Flash Flood Warning 24, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

570 
WGUS72 KGSP 020446
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1246 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

NCC023-027-020700-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0024.000000T0000Z-130702T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CALDWELL NC-BURKE NC-
1246 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN BURKE AND
CALDWELL COUNTIES UNTIL 300 AM EDT...

AT 1238 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. DUAL 
POL RADAR ESTIMATES AROUND THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN THE 
MORGANTON...TO LENIOR...TO PATTERSON REGION. WITH THESE 
AMOUNTS...BUILDINGS WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD AT JOHN KIRBY PLACE OFF 
INDIAN GRAVE ROAD IN PATTERSON...AND HOMES ALONG LOWER CREEK NEAR 
HIGHWAY 321 AND HIGHWAY 18 WILL BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING 
IN LENIOR.     

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
LENOIR...MORGANTON...COLLETTSVILLE...CONNELLY SPRINGS...GAMEWELL...
GRANITE FALLS...HUDSON...ICARD...KINGS CREEK...LAKE RHODHISS...
PATTERSON...RUTHERFORD COLLEGE AND VALDESE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING...LANDSLIDES OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3610 8151 3608 8142 3600 8132 3592 8135
      3580 8133 3570 8142 3557 8154 3559 8172
      3561 8172 3560 8174 3561 8175 3561 8183
      3613 8165 3613 8155

$$

KRENTZ

701 
WGUS72 KGSP 020555
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
155 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

NCC023-027-020700-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0024.000000T0000Z-130702T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CALDWELL NC-BURKE NC-
155 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN BURKE AND
CALDWELL COUNTIES UNTIL 300 AM EDT...

AT 152 AM EDT...RADAR INDICATED THAT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS HAD TAPERED OFF TO SCATTERED HEAVY SHOWERS ACROSS THE 
WARNING AREA. 

WHILE MOST OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ENDED...RISES WERE OCCURRING 
ALONG THE UPPER REACHES OF THE YADKIN RIVER IN CALDWELL COUNTY AND 
FLOODING OF SOME ROADWAYS ALONG THE RIVER IS STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH 
3 AM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE 
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT 
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT 
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 3610 8151 3608 8142 3600 8132 3592 8135
      3580 8133 3570 8142 3557 8154 3559 8172
      3561 8172 3560 8174 3561 8175 3561 8183
      3613 8165 3613 8155

$$

MCAVOY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1026 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL PERSIST OVER THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE
RIVER VALLEYS THROUGH MID WEEK. THIS PATTERN WILL BRING WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE SOUTHEAST. AS WE APPROACH THE
WEEKEND...THE TROUGH WILL DISSIPATE AND THE BERMUDA HIGH WILL
STRENGTHEN TO OUR EAST.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 1020 PM...THE LINE OF SHRA AND TSRA HAS PUSHED OVER THE GSP
AREA NW TO THE UNIFOUR REGION OF I-40. LATEST RADAR TRENDS INDICATE
THAT THE LINE HAS LOST ITS EASTWARD PUSH...WITH LATEST MOTION NEARLY
STATIONARY. A COUPLE OF AREAS MAY SEE HIGH RUNOFF DUE TO TRAINING
CELLS. HOWEVER...OVER THE NEXT ONE TO TWO HOURS...I WOULD EXPECT
THAT THE LINE WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE. I WILL UPDATE THE POP AND WX
FORECAST TO LATEST THINKING. THE REST OF THE FORECAST REMAINS ON
TRACK.

AS OF 750 PM...I WILL UPDATE THE POPS TO REFINE TIMING OF THE
CURRENT BAND OF SHRA/TSRA ACROSS THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY SOUTH TO
THE UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY. THE HISTORY OF THE BAND INDICATES
THAT IT WILL GRADUALLY SLIDE EAST AT 15 MPH. CONVECTION ALLOWING
MODELS INDICATE THAT THE BAND WILL REACH THE GSP AREA TO HKY LATE
THIS EVENING...BEFORE THE BAND BEGINS TO ASH OUT.

AS OF 350 PM...I WILL ISSUE A QUICK UPDATE TO CAP THE HIGHS FOR THIS
AFTERNOON AT LATEST OBSERVATIONS. THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO LOOK ON
TRACK.

AS OF MIDDAY MON...THE REGION WILL REMAIN IN A WET SOUTHERLY FLOW
PATTERN THRU THE EARLY WEEK AS CLOSED UPPER LOW REMAINS OVER THE
OHIO/MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS WITH THE BERMUDA HIGH TO ITS EAST. THE
LOW RETROGRADES DURING THE PERIOD AND THE FOCUS FOR BEST LLVL
MOISTURE ADVECTION FOLLOWS...SHIFTING WESTWARD FROM THE CAROLINA
COASTAL PLAIN TODAY TO THE PIEDMONT AND FOOTHILLS BY TUE AFTN. THE
UPPER FLOW ITSELF WILL REMAIN ACTIVE WITH A SHORTWAVE LIFTING OUT OF
THE ERN GULF AND PASSING OVERHEAD TONIGHT...WITH ANOTHER VORT MAX
FOLLOWING AFTER DAYBREAK TUE THAT WOULD AFFECT MAINLY THE MIDLANDS
AND NC PIEDMONT.

ONE SHORTWAVE CIRCLING THE UPPER LOW IS DRIVING A LINE OF TSTMS
MOVING INTO THE WRN CWFA THIS AFTN. THE DEEP SLY FLOW IS CAUSING THE
CELLS TO MOVE PERPENDICULAR TO THE LINE SO HEAVY RAIN WILL BE A
PARTICULAR CONCERN WITH THESE CELLS...THOUGH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY
AND SHEAR MEANS THERE IS AT LEAST A SMALL THREAT OF ORGANIZED SVR
WX...MAINLY STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

THOUGH INSTABILITY WILL DIMINISH WITH DIURNAL COOLING THIS
EVENING...THERE IS CERTAINLY NO REASON TO EXPECT A GENERAL
DIMINISHING TREND IN POPS. AS THE LLVL WINDS STRENGTHEN LATE TONIGHT
THE PRECIP COVERAGE SHOULD INCREASE...FOCUSING ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE
BUT ALSO BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY TOWARD DAYBREAK IN THE EAST.
GFS AND NAM ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH PRECIP PLACEMENT IN THE
PIEDMONT TOMORROW. A PLUME OF HIGH PWAT VALUES /2+ INCHES/ WILL
FOLLOW THE SHIFTING MSTR CONVERGENCE MAX INTO THE CWFA SO RAIN RATES
ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY. MODEL QPF VALUES ARE NOT
ESPECIALLY IMPRESSIVE BUT THE GFS IS MOST ROBUST. BIASED VALUES
TOWARD THE GFS. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 6PM
TUESDAY FOR THE SAME ZONES. THE HIGHER QPF REMAINS IN THE ERN PORTION
OF THE CWFA...BUT THE WATCH WAS NOT EXTENDED WESTWARD BECAUSE OF
HIGHER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES IN THE AREAS WEST WHICH HAVE NOT
HAD AS MUCH RAIN OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS.

AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE THREATS WILL CONTINUE INTO TOMORROW WITH
0-6KM SHEAR VALUES REMAINING HIGH ENOUGH TO EXPECT SOME ORGANIZATION
TO STORMS. LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE THE AMOUNT OF SBCAPE...WHICH MAY
BE LIMITED BY THE EXPECTED CLOUD COVER HOLDING TEMPS DOWN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 215 PM MONDAY...THE CWFA WILL REMAIN BETWEEN A STRONG...HIGH
AMPLITUDE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND A BROAD HIGH AMPLITUDE
TROUGH CENTERED ROUGHLY OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER THRU THE FORECAST
PERIOD. THIS WILL KEEP A DEEP SLY FLOW WITH RIVER OF EXCEPTIONALLY
MOIST AIR OVER THE AREA AS WELL. THE AXIS OF HIGHEST MOISTURE AND
BEST FORCING WILL START OUT OVER THE ERN CWFA TUE NITE AND WED...
THEN SPREAD WESTWARD TO THE MTNS AND WRN UPSTATE WED NITE AND THU.
THE SREF AND GEFS ENSEMBLE MEANS SHOW PW VALUES 1 TO 2 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL IN THIS MOISTURE PLUME AS IT MOVES WEST
ACROSS THE CWFA. THEY BOTH ALSO SHOW LOW AND UPPER LEVEL JET MAX
WINDS 4 TO 5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL AS THEY MOVE WEST
ACROSS THE CWFA PROVIDING CONTINUED STRONG LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX
CONVERGENCE AND UPPER DIVERGENCE. THIS COMBINED WITH GOOD LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE AND A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES MOVING NORTH ACROSS THE AREA
IN THE SLY FLOW WILL SET THE STAGE FOR NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH
FLOOD POTENTIAL. WITH ALL THE GUIDANCE...THEN NAM BEING THE
EXCEPTION WHICH MOVES THE AXIS OF MOISTURE AND FORCING MUCH FARTHER
WEST...SHOWING THESE TRENDS...HAVE LIKELY TO CAT POP SPREADING WEST
ACROSS THE AREA THRU THE PERIOD...WITH THE FAR ERN CWFA DROPPING TO
HIGH CHC BY THU. SINCE THERE IS AT LEAST 24 HRS BEFORE HEAVY
RAINFALL STARTS IN THE WRN CWFA...AND THERE IS ALREADY A WATCH OVER
THE ERN CWFA...WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY WATCH EXPANSION FOR THIS FCST
PERIOD. THAT SAID...EXPECT LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO EXPAND THE
WATCH IN AREA AND EXTEND IT IN TIME TO COVER THESE PERIODS. PRECIP
TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES COULD EASILY BE REACHED DURING THIS TIME...
AND POSSIBLY EXCEEDED.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM EDT MONDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE FCST PICKS UP AT 00Z ON
FRIDAY WITH A PERSISTENT BLOCKING PATTERN OVER THE CONUS THAT WILL
SLOWLY DISSOLVE TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD. BY NEW DAY 7 ON
MONDAY...THE LONG RANGE MODELS STILL INDICATE THAT THE REMNANTS OF A
CLOSED H5 LOW WILL LIKELY BE OBSERVABLE ON THE SYNOPTIC SCALE
ALTHOUGH ACCORDING TO THE LATEST GFS...THE LOW MORPHS INTO AN UPPER
SHORTWAVE. THE WESTERN AND EASTERN CONUS UPPER RIDGES WILL FLATTEN
AND BEGIN TO MELD TOGETHER BY DAYS 6 AND 7 AS THE POLAR JET REMAINS
WELL TO THE NORTH CREATING A MORE ZONAL PATTERN.

AT THE SFC...NO MAJOR PATTERN CHANGES ARE ANTICIPATED THRU THE
PERIOD AS THE BERMUDA HIGH MAINTAINS ITS CONTROL OVER THE SE REGION.
AS THE BERMUDA HIGH GRADUALLY SLIDES WESTWARD...THE DEEPER MOISTURE
IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DRIFT NW THRU THE PERIOD AND BY THE
WEEKEND...THE MODELS INDICATE THAT MOST OF THE DEEPER MOISTURE WILL
HAVE SHIFTED TO OUR NORTH AND WEST AND LOW LVL FLOW WILL BECOME
WEAKER AND MORE SLY. AS SUCH...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE TO
THE MEDIUM RANGE FCST. POPS TAPER OFF OVER THE WEEKEND TO MORE OF A
DIURNALLY DRIVEN CHANCE AND SLIGHT CHANCE WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE
CARRIED MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FLOODING CONTINUES TO BE A
MAJOR CONCERN THRU THE PERIOD...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
HIGH TEMPS WILL START OUT A FEW DEGREES BELOW CLIMO AND CLIMB TO
NEAR CLIMO AS THICKNESSES INCREASE AND OVERALL CLOUD COVER BEGINS TO
DIMINISH OVER THE WEEKEND. LOWS WILL REMAIN RIGHT AROUND NORMAL FOR
EARLY JULY.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT...THE TERMINAL REMAINS BETWEEN TWO BANDS OF DEEP
CONVECTION...ONE TO THE EAST OVER THE COASTAL PLAIN OF SC/CENTRAL
NC...THE OTHER TO THE WEST OVER THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY SOUTH TO THE
UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY. SAT IMAGES OVER THE CLT AREA INDICATE
VERY LIMITED VERTICAL GROWTH TO THE CU FIELD. HOWEVER...TIMING
TRENDS INDICATE THAT THE WESTERN BAND MAY REACH KCLT AROUND
4Z...LIKELY AS SHRA. THE ARRIVAL OF THE REMNANT BAND MAY ALSO YIELD
MVFR CEILINGS. IN FACT...MOS AND MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT
CEILINGS WILL LIKELY LOWER TO IFR AROUND DAYBREAK. IFR CEILINGS
SHOULD LINGER UNTIL MID TO LATE MORNING...THEN LIFT TO MVFR.
HOWEVER...SEVERAL GUIDANCE SOURCES INDICATE THAT IFR COULD LINGER
THROUGH THE DAY. I WILL INCLUDE A PROB30 FOR MID DAY TSRA. WINDS
SHOULD REMAIN FROM THE SOUTH NEAR 10 KTS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

ELSEWHERE...THE PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGE IS DETERMINING THE TIMING
AND EASTWARD PLACEMENT OF THE BAND OF SHRA/TSRA CURRENTLY OVER THE
FRENCH BROAD VALLEY SOUTH TO THE UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY.
CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS INDICATE THAT THE BAND WILL SURVIVE ACROSS
KAVL...KAND...KGMU...KGSP...BUT FADING BEFORE REACHING KHKY. I WILL
HANDLE TIMING OF THE BAND WITH FM GROUPS AND TEMPOS. FOLLOWING THE
BAND...MOS AND MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT CEILINGS WILL LIKELY
LOWER TO IFR AROUND DAYBREAK. IFR CEILINGS SHOULD LINGER UNTIL MID
TO LATE MORNING...THEN LIFT TO MVFR. HOWEVER...SEVERAL GUIDANCE
SOURCES INDICATE THAT IFR COULD LINGER THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST BETWEEN 5 TO 10 KTS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...VERY MOIST AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN OVER THE
REGION THROUGH INDEPENDENCE DAY. PERIODS OF SHRA/TSRA WILL OCCUR
BOTH DURING THE DAY AND OVERNIGHT. MORNING STRATUS AND FOG IS
POSSIBLE EACH DAY ACROSS THE REGION. OVER THE WEEKEND...BERMUDA HIGH
WILL PUSH WEST ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...YIELDING MAINLY DIURNAL
SHRA/TSRA. MORNING FOG WILL FAVOR THE MTN VALLEYS.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            02-08Z        08-14Z        14-20Z        20-02Z
KCLT       HIGH  92%     HIGH  83%     HIGH  86%     HIGH  80%
KGSP       HIGH  88%     HIGH  93%     HIGH  96%     HIGH  80%
KAVL       MED   72%     HIGH  94%     HIGH  80%     HIGH  88%
KHKY       HIGH  92%     HIGH  84%     HIGH  96%     MED   75%
KGMU       HIGH  85%     HIGH  88%     HIGH  92%     HIGH  80%
KAND       HIGH  84%     HIGH  91%     HIGH  89%     HIGH  80%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR NCZ036-037-056-
     057-069>072-082.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR SCZ009-014.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JPT
NEAR TERM...NED/WIMBERLEY
SHORT TERM...RWH
LONG TERM...JPT
AVIATION...NED

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
342 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035-048>053-058-059-062>065-068-
501>510-SCZ001>008-010>013-019-021945-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CLEVELAND-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-GREENWOOD-
342 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT. UPSLOPE WINDS INTO THE
MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED VERY HEAVY
RAIN...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE BLUE RIDGE AND ADJACENT FOOTHILL
LOCATIONS. WITH STRONGER THAN NORMAL WIND SHEAR AND A SOME DRYING
ALOFT...A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

UNUSUALLY MOIST AIR WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND
EVENINGS...BUT MAY CONTINUE WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH FLASH
FLOODING BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANT AS THE WEEK
PROGRESSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ036-037-056-057-069>072-082-SCZ009-014-021945-
IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-YORK-CHESTER-
342 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH
CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE PIEDMONT OF
NORTH CAROLINA AND THE EASTERN PIEDMONT OF SOUTH CAROLINA TONIGHT.
IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAIN...THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO
PRODUCE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. THE DAMAGE POTENTIAL OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HEIGHTENED WHERE THE GROUND IS SATURATED
FROM RECENT HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

UNUSUALLY MOIST AIR WILL PERSIST OVER THE PIEDMONT OF THE
CAROLINAS THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE MOST LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS...BUT MAY
CONTINUE WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
733 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013

SCZ002-003-005-010-020015-
ANDERSON-GREATER PICKENS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
733 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ANDERSON...NORTHWESTERN
GREENVILLE AND PICKENS COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM EDT...

AT 730 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF
PICKENS TO 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF STARR...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  PICKENS...
  ANDERSON...
  TABLE ROCK STATE PARK...
  BELTON...
  EASLEY...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED
WITH THESE STORMS. THIS COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS.

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS. WATER
LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER
GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

LAT...LON 3434 8278 3495 8282 3513 8257 3468 8245
      3467 8247 3456 8242

LANE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
756 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013

SCZ002-003-005-006-010-020045-
ANDERSON-GREATER GREENVILLE-GREATER PICKENS-GREENVILLE
MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
756 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013

...STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL
AFFECT EASTERN ANDERSON...EASTERN PICKENS AND WESTERN GREENVILLE
COUNTIES THROUGH 845 PM EDT...

AT 751 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PUMPKINTOWN TO 5
MILES NORTH OF ANDERSON TO 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF IVA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  ANDERSON...
  IVA...
  BROADWAY LAKE...
  POWDERSVILLE...
  PIEDMONT...
  WILLIAMSTON...

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. THIS COULD CAUSE
MINOR FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS.

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS. WATER
LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER
GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

LAT...LON 3428 8276 3455 8273 3503 8273 3516 8240
      3470 8240 3444 8242 3426 8275

LANE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
901 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013

SCZ006-010-011-020145-
ABBEVILLE-ANDERSON-GREATER GREENVILLE-
901 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL AFFECT EASTERN
ANDERSON...NORTHERN ABBEVILLE AND SOUTHEASTERN GREENVILLE COUNTIES
THROUGH 945 PM EDT...

AT 856 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PIEDMONT TO 5 MILES
WEST OF HONEA PATH TO 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LOWNDESVILLE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  ANTREVILLE...
  DONALDSON CENTER...
  HONEA PATH...
  MAULDIN...

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS. WATER
LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER
GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

LAT...LON 3414 8270 3417 8272 3439 8255 3476 8252
      3485 8222 3479 8216 3459 8224 3453 8224
      3449 8231 3447 8231 3444 8228 3434 8233
      3430 8234 3413 8268

LANE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
941 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013

NCZ035-056-502-504-020230-
ALEXANDER-CATAWBA-GREATER BURKE-GREATER CALDWELL-
941 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ALEXANDER...EASTERN BURKE...
SOUTHEASTERN CALDWELL AND WESTERN CATAWBA COUNTIES THROUGH 1030 PM
EDT...

AT 939 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LENOIR TO 10 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MORGANTON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  VALDESE...
  CONNELLY SPRINGS...
  GRANITE FALLS...
  ICARD...
  HICKORY...
  LONGVIEW...

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS. WATER
LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER
GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

LAT...LON 3558 8135 3556 8168 3561 8172 3561 8175
      3558 8180 3558 8183 3561 8183 3596 8156
      3601 8133 3600 8132 3604 8120 3603 8108
      3604 8105

LANE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
951 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013

NCZ508-510-SCZ006-007-010>012-020245-
ABBEVILLE-ANDERSON-EASTERN POLK-GREATER GREENVILLE-GREATER
RUTHERFORD-LAURENS-SPARTANBURG-
951 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL AFFECT
SPARTANBURG...EASTERN ANDERSON...EASTERN RUTHERFORD...NORTHERN
ABBEVILLE... NORTHERN LAURENS...SOUTHERN GREENVILLE AND SOUTHEASTERN
POLK COUNTIES THROUGH 1045 PM EDT...

AT 947 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES WEST
OF SUNSHINE TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF REIDVILLE TO 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF
ANTREVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  FOUNTAIN INN...
  SPINDALE...
  BOILING SPRINGS SC...
  FOREST CITY...
  BOSTIC...
  SPARTANBURG...

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS. WATER
LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER
GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

LAT...LON 3431 8255 3475 8219 3552 8198 3558 8169
      3548 8170 3518 8179 3518 8187 3508 8182
      3491 8187 3446 8215

LANE