVICE IN THE PROCESS OF EVACUATING MORTIMER C
Jul 4, 10:00 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD3 E Bakersville, NCCANE CREEK BRIEFLY WENT UP AND CRESTED AT 7.26 FEET AT 10 PM. FLOOD STAGE IS 4.5 FEET. STAGE WAS 4.64 FEET AT 955 PM...7.26 FEET AT 10 PM AND BACK DOWN TO 4.42 FEET AT 1011 PM.
Jul 4, 10:40 PM EDTFLOOD6 N Morganton, NCJOHNS RIVER WENT ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND STILL RISING. FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET WHICH WAS REACHED AT 1040 PM AND AT 1115 PM THE STAGE WAS 12.75 FEET.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 5 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 18 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 269 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 00:00Z on 2013-07-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 653 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 00:00Z on 2013-07-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 131 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
653 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
817 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
131 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
149 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
3.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

469 
WGUS52 KGSP 050047
FFWGSP
NCC011-021-023-027-111-121-199-050430-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FF.W.0034.130705T0047Z-130705T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
847 PM EDT THU JUL 4 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  AVERY COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  BURKE COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  CALDWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  EASTERN BUNCOMBE COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  MCDOWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  MITCHELL COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  YANCEY COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 1230 AM EDT

* AT 843 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A 
LARGE AREA OF HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING 
NORTHWARD ACROSS EASTERN SLOPES OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND 
THE ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. RADAR INDICATED RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 
INCHES PER HOUR IN THE HEAVIEST DOWNPOURS...WITH THIS RAIN FALLING 
ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUND. THE HEAVY RAINFALL RATES ARE LIKELY TO 
CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO  
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...  
BURNSVILLE...LENOIR...MARION...MORGANTON...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...  
BAKERSVILLE...BANNER ELK...BLACK MOUNTAIN...JONAS RIDGE...AND OLD 
FORT. FLOODING IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY ALONG CANE CREEK IN 
BAKERSVILLE...THE TOE RIVER AT SPRUCE PINE...JOHNS RIVER NORTH OF 
MORGANTON...AND EDGEMONT IN WESTERN CALDWELL COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

WITH THE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN...THE RISK OF LANDSLIDES WILL
INCREASE...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE SLIDES HAVE OCCURRED IN THE
PAST. BE ESPECIALLY ALERT IF YOU ARE NEAR A STREAM...ESPECIALLY AT
THE BASE OF A MOUNTAIN OR IN A COVE. WATCH FOR LOOSE MOVING SOIL AND
ROCKS OR A SUDDEN INCREASE IN STREAMFLOW. LEAVE THE AREA QUICKLY IF
THIS IS OBSERVED. WHEN DRIVING ALONG ROADS WHERE THE TERRAIN IS STEEP
OR ROCKY... WATCH AND LISTEN FOR FALLING ROCKS...MUD...TREES...AND
DEBRIS.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3621 8190 3612 8181 3612 8154 3602 8133
      3580 8133 3557 8154 3556 8165 3561 8175
      3554 8185 3552 8222 3546 8225 3550 8233
      3546 8237 3547 8241 3582 8240 3598 8251
      3610 8239 3616 8222 3611 8208 3629 8190

$$

HG
1 follow-up statement
913 
WGUS72 KGSP 050221
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1021 PM EDT THU JUL 4 2013

NCC011-021-023-027-111-121-199-050430-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0034.000000T0000Z-130705T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
AVERY NC-BUNCOMBE NC-MITCHELL NC-YANCEY NC-MCDOWELL NC-CALDWELL NC-
BURKE NC-
1021 PM EDT THU JUL 4 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BURKE...CALDWELL...
MCDOWELL...YANCEY...MITCHELL...EASTERN BUNCOMBE AND AVERY COUNTIES
UNTIL 1230 AM EDT...

AT 1019 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
CONTINUED HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE 
ADVISORY AREA. RADAR INDICATED RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES PER 
HOUR IN THE HEAVIEST DOWNPOURS...WHICH WERE MAINLY OVER THE 
FOOTHILLS.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
BURNSVILLE...LENOIR...MARION...MORGANTON...NEWLAND...SPRUCE 
PINE...BAKERSVILLE...COLLETTSVILLE...GRANITE  FALLS...JONAS 
RIDGE...LINVILLE...OLD FORT...AND PATTERSON.

FLOODING HAS ALREADY BEEN REPORTED ALONG POWERHOUSE ROAD IN THE 
CHESTERFIELD AREA AND PAX HILL ROAD IN THE JOHNS RIVER AREA. 
ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALONG JOHNS RIVER ROAD IN 
COLLETTSVILLE...WILSONS CREEK...AND THE UPTON AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND
IMMEDIATELY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE
IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

WITH THE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN...THE RISK OF LANDSLIDES WILL
INCREASE...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE SLIDES HAVE OCCURRED IN THE
PAST. BE ESPECIALLY ALERT IF YOU ARE NEAR A STREAM...ESPECIALLY AT
THE BASE OF A MOUNTAIN OR IN A COVE. WATCH FOR LOOSE MOVING SOIL AND
ROCKS OR A SUDDEN INCREASE IN STREAMFLOW. LEAVE THE AREA QUICKLY IF
THIS IS OBSERVED. WHEN DRIVING ALONG ROADS WHERE THE TERRAIN IS STEEP
OR ROCKY... WATCH AND LISTEN FOR FALLING ROCKS...MUD...TREES...AND
DEBRIS.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3621 8190 3612 8181 3612 8154 3602 8133
      3580 8133 3557 8154 3556 8165 3561 8175
      3554 8185 3552 8222 3546 8225 3550 8233
      3546 8237 3547 8241 3582 8240 3598 8251
      3610 8239 3616 8222 3611 8208 3629 8190

$$

HG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 4, 8:09 PM EDT, 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 4, 8:09 PM EDT, 38 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
809 PM EDT THU JUL 4 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE MID
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...BEFORE GRADUALLY
LIFTING EASTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD
OVER THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE UNITED STATES NEXT WEEK...WITH A
RETURN TO MORE TYPICAL SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 800 PM...THE PLUME OF MOISTURE AND ASSOCIATED BANDS OF MOD-HVY
RAIN HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY WEST TODAY...AND GUIDANCE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT ON THIS TREND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT. SO WHILE A FEW AREAS
OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS STILL POSSIBLE ACRS THE I-77 CORRIDOR...STILL
FEEL OKAY WITH ALLOWING THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO EXPIRE THERE.
ELSEWHERE...THE FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES...WITH NUMEROUS WARNINGS AND
ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ATTM. THE CATEORICAL POPS WITH HEAVY RAIN
WORDING STILL ON TRACK FOR TONIGHT.

AS OF 445 PM...A QUICK UPDATE TO THE TEMP/DEWPT AND SKY GRIDS TO
MATCH UP WITH OBS. POPS/WX LOOK ON TRACK...SO LEFT AS IS FOR NOW.

AS OF 300 PM...NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED IN REGARDS TO THE FORECAST OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PROMOTE CONTINUED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. HEAVY RAINFALL LOOKS
TO BE THE MAIN THREAT THROUGH THE PERIOD.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ADJACENT TO ANY THUNDERSTORMS COULD EXCEED 5 INCHES WHICH WILL ALLOW
FOR FLASH FLOODING CONDITIONS TO PERSIST.  THIS FLASH FLOODING
THREAT WILL MAINLY EXIST ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAINS AND THE
FOOTHILLS DUE TO UPSLOPE FLOW AND MIGRATION OF MOISTURE AXIS TO THE
WEST.  OTHERWISE...INCREASING INSTABILITY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SC
UPSTATE AND THE NC PIEDMONT WILL ALLOW FOR SOME STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY RAINFALL BEING THE
MAIN THREATS.  DUE TO INCREASING FLOW ALOFT...AND BACKED SURFACE
WINDS...AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.  CONDITIONS WILL
NOT IMPROVE MUCH DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS PLUME OF MOISTURE
REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE WESTERN PART OF THE CWFA.
THUS...EXTENDED FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY ACROSS ALL
ZONES WITH THE ONLY EXCEPTIONS BEING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NC
PIEDMONT.  TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT WILL BE NEAR NORMAL FOR MOST SITES.

FOR FRIDAY...EXPECT MUCH OF THE SAME AS THURSDAY WITH CONTINUED
RAINFALL ACROSS THE WESTERN MOST PORTIONS OF THE REGION.
INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE YET AGAIN...HOWEVER CONVECTION SHOULD BE
ON MORE OF A DIURNAL TREND.  HIGH TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL BE
BELOW NORMAL AT ALL LOCATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 230 PM THURSDAY...THE SLOWLY FILLING UPPER WAVE WILL LIFT NE
ACROSS IL/IN ON SAT AND THEN OH ON SUNDAY. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS IN
THE FORM OF WIND DIVERGENCE AND A TRAILING VORTICITY AXIS WILL CROSS
OUR FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY. UNTIL THEN...PERSISTENT MOIST SRLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE. WILL FOCUS LIKELY POPS IN THE MTNS...AND
TAPER DOWN TO MID RANGE CHANCE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT FOR SAT AFTN.
COVERAGE MAY REBOUND THROUGHOUT THE REGION A BIT ON SUNDAY WITH THE
PASSING UPPER SUPPORT. THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED FLASH
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM THURSDAY...A FLAT RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE SRN TIER OF
THE CONUS MON THROUGH WED. SFC HIGH PRES WILL DOMINATE EXCEPT FOR A
DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH OVER THE PIEDMONT. MID LEVEL DRYING IS
INDICATED...BUT LOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN MOIST THROUGH THE PERIOD. SFC
TO 850 MB FLOW WILL VEER MORE WESTERLY TO CURB PRECIPITATION CHANCES
AND PRODUCE MORE OF A DIURNAL TREND IN POPS. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NW ON THU. EXPECT MAX TEMPS TO RECOVER TO
NEAR SUMMERTIME NORMALS.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT KCLT...ANOTHER BAND OF SHRA/TSRA IS APPROACHING THE TERMINAL FROM
THE SOUTH...AND SHUD CROSS THE AREA IN THE 00-03Z TIME FRAME.
GUIDANCE GENERALLY AGREES THAT BEHIND THAT BAND...CONVECTION SHUD
BECOME MORE CONFINED TO THE UPSLOPE AREAS WELL WEST OF KCLT. FROM
THERE...ISOLD SHRA MAY REMAIN IN THE AREA...BUT WILL REMOVE MENTION
AFTER 04Z. CONFIDENCE IS FAIRLY HIGH THAT STRATUS SHUD DEVELOP AGAIN
OVERNIGHT...WITH A PERIOD OF IFR BY DAYBREAK EXPECTED. A LITTLE BIT
DRIER AIR MAY PUSH IN FROM THE EAST...BUT STILL EXPECT DECENT
COVERAGE OF SHRA/TSRA AGAIN FRIDAY AFTN. WILL MAKE PROB30 FOR
18-00Z. WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY S/SE...WITH POTENTIAL FOR A GUST
FRONT TO CROSS THE AREA AROUND 0030Z...THAT COULD BRIEFLY SHIFT
WINDS TO W/SW.

ELSEWHERE...EXPECTING WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO
CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE TAF PERIOD...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SC
SITES. HAVE TEMPO GROUPS AT ALL SITES FOR MVFR/IFR TSRA THIS
EVENING...THEN CARRIED MVFR CIGS THROUGH THE MORNING WITH EITHER
VCTS...SHRA...OR BOTH.  AS THE LOWER LEVELS CONTINUE TO MOISTEN
FURTHER THROUGHOUT THE EVENING...LOOKING FOR CIGS TO LOWER TO IFR
LEVELS AT ALL SITES.  WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHERLY AND AROUND
8-10KTS. FRIDAY AFTN...ANOTHER ROUND OF WIDESPREAD/NUMEROUS
SHRA/TSRA EXPECTED...ESP IN THE NC MTNS. WILL MAKE PROB30 FOR TSRA
FOR 18-00Z.

OUTLOOK...VERY MOIST AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN OVER THE
REGION INTO SATURDAY...WITH PERIODS OF SHRA/TSRA. STRATUS AND FOG IS
POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT ACROSS THE REGION. GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT IS
EXPECTED FROM THE EAST THIS WEEKEND AS A BERMUDA HIGH STRENGTHENS
ACROSS THE REGION...YIELDING MAINLY DIURNAL SHRA/TSRA. MORNING FOG
WILL FAVOR THE MTN VALLEYS.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z        18-24Z
KCLT       HIGH  86%     MED   66%     MED   74%     HIGH  98%
KGSP       HIGH  84%     HIGH  89%     HIGH  86%     HIGH  95%
KAVL       HIGH  81%     HIGH  97%     HIGH  91%     HIGH  96%
KHKY       HIGH  88%     MED   73%     HIGH  84%     HIGH  98%
KGMU       MED   74%     MED   74%     HIGH  81%     HIGH  96%
KAND       MED   77%     HIGH  89%     MED   77%     HIGH  96%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR GAZ010-017-018-
     026-028-029.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR NCZ033-035-
     048>053-056-058-059-062>065-068>070-501>510.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR SCZ001>014-019.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HG
NEAR TERM...ARK/CDG
SHORT TERM...HG
LONG TERM...HG
AVIATION...ARK
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 4, 8:32 PM EDT, 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
832 PM EDT THU JUL 4 2013

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-060045-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
832 PM EDT THU JUL 4 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. SOME OF
THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH DAMAGING
WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAINFALL
BEING THE MAIN THREATS. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THE
HIGHER TERRAIN DUE TO INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035-056-068>070-502-504-506-508-510-
SCZ001>014-019-060045-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-CATAWBA-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
832 PM EDT THU JUL 4 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. SOME OF
THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE...ESPECIALLY DURING
THE EVENING HOURS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES BEING
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ036-037-057-071-072-082-060045-
IREDELL-DAVIE-ROWAN-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
832 PM EDT THU JUL 4 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. SOME OF
THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE...ESPECIALLY DURING
THE EVENING HOURS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES BEING
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY LEADING TO
ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

ARK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 4, 6:59 PM EDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
659 PM EDT THU JUL 04 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HARMONY                 35.96N 80.77W
07/04/2013                   IREDELL            NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON EAGLES MILL RD.

&&

MOORE
Special weather statement, Jul 4, 7:18 PM EDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
718 PM EDT THU JUL 4 2013

SCZ008-013-050000-
CHEROKEE-UNION-
718 PM EDT THU JUL 4 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CHEROKEE AND NORTHERN UNION
COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM EDT...

AT 716 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SARATT...OR 10 MILES NORTH
OF UNION...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

PEOPLE IN CHEROKEE AND NORTHERN UNION COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING LOCATION...

GAFFNEY...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDER AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3481 8174 3487 8175 3491 8171 3494 8176
      3518 8184 3517 8150 3516 8146 3505 8147
      3503 8149 3498 8148 3494 8149 3494 8147
      3477 8148

MOORE
Special weather statement, Jul 4, 7:48 PM EDT, 59 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
748 PM EDT THU JUL 4 2013

NCZ068-508-050030-
CLEVELAND-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
748 PM EDT THU JUL 4 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CLEVELAND AND EASTERN RUTHERFORD
COUNTIES THROUGH 830 PM EDT...

AT 745 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES WEST OF EARL...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF
GAFFNEY...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

PEOPLE IN CLEVELAND AND EASTERN RUTHERFORD COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...

EARL...BOILING SPRINGS NC...SHELBY...LAWNDALE...POLKVILLE AND
CASAR...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDER AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3556 8152 3554 8150 3552 8151 3541 8144
      3517 8133 3518 8183 3519 8184 3553 8192
      3554 8185 3557 8183

MOORE
Local storm report, Jul 4, 7:52 PM EDT, 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
752 PM EDT THU JUL 04 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     DEBRIS FLOW      4 S ROSMAN              35.09N 82.82W
07/04/2013                   TRANSYLVANIA       NC   911 CALL CENTER

            A MUD SLIDE OCCURRED ON THE PICKENS HIGHWAY...HIGHWAY
            178...VERY CLOSE TO THE SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER. THE
            HIGHWAY HAS BEEN WASHED OUT AT THE POINT WHERE THE MUD
            SLIDE OCCURRED.

&&

OUTLAW
Local storm report, Jul 4, 8:45 PM EDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
845 PM EDT THU JUL 04 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0732 PM     DEBRIS FLOW      3 SSE THICKETTY         34.97N 81.71W
07/04/2013                   CHEROKEE           SC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREE ACROSS ROADWAY.

0738 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ENE GAFFNEY           35.08N 81.64W
07/04/2013                   CHEROKEE           SC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            *** 1 FATAL *** TREE FELL ON INDIVIDUAL NEAR INTERSECTION
            OF CHEROKEE AVENUE AND FOURTH STREET IN GAFFNEY AS THE
            STORMS CAME THROUGH. SEVERAL OTHER TREES FELL AS LINE OF
            STORMS CAME THROUGH MAINLY FROM GAFFNEY TO BLACKSBURG BUT
            A FEW MORE DOWN TOWARD THICKETTY.

0800 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 NE LAKE TOXAWAY       35.17N 82.89W
07/04/2013                   TRANSYLVANIA       NC   PUBLIC

            SILVERSTEEN ROAD WASHED OUT AT THE INTERSECTION OF
            DIAMOND CREEK ROAD BY THE WEST FORK FRENCH BROAD RIVER.

&&

OUTLAW
Local storm report, Jul 4, 8:45 PM EDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED FIRST REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
845 PM EDT THU JUL 04 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0732 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSE THICKETTY         34.97N 81.71W
07/04/2013                   CHEROKEE           SC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREE ACROSS ROADWAY.

0738 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ENE GAFFNEY           35.08N 81.64W
07/04/2013                   CHEROKEE           SC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            *** 1 FATAL *** TREE FELL ON INDIVIDUAL NEAR INTERSECTION
            OF CHEROKEE AVENUE AND FOURTH STREET IN GAFFNEY AS THE
            STORMS CAME THROUGH. SEVERAL OTHER TREES FELL AS LINE OF
            STORMS CAME THROUGH MAINLY FROM GAFFNEY TO BLACKSBURG BUT
            A FEW MORE DOWN TOWARD THICKETTY.

0800 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 NE LAKE TOXAWAY       35.17N 82.89W
07/04/2013                   TRANSYLVANIA       NC   PUBLIC

            SILVERSTEEN ROAD WASHED OUT AT THE INTERSECTION OF
            DIAMOND CREEK ROAD BY THE WEST FORK FRENCH BROAD RIVER.

&&

OUTLAW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 8:00 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPAvery, Burke, Caldwell, McDowell, Mitchell, Yancey3 hr
Jul 4, 8:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBurke, Catawba, Cleveland, Gaston, Lincoln48 min
Jul 4, 8:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba, Lincoln44 min
Jul 4, 9:04 PM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGSPGaston12 hr
Jul 4, 9:21 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAlexander, Iredell54 min
Jul 4, 9:24 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMecklenburg66 min
Jul 4, 9:31 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPGaston, Lincoln, Mecklenburg3 hr
Jul 4, 9:52 PM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGSPBuncombe12 hr
Jul 4, 9:52 PM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGSPMadison12 hr
Jul 4, 9:52 PM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGSPSwain12 hr
Jul 4, 9:52 PM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGSPHaywood12 hr
Jul 4, 9:59 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPAlexander, Catawba, Iredell3 hr
Jul 4, 10:07 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPIredell53 min
Jul 4, 11:24 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPPolk, Rutherford96 min
Jul 5, 12:21 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningGSPAvery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, McDowell, Mitchell6 hr
Jul 5, 12:27 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningGSPJackson12 hr
Jul 5, 2:09 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPHenderson, Transylvania3 hr
Jul 5, 4:49 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningGSPSwain10 hr
Jul 5, 5:48 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCleveland57 min
Jul 5, 5:55 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningGSPBurke, Caldwell10 hr
Jul 5, 7:00 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCleveland60 min
Jul 5, 9:16 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningGSPAlexander, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba, Iredell, McDowell12 hr
Jul 5, 10:55 AM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGSPBuncombe12 hr
Jul 5, 2:55 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPGaston, Lincoln2 hr
Jul 5, 3:30 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPCleveland2 hr
Jul 5, 3:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCatawba44 min
Jul 5, 4:04 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAlexander26 min
Jul 5, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBurke, Caldwell, Cleveland, Rutherford64 min
Jul 5, 4:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCaldwell42 min
Jul 5, 4:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBurke, McDowell, Polk, Rutherford61 min
Jul 5, 5:06 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCaldwell39 min
Jul 5, 5:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAvery, Burke, Caldwell60 min
Jul 5, 5:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPBuncombe, Henderson, Yancey53 min
Jul 5, 5:43 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPAvery, Burke, Caldwell, McDowell107 min
Jul 5, 5:52 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPJackson38 min
Jul 5, 6:00 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningGSPGaston16 hr
Jul 5, 6:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPRowan47 min
Jul 5, 7:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPDavie29 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2013Every flash flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.